Relegation a real possibility?
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 YT  Oxford 26 Feb 19 10.46pm |
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Originally posted by ger20
Bookies are offering 1/125 odds against us going down. Any one who thinks we will be relegated from this position should stick £100 on and walk away with a cool £12500. ....profit. They'll actually walk away with £12,600
Palace since 19 August 1972. Palace 1 (Tony Taylor) Liverpool 1 (Emlyn Hughes) |
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| Tom-the-eagle Croydon 26 Feb 19 11.22pm |
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Originally posted by ger20
Bookies are offering 1/125 odds against us going down. Any one who thinks we will be relegated from this position should stick £100 on and walk away with a cool £12500. Who exactly is offering those odds? can you provide a link please? I cant see anyone offering 1/125 to a team only six points above relegation. That said, I think we are well placed to stay up but I would be happy to put a grand down at 1/125.
"It feels much better than it ever did, much more sensitive." John Wayne Bobbit |
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HKOwen  Hong Kong 27 Feb 19 1.17am |
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So you would accept a return of less than 8 quid and a small element of risk to let someone else have a thousand pounds of you money from now until the end of the season? quote=Tom-the-eagle;3417893] Who exactly is offering those odds? can you provide a link please? I cant see anyone offering 1/125 to a team only six points above relegation. That said, I think we are well placed to stay up but I would be happy to put a grand down at 1/125.
Responsibility Deficit Disorder is a medical condition. Symptoms include inability to be corrected when wrong, false sense of superiority, desire to share personal info no else cares about, general hubris. It's a medical issue rather than pure arrogance. |
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| YT Oxford 27 Feb 19 7.21am |
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We seem to be confusing betting on Palace to go down (which will be long odds) and betting on Palace to stay up (which will be odds-on). If one is convinced we will stay up, the answer is to place a 'lay' bet on us to go down. Lay £8, then if we stay up, you win £8 without having to 'lend' a thousand pounds to a bookmaker until the end of the season.
Palace since 19 August 1972. Palace 1 (Tony Taylor) Liverpool 1 (Emlyn Hughes) |
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| bexleydave Barnehurst 27 Feb 19 7.24am |
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Originally posted by Adamoc123
I like Hughton he's a decent manager regardless of where he chooses to ply his trade but i feel a comment like that will just come back around and bite him in the toosh. How right you were
Bexley Dave Can you hear the Brighton sing? I can't hear a ******* thing! "The most arrogant, obnoxious bunch of deluded little sun tanned, loafer wearing mummy's boys I've ever had the misfortune of having to listen to" (Burnley forum) |
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| blackheatheagle Beckenham 27 Feb 19 8.19am |
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Originally posted by Tom-the-eagle
Who exactly is offering those odds? can you provide a link please? I cant see anyone offering 1/125 to a team only six points above relegation. That said, I think we are well placed to stay up but I would be happy to put a grand down at 1/125. I have checked and see Skybet is offering 1/80. I guess what makes difference is that there are 3 teams between who has a bad run and Palace has a good run.
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| peterg Anerley 27 Feb 19 10.32am |
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With just two points in last six matches, Brighton have worst total in all four divisions. However I think Cardiff have collapsed, and they have a very difficult run-in - so sadly Brighton likely to escape at Cardiff's expense. Brighton home to Cardiff soon - a massive match!
The right place at the right time |
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| Rudi Hedman Caterham 27 Feb 19 10.59am |
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Originally posted by YT
We seem to be confusing betting on Palace to go down (which will be long odds) and betting on Palace to stay up (which will be odds-on). If one is convinced we will stay up, the answer is to place a 'lay' bet on us to go down. Lay £8, then if we stay up, you win £8 without having to 'lend' a thousand pounds to a bookmaker until the end of the season. 1. If you lay on an exchange then the liability of a grand you have to have in your account is tied up until the bet (lay) is settled. 2. The difference between laying and betting (backing) on the other outcome is essentially the same thing and exchanges are so efficient that there’s often no difference or very little in it. You can make slightly more using an exchange but you have to subtract the commission and make sure. It also has to have the back price higher than the bookie price, rather than the bookie price hovering between the back and lay price. There also has to be the liquidity (enough punters’ £’s available to match).
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| Rudi Hedman Caterham 27 Feb 19 11.01am |
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Originally posted by peterg
With just two points in last six matches, Brighton have worst total in all four divisions. However I think Cardiff have collapsed, and they have a very difficult run-in - so sadly Brighton likely to escape at Cardiff's expense. Brighton home to Cardiff soon - a massive match! I’m waiting to begin a Brighton relegation party thread for as soon as they lose to a Cardiff or Southampton. Their fixture list would make me very concerned.
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| YT Oxford 27 Feb 19 11.07am |
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Originally posted by Rudi Hedman
1. If you lay on an exchange then the liability of a grand you have to have in your account is tied up until the bet (lay) is settled. 2. The difference between laying and betting (backing) on the other outcome is essentially the same thing and exchanges are so efficient that there’s often no difference or very little in it. You can make slightly more using an exchange but you have to subtract the commission and make sure. It also has to have the back price higher than the bookie price, rather than the bookie price hovering between the back and lay price. There also has to be the liquidity (enough punters’ £’s available to match). All correct, Rudi. All I was trying to do was point out to the earlier poster that there is an alternative to handing your cash to a bookie for 3 months. I accept that laying on an exchange puts the money equally out of your reach, but it is still technically in 'your' hands. Also the exchange bet can be closed out should the odds move. Edited by YT (27 Feb 2019 11.08am)
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| Fatherken 27 Feb 19 11.19am |
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Papers are saying that Newcastle are now safe , who have one point more than us . Does this mean if we get a draw or better tonight then we are safe ?
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| topcat Holmesdale / Surbiton 27 Feb 19 11.28am |
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Originally posted by Fatherken
Papers are saying that Newcastle are now safe , who have one point more than us . Does this mean if we get a draw or better tonight then we are safe ? They should be feeling confident but they are still (at least) two wins away from being safe. I could see them not winning in March which would drag them back into it again.
It's 106 miles to Chicago, we got a full tank of gas, half a pack of cigarettes, it's dark... and we're wearing sunglasses. |
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