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General Election 2017


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Stirlingsays Flag 19 May 17 9.33am

Originally posted by hedgehog50

Of course the state should provide essential services, education, welfare, and defence and law and order. But it should keep well away from everything else.
There is the myth that a government knows best, that a nation cannot flourish and prosper unless people conduct their lives in a manner laid down by the higher wisdom of a little group of people somewhere in the centre - the people can be trusted to decide nothing unless the government supplies the answer. Anyone else's decision or management, any other system but that of state control, is contemptuously dismissed as 'chaos'. The collective wisdom and the collective will of the country resides not in any little Whitehall clique, but in the whole mass of the people - in the producers, listening to their customers; in the savers and investors looking for the best opportunities; in consumers expressing their needs and choices in the market place. They drive and shape the economy, far more so than the hapless state 'planners'.

I kind of agree.

I suppose I want to better the state...I recognise that for all its faults it is incredibly important....The problem is that there are a lot of good people like yourself who throw their hands up in the air over a lot of the controversial stuff and give up on it.

A lot of talented people opt out....they play the elitist game.....private schools, private healthcare, looking to pay as low a tax as possible and so on....I'm generalising of course. But they lower the standard by removing themselves.

Ultimately they add to the problems of what they complain about and then implicitly say, 'nothing to do with me, it's that lot'. Yet when they need the state they take it....which as tax payers they are entitled to.

I probably agree with you on most of what you don't like about the state.

I just think we all need to pull together on essentially the only show in town.

Edited by Stirlingsays (19 May 2017 9.33am)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 19 May 17 9.40am

Originally posted by Y Ddraig Goch

You buy your house out of your income after it has been taxed plus pay stamp duty.

To say the state should take a persons estate when they die is ridiculous not least because people will make sure that they get rid of everything anyway.

Is this similar to what was in the Tory manifesto yesterday RE elderly care?

Changing the basis of inheritance tax has not actually been proposed by any of the parties. We're getting into the realms of what we believe is fair, which is interesting and worth discussing. My argument is that I don't think the current basis is fair for reasons previously outlined. Tax on taxed income is a thing. Companies pay corporation tax on profits which are generated from income earned from consumers who've already paid income tax on that income etc etc. The real question is what is fairest and most effective.

In terms of what is on offer on IHT in this election the Tories will carry on with plans to exempt property up to £1m and Labour are likely to reverse that and bring property back into the main nil rate pool (up to £650k). £650k is still a lot of money to receive tax free having not worked for it. The Tory policy takes money out of public services and puts it into the pockets of people with more than £1m in assets, assets they haven't earned themselves, but been given by relatives.

 

Y Ddraig Goch Flag In The Crowd 19 May 17 9.43am

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle

Lifetime gifts are already included within the scope of inheritance tax.

If you had actually read what I'd written you'd see that I had suggested a de minimis tax free amount for EACH recipient. I would suggest that lifetime gifts could easily be brought within the scope of what I have suggested in a similar way to the current application. (I believe it's a current de minimis of £3k per year per recipient).

So if you give someone a "birthday present" of £5k now and die tomorrow that present would be included in the value of your estate and be within the scope of IHT. So you're point is facile as your example is already within the scope.

I wasn't talking in terms of IHT, I was talking about your comment regarding (earned?)income.

I have no issue with IHT but 40% over the threshold is punitive, particularly when you live in London / South East.

 


the dignified don't even enter in the game

Stirlingsays Flag 19 May 17 9.43am

As an aside, imagine what it was like for me being a secondary school teacher who voted Ukip and leave.

On the Brexit vote, in my school 28 percent of the staff voted leave....and I regarded that as an unusually high percentage...If you are on the right or even in the centre you tend to find it helps to keep your mouth shut in the staffroom.

The school system...like most parts of the state is dominated by the left....Unfortunately the politics of it does affect it.

On the day of the vote very few vocal teachers imagined that leave would win. I knew one of them who didn't even vote he was so sure.

I came from a very different place to most of them and I knew in my gut that it was on a knife's edge.

Edited by Stirlingsays (19 May 2017 9.46am)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 19 May 17 9.46am

Originally posted by hedgehog50

Most of you on here just want more and more tax to be collected and more and more state involvement in more and more aspects of our lives. This is despite the long history of waste, inefficiency, failed schemes and general failure of most state endeavours. What we need is less and less taxation and less and less state involvement.

Sounds like you should go and live "off-grid". I understand there are a few places in the US that would offer such a lifestyle.

 

Y Ddraig Goch Flag In The Crowd 19 May 17 9.47am

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle

Is this similar to what was in the Tory manifesto yesterday RE elderly care?

Changing the basis of inheritance tax has not actually been proposed by any of the parties. We're getting into the realms of what we believe is fair, which is interesting and worth discussing. My argument is that I don't think the current basis is fair for reasons previously outlined. Tax on taxed income is a thing. Companies pay corporation tax on profits which are generated from income earned from consumers who've already paid income tax on that income etc etc. The real question is what is fairest and most effective.

In terms of what is on offer on IHT in this election the Tories will carry on with plans to exempt property up to £1m and Labour are likely to reverse that and bring property back into the main nil rate pool (up to £650k). £650k is still a lot of money to receive tax free having not worked for it. The Tory policy takes money out of public services and puts it into the pockets of people with more than £1m in assets, assets they haven't earned themselves, but been given by relatives.

It is quite a lot but depending on where you live, it ranges from being able to own a large house and land to a 3 bedroom semi in S Croydon! I am not sure regionalising it would or could work,

 


the dignified don't even enter in the game

CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 19 May 17 9.56am

Originally posted by Y Ddraig Goch

I wasn't talking in terms of IHT, I was talking about your comment regarding (earned?)income.

I have no issue with IHT but 40% over the threshold is punitive, particularly when you live in London / South East.

Sorry, should clarify. My points have only been in relation to inheritance when discussing earning vs unearned income. But gifts are already included.

 

CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 19 May 17 9.58am

Originally posted by Y Ddraig Goch

I wasn't talking in terms of IHT, I was talking about your comment regarding (earned?)income.

I have no issue with IHT but 40% over the threshold is punitive, particularly when you live in London / South East.

Currently, if a married couple dies and leaves their child their estate worth £1m the child would receive £860k so tax at an effective rate of 14%. hardly punitive.

 

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 19 May 17 11.31am

[Link]

Tories banning sky news reporters?.!

 

MalcomsFedora Flag Brockley 19 May 17 11.58am

Voting labour but only because it's against my interest to vote tory. I don't think labour can deliver on a lot if what they are saying I obviously hope they can.

 

hedgehog50 Flag Croydon 19 May 17 12.09pm

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle

Sounds like you should go and live "off-grid". I understand there are a few places in the US that would offer such a lifestyle.

Similarly, you could go off and live in Cuba.

 


We have now sunk to a depth at which the restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men. [Orwell]

hedgehog50 Flag Croydon 19 May 17 12.18pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

I kind of agree.

I suppose I want to better the state...I recognise that for all its faults it is incredibly important....The problem is that there are a lot of good people like yourself who throw their hands up in the air over a lot of the controversial stuff and give up on it.

A lot of talented people opt out....they play the elitist game.....private schools, private healthcare, looking to pay as low a tax as possible and so on....I'm generalising of course. But they lower the standard by removing themselves.

Ultimately they add to the problems of what they complain about and then implicitly say, 'nothing to do with me, it's that lot'. Yet when they need the state they take it....which as tax payers they are entitled to.

I probably agree with you on most of what you don't like about the state.

I just think we all need to pull together on essentially the only show in town.

Edited by Stirlingsays (19 May 2017 9.33am)

I think we mostly agree really, but I think any additional state intervention should be scrutinised very closely as it often does more harm than good. Also, all price caps, wage caps, interest rate fixing etc is all nonsense that distorts the market place - the very mechanism by which true rates would be arrived at.

Edited by hedgehog50 (19 May 2017 12.40pm)

 


We have now sunk to a depth at which the restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men. [Orwell]

Hansy Flag 19 May 17 1.43pm

Conservatives, increasing the Tax allowance by 2020, bringing immigration down; Smaller increase to the NHS.

Labour, largest spending for the NHS and Education; nationalise the Railways and Energy sectors.

Lib Dems, 1p tax increase ring fenced for the NHS; Second referendum on Brexit.

It is quite an interesting read for all three in all honesty. Conservatives very much positioning themselves as the party to guide us through the Brexit process, which will bring on those that voted in favour of UKIP in 2015. Labour targeting the young, whilst giving themselves the ‘Soft Brexit’ identity. And Lib Dems targeting anyone that voted against Brexit, by giving them another vote.

The above points from their manifesto, I did not want to mention any negative points. Conservatives have been labelled the ‘Hard Brexit’ party by all others mainly because they won’t confirm they will go for Single Market access and advising ‘No deal is better than a bad one’. They have a white paper in negotiations, this should be seen as a plus in my view. You cannot go into negotiations with points on our side already confirmed, the example being guaranteeing EU rights in the UK; yet the EU haven’t confirmed the right for the UK citizens living in the EU. In my opinion the Tories (I have been a Labour voter all my life in Streatham, having been blessed with an MP such as Chuka Umunna) are the best party to negotiate our deal. If we gain no deal, WTO guidelines advise that 1/3 of our exported products will continue to be Tariff free, with the Car exporting industry the highest % increase being 10%; As we know though Theresa May is coming to an agreement with the Car industry already in the UK. I live in Carshalton now, which has been a vastly Lib Dem area, but having voted in favour of Brexit; this could easily swing to being a Tory constituency.

Labour have promised a lot of things this time round. Huge boosts to the NHS and Education, whilst nationalising Railway and Energy companies. The NHS and Education I totally believe in, and something that should be in the forefront of every manifesto. The NHS and Education I believe are the backbone of our country, investing in the kids to get a good education and do well for themselves in the future, whilst guaranteeing lower wait times and medical attention. Nationalising the Railway and Energy companies, would be nice to see. Mainly to get it back in the hands of the Government having complete power over them. The big question, I will repeat the BIG question is how Labour will be able to fund all of these large spends? Increasing the tax rates for those earning above £80k and Corporation Tax will not be able to cover everything, this will mean the UK will need to borrow and take a hit on the Debt. One thing Labour believe in is the best way of getting out of trouble within the economy is to grow it, contrast to what the Tories believe in which is cutting spending. But with over 170 Labour MPs passing a vote of no confidence in Jeremy Corbyn JUST LAST YEAR, how can he be the best man for the job and why do they now suddenly support him?

Lib Dems utterly believe the Tories will win, and want to use this election just to gain some of the seats they lost in 2015. It’s a good strategy, but still a doomed one. They were hit the hardest from the coalition, which they can thank Nick Clegg for. Promises broken, power grabbing confirmed you have to feel sorry for those that have voted for the Lib Dems all their life.

I saw nickgusset’s comment regarding National Debt being the highest within a Tory government. That is true, but the reason why it is the highest was due to Labour’s mismanagement of the Country’s deficit leading up to 2010. Labour believe in spending and growing their way out of trouble, as I mentioned previously. With their manifesto, that cannot work. The Tories proved that they can cut spending, whilst keeping the economy growing. The reason why the overall debt increased in 2008-2012, was due to the funding the Government had to give during the financial crisis and the repercussions after. The below link shows how Labour and the Tories managed the deficit.

[Link]

 

steeleye20 Flag Croydon 19 May 17 2.02pm

Conservative manifesto: Lack of costings leave blanks to be filled in.

Tories are managers of the economy so why just not put it all on the slate like the last 7 years........

 

susmik Flag PLYMOUTH -But Made in Old Coulsdon... 19 May 17 2.19pm

Originally posted by nickgusset

[Link]

Tories banning sky news reporters?.!

Poor old SKY what a shame. I suppose it means we have less cr@p to watch in regard to the upcoming election.

 


Supported Palace for over 69 years since the age of 7 and have seen all the ups and downs and will probably see many more ups and downs before I go up to the big football club in the sky.

CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 19 May 17 2.42pm

Originally posted by Hansy

Conservatives, increasing the Tax allowance by 2020, bringing immigration down; Smaller increase to the NHS.

Labour, largest spending for the NHS and Education; nationalise the Railways and Energy sectors.

Lib Dems, 1p tax increase ring fenced for the NHS; Second referendum on Brexit.

It is quite an interesting read for all three in all honesty. Conservatives very much positioning themselves as the party to guide us through the Brexit process, which will bring on those that voted in favour of UKIP in 2015. Labour targeting the young, whilst giving themselves the ‘Soft Brexit’ identity. And Lib Dems targeting anyone that voted against Brexit, by giving them another vote.

The above points from their manifesto, I did not want to mention any negative points. Conservatives have been labelled the ‘Hard Brexit’ party by all others mainly because they won’t confirm they will go for Single Market access and advising ‘No deal is better than a bad one’. They have a white paper in negotiations, this should be seen as a plus in my view. You cannot go into negotiations with points on our side already confirmed, the example being guaranteeing EU rights in the UK; yet the EU haven’t confirmed the right for the UK citizens living in the EU. In my opinion the Tories (I have been a Labour voter all my life in Streatham, having been blessed with an MP such as Chuka Umunna) are the best party to negotiate our deal. If we gain no deal, WTO guidelines advise that 1/3 of our exported products will continue to be Tariff free, with the Car exporting industry the highest % increase being 10%; As we know though Theresa May is coming to an agreement with the Car industry already in the UK. I live in Carshalton now, which has been a vastly Lib Dem area, but having voted in favour of Brexit; this could easily swing to being a Tory constituency.

Labour have promised a lot of things this time round. Huge boosts to the NHS and Education, whilst nationalising Railway and Energy companies. The NHS and Education I totally believe in, and something that should be in the forefront of every manifesto. The NHS and Education I believe are the backbone of our country, investing in the kids to get a good education and do well for themselves in the future, whilst guaranteeing lower wait times and medical attention. Nationalising the Railway and Energy companies, would be nice to see. Mainly to get it back in the hands of the Government having complete power over them. The big question, I will repeat the BIG question is how Labour will be able to fund all of these large spends? Increasing the tax rates for those earning above £80k and Corporation Tax will not be able to cover everything, this will mean the UK will need to borrow and take a hit on the Debt. One thing Labour believe in is the best way of getting out of trouble within the economy is to grow it, contrast to what the Tories believe in which is cutting spending. But with over 170 Labour MPs passing a vote of no confidence in Jeremy Corbyn JUST LAST YEAR, how can he be the best man for the job and why do they now suddenly support him?

Lib Dems utterly believe the Tories will win, and want to use this election just to gain some of the seats they lost in 2015. It’s a good strategy, but still a doomed one. They were hit the hardest from the coalition, which they can thank Nick Clegg for. Promises broken, power grabbing confirmed you have to feel sorry for those that have voted for the Lib Dems all their life.

I saw nickgusset’s comment regarding National Debt being the highest within a Tory government. That is true, but the reason why it is the highest was due to Labour’s mismanagement of the Country’s deficit leading up to 2010. Labour believe in spending and growing their way out of trouble, as I mentioned previously. With their manifesto, that cannot work. The Tories proved that they can cut spending, whilst keeping the economy growing. The reason why the overall debt increased in 2008-2012, was due to the funding the Government had to give during the financial crisis and the repercussions after. The below link shows how Labour and the Tories managed the deficit.

[Link]

Nick's post was actually an article showing Tories have borrowed more on average over the last 70 years not just in the last parliament.

Also the debt growth in the past 8 years was first and foremost due to the GFC rather than fiscal mismanagement. It's continued to grow due to Tory mismanagement of the economy and damaging austerity. Using austerity in an economic depression only worsens the situation. The Tories cuts made it worse not better. The deficit has only gone back to pre-GFC levels this year and that's mainly due to increases in consumer spending funded by short term credit. Instead of cheap government borrowing and investment our economy has been built on costly and precarious private consumer credit.

On what do you base your assertions that fiscal stimulus in the shape of Labour's manifesto can't work? Genuinely interested. Debt is very cheap and People's QE also an option.

 

CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 19 May 17 2.46pm

Originally posted by hedgehog50

I think we mostly agree really, but I think any additional state intervention should be scrutinised very closely as it often does more harm than good. Also, all price caps, wage caps, interest rate fixing etc is all nonsense that distorts the market place - the very mechanism by which true rates would be arrived at.

Edited by hedgehog50 (19 May 2017 12.40pm)

This is an illegal act rather than government policy.

Financial markets and most markets in fact are inefficient and imperfect. Financial markets are extremely imperfect due to asymmetries of information, collusion and high barriers to entry.

 

Y Ddraig Goch Flag In The Crowd 19 May 17 2.52pm

Originally posted by Hansy

Lib Dems utterly believe the Tories will win, and want to use this election just to gain some of the seats they lost in 2015. It’s a good strategy, but still a doomed one. They were hit the hardest from the coalition, which they can thank Nick Clegg for. Promises broken, power grabbing confirmed you have to feel sorry for those that have voted for the Lib Dems all their life.

The university fees did undoubtedly bite them on the bum. However that aside, I am not sure that their current position on Europe is doing them any favours. That with Farron being Farron, means that they're not getting the bounce you'd perhaps expect.

You will still get people like me vote for them because of the local MP rather than any strategic benefit

 


the dignified don't even enter in the game

hedgehog50 Flag Croydon 19 May 17 2.58pm

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle

This is an illegal act rather than government policy.

Financial markets and most markets in fact are inefficient and imperfect. Financial markets are extremely imperfect due to asymmetries of information, collusion and high barriers to entry.

Of course markets are not perfect and totally efficient - but they are more efficient and less imperfect than government 'planning'.

Edited by hedgehog50 (19 May 2017 2.59pm)

 


We have now sunk to a depth at which the restatement of the obvious is the first duty of intelligent men. [Orwell]

Hansy Flag 19 May 17 3.21pm

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle On what do you base your assertions that fiscal stimulus in the shape of Labour's manifesto can't work? Genuinely interested. Debt is very cheap and People's QE also an option.

You can't put a value on the Railway or Energy companies as of yet, but include the additional NHS and Education funding, you are looking close to £100bn lets say. That is 1/7th of the UK's total direct revenue. How can this work, whilst attempting to bring the National Debt and Deficit down?


Originally posted by CambridgeEagle Nick's post was actually an article showing Tories have borrowed more on average over the last 70 years not just in the last parliament.

That is true, by a large margin. But they have also dropped the deficit considerably from over 100bn at the end of the last Labour government to around 17bn at present. In which there has been a 20% swing against the Tory government in National Debt.

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle Also the debt growth in the past 8 years was first and foremost due to the GFC rather than fiscal mismanagement. It's continued to grow due to Tory mismanagement of the economy and damaging austerity. Using austerity in an economic depression only worsens the situation. The Tories cuts made it worse not better. The deficit has only gone back to pre-GFC levels this year and that's mainly due to increases in consumer spending funded by short term credit. Instead of cheap government borrowing and investment our economy has been built on costly and precarious private consumer credit.

I did mention in that paragraph that the GFC was a factor in the increased National Debt. But can someone like Corbyn who has had to constantly change his Shadow cabinet and attempt to please his labour peers, please everyone for a whole term? He was only the Labour leader for a year before 3/4 of his own party turned on him. If someone like Chuka was more involved I would be more inclined to believe they could do a better job.

 

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