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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 27 Jan 20 12.10pm

Originally posted by cryrst

Opinions are not necessarily lies but could be

Opinions are always just opinions! Whether they are proved correct or not doesn't mean they are truth or lies.

Forecasts are not necessarily lies but could be


Forecasts are always just forecasts and when backed up with statistical data cannot be lies. (Unless the data itself is fake).

Guesses are not necessarily lies but could be.

Guesses are always just guesses. They might turn out to be right, just as your lottery numbers might be right, but them being wrong doesn't mean they were a "lie". They were just unlucky guesses.

We are all part of the above.


Which of the three would be a downright lie to be given no traction?
No media at all would be the truth.

None of that makes any sense.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Matov Flag 27 Jan 20 12.13pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle


The article wasn't about Ireland. It was written by a German about England and the English. It just happened to be published in an Irish newspaper.

So you aren't even shooting the messenger! You are attacking the wall on which the message is posted!

As the article made some interesting points, and expressed new ideas that make sense to me which seem to fit many of the attitudes to be found here, I thought that others would also find it thought provoking. Obviously not!

Which is all well and good but ultimately it was rubbish, displaying a shocking level of ignorance about history.

And I quote...

"The dismantling by the United States of the British empire, after its finest hour in 1940, was a traumatic blow to the psyche of two English generations, from which they have never recovered, largely because they have never recognised it."


WTF? Seriously? The Empire was allowed to effectively disintegrate because we were skint. World War 2 did that to us, on top of the cost of the first one and all because the Germans did not know how to play nicely. And ironically, wanted their own Empire.

Is there an unanswered question about the role of English nation-hood in the coming years? Undoubtedly. But this notion that a desire for Empire drove us to leave the warm embrace of the European Union is simply beyond belief.

We voted to leave it because, in the main, we are simply not willing to go any further with the European project. That we do not want European, or any others for that matter, politicians to have any kind of veto over what the UK might or might not do.

And the reality is that nations such as Scotland and Ireland are dependent on England. For its markets, for its institutions and a whole host of other areas of human life that mean it makes far more sense for us all to be linked through a political and economic union. We dwarf them in almost every conceivable way.

Along with sharing a common language and heritage.

An independent Scotland that voted for that reality based on a desire to be part of the European Union rather than the United one it is at the moment would be insanity beyond comprehension. Does it even have a direct ferry link to the EU? I think there are possible plans for a daily ferry to the Netherlands but beyond that?

I am more than happy for both N Ireland and Scotland to have referendums on their independence but I simply cannot see any rational reason for either to succeed beyond the sort of ludicrous BS about 'Empire' written about in that article.

Why would being part of an 'Empire' run from Brussels be better for either than one ran from Westminster? Because that is the ultimate choice.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 27 Jan 20 12.26pm

Originally posted by dannyboy1978

If you voted remain are you starting to feel a little silly now.
[Link]

Rather than rely on the spin in a right wing populist newspaper why don't you read the actual report?

Picking a couple of stats from it and drawing huge conclusions isn't actually very sensible. It just sells papers and boosts the egos of those who want to say "told you so".It's far too early to make any kind of reliable forecast. With Trump still in the WH anything could happen.

The major driver of the changing expected comparative forecasts doesn't appear to me to be the UK. It's the downturn in Germany which is depressing the Eurozone. Short term economic fluctuations in today's volatile conditions seem entirely to be expected. What really matters is the mid to long term prospects. So no "Remainer" is going to feel the least bit "silly", or change their minds, because of this.

[Link]

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Matov Flag 27 Jan 20 12.58pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle


The major driver of the changing expected comparative forecasts doesn't appear to me to be the UK. It's the downturn in Germany which is depressing the Eurozone. Short term economic fluctuations in today's volatile conditions seem entirely to be expected. What really matters is the mid to long term prospects.

Except for the fact that the entire Eurozone is dependent on German exports. Which thanks to the Euro, are cheaper than they would be if priced in DM's. And the Euro is kept weak by ensuring that the southern European economies are effectively kept poor. The normal economic fluctuations simply do not apply to how the Eurozone operates.

And if Germany is struggling to export its cars and kitchen appliances then it needs to weaken the Euro even more. Meaning it needs the Italian, Spanish and Greek economies to stagnate. That is the catch 22 of the entire single currency project and why it was, is and will be for the foreseeable future, economic insanity driven by nothing more than political hubris.

Lunacy on a level that is truly difficult to comprehend.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

Teddy Eagle Flag 27 Jan 20 1.08pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

I am not suggesting any kind of censorship let alone a "Ministry of Truth" which would be a total authoritarian nightmare. The idea of any government deciding what is true is an anathema to me. To suggest I am in favour of such an idea is a complete misrepresentation, which is unfortunately a common occurrence from the poster who made it.

Films and documentaries are careful not to make accusations about real people that are untrue. If they seek to make specific points then then will do so with fictional characters. Like media outlets they have lawyers checking facts before release and the media has editorial controls and standards as well as regulatory authorities providing oversight. They do this to avoid being sued for damages.

The social media companies are in a totally different position. Anything can be posted anonymously but presented in a way to appear as though it is "news". There is no editorial or legal oversight and no opportunity for any damaged party to sue for damages. Clearly this offers huge opportunities to those with particular viewpoints to spread their messages without any regard for the truth. This is propaganda on fire.

The companies do take it seriously and are doing things to attempt to mitigate the worst of the impact, despite the squeals from those who think that anything and everything ought to be allowed on their platforms. Which are, of course, THEIR platforms and not just public spaces. I heard Nick Clegg on this subject only a day or two ago.

My own view is that much more needs to be done to ensure that any attempt by malign forces to poison the well of public opinion, and informed debate, is stopped in it's tracks. Open debate and the exchange of diametrically opposed opinion is healthy in a free society. Propaganda designed to misinform by those who wish to destroy our way of life is not.

I don't have the answers but I do think there is a serious problem that cannot be ignored.

That still doesn’t answer who would be responsible for deciding what is true.
Take the Ryan Giggs case as an example. What was being said was true but he didn’t like it so attempted to have it hushed up. Multiply that by a government not wanting uncomfortable truths to be spread.

 

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 27 Jan 20 2.53pm

Some helpful advice on folding a flag.

 


One more point

Stirlingsays Flag 27 Jan 20 3.38pm

If social media platforms are going to decide between what they consider to be true and what they consider to be lies then they are in affect publishers and come under the rule base for publishers.

As that my friends means that many a maligned individual can sue them to hell....not only for what others have posted but for the political choices made by these 'progressive' platforms.

Any objective reading of what's gone on understands that up to now the social media companies have very much been stretching the interpretation of their role and that pay back is inevitable.

As an aside, placing the responsibility for 'truth and lies' onto social media platforms becomes just another form of censoring the masses.

For example, lets consider the whole, 'Epstein didn't kill himself' meme. In a world where social media platforms are suddenly tasked with policing commentary as truth or lies they become an enforcement for the establishment......and the establishment, or parts of it sometimes lies itself.

What is true and untrue is often just what others want you to believe.

The only, even half way. fair place for the establishment of a 'truth' is in the courts, where representations can be made by both sides and deliberated.....and then only when they themselves are being fairly set up.

Social media companies are not objective and hence aren't suitable for this task.


Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Jan 2020 3.54pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Stirlingsays Flag 27 Jan 20 3.51pm

I suspect it's a call by those who want to further censor Trump activists, or the right generally....so that only activism that they agree with remains.

I would agree that lies, misrepresentations and half truths are spread on the Internet, just as they are spread over the water cooler or garden fence.

I would agree that this is a problem.....I would also contend that the cure is worst than the disease. Sometimes you have to tolerate imperfect situations because the best overall position is in fact a compromise.....As I say, the courts exist for serious breaches.

We cannot have a 'ministry of truth' for this and even though they deny and dress it up as reasonable we all know where this leads to......We only have to look at China.

Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Jan 2020 5.32pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Stirlingsays Flag 27 Jan 20 6.35pm

You know this really can't go without additional comment.

The latest report by the IMF on the British economy post Brexit for the next two years brings into ultra bright light the claims and fear mongering that we have seen from remoaners (I won't say remainers because a good number of them accepted the result and moved on).

These people were quite happy to post endless half truths and projections that have since been smoked out as reprehensible nonsense and over stretch.

The IMF itself was a part of this conceit and attempted brainwashing but now with the certainty of Brexit they have to come clean or suffer even further ridicule for producing forecasts that were partly composed with politically baised rather than purely economic contexts.

Still, once an activist, always a activist and now we have the amusing sight of WE posting an article in the Irish Times as some kind of counter to the IMF.

Beyond parody.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

cryrst Flag The garden of England 27 Jan 20 6.58pm

You said stop putting lies on the web.
Which of the list are associated with lies on the web.
Brexit good and bad are all three just for one example.
You have an opinion,you made forecasts, and you've guessed.
They could all be the truth or lies.
That's the point.
If you are wrong on all 3 then you have lied on the web.

 

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 27 Jan 20 8.14pm

I don't think the concern about the power of the social media companies to spread propaganda ought to be seen as being either from the left or the right. It might be that the greatest current threat comes from the right, but that could very easily change. I see large scale beliefs in things I regard as obviously false on both the left and right, resulting from a mistrust of the MSM and an over reliance on unregulated internet platforms.

Having a variety of opinions on what may, or may not, be true is a healthy sign in a functioning democracy. That is not the issue. It is when those opinions are deliberately manipulated by those with an agenda that has nothing to do with the interests of our country which is.

Some may dismiss this as unimportant but I don't. The social media companies being commercial operations are going to respond to where the best returns are to be made. If advertisers are impacted then they will take action. If controversy drives income then they won't. So we as a society need to regulate and demand standards. How to do that on a global scale is very challenging and I don't pretend to have the answers.

What I do know is that it cannot just be ignored because it's difficult.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Teddy Eagle Flag 27 Jan 20 8.29pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

I don't think the concern about the power of the social media companies to spread propaganda ought to be seen as being either from the left or the right. It might be that the greatest current threat comes from the right, but that could very easily change. I see large scale beliefs in things I regard as obviously false on both the left and right, resulting from a mistrust of the MSM and an over reliance on unregulated internet platforms.

Having a variety of opinions on what may, or may not, be true is a healthy sign in a functioning democracy. That is not the issue. It is when those opinions are deliberately manipulated by those with an agenda that has nothing to do with the interests of our country which is.

Some may dismiss this as unimportant but I don't. The social media companies being commercial operations are going to respond to where the best returns are to be made. If advertisers are impacted then they will take action. If controversy drives income then they won't. So we as a society need to regulate and demand standards. How to do that on a global scale is very challenging and I don't pretend to have the answers.

What I do know is that it cannot just be ignored because it's difficult.

Still doesn’t answer who would be responsible for deciding what is true.
Twitter, as an example, has 6000 tweets per second. Are they all to be inspected and the intent behind them judged?

 

Stirlingsays Flag 27 Jan 20 8.35pm

You yourself have admitted to using your time on forums to change minds....I remember you rather hubrisly stating that you were leaving to seek more 'malleable minds' during the election campaign. That is de facto 'Manipulation towards an agenda'. The fact that you regard your point of view as the right one is just the subjective bias that everyone else has. So, shall we be censoring you as well?

Commercial companies don't always act in terms of pure profit....Mostly I'd say it's an accurate rule but it has exceptions. Companies that contain large amounts of activists such as FB and the other social media companies for example have plenty of policies that cost them more money than the law actually requires of them.

For example, plenty of right wing commentators on Youtube have been banned who were earning shared revenue with Google.....but the sheer profit motive didn't stop Google banning them and losing that cash.

The idea that any one individual can be purely objective is not only wrong it's misleading.

People will always show their biases. All you can ask for is balance and fairness.....and the reality is, without a consequence you can ask all you like....you aren't going to get it.

There has always been a minority mistrust of the MSM. It's larger now because of the nature of the Internet and its 'hate click' nature. Both left and right are far less centralised....for reasons I'd prefer to avoid in this particular exchange.....And this has fed into the MSM machine itself as it struggles to make money in a reducing market.

So people are essentially accurate to be careful and suspicious of mainstream sources in today's news market.

Everyone is selling you an angle....those who claim otherwise are liars at worse or deluded at best.


Edited by Stirlingsays (27 Jan 2020 8.50pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Tim Gypsy Hill '64 Flag Stoke sub normal 27 Jan 20 9.07pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle


The article wasn't about Ireland. It was written by a German about England and the English. It just happened to be published in an Irish newspaper.

So you aren't even shooting the messenger! You are attacking the wall on which the message is posted!

As the article made some interesting points, and expressed new ideas that make sense to me which seem to fit many of the attitudes to be found here, I thought that others would also find it thought provoking. Obviously not!

Do I have the wrong guy here? [Link]

If so, which German wrote the article?

 


Systematically dragged down by the lawmakers

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 27 Jan 20 9.11pm

More misrepresentation I am afraid from the usual suspect. It seems that the spirit of his hero has taken over his mind and affected his capacity to tell truth from lies.

The piece from the Irish Times has no connection at all to the IMF report. It was written by a German and offers an analysis of England and the English and why they voted for Brexit. It was offered as another type of opinion on another subject by another German to that which was touted in the right wing press. Not as a counter to it. That was done separately.

I am not an insider at the IMF or a cheerleader for it. If you want to dismiss it's activities and reports as worthless that's fine with me. I think they give a useful picture of where the world is economically, but that at the moment that must be incredibly difficult. If though you believe their previous reports to have had some political motivations (which seems very unlikely to me) and therefore inaccurate, then it must follow that the current one is too.

From my perspective I think there are just too many unknowns for there to be any kind confidence in such a forecast. I see plenty of people talking things up but so many bumps in the road that I think the optimism to be misplaced. The old phrase that bs baffles brains comes to mind.

Only today I heard a US spokesperson suggesting that not only would a trade deal with the USA not be signed off by Congress if we went with Huawei but that they might also apply sanctions. That doesn't sound to me as though our newly won "freedom" has actually set us free to do whatever we want.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 27 Jan 20 9.25pm

Individual British people participating in political forums concerned with UK elections seems a perfectly reasonable behaviour to me. It's when those forums are targeted by irregular or foreign sources specifically to sow dissent to produce an outcome they seek that concerns me.

We are living through a new IT based cold war in which the foot soldiers are not always so innocent. They are fed lies which suit their bias. They want those lies to be true so they accept them as true and repeat them. Before a few hours have passed the lie becomes the truth in the minds of many.

Yes some commentators have been banned. Why was that? Not I would suggest because of their political views. Everyone is entitled to hold whatever views they want. No, they have been banned because they broke the rules of the sites they were using. Commercial operators can make whatever rules they like. It's their business and not yours or mine. Don't want to be banned? Stick to the rules. Don't like the rules? Find another site.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

cpfc_chap Flag koh samui 27 Jan 20 9.35pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

More misrepresentation I am afraid from the usual suspect. It seems that the spirit of his hero has taken over his mind and affected his capacity to tell truth from lies.

The piece from the Irish Times has no connection at all to the IMF report. It was written by a German and offers an analysis of England and the English and why they voted for Brexit. It was offered as another type of opinion on another subject by another German to that which was touted in the right wing press. Not as a counter to it. That was done separately.

I am not an insider at the IMF or a cheerleader for it. If you want to dismiss it's activities and reports as worthless that's fine with me. I think they give a useful picture of where the world is economically, but that at the moment that must be incredibly difficult. If though you believe their previous reports to have had some political motivations (which seems very unlikely to me) and therefore inaccurate, then it must follow that the current one is too.

From my perspective I think there are just too many unknowns for there to be any kind confidence in such a forecast. I see plenty of people talking things up but so many bumps in the road that I think the optimism to be misplaced. The old phrase that bs baffles brains comes to mind.

Only today I heard a US spokesperson suggesting that not only would a trade deal with the USA not be signed off by Congress if we went with Huawei but that they might also apply sanctions. That doesn't sound to me as though our newly won "freedom" has actually set us free to do whatever we want.

You really don't believe that do you?

 

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 27 Jan 20 9.35pm

Originally posted by Teddy Eagle

Still doesn’t answer who would be responsible for deciding what is true.
Twitter, as an example, has 6000 tweets per second. Are they all to be inspected and the intent behind them judged?

As I said I only have the questions and not the answers.

However they do have some very powerful algorithms that ought to be capable of flagging up trends and then the problems. The answers can be found.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 27 Jan 20 9.38pm

Originally posted by cpfc_chap

You really don't believe that do you?

He certainly did.

What I think is that we will be forced into compliance as they won't accept any kind of compromise.

That shows what kind of trade "deal" we can look forward to.

We are in a weaker position than Oliver Twist requesting some more food from Scrooge.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 27 Jan 20 9.42pm

[quote=Tim Gypsy Hill '64;3505019]

Do I have the wrong guy here? [Link]

If so, which German wrote the article?

You are quite right. He isn't actually German himself. He is Nicholas Boyle, Emeritus Schröder Professor of German at the University of Cambridge.

Still quite an authority on Germany and as he lives and works in the UK has an opinion well worth evaluating.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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