This page is no longer updated, and is the old forum. For new topics visit the New HOL forum.
Visit the current forum | Forum Rules
|
Originally posted by OknotOK
Corbyn's own ex-wife not voting for him doesn't exactly bode well for the judgement of those who know him best. Owen Smith has effectively admitted he has lost. Corbyn will probably walk away with a slightly reduced mandate but largely unchanged. And we'll have to play this game all the way to the next election, when either the entire media and polling organisations will be shown to have been completely wrong and Corbyn will win, or Labour will pick up 26%-28% of the vote and be effectively crushed. Edited by OknotOK (22 Sep 2016 12.28pm) Of course Of course his wife doesn't like him looking at the clothes she buys for him.
COYP |
|
| jamiemartin721 |
|
|---|---|
|
Originally posted by OknotOK
Corbyn's own ex-wife not voting for him doesn't exactly bode well for the judgement of those who know him best. Owen Smith has effectively admitted he has lost. Corbyn will probably walk away with a slightly reduced mandate but largely unchanged. And we'll have to play this game all the way to the next election, when either the entire media and polling organisations will be shown to have been completely wrong and Corbyn will win, or Labour will pick up 26%-28% of the vote and be effectively crushed. Edited by OknotOK (22 Sep 2016 12.28pm) Because women should be dutiful and have only the opinions and beliefs their husbands let them have? His mandate won't change. The mandate is established by winning the vote, not by the percentage. There is also something of an issue with how the Labour Party went about securing the exclusion of certain new member voters that should probably be investigated for corrupt practices. I suspect that when all is done and dusted, Labour won't win the general election, but that the vote won't be significantly worse than the last two elections. Whilst Labour might lose some ground to the liberal democrats, they could potentially pick up votes from UKIP and the Greens with a strong left wing candidate with a working class ticket.
"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug" |
|
|
Originally posted by jamiemartin721
Because women should be dutiful and have only the opinions and beliefs their husbands let them have? His mandate won't change. The mandate is established by winning the vote, not by the percentage. There is also something of an issue with how the Labour Party went about securing the exclusion of certain new member voters that should probably be investigated for corrupt practices. I suspect that when all is done and dusted, Labour won't win the general election, but that the vote won't be significantly worse than the last two elections. Whilst Labour might lose some ground to the liberal democrats, they could potentially pick up votes from UKIP and the Greens with a strong left wing candidate with a working class ticket. No because of the reasons she gave for not voting for him (and given she voted for him in the last leadership election) - that he had been poor as a leader to date and that his political views were translating poorly and looked out of date. If someone who cares for him and has admitted to still feeling loyalty towards him can't bring themselves to vote for him it doesn't look great for him. Honestly I am not sure what I believe in terms of the magnitude of the expected loss for Corbyn/Labour. Everything he stands for polls as popular but he personally polls very poorly and the party is polling in line. 28% of the vote, with no recovery in Scotland, and they'd lose another 30 seats. It would be a very poor result. Corbyn's affect on UKIP supporters depends upon your confidence in his ability to win the argument over the cause of their unease. UKIP managed to convince many voters that the source of much of their unhappiness with the status quo was the EU. Much better debaters than Corbyn failed to turn that argument around.
"It's almost like a moral decision. Except not really cos noone is going to find out," Jez, Peep Show |
|
|
Originally posted by matt_himself
Please can I say thank you to the Labour Party. Who you are electing as leader tomorrow guarantees a generation of, not always perfect but nonetheless, Tory government. Enjoy your 'circle jerk' on who is the most leftie of you, even though none of you canvassed for Labour at the last General Election. Possibly because at the last election the labour party was still somewhere to the right of the Lib-Dems? And I know how to circle strafe with the best of them (well, maybe I did 15 years ago when I still had fast twitch skills, anyway)
Well I think Simon's head is large; always involved in espionage. (Name that tune) |
|
| banbandanas |
|
|---|---|
|
Originally posted by nickgusset
Done. Finished. Jeremy is going to win. It's time for Owen Smith to dissappear back into obscurity and for Angela Eagle to remain there. Maybe we should remember what the polls said about his chances? Well. Jeremy will win. Again. I suggest that those calling for unity whether faux or real eat their words and stand together behind their democratically elected leader, the "unelectable" Jeremy Corbyn, or respectfully stand down and join a party that aligns with their personal choice of policies. After all, this new movement doesn't need anymore criticism from within if it is succeed and be an effective opposition, so, in short, put up or shut up. It's really that simple. I agree that Labour should now get on with it, just like the Remainers bemoaning Brexit should get on with it. The electorate too should get on with deciding whether they want to support a party whose likely next General Secretary will be Corbyn’s close friend, Andrew Murray. I guess he will have to join the Labour Party first though, as he is currently a member of the Communist Party of Britain. In 2015 he said “Communism still represents, in my view, a society worth working towards.”
|
|
|
Originally posted by nickgusset
Done. Finished. Jeremy is going to win. It's time for Owen Smith to dissappear back into obscurity and for Angela Eagle to remain there. Maybe we should remember what the polls said about his chances? Well. Jeremy will win. Again. I suggest that those calling for unity whether faux or real eat their words and stand together behind their democratically elected leader, the "unelectable" Jeremy Corbyn, or respectfully stand down and join a party that aligns with their personal choice of policies. After all, this new movement doesn't need anymore criticism from within if it is succeed and be an effective opposition, so, in short, put up or shut up. It's really that simple. Like Corbyn did? The arrogance of your post is breathtaking. And if you didn't hear criticism of moribund then you clearly weren't listening.
|
|
| banbandanas |
|
|---|---|
|
Originally posted by davidpercival
Yes, he has won again and with an increased majority despite over 100, 000 members being excluded form the votes, most of whom would probably have backed him. So far he has been fighting with one hand tied behind his back because the Blairite MPs have been plotting against him since he was first elected. They will not be happy now but they should at least accept that they have got to give him a fair chance. When the public actually get to understand his policies (on opposing grammar schools for example)the polls will improve. If we can mobilise the nearly 700,000 member4s we have got we will be able to give the Tories a run for their money. Surely the "Blairite MPS" will all be de-selected by their local party tribunals in the Great Purge that will now commence?
|
|
|
So Jeremy has won again.Nice. Meanwhile back in the real world..........
|
|
|
Originally posted by davidpercival
Yes, he has won again and with an increased majority despite over 100, 000 members being excluded form the votes, most of whom would probably have backed him. So far he has been fighting with one hand tied behind his back because the Blairite MPs have been plotting against him since he was first elected. They will not be happy now but they should at least accept that they have got to give him a fair chance. When the public actually get to understand his policies (on opposing grammar schools for example)the polls will improve. If we can mobilise the nearly 700,000 member4s we have got we will be able to give the Tories a run for their money. Not a snowflake in hades chance whilst Corbyn is leader. Labour are now further from power than any time in their history. Edited by Willo (24 Sep 2016 1.05pm)
|
|
|
Originally posted by banbandanas
Surely the "Blairite MPS" will all be de-selected by their local party tribunals in the Great Purge that will now commence? I don't think the likes of Tom Watson or Hilary Benn are 'Blairites'. They are part of a centre left tradition within the party.
"That was fun and to round off the day, I am off to steal a charity collection box and then desecrate a place of worship.” - Smokey, The Selhurst Arms, 26/02/02 |
|
| banbandanas |
|
|---|---|
|
Originally posted by matt_himself
I don't think the likes of Tom Watson or Hilary Benn are 'Blairites'. They are part of a centre left tradition within the party. I know, I agree with you Matt. I was just using the term used by DavidPercival, who lumped together all critics of Corbyn as 'Blairite'.
|
|
|
Originally posted by matt_himself
I don't think the likes of Tom Watson or Hilary Benn are 'Blairites'. They are part of a centre left tradition within the party. Spot on. Corbyn's (and Labour's) best chance might be to settle somewhere between Watson and Corbyn on the left. In theory, a hard left leadership, restrained by the PLP to a more moderate left position, could be an electoral winner. Or a disaster. Depends where another 3 and a half years of Tory rule puts us! More austerity and cuts plus wherever the economy is once Brexit really kicks in might send voters scurrying away from the Tories, especially if the 'kick the establishment' feeling continues. The question is, can Labour draw them in, or will UKIP, or even the Lib Dems, seem a more attractive proposition for those voters who sit firmly in the centre ground of the political spectrum?
|
|
| banbandanas |
|
|---|---|
|
Originally posted by Y Ddraig Goch
“increasing children’s involvement in Momentum and the labour movement by promoting political activity that is fun, engaging and child-friendly” I am surprised that a liberal thinker sees nothing to be concerned about Will the tiny trots be given top marxs?
|
|
All images and text on this site are copyright © 1999-2025 The Holmesdale Online, unless otherwise stated.
Web Design by Guntrisoft Ltd.