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April 19 2024 10.42pm

The Election Thread

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deleted user Flag 17 Nov 19 2.36pm

Originally posted by serial thriller

People complain that politicians don't stick to their principles. Corbyn on freedom of movement is doing just that. You can agree or disagree, but he is at least being transparent.

The Tories have tried to play the immigration card for years and in reality done little to achieve the targets they espouse.

As for this election, there is something very interesting and unreported happening in the polls. Predicted turnout for young people is being seriously underestimated, with most pollsters suggesting it will be lower than 2017. Why? This generation is more politicised than many previous ones, with climate change, tuition fees and brexit. It looks like the mistakes of 2017 are being repeated, I think this election will be lot closer than many think.

I agree that the lip service by the conservatives paid to reducing immigration, may not materialise. I long suspected that if EU immigration numbers came down, the floodgates would be opened to non EU. In effect that has already happened, and so one could argue that doesn't bode well no matter what is offered by way of promises or manifesto pledges now.

The trouble is that even with this in mind, if someone is shall we say anti immigration, or wants a limit on numbers, they are very limited in terms of where they can lend their vote to. This all factors into the referendum result and indeed the popularity of the ever present Nigel Farage. It was the idea that there was no other way to express a particular view. Non that I'm saying if someone holds the opposite view it's invalid in some way, just that where it's not possible for parts of the population to be heard, eventually their view will find a way to bubble to the surface anyway.

If the EU had been more open to reason, say a cap on immigration numbers in any given year, we likely wouldn't be in this position to begin with.


Edited by dollardays (17 Nov 2019 2.39pm)

 

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View serial thriller's Profile serial thriller Flag The Promised Land 17 Nov 19 2.49pm Send a Private Message to serial thriller Add serial thriller as a friend

Originally posted by Willo

At the last election Labour put out a message of abolishing student debt then retracted under scrutiny and said it wasn't a promise at all.

Whereas under the Tories, people like me (25) signed up to loans which we were told wouldn't change. Since then, the interest rates have gone up, the rate at which you have to pay it back has increased, and serious consideration is being given to privatizing them which will lead to further increases.

And as we speak, the cheap private contractor cladding is going up in flames at a university in Bolton. Money well spent!

 


If punk ever happened I'd be preaching the law, instead of listenin to Lydon lecture BBC4

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deleted user Flag 17 Nov 19 2.58pm

Originally posted by serial thriller

Whereas under the Tories, people like me (25) signed up to loans which we were told wouldn't change. Since then, the interest rates have gone up, the rate at which you have to pay it back has increased, and serious consideration is being given to privatizing them which will lead to further increases.

And as we speak, the cheap private contractor cladding is going up in flames at a university in Bolton. Money well spent!

Young people get shafted each election. It's a demographics issue really with parties calculating who to pander to. It's hard to do much about that, other than getting out and voting in greater numbers. But if people don't feel represented, or that at that age they're less politically engaged, the situation is unlikely to change. A lot of voting comes down to self interest and if you're not in a voting block that has influence, you can become something of a bystander.

 

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View Willo's Profile Willo Flag South coast - west of Brighton. 17 Nov 19 3.00pm Send a Private Message to Willo Add Willo as a friend

Originally posted by serial thriller

Whereas under the Tories, people like me (25) signed up to loans which we were told wouldn't change. Since then, the interest rates have gone up, the rate at which you have to pay it back has increased, and serious consideration is being given to privatizing them which will lead to further increases.

And as we speak, the cheap private contractor cladding is going up in flames at a university in Bolton. Money well spent!

Who provided the commitment that the loan rate would not increase - the loan providers ?
Furthermore interest rates have been low for many a year.
Apropos "Further increases" look no further than the Labour party with their tax increases and astronomical borrowing plans which would bankrupt this country.

I understand that to some, "Privitisation" is anathema to them and of course to those who are of this opinion one can expect negativities.

 

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View serial thriller's Profile serial thriller Flag The Promised Land 17 Nov 19 3.05pm Send a Private Message to serial thriller Add serial thriller as a friend

Originally posted by dollardays

Young people get shafted each election. It's a demographics issue really with parties calculating who to pander to. It's hard to do much about that, other than getting out and voting in greater numbers. But if people don't feel represented, or that at that age they're less politically engaged, the situation is unlikely to change. A lot of voting comes down to self interest and if you're not in a voting block that has influence, you can become something of a bystander.

This is what baffles me about the polling thing I raised. In the last 2 weeks over a million 18-24 year olds have newly registered to vote; this is in the wake of the enormous youth climate protests which saw numbers of youths on the streets like no time in our memory. And voter turnout of that age group has been steadily on the rise for the last two or three elections.

So again, it makes me question why they predict it will be so low at this one? It seems they haven't learnt their lessons from the referendum/trump/2017 regarding weighting.

 


If punk ever happened I'd be preaching the law, instead of listenin to Lydon lecture BBC4

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View serial thriller's Profile serial thriller Flag The Promised Land 17 Nov 19 3.08pm Send a Private Message to serial thriller Add serial thriller as a friend

This is what I'm on about btw. But Kantar aren't the only ones...

 


If punk ever happened I'd be preaching the law, instead of listenin to Lydon lecture BBC4

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View steeleye20's Profile steeleye20 Flag Croydon 17 Nov 19 3.11pm Send a Private Message to steeleye20 Add steeleye20 as a friend

The tories have had their 10 years and frankly, they have been a disaster.

If they stumble through this election it still looks a collection of out-dated redundant ideas.

As for austerity, they really should have read their Keynes, an economy must always have stimulus.

Perhaps they think a public library is communism.

 

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deleted user Flag 17 Nov 19 3.14pm

Originally posted by serial thriller

This is what baffles me about the polling thing I raised. In the last 2 weeks over a million 18-24 year olds have newly registered to vote; this is in the wake of the enormous youth climate protests which saw numbers of youths on the streets like no time in our memory. And voter turnout of that age group has been steadily on the rise for the last two or three elections.

So again, it makes me question why they predict it will be so low at this one? It seems they haven't learnt their lessons from the referendum/trump/2017 regarding weighting.


As a voting block it does tend to be the least engaged, and for all kind of reasons that I don't think need to be a criticism of young people, I can appreciate that. So you're never going to get those barely out of their teens voting to the same level as pensioners.

Polls and predictions can always be off the mark though, and if as you say 'in the last 2 weeks over a million 18-24 year olds have newly registered to vote' I would certainly assume that they intend to vote, so it could move the needle a little. There are bound to be some surprises and interesting stats to dig through after the election.

 

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View chris123's Profile chris123 Flag hove actually 17 Nov 19 3.20pm Send a Private Message to chris123 Add chris123 as a friend

Originally posted by Willo

Who provided the commitment that the loan rate would not increase - the loan providers ?
Furthermore interest rates have been low for many a year.
Apropos "Further increases" look no further than the Labour party with their tax increases and astronomical borrowing plans which would bankrupt this country.

I understand that to some, "Privitisation" is anathema to them and of course to those who are of this opinion one can expect negativities.

The Student Loan Company administer the loan book, but some of the older loans were sold off years ago.

 

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View cryrst's Profile cryrst Flag The garden of England 17 Nov 19 3.25pm Send a Private Message to cryrst Add cryrst as a friend

Originally posted by steeleye20

You will not get NHS treatment free anywhere.

It was about £250 to start with, not sure now, the proposal is to remove the first tier only to encourage better dental health which is very necessary.

I don't think that will cost very much.

Remember most of us pay for the NHS through taxation.

The cost, if true from W, of 450 millions, would only buy you a few feet of HS2 railway track.




Basic dental visit is about 60
You pay incrementally on that so on the first visit as a checkup and fillings you pay 22
Then if you go back for a clean you pay the rest.
6 monthly seems too soon so annually it's a quid a week.
Not really a bundle when that's how you look at it.

 

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View Badger11's Profile Badger11 Flag Beckenham 17 Nov 19 3.30pm Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Originally posted by serial thriller

Whereas under the Tories, people like me (25) signed up to loans which we were told wouldn't change. Since then, the interest rates have gone up, the rate at which you have to pay it back has increased, and serious consideration is being given to privatizing them which will lead to further increases.

And as we speak, the cheap private contractor cladding is going up in flames at a university in Bolton. Money well spent!

Isn't that a Labour council? It's local issue so surely down to them?

 


One more point

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Deleted11 17 Nov 19 3.30pm

Originally posted by Willo

Who provided the commitment that the loan rate would not increase - the loan providers ?
Furthermore interest rates have been low for many a year.
Apropos "Further increases" look no further than the Labour party with their tax increases and astronomical borrowing plans which would bankrupt this country.

I understand that to some, "Privitisation" is anathema to them and of course to those who are of this opinion one can expect negativities.

Well said.

For a pleb like me, i have only seen the govnt debt rise. Do the Conservatives have a target on what the debt should be reduced to?

 

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