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Why is this not bigger news?

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View npn's Profile npn Flag Crowborough 11 Apr 16 5.56pm Send a Private Message to npn Add npn as a friend

If we accept that there are an >200 billion galaxies in the universe that apparently (after a NASA google) gives at least 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 planets.

When we are dealing with those sorts of numbers, I'd say that life, and for that matter intelligent life and, indeed technologically advanced intelligent life with the ability to travel vast distances, is not only possible, but pretty much a mathematical certainty.

Of course whether they have been here, or have any interest in coming is a different matter. I'm not sure it would end well for us if they did visit, but I think they are there somewhere.

 

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards View Hrolf The Ganger's Profile Hrolf The Ganger Flag 11 Apr 16 8.47pm Send a Private Message to Hrolf The Ganger Add Hrolf The Ganger as a friend

Originally posted by npn

If we accept that there are an >200 billion galaxies in the universe that apparently (after a NASA google) gives at least 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000 planets.

When we are dealing with those sorts of numbers, I'd say that life, and for that matter intelligent life and, indeed technologically advanced intelligent life with the ability to travel vast distances, is not only possible, but pretty much a mathematical certainty.

Of course whether they have been here, or have any interest in coming is a different matter. I'm not sure it would end well for us if they did visit, but I think they are there somewhere.

Yes life is almost certainly out there somewhere.

What I find puzzling is how so called experts and non experts alike think that they can comment on the likelihood of an alien visit to Earth. It is currently impossible to know the probability of such an event so anyone dismissing this possibility is being very naive.

 

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View phil19750's Profile phil19750 Flag Sundridge Park 12 Apr 16 9.29am Send a Private Message to phil19750 Add phil19750 as a friend

Originally posted by rednblueblood

[Link]
Most newspaper sites have this story but not BBC or Sky why is this,not a big enough story,just another sighting maybe?

Interesting article, but I guess that there are simply so many UFO sightings that they become less than sensational news stories, if at all.

The frustrating thing is that whatever anyone thinks it is, is purely specualtion. The fact that we think we know - but cannot prove it - has frustrated people since time began.

Thanks for the link.

 


el burro sabe más que tú

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 12 Apr 16 9.44am

There are a number of 'intelligent' species here on earth, probably less 'intelligent' than humans (although the term intelligent is bias towards humans) and we've largely pushed them closer to extinction by our own 'intelligent plans' (which are of course self destructive and flawed long term).

Whilst statistically the probability of life, and intelligent life, elsewhere in the universe is very close to a certainty the reality of the idea that they would just choose to travel the gulfs of space to visit us, reflects more our own egocentric view of the universe and need for 'a spiritual saviour' than the reality of experience - that it would be a serious undertaking (invariably about the self interest of that species).

After all, we tended to travel to meet other intelligent humans with a view to exploiting and 'enslaving them' to our own benefit. Where we've found species inhabiting areas with valuable resources, we've tended to see the extermination of their eco-system and lives as acceptable.

I'd imagine if any species is going to possess the technology and need to travel across the huge gulfs of space to come here, they're not going to consider us any more intelligent than the other species on the planet, and likely to be looking for 'resources' they require.

The end result for humankind is likely to be on a par with Chimpanzees (gradual extinction except in areas where they can prove useful such as experimentation, testing, zoos, pets and a few sporadic reserves for curiosity and study.

That's if they're intelligent by any system of definition that human. We've been killing dolphins and whales for 100 years despite increasing evidence of their intelligence without any necessity.

 


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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 12 Apr 16 9.45am

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

Yes life is almost certainly out there somewhere.

What I find puzzling is how so called experts and non experts alike think that they can comment on the likelihood of an alien visit to Earth. It is currently impossible to know the probability of such an event so anyone dismissing this possibility is being very naive.

Close to zero. If you're going to the effort and undertaking that involves interseller travel, its likely to be for something more than just buzzing around a bit, and putting things up some hicks bottom and then going home.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
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View matthau's Profile matthau Flag South Croydon 12 Apr 16 10.00am Send a Private Message to matthau Add matthau as a friend

a dreamer looks out and an explorer looks within.

smoke dmt.

 

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View npn's Profile npn Flag Crowborough 12 Apr 16 10.06am Send a Private Message to npn Add npn as a friend

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

Close to zero. If you're going to the effort and undertaking that involves interseller travel, its likely to be for something more than just buzzing around a bit, and putting things up some hicks bottom and then going home.

Based on the assumption that other civilisations would find interstellar travel as difficult as we would which is, in turn, based on what we know about the way the universe works, which is changing constantly, and it's fair to assume that, given even another few thousand years (a blink of an eye in terms of existence) we may well be looking at methods of transport we've not even dreamed of yet.

 

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 12 Apr 16 10.25am

Originally posted by npn

Based on the assumption that other civilisations would find interstellar travel as difficult as we would which is, in turn, based on what we know about the way the universe works, which is changing constantly, and it's fair to assume that, given even another few thousand years (a blink of an eye in terms of existence) we may well be looking at methods of transport we've not even dreamed of yet.

True, but its reasonable basic assumption that the rules of physics would be uncovered in more or less similar fashion, and with relative consistency. The problems of the speed of light and mass, wouldn't just not exist elsewhere. I don't think the universe would be too much different in conception or that there won't be changes in the laws of physics (or solutions to the problem) but that those require extensive development and breakthroughs to achieve (as well as development).

When we built new ships, did we use them to just travel to other countries and altruistically view those people on other continents, or did we explore, conquer, exploit and destroy those cultures which we deemed 'lesser intelligent species' - Because it justified the expense of the ships we built in the first place.

We build navies, not because we like sea travel, but because we want to protect our resources and status. Its not about making the world a better place, or the betterment of humanity.

We pretend it was about exploration, but really it was all about wealth, power and resources. I'd say its more likely we'd be 'visited' because we have something they want or need, than 'curious interest'.

I figure that, in such a conflict, with a species capable of that level of technology, humanity will have about 5-7 days tops.

 


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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards View Hrolf The Ganger's Profile Hrolf The Ganger Flag 12 Apr 16 10.49am Send a Private Message to Hrolf The Ganger Add Hrolf The Ganger as a friend

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

True, but its reasonable basic assumption that the rules of physics would be uncovered in more or less similar fashion, and with relative consistency. The problems of the speed of light and mass, wouldn't just not exist elsewhere. I don't think the universe would be too much different in conception or that there won't be changes in the laws of physics (or solutions to the problem) but that those require extensive development and breakthroughs to achieve (as well as development).

When we built new ships, did we use them to just travel to other countries and altruistically view those people on other continents, or did we explore, conquer, exploit and destroy those cultures which we deemed 'lesser intelligent species' - Because it justified the expense of the ships we built in the first place.

We build navies, not because we like sea travel, but because we want to protect our resources and status. Its not about making the world a better place, or the betterment of humanity.

We pretend it was about exploration, but really it was all about wealth, power and resources. I'd say its more likely we'd be 'visited' because we have something they want or need, than 'curious interest'.

I figure that, in such a conflict, with a species capable of that level of technology, humanity will have about 5-7 days tops.

I think you are falling into the trap of applying human logic and current human experience to the subject.
For example, for any species capable of inter stella space travel there would probably be no pressure to find natural resources, but no one knows. They might have a vast experience of other life forms and have little interest in them beyond scientific curiosity, but we can't know. With no financial pressure on them they might be friendly, or they might just see us as sport, we can't know. They might even be us from the future. No way to know. One does wonder why they would buzz, seemingly pointlessly around our atmosphere or kidnap people and then put them back but that is only our perception of the situation. Alien abduction might be nonsense or it could be our own government doing it X files style. I have come to believe that the cow mutilation phenomenon was carried out by government officials testing livestock for radioactivity after nuclear tests in the desert but that is just my pet theory.
The real point is that we can't even begin to guess at the nature of aliens since we have no facts whatever to go on. Assumption does not cut it on this subject.
Anyone who claims to know anything is deluding themselves.

 

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View radsyrendot's Profile radsyrendot Flag From Coventry now in Leicester 12 Apr 16 11.05am Send a Private Message to radsyrendot Add radsyrendot as a friend

You'll probably find it's the SpaceX Dragon that docked with the ISS the other day ..it was chasing the iss 3 mins behind on the same trajectory

Edited by radsyrendot (12 Apr 2016 11.07am)

Edited by radsyrendot (12 Apr 2016 11.08am)

Screenshot_2016-04-12-11-02-20.png Attachment: Screenshot_2016-04-12-11-02-20.png (408.53Kb)

 

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 12 Apr 16 11.51am

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

I think you are falling into the trap of applying human logic and current human experience to the subject.
For example, for any species capable of inter stella space travel there would probably be no pressure to find natural resources, but no one knows. They might have a vast experience of other life forms and have little interest in them beyond scientific curiosity, but we can't know. With no financial pressure on them they might be friendly, or they might just see us as sport, we can't know. They might even be us from the future. No way to know. One does wonder why they would buzz, seemingly pointlessly around our atmosphere or kidnap people and then put them back but that is only our perception of the situation. Alien abduction might be nonsense or it could be our own government doing it X files style. I have come to believe that the cow mutilation phenomenon was carried out by government officials testing livestock for radioactivity after nuclear tests in the desert but that is just my pet theory.
The real point is that we can't even begin to guess at the nature of aliens since we have no facts whatever to go on. Assumption does not cut it on this subject.
Anyone who claims to know anything is deluding themselves.

Very true, and the reason I am doing that, is because that's how intelligence is defined in relation to human behaviour and achievements. If we were to take a broader view of intelligent life, then there is no need to go into space to find it - it already exists here on the planet.

Obviously, these are assumptions, but they're reasonable ones, given the evidence we have at hand, that the development of 'human like' intelligence would require certain factors of physiology that would resemble humans, and some kind of similar evolutionary process and experience.

The likelihood, is at first, any development of interstellar travel, would require some kind of fundamental benefit to utilise - when its first developed. Obviously over time, it becomes cheaper and more available for less cost. But intitally, that break through, is going to be that species greatest achievement (and likely its most demanding in terms of commitment and effort).

Now if they have 'human like' intelligence, that is either driven by a need, or serious want. When we explored the world, we weren't just 'curious' we had an eye towards the benefit of those sponsoring the explorations - Colonisation.

And if they're capable of that kind of technology necessary to travel through space. Then we're going to resemble the tribes of Africa, Australia etc to them.

And it didn't really go so well for them. So the hope would always be that they're not 'intelligent like humans are'.

But then if we not looking for human like intelligence, then we don't need to look to the stars, we can look at our own world (Pall greater primates, Horses, Elephants, Dolphins and Whales all have reasonably demonstrable intelligent behaviour).

 


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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards View Hrolf The Ganger's Profile Hrolf The Ganger Flag 12 Apr 16 1.00pm Send a Private Message to Hrolf The Ganger Add Hrolf The Ganger as a friend

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

Very true, and the reason I am doing that, is because that's how intelligence is defined in relation to human behaviour and achievements. If we were to take a broader view of intelligent life, then there is no need to go into space to find it - it already exists here on the planet.

Obviously, these are assumptions, but they're reasonable ones, given the evidence we have at hand, that the development of 'human like' intelligence would require certain factors of physiology that would resemble humans, and some kind of similar evolutionary process and experience.

The likelihood, is at first, any development of interstellar travel, would require some kind of fundamental benefit to utilise - when its first developed. Obviously over time, it becomes cheaper and more available for less cost. But intitally, that break through, is going to be that species greatest achievement (and likely its most demanding in terms of commitment and effort).

Now if they have 'human like' intelligence, that is either driven by a need, or serious want. When we explored the world, we weren't just 'curious' we had an eye towards the benefit of those sponsoring the explorations - Colonisation.

And if they're capable of that kind of technology necessary to travel through space. Then we're going to resemble the tribes of Africa, Australia etc to them.

And it didn't really go so well for them. So the hope would always be that they're not 'intelligent like humans are'.

But then if we not looking for human like intelligence, then we don't need to look to the stars, we can look at our own world (Pall greater primates, Horses, Elephants, Dolphins and Whales all have reasonably demonstrable intelligent behaviour).

One can speculate that evolution might be a constant in the universe and that creatures that can manipulate their environment and use technology might be similar to humans allowing for their local environment. There is no way to properly predict the frequency of life or even to know for sure, although unlikely, that we are not the only example.
As for the politics of the alien mind, your guess is as good as mine.

 

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