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High immigration levels prevent 'cohesive society'

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nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 23 Feb 16 12.46pm

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

Yes I'm sure all those people who have seen their annual wage rises slashed and those who can't afford to buy their first house will find that hilarious.

Well done.

Oh the selling off of housing stock is down to immigrants now is it.

Fact: Since the great 'sell off' there are only 6% more homeowners than before.

 

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View Hrolf The Ganger's Profile Hrolf The Ganger Flag 23 Feb 16 12.53pm Send a Private Message to Hrolf The Ganger Add Hrolf The Ganger as a friend

Originally posted by nickgusset

Oh the selling off of housing stock is down to immigrants now is it.

Fact: Since the great 'sell off' there are only 6% more homeowners than before.

Do I have to bring out the cake analogy?

 

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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 23 Feb 16 1.02pm

Originally posted by nickgusset

Made me chuckle...

That's funny.

There must be a Heisenberg's Uncertainty Migrant joke.... Something about people being unable to determine if they're stealing jobs, or being lazy, until the Daily Mail reports it.

 


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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 23 Feb 16 1.05pm

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

Yes I'm sure all those people who have seen their annual wage rises slashed and those who can't afford to buy their first house will find that hilarious.

Well done.

I'd imagine that the idea of property as a source of investment and buy to let has a lot more to do with that than migrant workers. Especially given they tend to be in low income work, in areas where house prices are high.

That said, there are a lot of British landlords and 2nd home owners who would be f**ked by a large scale reduction in migrant workers.

 


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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 23 Feb 16 1.06pm

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

Do I have to bring out the cake analogy?

The cake is a lie?

 


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View Hrolf The Ganger's Profile Hrolf The Ganger Flag 23 Feb 16 1.15pm Send a Private Message to Hrolf The Ganger Add Hrolf The Ganger as a friend

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

I'd imagine that the idea of property as a source of investment and buy to let has a lot more to do with that than migrant workers. Especially given they tend to be in low income work, in areas where house prices are high.

That said, there are a lot of British landlords and 2nd home owners who would be f**ked by a large scale reduction in migrant workers.
........................................................
It is not an either or situation. Both factors have an impact. To suggest otherwise is defying the laws of physics.

Edited by Hrolf The Ganger (23 Feb 2016 1.16pm)

 

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View Hrolf The Ganger's Profile Hrolf The Ganger Flag 23 Feb 16 1.17pm Send a Private Message to Hrolf The Ganger Add Hrolf The Ganger as a friend

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

The cake is a lie?

You are not coming to my house for tea.

 

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nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 23 Feb 16 1.32pm

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

The cake is a lie?

Any excuse to show this again...

[Link]

 

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View Hrolf The Ganger's Profile Hrolf The Ganger Flag 23 Feb 16 2.09pm Send a Private Message to Hrolf The Ganger Add Hrolf The Ganger as a friend

Originally posted by nickgusset

Any excuse to show this again...

[Link]

Typical British politics.

Dismiss reasoned argument by making a joke.

Wait till they come for your cake comrade.

 

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View Ketteridge's Profile Ketteridge Flag Brighton 23 Feb 16 2.45pm Send a Private Message to Ketteridge Add Ketteridge as a friend

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

I'd imagine that the idea of property as a source of investment and buy to let has a lot more to do with that than migrant workers. Especially given they tend to be in low income work, in areas where house prices are high.

That said, there are a lot of British landlords and 2nd home owners who would be f**ked by a large scale reduction in migrant workers.

This is a previous thread with a good conversation between myself and Penge eagle. on house prices and the effect of immigration. [Link]
My basic point is that between 2003-2013 2.3 million dwellings in England moved into the private rented sector, using ONS figures of average house hold size of 2.3 people per household that is space for 5.29million people. Adjusting the figure I used earlier to take it account all immigrants not just EU migrants, you end up with 2.5 million or 1.1 million dwellings, this is conservative as it likely that immigrants tend to live in larger households. So the demand from buy to rent is nearly five times that from immigrants.
The last five years have also seen the lowest levels of housing building since 1969-70, which was as far back as the official figures I was using went.

This is just a straight impact on the housing market and isn't about social or other economic benefits or costs of migration, but to blame immigration for high housing prices is wrong and misleading. Poor government planning and the buy to rent market fueled by low interest rates, high property and rental price inflation and housing benefit have had far more effect.

Edited by Ketteridge (23 Feb 2016 2.46pm)

 


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View Hrolf The Ganger's Profile Hrolf The Ganger Flag 23 Feb 16 3.43pm Send a Private Message to Hrolf The Ganger Add Hrolf The Ganger as a friend

Originally posted by Ketteridge

This is a previous thread with a good conversation between myself and Penge eagle. on house prices and the effect of immigration. [Link]
My basic point is that between 2003-2013 2.3 million dwellings in England moved into the private rented sector, using ONS figures of average house hold size of 2.3 people per household that is space for 5.29million people. Adjusting the figure I used earlier to take it account all immigrants not just EU migrants, you end up with 2.5 million or 1.1 million dwellings, this is conservative as it likely that immigrants tend to live in larger households. So the demand from buy to rent is nearly five times that from immigrants.
The last five years have also seen the lowest levels of housing building since 1969-70, which was as far back as the official figures I was using went.

This is just a straight impact on the housing market and isn't about social or other economic benefits or costs of migration, but to blame immigration for high housing prices is wrong and misleading. Poor government planning and the buy to rent market fueled by low interest rates, high property and rental price inflation and housing benefit have had far more effect.

Edited by Ketteridge (23 Feb 2016 2.46pm)

If you have a housing shortage and 350k net new people come here every year then that it has to make it worse year on year if insufficient houses are being built. I just don't know how anyone can seriously argue otherwise.

And no, I don't want us to keep building more and more houses and infrastructure to accommodate the influx. Britain is already too crowded. If you doubt it go to France and see the difference.

Edited by Hrolf The Ganger (23 Feb 2016 3.44pm)

 

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nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 23 Feb 16 3.56pm

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

If you have a housing shortage and 350k net new people come here every year then that it has to make it worse year on year if insufficient houses are being built. I just don't know how anyone can seriously argue otherwise.

And no, I don't want us to keep building more and more houses and infrastructure to accommodate the influx. Britain is already too crowded. If you doubt it go to France and see the difference.

Edited by Hrolf The Ganger (23 Feb 2016 3.44pm)


Atlee's government built 1 million houses between 1945 and 1950. 80% of which were council houses with subsidised rent (about 1/4 of the cost of privete rentals)

More than 1/3 of the council houses sold off through 'right to buy' are now owned by landlords with property protfolios. Hardly the land of home ownership! In fact home ownership is only 9% higher now than before 'right to buy'.

When Atlee's government were in power, 80% of Gov spending on housing was on capital investment (building and maintainance). By 2000 85% of Gov spending on housing went on the demand side, housing benefit of which around 45% of the £23 billion housing benefit bill goes to private landlords who have driven up rents year on year because of a housing shortage..

From 2009 to 2012, rents rose by 37%
Between 2001 and 2011 house prices rose by about 94%.
The housing benefit bill doubled in the 3 years between 2009 and 2012.

In 2013 there were 5 million people on housing waiting lists in the UK. For years there has been underinvestment in housebuilding. This is the cause of the current crisis in housing, although yes, immigration doesn't help but is not the reason for the shortfall.


Edited by nickgusset (23 Feb 2016 4.03pm)

 

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