Jack Wilshere
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 est1905  30 Aug 16 9.21pm |
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Originally posted by BelfastEagle
Betting odds are not real life. Bookies know as little as everybody else.
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| kirbyeagle south east london 30 Aug 16 9.23pm |
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Would be an amazing deal with a view to buy at the end of loan
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| est1905 30 Aug 16 9.24pm |
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Originally posted by peterg
Oh yes it is! Bookies base their odds on algorithms - where are the bets going and where to do we lay off to protect ourselves!
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| SurreyEagle16 Next Door 30 Aug 16 9.25pm |
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Originally posted by peterg
Oh yes it is! Bookies base their odds on algorithms - where are the bets going and where to do we lay off to protect ourselves! Bookies never "get it wrong". They only offer an interpretation of chance...not a yes/no option. Even if a 5000/1 event comes off (a la Leicester), the bookies are acknowledging in their odds that it might happen, even though unlikely. Equally, appealing odds (e.g. 1/6 on a transfer) do not suggest it is certain, just that its is likely. I worked in a bookies for a while and the amount of researchers they have on the books to stay ahead of the punters is mind numbing.
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bigpapi34  La Crosse, Wisconsin 30 Aug 16 9.26pm |
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E Originally posted by CPFC/SCCC
The chance to take a full England international on loan for this season. He maybe overated but he's still a quality player, that could help us unlock teams, when they park the bus. Ex-English International. He's NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO longer apart of the English National team. Why??? Because of the injuries. He's NEVER healthy. That's a risk We can't afford.
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Attachment: | gbox82 Meols, Wirral 30 Aug 16 9.27pm |
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Originally posted by CPFC/SCCC
The chance to take a full England international on loan for this season. He maybe overated but he's still a quality player, that could help us unlock teams, when they park the bus. Agreed. I think he could thrive at a smaller club, under less limelight. Really wish he wouldn't fall over every time one of the opposition challenge him though!
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| SurreyEagle16 Next Door 30 Aug 16 9.28pm |
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Originally posted by bigpapi34
E Ex-English International. He's NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO longer apart of the English National team. Why??? Because of the injuries. He's NEVER healthy. That's a risk We can't afford. If he is on loan where is the risk?
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| est1905 30 Aug 16 9.31pm |
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Milan will expect him to slot in immediately and the Rosenerri will be right on his case if he isn't mustard immediately.
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| CPFC/SCCC Sutton 30 Aug 16 9.38pm |
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JW has a young family, for him to move to Milan for one season seems illogical. JW will prefer to stay in the BPL.
Andy Johnson Magic, He wears a Magic Hat |
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| CPFC/SCCC Sutton 30 Aug 16 9.41pm |
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Originally posted by bigpapi34
E Ex-English International. He's NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO longer apart of the English National team. Why??? Because of the injuries. He's NEVER healthy. That's a risk We can't afford. Wheres the risk in a loan deal? Or would you rather us stick with Mutch. Wilshere a great player and would put competition for cabaye, which would lead him to improve.
Andy Johnson Magic, He wears a Magic Hat |
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| Canterbury Palace Whitstable 30 Aug 16 9.42pm |
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I've worked as an odds compiler and in-play trader for the past 7 years for three high street bookies and assure you that these football specials markets (transfers, next manager etc) are influenced by news reports and weight of money, very little else. This paranoia that the bookies somehow get inside info is bizarre and a complete nonsense. The closest we get to inside info is profiling our customers and reacting quickly when a bet comes in from one who has a good track record in that type of market. These types of markets are consistently the least profitable for us as usually the majority of money taken is from people who do in fact have some sort of info. It takes very little from a betting perspective to move the prices. For example, earlier after I saw the Jack Wilshere/AC Milan link in this thread I had £15 on him at 33s with Betfred as he was loads shorter everywhere else, a couple of minutes later the price moved. Cannot emphasise enough that you shouldn't put faith in bookies odds for these markets, they are very rarely an accurate representation of the actual chance of it happening.
We were somewhere around Barstow, on the edge of the desert, when the drugs began to take hold... |
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| bigpapi34 La Crosse, Wisconsin 30 Aug 16 9.48pm |
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Originally posted by SurreyEagle16
If he is on loan where is the risk? Our this years Patrick Bamford. If Wilshere (big IF)stays healthy and plays well he will get recalled by Arsenal. But if he doesn't play well we get to keep this turd burglar much like Marouane Chamakh who could never stay healthy. Not stating Chamakh never contributed, but he was NEVER HEALTHY.
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