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April 20 2024 1.40am

Bad recruitment

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View southnorwoodhill's Profile southnorwoodhill Flag 25 Mar 23 9.37am Send a Private Message to southnorwoodhill Add southnorwoodhill as a friend

Originally posted by PatrickA

Parish likes to surround himself with lots of Palace old boys at the club, including Bright, Freedman, McCarthy, Powell and Derry (formerly, although apparently still on the payroll).
Nothing wrong with this in itself as these are people he may well trust and who he believes have the club’s best interests at heart.
However, from a dispassionate standpoint are they the best qualified in their positions that could be hired from a professional standpoint?
We’ve used another former player James Scowcroft as a scout , mainly in France.
I can’t believe that best practice means only employing Palace old boys.
This extends to extolling the virtues of Roy because he’s a Croydon boy and a Palace fan as if this makes him a better manager.
As a matter of fact, he’s had a very solid career which means he’s qualified to do the job anyway so the local connection is incidental rather than the key reason for his recruitment.
I’m not sure the same could be said about some others employed.
Perhaps this seems harsh, but if we want to aspire to improve in scouting and across the board, we surely have to look outside the Palace network too.

Logically it follows that Palace will never win anything. Maybe a play-off or reach a cup final. Explains why Parish brought in FdB and PV, in the bold hope that their respective experience at a higher level would express itself on the field, but one needs a solid foundation first. One left back, two past it right backs,
two hopeless strikers, and a load of dead wood means that the struggle will continue for some time yet.


Edited by southnorwoodhill (25 Mar 2023 8.23pm)

 

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View Oxford Don's Profile Oxford Don Flag North West of SP 25 Mar 23 10.26am Send a Private Message to Oxford Don Add Oxford Don as a friend

What a really good thread this is turning out to be - thoughtful, intelligent and conducted in a relatively constructive manner. I've just re-read it from the beginning and now can't resist throwing in my own two penny worth!

I do think that canny recruitment is so central to any strategic plan for survival (or better) in the PL that we need to be looking at what makes others apparently better/more successful at it than we currently seem to be. Lots of good ideas/observations already made here but one that does seem to have slipped under the radar is something that both Brighton and Brentford (perhaps others?) use and that has helped both punch above their weight.

What both of those clubs seem to have recognised is that while having a good scouting network is a probably a given there is also another essential (more objective?) tool in the box: data analytics. It's probably no coincidence that the two Bs are both owned by men experienced in the world of professional gambling where data analytics is a key component in risk assessment. Nothing probably betters a good scouting network for identifying potential but data analytics provides assessment of the likelihood of that potential being realised. (It might possibly even be useful in assessing the potential of our academy players.)

If I'm right (more importantly, if they are right!) it won't take long before others cotton on so I just don't think we can afford not to start exploring its potential if we're not to be left far behind. Unfortunately it doesn't come cheap: Brighton's latest accounts reveal they paid a Data Analytics company £3mn for their services.

Finally, I'd have to say that I do have worries that our scouting network itself may not be up with the best and unless we get that sorted all the data analytics in the world won't count for a didley s***. I'd be interested in others' thoughts on that point.

 


You can't change the way things are but you can change the way you are with the way things are.

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View Zaha127's Profile Zaha127 Flag 25 Mar 23 10.59am Send a Private Message to Zaha127 Add Zaha127 as a friend

Honestly though a lot of the recruitment has been decent.

Andersen, Guehi, Olise, Eze have all been good signings. Doucoure has been immense the unsung hero in the Palace side

Ahamada needs more time but could turn out to be decent player. Richards will be a decent player in my opinion has not played much but when he has played Richards has been decent. Same with Hughes has not played much but I think if he was given a run in the side he would do well.

Edouard, Mateta have not really done much yet. Edouard should easily be getting 10+ goals every season considering he has players like Zaha, Olise and Eze around him.


Most of the signings in the past few years have been decent considering that Palace do not have the same finances as West Ham, Leicester, Villa. Wolves, Everton. Really Edouard and Mateta need to score more goals and they have not shined yet.

 

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View Painter's Profile Painter Flag Croydon 25 Mar 23 11.01am Send a Private Message to Painter Add Painter as a friend

Originally posted by Oxford Don

What a really good thread this is turning out to be - thoughtful, intelligent and conducted in a relatively constructive manner. I've just re-read it from the beginning and now can't resist throwing in my own two penny worth!

I do think that canny recruitment is so central to any strategic plan for survival (or better) in the PL that we need to be looking at what makes others apparently better/more successful at it than we currently seem to be. Lots of good ideas/observations already made here but one that does seem to have slipped under the radar is something that both Brighton and Brentford (perhaps others?) use and that has helped both punch above their weight.

What both of those clubs seem to have recognised is that while having a good scouting network is a probably a given there is also another essential (more objective?) tool in the box: data analytics. It's probably no coincidence that the two Bs are both owned by men experienced in the world of professional gambling where data analytics is a key component in risk assessment. Nothing probably betters a good scouting network for identifying potential but data analytics provides assessment of the likelihood of that potential being realised. (It might possibly even be useful in assessing the potential of our academy players.)

If I'm right (more importantly, if they are right!) it won't take long before others cotton on so I just don't think we can afford not to start exploring its potential if we're not to be left far behind. Unfortunately it doesn't come cheap: Brighton's latest accounts reveal they paid a Data Analytics company £3mn for their services.

Finally, I'd have to say that I do have worries that our scouting network itself may not be up with the best and unless we get that sorted all the data analytics in the world won't count for a didley s***. I'd be interested in others' thoughts on that point.

Your points on Brighton and Brentford are valid, but its taken them a longtime to reap the rewards, its not a quick fix. Palaces problem is they are already in the Premier and are try to change from buying older players and now investing in youth with the Academy. We are currently in our longest period in the top flight ever, so we must be doing something right, staying there is the prime objective until the Academy starts to deliver.
If your not backed by the wealth of an oil rich nation, you have to try something else, there is no easy answer.

 

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View PatrickA's Profile PatrickA Flag London 25 Mar 23 11.03am Send a Private Message to PatrickA Add PatrickA as a friend

Very good points.
The evidence suggests that this type of analysis produces good results in the main rather than just being a flavour of the month for this year.
I wonder whether for example Brentford or Brighton would e.g have purchased an injured player (Ferguson) or a player with a poor injury record (Richards).
Sometimes it appears we take a punt with a view to getting a bargain.
Even somebody like Sakho ,who intially was outstanding for us persuading us to buy him.
You look at his full past history with his disciplinary and fitness issues and ask what was the evidence that this would that change with Palace in future seasons.
Some would argue that's the only reason we could get a player of that quality, but is it a good enough reason when you look at the downsides with him rarely showing up after that initial good period.
It's not hindsight if the evidence pointed to this direction of travel when signing him.


Originally posted by Oxford Don

What a really good thread this is turning out to be - thoughtful, intelligent and conducted in a relatively constructive manner. I've just re-read it from the beginning and now can't resist throwing in my own two penny worth!

I do think that canny recruitment is so central to any strategic plan for survival (or better) in the PL that we need to be looking at what makes others apparently better/more successful at it than we currently seem to be. Lots of good ideas/observations already made here but one that does seem to have slipped under the radar is something that both Brighton and Brentford (perhaps others?) use and that has helped both punch above their weight.

What both of those clubs seem to have recognised is that while having a good scouting network is a probably a given there is also another essential (more objective?) tool in the box: data analytics. It's probably no coincidence that the two Bs are both owned by men experienced in the world of professional gambling where data analytics is a key component in risk assessment. Nothing probably betters a good scouting network for identifying potential but data analytics provides assessment of the likelihood of that potential being realised. (It might possibly even be useful in assessing the potential of our academy players.)

If I'm right (more importantly, if they are right!) it won't take long before others cotton on so I just don't think we can afford not to start exploring its potential if we're not to be left far behind. Unfortunately it doesn't come cheap: Brighton's latest accounts reveal they paid a Data Analytics company £3mn for their services.

Finally, I'd have to say that I do have worries that our scouting network itself may not be up with the best and unless we get that sorted all the data analytics in the world won't count for a didley s***. I'd be interested in others' thoughts on that point.

 

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View ASCPFC's Profile ASCPFC Flag Pro-Cathedral/caravan park 25 Mar 23 5.07pm Send a Private Message to ASCPFC Add ASCPFC as a friend

I would suggest that quite a few issues coming to light surely come down to having a pretty poor Director of Football.
Surely, recruiting is a major focus of DOF.
But also, if our coaching is poor, would that be noticed by a Director of Football?
I think we should look for an experienced Director of Football.

 


Red and Blue Army!

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View Oxford Don's Profile Oxford Don Flag North West of SP 25 Mar 23 5.22pm Send a Private Message to Oxford Don Add Oxford Don as a friend

Originally posted by PatrickA

Very good points.
The evidence suggests that this type of analysis produces good results in the main rather than just being a flavour of the month for this year.
I wonder whether for example Brentford or Brighton would e.g have purchased an injured player (Ferguson) or a player with a poor injury record (Richards).
Sometimes it appears we take a punt with a view to getting a bargain.
Even somebody like Sakho ,who intially was outstanding for us persuading us to buy him.
You look at his full past history with his disciplinary and fitness issues and ask what was the evidence that this would that change with Palace in future seasons.
Some would argue that's the only reason we could get a player of that quality, but is it a good enough reason when you look at the downsides with him rarely showing up after that initial good period.
It's not hindsight if the evidence pointed to this direction of travel when signing him.


I don't know for sure but your point regarding fitness and disciplinary records being a likely part of the analytics makes absolute sense Patrick. Anything that reduced the risk to the potential investment would make perfect sense with this type of approach - I have heard that Brighton even do research on potential signings' social media profiles to ensure the best chance of a fit with their existing group.

 


You can't change the way things are but you can change the way you are with the way things are.

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View Mwncisee's Profile Mwncisee Flag Middlesbrough 25 Mar 23 5.45pm Send a Private Message to Mwncisee Add Mwncisee as a friend

OK, going to play a bit of devil's advocate here and stick my head above the parapet (gets ready to duck).

Is our recruitment that bad?

In the last couple of years we have purchased Guehi, Andersen, Eze and Olise. I honestly think all of those players have been value for money.

I get everyone is looking at he likes of Brighton and Brentford and their recent success in recruitment which is notable I accept. It is interesting Brentford shut down their academy, are the resources that would otherwise have gone to that being used to fund their scouting and recruitment network. No possibility of `homegrown` local lads coming through the ranks there. how would the fanbase feel if we did not have an academy at all?

although Brighton and Brentford stand out at the moment, it is always the case that at different times different clubs seem to be in the ascendency with regards to recruitment. Not so long ago people were applauding the likes of Southampton for their ability to find players not to mention Swansea. Where are they now?

As much as there is a Brighton and Brentford there are also the clubs who have done a lot worse. Look at the likes of Everton! spent stupid amounts (Moise Keane, Sigurdsson) and news today they are being referred by the PL for breaking FFP.

 

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View Willo's Profile Willo Flag South coast - west of Brighton. 25 Mar 23 5.51pm Send a Private Message to Willo Add Willo as a friend

Originally posted by Mwncisee

OK, going to play a bit of devil's advocate here and stick my head above the parapet (gets ready to duck).

Is our recruitment that bad?

In the last couple of years we have purchased Guehi, Andersen, Eze and Olise. I honestly think all of those players have been value for money.

I get everyone is looking at he likes of Brighton and Brentford and their recent success in recruitment which is notable I accept. It is interesting Brentford shut down their academy, are the resources that would otherwise have gone to that being used to fund their scouting and recruitment network. No possibility of `homegrown` local lads coming through the ranks there. how would the fanbase feel if we did not have an academy at all?

although Brighton and Brentford stand out at the moment, it is always the case that at different times different clubs seem to be in the ascendency with regards to recruitment. Not so long ago people were applauding the likes of Southampton for their ability to find players not to mention Swansea. Where are they now?

As much as there is a Brighton and Brentford there are also the clubs who have done a lot worse. Look at the likes of Everton! spent stupid amounts (Moise Keane, Sigurdsson) and news today they are being referred by the PL for breaking FFP.

[Link]

 

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View CPFC Dartford's Profile CPFC Dartford Flag Dartford 26 Mar 23 9.51am Send a Private Message to CPFC Dartford Add CPFC Dartford as a friend

When we got promoted, it was out of the blue. It was based mainly on a combination of freebies, loans and youth. Even the players we did buy were absolute snips. Through an incredible team spirit the whole thing just came off and we gained promotion. However, we were like a fish out of water and somehow Pulis galvanised us and we managed to stay up against the odds for the first time in 20 years. There was never a structure or plan in place. Do you remember Holloway buying so many players that we bought too many and I think it was a French guy who never even made the squad and had to leave. Basically we did a Forest but on a fraction of the money. Teams like Brentford and Brighton had a structure and plan in place well before they finally made it into the Premier league.

Unfortunately running a club like that can only get you so far and I still actually think it’s a miracle we are where we are. Don’t you walk around Selhurst Park, trying to miss the buckets full of water from the leaking roof in the most modern stand, which is 30 years old now, and think how are we in the Premier league playing and in the main competing with great clubs week in week out. There is no other club like us, we are truly unique.

What I see this season is literally every club now spending fortunes and we simply can’t match that amount of expenditure. With shear fighting spirit and passion hopefully we will get through this season but until we start investing it will just get harder and harder to compete.

 

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View samprior's Profile samprior Flag Hamburg 26 Mar 23 10.43am Send a Private Message to samprior Add samprior as a friend

I'm actually fairly pleased with those we have recruited the last couple of years. The problem for me is that we simply haven't recruited enough. Can't really blame Dougie for that. The money he's had I think has been fairly well spent.

 

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View ambrose7's Profile ambrose7 Flag Croydon 26 Mar 23 11.36am Send a Private Message to ambrose7 Add ambrose7 as a friend

For me, the quality of the signings is okay. What we do with them once we own them is where we're awful. If you can't add value to your younger players, let your older ones go for free, and don't invest in the stadium to bring your revenue up to the levels of the teams you're competing with, it's a mathematical matter of time until you're completely f***ed.

1) We haven't added much value to the younger players. AWB is our only bolter. Olise is worth more than we bought him for, but purely because we got him so cheap because of that contract clause. Guehi was worth more than we bought him for by the September of his first season.

Versus the end of last season, are any of Mitchell, Guehi, Eze, Olise, Plange, Ebiowei, Ferguson etc. etc. worth any more today? Rak Sakyi and Phillips are probably the only two, and they were starting at basically zero and are now not much above a couple of mill maximum.

2) We manage the 27-31 year olds horribly. It seems that once you reach the age of 27 at Palace, we'll keep you until you're barely good enough to hold a spot on the bench any more and then let you go for free.

Van Aanholt, Sakho, Kouyate, Townsend, McCarthy, Dann, Meyer, Puncheon, Sako, Wickham, Cabaye, Chung Yong-Lee, Benteke-ish. Soon to be Luka, Ward, Tomkins, Schlupp, Clyne, Ayew, Zaha...


Edited by ambrose7 (26 Mar 2023 11.37am)

 


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