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April 19 2024 12.07am

Ukraine Situation - Should We Be Worried?

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards View Hrolf The Ganger's Profile Hrolf The Ganger Flag 24 Feb 23 1.39pm Send a Private Message to Hrolf The Ganger Add Hrolf The Ganger as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

No he won't.....and I highly doubt he wants all of the Ukraine in Russia anyway.....he wants the east and south.

Holding the west of Ukraine would require an occupation by his army. Whereas in the east and south there is considerable Russian support enough to run the place.

Even though I'm furious about the policies that led to this war from here it is obvious what happens after a peace agreement.

Once a negotiated settlement is made, Nato can rearm and create its defences in eastern Europe.

China and India and the middle east wouldn't support an extended war into eastern Europe unless Russia was attacked. They all want it limited to Ukraine because of the risk of nuclear war.

Russia needs those BRICs partners and no one wants WW3 because no one wins.

Edited by Stirlingsays (24 Feb 2023 1.27pm)

I know you feel strongly about this Stirls, but I just can't see how you can negotiate with a man who is currently murdering thousands of civilians, or what you could negoitate with.

You want to allow Putin to benefit form this barbarism?

We can't give away parts of Ukraine. It's not ours to give. The Ukranians will fight until they are incapable. If we do not support them, what does that say to Poland and all the other former Soviet countries? What does it say about Europe's security?

 

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 24 Feb 23 2.11pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

I know you feel strongly about this Stirls, but I just can't see how you can negotiate with a man who is currently murdering thousands of civilians, or what you could negoitate with.

You want to allow Putin to benefit form this barbarism?

Poland is in Nato. Putin knows attacking a Nato country is WW3. He will only do it if Russia is attacked by them.

That's WW3, which is why Poland are confident enough to be so bellicose over Russia......In a negotiated settlement Poland know that their forces will be in western Ukraine anyway.

I'm with Farage who was shouting about Nato expansion eastwards decades ago. In fact this war was predicted long long ago and all this 'it doesn't make sense' and 'Putin is a madman' is coming from those who don't want you looking into it.

I feel strongly because I can see that the wrong policies have been pursued and my standard of living is now lower because of it.

I support fighting winnable wars. Not getting involved in wars that require a death struggle to win and weren't necessary in the first place.

As for barbarism, from the video I've seen from this war that's just as true on the Ukrainian side as the Russian.....I've seen truly disgusting inhuman things.

The slavs are brutal.


Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

We can't give away parts of Ukraine. It's not ours to give. The Ukranians will fight until they are incapable. If we do not support them, what does that say to Poland and all the other former Soviet countries? What does it say about Europe's security?


Well, my position is essentially Orban's (who for someone who is meant to be scared of Russia isn't acting like that one bit....and frankly because he knows it won't happen)

I have no issues with Ukrainian patriots fighting the Russians, just as I have no problems with pro Russian Ukrainians fighting pro western Ukrainians....which is what happened in the 2014 civil war.

We just differ about it being our business...I would have provided humanitarian aid and re-enforced Nato countries....again, Orban's position....I supported the Ukrainians at the start of this war....if you go back to the start of the thread you can read me backing them. However, the more I looked into it and and the more I realised what this war meant.....I realised that it had to be dropped as soon as possible.

But that didn't happen.

That's because the US state department and Europe have had their claws and noses in the Ukraine for decades......This war is a complete and utter feck up.

Edited by Stirlingsays (24 Feb 2023 2.19pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards View Hrolf The Ganger's Profile Hrolf The Ganger Flag 24 Feb 23 2.23pm Send a Private Message to Hrolf The Ganger Add Hrolf The Ganger as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays


Well, my position is essentially Orban's (who for someone who is meant to be scared of Russia isn't acting like that one bit....and frankly because he knows it won't happen)

I have no issues with Ukrainian patriots fighting the Russians, just as I have no problems with pro Russian Ukrainians fighting pro western Ukrainians....which is what happened in the 2014 civil war.

We just differ about it being our business...I would have provided humanitarian aid and re-enforced Nato countries....again, Orban's position....I supported the Ukrainians at the start of this war....if you go back to the start of the thread you can read me backing them. However, the more I looked into it and and the more I realised what this war meant.....I realised that it had to be dropped as soon as possible.

But that didn't happen.

That's because the US state department and Europe have had their claws and noses in the Ukraine for decades......This war is a complete and utter feck up.

Edited by Stirlingsays (24 Feb 2023 2.15pm)

We can only hope for peace as soon as possible.

As soon as Putin invaded, he changed the rules.
Now, the hawks will hold sway in Washington and Europe is as paranoid as Putin.

 

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 24 Feb 23 2.32pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

We can only hope for peace as soon as possible.

As soon as Putin invaded, he changed the rules.
Now, the hawks will hold sway in Washington and Europe is as paranoid as Putin.

The military industrial complex have done very well out of it.....though they know that's coming to an end as the Republicans will now look at the books.

The US strategy has been to blow up that pipeline along with Norway and then sell its energy resources to us.....So the US won the moment Russia invaded.

However, long term, the implications of creating a cold war will prove disastrous in my view.

The short and medium term losers are Europe and.....and well long term the Ukraine has been destroyed whatever happens.....Pride parades and trannies for them now.

We have gained nothing from this war....Just a lower standard of living.

Oh and now we will have criminal gangs....probably some Islamic ones, with military weapons for a very long time to come.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 24 Feb 23 2.36pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

We can only hope for peace as soon as possible.

As soon as Putin invaded, he changed the rules.
Now, the hawks will hold sway in Washington and Europe is as paranoid as Putin.

Anyway mate, I'm going to shut up moaning about it.

What will be, will be I suppose.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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View Eaglehamster's Profile Eaglehamster Flag Storrington 24 Feb 23 2.40pm Send a Private Message to Eaglehamster Add Eaglehamster as a friend

Nato expansion eastwards decades ago.

Or the voluntary joining of NATO for countries determined never to be ruled and brutalised by Russia again.

All in the phrasing.

 


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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 24 Feb 23 5.04pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Eaglehamster

Nato expansion eastwards decades ago.

Or the voluntary joining of NATO for countries determined never to be ruled and brutalised by Russia again.

All in the phrasing.

Or another way of saying it is farm out their security to the US nuclear pack.

NATO was meant for western powers, its remit has been significantly extended.....In my view putting NATO into border countries is expansionist and nuts....but hey, there you go.

Russia itself could have joined Nato twenty years ago, Putin was open to the idea.

This is a long and complicated story.....and Putin himself is critical of the USSR in eastern Europe.

Anyway I'm not going to get drawn into all this again.....People have decided where they stand in all this and god knows I've said where I stand.

I'll just comment on the battlefield stuff occasionally.

Edited by Stirlingsays (24 Feb 2023 5.06pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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View steeleye20's Profile steeleye20 Flag Croydon 24 Feb 23 5.31pm Send a Private Message to steeleye20 Add steeleye20 as a friend

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

We can only hope for peace as soon as possible.

As soon as Putin invaded, he changed the rules.
Now, the hawks will hold sway in Washington and Europe is as paranoid as Putin.

I understood something of their concerns.

But it went out of the window with what he did.

Not a sign of anything like a peace conference either.


 

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 24 Feb 23 6.20pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by steeleye20

I understood something of their concerns.

But it went out of the window with what he did.

Not a sign of anything like a peace conference either.


China just released a peace plan, which includes a ceasefire to start.

The US immediately rejected it.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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View steeleye20's Profile steeleye20 Flag Croydon 24 Feb 23 8.33pm Send a Private Message to steeleye20 Add steeleye20 as a friend

The Leopard tanks are arriving in the Ukraine.

There's another country that could use them.

Us.

 

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View YT's Profile YT Flag Oxford 24 Feb 23 8.50pm Send a Private Message to YT Add YT as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

China just released a peace plan, which includes a ceasefire to start.

The US immediately rejected it.

Your resolve of 5:04pm didn't last long

 


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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 24 Feb 23 10.09pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

No.

What will emerge from this war is that the policies that yourself have supported have cost us a huge amount both economically and militarily.

You seem to be living in a fantasy world about what is possible.

If you had bothered to look into this war over and above what the mainstream media and establishment have said (which has proven to be inaccurate time and time again) If you had done that then you'd realise that there isn't a way to force Putin out of Ukraine short of Nato...in other words, the US, fighting this war themselves.....combined arms.

You haven't read between the lines, I don't even think you are bothered enough to. For a landlord like you the damage from this short of going nuclear is of limited impact.....So your virtue signaling position needs to be seen in that light.

I'll say this to you again....once again. The only realistic way....other than the US/Europe fighting this war itself and WW3 is in destroying the Russian economy. Otherwise how do you stop the Russians fighting exactly? Errrr....ever considered that....They aren't a democracy and they produce far more ammo and men willing to fight than we can here.....And Ukraine has largely burnt through its professional army now.

The latest stats from Russia suggest an economy contraction of around 2 percent.....I have no pleasure in saying it but that's this war lost right there fella. It needed to be over twenty percent, not sodding two.

Not only did I recognise that all this would do was push Russia into the arms of China and create a cold war but I also realised that enough anti US/west feeling existed (for various reasons) that this would only strengthen BRICs.

All I can say is well done at another complete and utter feck up.....Compare this to your support for lockdowns and it can be noted that you are very happy for other people's money to be spent and lost forever.

I said back at the start that this was a weak position and a disaster that had to be ended in negotiation as soon as possible.....but you called that appeasement and now hundreds of thousands of people are dead when it could have ended in March/April. Anyone taking the opposite of your positions on anything is almost guaranteed to have better policies.

It's so easy for those not having to fight themselves to talk tough. Like I said back then, don't fight a war that you yourself aren't prepared to die in.

This was not the war.....but it certainly became it, because of midwit group think.


Edited by Stirlingsays (24 Feb 2023 1.14pm)

I have no interest in pulling apart all the views of someone whose central plank from the outset has been the appeasement of a brutal dictator.

You seem to see all of this solely in economic terms, yet in other threads you will happily bang on about Brexit being about much more than that.

What will emerge from this war is a lasting restraint of Putin's desire to reoccupy the former USSR countries. You don't think that is worth the cost. Other's disagree.

How and when it ends is unknown but inevitably will be some kind of fudged compromise in which each side can claim a victory. Who is leading both sides when that happens is also an unknown.

To compare this situation, in any way, with lockdowns is risible. As is to suggest my support for them was based on a lack of concern for other people's money, when the truth is it was a concern for other people's lives.

I too saw the estimate that the Russian economy had only taken a 2% hit. Putin made the claim in his speech on Tuesday. If it is as accurate as his other claims then anyone who believes it is a fool. What's true is the Russian economy has been bolstered by the increased value of gas and oil, but those windfall profits are ending and Putin has fractured trust, which won't easily be repaired. Other analyses suggest that the cracks are only now beginning to show and it's this year, rather than last, when the real impact of sanctions will bite and dissent will increase. Add to that the impact of body bags returning home, which is seen in Russia but not the west, and their future isn't all sunshine and roses.

We aren't fighting a war. We are helping a sovereign nation defend itself. Not only because it is morally right to do so but because, ultimately, it's also in our own interests.

The west has no interest at all in occupying an inch of Russian territory, or in determining how they govern themselves. They might encourage democratic thought and offer encouragement to those Russians who aspire to it, but direct action, never. I wish the west would find ways of ensuring that message reaches the ears of the Russian people by it being said in speeches which could not easily be censored by Russian media. We need to overcome the way the people there are indoctrinated.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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