Who will be going down, Statistician results
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 maddog  Wiltshire 04 Feb 14 10.35am |
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Quote thebob at 04 Feb 2014 9.53am
Quote TrickyBoy at 04 Feb 2014 7.15am
Whhhooooossssshhhhh !!! straight over my head! (i know its probably brilliant but Im too dumb to understand)
The percentages show the points difference between the lower teams. What is says is that we have a very good chance of staying up, if we keep doing well against the lower teams. This is where the theory goes wrong. It would work only if our rivals then lost their games against the top teams (since that is what we have done so far). But in fact they are winning and drawing those games. So WBA may have the worst stats against the relegation rivals but they are picking up picks against the top teams (like the point against Liverpool last weekend) and so are currently above us in the real league table.
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aquickgame2  Beni = summer,Caribbean = winter 04 Feb 14 10.43am |
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Statistics are all well and good but dont get you 3 points on the day.
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| Norwich_Eagle Norwich 04 Feb 14 11.37am |
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Originally posted this on the BBS it doesn't take into account the round of fixtures just played: Okay based on the remaining fixtures those playing the bottom ten teams - assuming that the teams pick up no "bonus" points against teams in the top half of the table the stats are: Swansea P - 5 W - 2 D - 3 L - 0 = 9 points an ave. of 1.80 p/game Norwich - P 7 W - 3 D - 2 L - 2 = 11 points an ave. of 1.57 p/game Hull - P - 8 W - 4 D - 3 L - 1 = 15 points an ave. of 1.88 p/game Crystal Palace P - 8 W - 5 D - 1 L - 2 = 16 points an ave. of 2.00 p/game WBA - P - 5 W - 2 D - 2 L - 1 = 8 points an ave. of 1.60 p/game Stoke - P - 6 W - 3 D - 2 L - 1 = 10 points an ave. of 1.67 p/game Sunderland - P - 4 W - 1 D - 1 L - 2 = 4 points an ave. of 1.00 p/game West Ham - P - 7 W - 2 D - 4 L - 1 = 10 points an ave. of 1.43 p/game Fulham - P 7 W - 3 D - 1 L - 3 = 10 points an ave. of 1.43 p/game Cardiff - P - 5 W - 2 D - 1 L - 2 = 7 points an ave. of 1.40 p/game Swansea P - 6 W - 3 D - 2 L - 1 = 11 points an ave. of 1.83 p/game Norwich - P 5 W - 2 D - 2 L - 1 = 8 points an ave. of 1.60 p/game Hull - P - 4 W - 0 D - 2 L - 2 = 2 points an ave. of 0.50 p/game Crystal Palace P - 6 W - 2 D - 0 L - 4 = 6 points an ave. of 1.00 p/game WBA - P - 4 W - 0 D - 2 L - 2 = 2 points an ave. of 0.50 p/game Stoke - P - 6 W - 1 D - 2 L - 3 = 5 points an ave. of 0.83 p/game Sunderland - P - 8 W - 1 D - 2 L - 5 = 5 points an ave. of 0.63 p/game West Ham - P - 6 W - 1 D - 1 L - 4 = 4 points an ave. of 0.67 p/game Fulham - P 6 W - 3 D - 0 L - 3 = 9 points an ave. of 1.50 p/game Cardiff - P - 7 W - 1 D - 3 L - 3 = 6 points an ave. of 0.86 p/game Swansea - 24 Norwich - 24 Hull - 23 Crystal Palace - 23 WBA - 22 Stoke - 22 Sunderland - 21 West Ham - 19 Fulham - 19 Cardiff - 18 Swansea - 16 Norwich - 11 Hull - 7 Crystal Palace - 9 WBA - 9 Stoke - 10 Sunderland - 7 West Ham - 9 Fulham - 10 Cardiff - 11 11th Aston Villa - 38 -1 12th Norwich - 35 0 13th Stoke - 32 (better goal difference currently) +3 14th Crystal Palace - 32 (worse goal difference currently) 0 15th WBA - 31 0 16th Hull - 30 -3 17th Cardiff - 29 (better goal difference currently) +3 18th Fulham - 29 (worse goal difference currently) +1 19th Sunderland - 28 -2 20th West Ham - 27 -2
I'm Not A Role Model I'm The Model |
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| The Dolphin 04 Feb 14 1.09pm |
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Where is the link to the bbc predictor - can't find it anywhere
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| The Dolphin 04 Feb 14 1.12pm |
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West Ham and Sunderland will pick up - Sunderland already have. Edited by The Dolphin (04 Feb 2014 1.12pm)
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Jimenez  SELHURSTPARKCHESTER,DA BRONX 04 Feb 14 1.27pm |
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Quote cpj at 04 Feb 2014 9.20am
All very well, but we have to play both Manchester clubs, Chelsea and Liverpool at home, and visit Cardiff, West Ham, Fulham, Swansea, Sunderland, Everton and Newcastle with our awful away record. 12th is somewhat optimistic. However, if Ince and Ledley can provide the creativity (and goals) that we sadly lack, and if Murray can some back in and score a few, then we do have a chance.
Pro USA & Israel |
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| maddog Wiltshire 04 Feb 14 1.42pm |
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"Originally posted this on the BBS it doesn't take into account the round of fixtures just played: Okay based on the remaining fixtures those playing the bottom ten teams - assuming that the teams pick up no "bonus" points against teams in the top half of the table ..." And that was a round of fixtures in which our rivals DID pick up "bonus" points against teams in the top half of the table" (Hull, Stoke, Sunderland,WBA) And the one thing the stats table shows is that we are pretty much the only team that have so far failed to pick up those "bonus" points. Focussing only on the games against our rivals is missing half the picture. As Delaney says - we need to win or draw games against the big teams.
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Frickin Saweet  South Cronx 04 Feb 14 2.37pm |
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Quote cornwalls palace at 04 Feb 2014 9.20am
Quote Rogers the legend at 04 Feb 2014 6.01am
So after number crunching, and recording the candidates last 12 games against the top teams, here are my predictions for the teams going down. 20 - Fulham Edited by Rogers the legend (04 Feb 2014 6.18am) ..I'm still sticking with Ham, Brom and Stoke. I would love to see them go down, especially after a West Ham-supporting sports journo was taking the piss at the beginning of the season telling me we have no hope of staying up and will finish bottom.
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The Sash  Now residing in Epsom - How Posh 04 Feb 14 3.49pm |
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Not so sure about Sunderland to be honest and I wouldnt rule out the Hughes effcet just yet depsite the win at the weekend. Fulham dont look good Swansea could be the relegation dark horse - they were pathetic against West Ham
As far as the rules go, it's a website not a democracy - Hambo 3/6/2014 |
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| The Sash Now residing in Epsom - How Posh 04 Feb 14 3.51pm |
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Quote Jimenez at 04 Feb 2014 1.27pm
Quote cpj at 04 Feb 2014 9.20am
All very well, but we have to play both Manchester clubs, Chelsea and Liverpool at home, and visit Cardiff, West Ham, Fulham, Swansea, Sunderland, Everton and Newcastle with our awful away record. 12th is somewhat optimistic. However, if Ince and Ledley can provide the creativity (and goals) that we sadly lack, and if Murray can some back in and score a few, then we do have a chance.
As far as the rules go, it's a website not a democracy - Hambo 3/6/2014 |
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| 7@burnley79 Battersea 04 Feb 14 11.25pm |
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Not sure this is that great a statistic most of our points are coming from home against the teams around us. This half of the season we play most of the teams around us away and play the harder teams who we are not taking points off at home. Plus of the OP statistics We are all on the same points in the bottom half which means we are taking the least amount of points of the top teams and now we have most of them at home. Personally my heads f-cked now Can last person turn off the lights when they leave please
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| cornwalls palace Torpoint 04 Feb 14 11.35pm |
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Quote maddog at 04 Feb 2014 10.35am
Quote thebob at 04 Feb 2014 9.53am
Quote TrickyBoy at 04 Feb 2014 7.15am
Whhhooooossssshhhhh !!! straight over my head! (i know its probably brilliant but Im too dumb to understand)
The percentages show the points difference between the lower teams. What is says is that we have a very good chance of staying up, if we keep doing well against the lower teams. This is where the theory goes wrong. It would work only if our rivals then lost their games against the top teams (since that is what we have done so far). But in fact they are winning and drawing those games. So WBA may have the worst stats against the relegation rivals but they are picking up picks against the top teams (like the point against Liverpool last weekend) and so are currently above us in the real league table. ... Edited by cornwalls palace (04 Feb 2014 11.39pm)
.......has our coach driver done a Poo'yet, without thinking about Gus! |
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did you see it, have you ever seen a team sooooooooooooooooo lucky.
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