Not much in that to disagree with although I suspect that he set his sights on number 10 early and was willing to do anything to get there. Meaning he desires a legacy. And that he might just succeed.

Plus he has a teflon quality. By rights and all modern parameters he should not have been in with a sniff of making it but he did so.

Reserving judgement at the moment. October 31st really is the key date here and I suspect he knows it. What has impressed me is how he has hit the ground running on Brexit. No smoke and mirrors and effectively setting out his stall straight away with no room for backing out.

And I know I bang on about it but that Cummings/Grove axis is the key for me. Raab as foreign secretary as well. Bridges and boats are well and truly burnt and this is a fight to the political death for him. And he must know it. Failure to leave by October 31st and none of it matters anymore as the Brexit Party effectively kill the Tories off for decades to come.

September is now the key. Lot of hot air between now and the first week but then it gets real.

"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

What a refreshing comment at a time when so many others have already made their minds up that we are doomed, based on absolutely nothing but their existing prejudice.

My only complaint at the moment is that I'd like to see less photo opportunities of our Prime Minister holding chickens as it really isn't necessary

Good point. I think the EU will not miss us but they will miss our money. The concern for them is that if we "get away with it" others may follow.

Moving onto to Johnson's strategy I think he has it about right. There is no point in holding discussions with the EU unless they take the backstop off the table. The EU's strategy is quite clear delay and prevarication, this suits the Remainers as they hope the tide will tun in their favour and it never happens.

Johnson has now called the EU's bluff and they have a big decision to make. Compromise on the backstop or risk a hard Brexit with them seen as the guilty party. They could go "all in" and hope that parliament rejects a hard Brexit and that Johnson then loses a general election. However this is high risk as I think Johnson may get the votes.

Parliament has rejected a hard Brexit before however this was only by one vote and at a time when it was thought a better deal was available. Faced with a binary choice some MPs will have a tough call.

The Remainers don't enter the equation as they will always vote against it whatever the deal or no deal. Some MP's can be persuaded to switch sides because they face the prospect of facing a rampant Brexit party at the GE. Boris may also pressurise the local party to deselect an MP in favour of a Brexiteer.

If Johnson can show that the EU are the bad guys and are unwillingly to negotiate I think he will get just enough votes to pass a no deal Brexit but it will be tight.

For now he needs to increase the Tory vote in the opinion polls. The more likely a Tory win at the next GE the more likely that the EU will realise that a deal is the best solution for them as Corbyn will not be the next PM.

One more point

Explain what is "scare mongering" about publishing a factual article about a vital issue dominating the national news?

Don't we have a right to understand the impact?

Do you prefer that we be kept in the blissful ignorance of promises, wishes and hopes?

For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

I agree no-one knows. Certainly not Bogus Johnson.

I don't think the DUP will break with the Tories but I do believe that there is likely to be a significant group of Tories who will put country before party at this time if a no deal outcome is the alternative.

I think there is a growing mood within Labour that they need to replace Corbyn if they are to secure power so don't be surprised if something happens in the coming few weeks to achieve that in time.

But I am only speculating too.

For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

The article was deliberately written to appeal to people like yourself who are so close minded that they aren't interested in any other viewpoint apart from their own.

Everyone has the right to understand the impact of a no deal Brexit but reading biased articles like that one won't help at all