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BlueJay Flag UK 16 Oct 20 4.18pm

Originally posted by Rudi Hedman

So blinking obvious from those national maps of the north vs south it’s students, latter part of virus lifespan and of course behaviour. Doubt we’ll ever know which half of England was made with more worse by the lockdown.

Certainly a lot of students, but students, regardless of what they're told leave their halls of res and will spread the virus around cities just like anyone else. So while it's inevitable it would spread to students in higher numbers when they went back to uni, it now becomes inevitable that they will spread it around the rest of the community.

While from what I've read the virus has already worked its way around about half of old folks homes, there are clearly still millions of elderly and vulnerable people at increases risk over the coming months and so this map and common sense behaviour can be helpful in having an awareness of what is going on in their local area.


 

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View Rudi Hedman's Profile Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 16 Oct 20 4.38pm Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay

Yes, situations like multi generation households, kids going back to school, the psychological impact of loneliness on adherence to measures, all make the idea of shielding for an extensive period of time easier in theory than reality. There should've been more resources poured into finding solutions in this area and getting it right for those who are most at risk and in need of keeping a low profile.

Treatments have already improved, hence outcomes too, and an effective vaccine would really give those in need all of the tools they're ever likely to have to be able to get back to normal life. But even then we're just hoping that those most vulnerable, have the means, fortitude and good sense to make the right choices for a little longer.

An elderly friend my mine, late 70s, has numerous long standing chest issues and on top of that is essentially an anti vaxxer (flu and any future covid vaccine). She's going on a 30 person organised bus trip next week (is that even legal?). We all make our choices and I hope she realises the magnitude of hers because in all likelihood there's a decent chance she won't be here this time next year.

Agree with you apart from the vaccine won’t be a little longer. Yes I’ve saying shielding would need to go on for longer until the virus subsides before a vaccine ever arrives.

I saw some tweets that we could’ve given people who truly need to shield £60,000 and left everything else untouched. No TTI or anything else.

That coach will get stopped. I guarantee it. The people on it will have different reasons and different opinions if they get it and different opinions of young people carrying on as normal, as they might already have. Up to them but I expect they’ll mix with other oldies.

 


COYP

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View Rudi Hedman's Profile Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 16 Oct 20 5.13pm Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay

Certainly a lot of students, but students, regardless of what they're told leave their halls of res and will spread the virus around cities just like anyone else. So while it's inevitable it would spread to students in higher numbers when they went back to uni, it now becomes inevitable that they will spread it around the rest of the community.

While from what I've read the virus has already worked its way around about half of old folks homes, there are clearly still millions of elderly and vulnerable people at increases risk over the coming months and so this map and common sense behaviour can be helpful in having an awareness of what is going on in their local area.


Then the sensible strategy is to get the vulnerable isolated in those areas until it’s no longer ‘spreading’, if it even is, as you claim.

But we go round in circles with either denial or slight acceptance & immunity via an illusion of restrictions.

We don’t learn. Now the collateral damage mounts up.

 


COYP

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View Rudi Hedman's Profile Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 16 Oct 20 5.16pm Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

 


COYP

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View Rudi Hedman's Profile Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 16 Oct 20 6.49pm Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Get more testers there

 


COYP

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View Tim Gypsy Hill '64's Profile Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Flag Stoke sub normal 16 Oct 20 9.17pm Send a Private Message to Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Add Tim Gypsy Hill '64 as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay

Yes, situations like multi generation households, kids going back to school, the psychological impact of loneliness on adherence to measures, all make the idea of shielding for an extensive period of time easier in theory than reality. There should've been more resources poured into finding solutions in this area and getting it right for those who are most at risk and in need of keeping a low profile.

Treatments have already improved, hence outcomes too, and an effective vaccine would really give those in need all of the tools they're ever likely to have to be able to get back to normal life. But even then we're just hoping that those most vulnerable, have the means, fortitude and good sense to make the right choices for a little longer.

An elderly friend my mine, late 70s, has numerous long standing chest issues and on top of that is essentially an anti vaxxer (flu and any future covid vaccine). She's going on a 30 person organised bus trip next week (is that even legal?). We all make our choices and I hope she realises the magnitude of hers because in all likelihood there's a decent chance she won't be here this time next year.


She's near the end of her life. I imagine she is going with similar aged people. Maybe they want some fun before they die. I mean, she could stay home and watch tv. On her own. Nobody to talk to. Nothing to laugh about. No reminiscing of "the good ol' days". No fun. Just watch tv and die lonely.

f*** that!

 


Systematically dragged down by the lawmakers

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View Tim Gypsy Hill '64's Profile Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Flag Stoke sub normal 16 Oct 20 9.42pm Send a Private Message to Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Add Tim Gypsy Hill '64 as a friend

How many excess deaths are occuring at this time? I can't seem to find the data. If the so called "Second Wave" is happening, why have I not heard the numbers of excess death? That was the 'go to' "proof" of how deadly this virus is. Why not report it now? Hmmmm....

 


Systematically dragged down by the lawmakers

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 16 Oct 20 10.27pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Tim Gypsy Hill '64

How many excess deaths are occuring at this time? I can't seem to find the data. If the so called "Second Wave" is happening, why have I not heard the numbers of excess death? That was the 'go to' "proof" of how deadly this virus is. Why not report it now? Hmmmm....

I guess that's because the deaths haven't yet happened. There is obviously a time lag between infection and death. What the impact of the greater understanding and more effective treatments will be on the number of deaths I don't think is known yet either.

What is known is the infection rate increasing and that's enough.

Edited by Wisbech Eagle (16 Oct 2020 10.28pm)

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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View Rudi Hedman's Profile Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 16 Oct 20 10.51pm Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by Tim Gypsy Hill '64

How many excess deaths are occuring at this time? I can't seem to find the data. If the so called "Second Wave" is happening, why have I not heard the numbers of excess death? That was the 'go to' "proof" of how deadly this virus is. Why not report it now? Hmmmm....

I saw a WHO world chart earlier and in 2020 you can’t see many flu deaths compared to plenty in the same weeks in 2019. Found it.

5D3E96EF-2000-47F2-BD59-2EADA3606250.jpeg Attachment: 5D3E96EF-2000-47F2-BD59-2EADA3606250.jpeg (119.81Kb)

 


COYP

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BlueJay Flag UK 16 Oct 20 11.08pm

Originally posted by Tim Gypsy Hill '64

She's near the end of her life. I imagine she is going with similar aged people. Maybe they want some fun before they die. I mean, she could stay home and watch tv. On her own. Nobody to talk to. Nothing to laugh about. No reminiscing of "the good ol' days". No fun. Just watch tv and die lonely.

f*** that!

I certainly appreciate that there is nothing wrong with a lust for life, but while covid is water off a ducks back for many demographics, due to her age and chest issues she may be more in the crosshair than most. That's fine if people understand their elevated risk, but it's easy to see it all as a bit abstract and something than happens to 'other people'. Yes, they're mostly her age range, and so it will likely be a bit all or nothing (a non event if nobody has it, and likely a nightmare for multiple families if they're unfortunate enough that someone does).

If I said she wanted to have fun before she died so had decided to inject drugs with her mates, maybe we'd reach a conclusion that she was making a misstep . A slightly OTT example, but you get my point with regard to risk-reward. Sometimes a short term high comes at longer term cost and a few months wait for a vaccine (hopefully!) and living a less group based life for a little longer could be a good call. Life expectancy of an individual isn't the generic fixed figure from birth (82.9 for women) weighed down by young deaths. The average 77 year old has 11-12 whole years of life left, and I'd rather her hold onto a good few of those. Old timers often have a bit more life in them than they are given credit for. As you rightly say though ultimately it's up to her what she does, and it's just a concern for her really.

Edited by BlueJay (16 Oct 2020 11.09pm)

 

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View Mapletree's Profile Mapletree Flag Croydon 16 Oct 20 11.12pm Send a Private Message to Mapletree Add Mapletree as a friend

Originally posted by BlueJay

I certainly appreciate that there is nothing wrong with a lust for life, but while covid is water off a ducks back for many demographics, due to her age and chest issues she may be more in the crosshair than most. That's fine if people understand their elevated risk, but it's easy to see it all as a bit abstract and something than happens to 'other people'. Yes, they're mostly her age range, and so it will likely be a bit all or nothing (a non event if nobody has it, and likely a nightmare for multiple families if they're unfortunate enough that someone does).

If I said she wanted to have fun before she died so had decided to inject drugs with her mates, maybe we'd reach a conclusion that she was making a misstep . A slightly OTT example, but you get my point with regard to risk-reward. Sometimes a short term high comes at longer term cost and a few months wait for a vaccine (hopefully!) and living a less group based life for a little longer could be a good call. Life expectancy of an individual isn't the generic fixed figure from birth (82.9 for women) weighed down by young deaths. The average 77 year old has 11-12 whole years of life left, and I'd rather her hold onto a good few of those. Old timers often have a bit more life in them than they are given credit for. As you rightly say though ultimately it's up to her what she does, and it's just a concern for her really.

Edited by BlueJay (16 Oct 2020 11.09pm)

It’s fine if she wants to take risks with her own life

As long as she pays for her own intensive care and that given to others she infects.

 

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View Tim Gypsy Hill '64's Profile Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Flag Stoke sub normal 16 Oct 20 11.58pm Send a Private Message to Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Add Tim Gypsy Hill '64 as a friend

Originally posted by Mapletree

It’s fine if she wants to take risks with her own life

As long as she pays for her own intensive care and that given to others she infects.

She already paid. It's called National Insurance FFS! Brought in when she was younger. You want it for yourself, but want her to pay for it again. Pathetic!

 


Systematically dragged down by the lawmakers

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