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April 20 2024 3.22pm

Unlucky or rose tinted spectacles?

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View AdventureEagle's Profile AdventureEagle Flag Guildford 29 Nov 17 9.47pm Send a Private Message to AdventureEagle Add AdventureEagle as a friend

Referee decisions not going our way, woodwork, bad misses. Ever feel like me that supporting Palace makes you feel the world conspires against us?

This year, the stattos have given us Expected Goals to reflect real chances made and how often you'd expect the chance to be taken.

There's a league table to show who should be where based on their chances and guess where we are before looking (clue - it's not 20th).

[Link]

Maintains my belief that we will most likely stay up and although the "table doesn't lie" we don't really deserve to be where we are...

 

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View Dan1994's Profile Dan1994 Flag Wallington 29 Nov 17 9.51pm Send a Private Message to Dan1994 Add Dan1994 as a friend

To be fair, one critical problem with using xG retrospectively like this is that it doesn't take into account the fact that goals change games massively. When you're losing by a goal, you will nearly always end up taking more shots (and therefore will have more xG) than your opponents.

However, that aside, it reveals that we have been "unlucky" so to speak and that the fact we haven't had a proper striker for 6 weeks goes hand in hand with that statistic.

 


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View Booted Eagle's Profile Booted Eagle Flag Bristol 29 Nov 17 9.54pm Send a Private Message to Booted Eagle Add Booted Eagle as a friend

Based on tonight think we can pull ourselves further up the table running into Xmas. Spammers and Swansea look very shaky, Newcastle, WBA and Stoke wobbling as well. Do Pards new lot on Sat and we will be right back in the mix. COYP !!

 


“ [T]here are known knowns; there are things we know that we know.There are known unknowns; that is to say there are things that, we now know we don't know.But there are also unknown unknowns – there are things we do not know we don't know. ”
—United States Secretary of Defense, Donald Rumsfeld

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View slubglurge's Profile slubglurge Flag welling 29 Nov 17 9.58pm Send a Private Message to slubglurge Add slubglurge as a friend

Dont forget Huddersfield got hammered 5-0 tonight. Our GD is nearly on a par with them and 1 better than West Ham

 

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chateauferret Flag 29 Nov 17 9.59pm

Well not too bad an outturn tonight.

Stoke: thumped.
Wet Spam: thumped and looked totally s***e.
Huddersfield: thumped.
Bournemouth: lost.
Saints: lost in Clattenburg time at Citeh.
Swansea: lost.

One point gained on all of the above and some serious dents in some of their goal differences.

Edited by chateauferret (29 Nov 2017 10.01pm)

 


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The Ferret
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