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Jeremy Corbyn


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elgrande Flag bedford 03 Oct 16 4.15pm

Originally posted by nickgusset

I do mate, had we started investing in housing and the infrastructure that goes with it it would have created a lot more jobs which would in turn increased tax revenue and put money into the economy when people spent their hard earned.

A hypothetical scenario...

Interest rates are incredibly low. 3 or 4 years ago the government were paying around 2.3 percent on 15 year loans. A loan (based on these interest rates ) of £1billion would cost £24.3 million a year on repayments.

If the loan were invested in building social housing, which in the north west would cost somewhere in the region of £120k per house, the money could be spent on 8300 houses. If they were then let out at an affordable rent-somewhere between social housing and market rent) the average return would be around £5.5k per house per year. That's a return of £46 million a year roughly. That covers the interest payments on the initial loan leaves a surplus of around £21.5m per year which over 15 years is a surplus of £322.5 million.
Add in inflation, say a conservative 2% a year, in 15 years time the £1 billion will be worth about 30% less than it is today.

If people are coming off benefits to take up jobs building the housesthere is additional benefit. If we take an average yearly benefit payment of £5,200 a year (£100 a week)is saved. If the average wage is around £22 k the same person would pay around 33.5k in tax and NI, giving a benefit to the public of £8.7k a year (benefit savings + tax and NI income)

If 500 people were used to build the houses, using the rough figures above it brings in savings and tax incomes of £4.35 million a year. As I've said these people would also spend their hard earned on goods and services, the supplers of which will also benefit, perhaps expand taking on more people, make more money so pay more tax.

Also, the suppliers of the materials to build the houses would benefit, and again this increases their profits and leads to more tax paid.

The initial billion borrowed for investment would actually be worth a lot more to the economy in the long run.

If this were to be repeated around the country, obviously the costs of building the houses and land would differ, but it would create a boon for local economies around our green and pleasant.

Because of recent cuts to services and therefore jobs, instead of an increased tax income, revenue remains flat and the national defecit doesn't get lower.

Yeah that's all very well nick,bt you need builders to build houses there is a certain skill set needed.
You can't just take
people off benefits and give them a trowel and say there you go.
I know loads and loads of builders,not one of them is out of work.
What we need are more apprentice builders,instead of the last 20 years or so saying kids should all go to university.
Not everyone is academic in fact half the people who are there now probably shouldn't be there.

 


always a Norwood boy, where ever I live.

Stuk Flag Top half 03 Oct 16 4.24pm

Originally posted by elgrande

Yeah that's all very well nick,bt you need builders to build houses there is a certain skill set needed.
You can't just take
people off benefits and give them a trowel and say there you go.
I know loads and loads of builders,not one of them is out of work.
What we need are more apprentice builders,instead of the last 20 years or so saying kids should all go to university.
Not everyone is academic in fact half the people who are there now probably shouldn't be there.

What we need is less red tape to get into the building trade and to abolish the levy on employing people in construction.

Anyone can work on a car without a qualification or a levy on the labour, but if you want to paint a wall on a building site you've got to have card to prove it and will be charged a percent of the labour cost in a levy (tax).

 


Optimistic as ever

Lyons550 Flag Shirley 03 Oct 16 4.24pm

Originally posted by nickgusset

I do mate, had we started investing in housing and the infrastructure that goes with it it would have created a lot more jobs which would in turn increased tax revenue and put money into the economy when people spent their hard earned.

A hypothetical scenario...

Interest rates are incredibly low. 3 or 4 years ago the government were paying around 2.3 percent on 15 year loans. A loan (based on these interest rates ) of £1billion would cost £24.3 million a year on repayments.

If the loan were invested in building social housing, which in the north west would cost somewhere in the region of £120k per house, the money could be spent on 8300 houses. If they were then let out at an affordable rent-somewhere between social housing and market rent) the average return would be around £5.5k per house per year. That's a return of £46 million a year roughly. That covers the interest payments on the initial loan leaves a surplus of around £21.5m per year which over 15 years is a surplus of £322.5 million.
Add in inflation, say a conservative 2% a year, in 15 years time the £1 billion will be worth about 30% less than it is today.

If people are coming off benefits to take up jobs building the housesthere is additional benefit. If we take an average yearly benefit payment of £5,200 a year (£100 a week)is saved. If the average wage is around £22 k the same person would pay around 33.5k in tax and NI, giving a benefit to the public of £8.7k a year (benefit savings + tax and NI income)

If 500 people were used to build the houses, using the rough figures above it brings in savings and tax incomes of £4.35 million a year. As I've said these people would also spend their hard earned on goods and services, the supplers of which will also benefit, perhaps expand taking on more people, make more money so pay more tax.

Also, the suppliers of the materials to build the houses would benefit, and again this increases their profits and leads to more tax paid.

The initial billion borrowed for investment would actually be worth a lot more to the economy in the long run.

If this were to be repeated around the country, obviously the costs of building the houses and land would differ, but it would create a boon for local economies around our green and pleasant.

Because of recent cuts to services and therefore jobs, instead of an increased tax income, revenue remains flat and the national defecit doesn't get lower.

Have to disagree...we're now in a better financial state then we were back then (even though its still a dire one) and we'd simply be in far worse debt than we are now with a number of the projects started back then potentially coming to fruition end by the time we pull out of the EU...we'd have lost momentum rather than gearing it up...I think most on here are in agreement that now is the right time to release the schackles so to speak though.

For me its all about timing and this is just right to address/head off BREXIT in whatever form it takes rather than having done what you've suggested a few years back and then be left with no plan B...(now where have I heard that before?)

Edited by Lyons550 (03 Oct 2016 4.27pm)

 


The Voice of Reason In An Otherwise Mediocre World

jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 03 Oct 16 4.39pm

Originally posted by elgrande

Yeah that's all very well nick,bt you need builders to build houses there is a certain skill set needed.
You can't just take
people off benefits and give them a trowel and say there you go.
I know loads and loads of builders,not one of them is out of work.
What we need are more apprentice builders,instead of the last 20 years or so saying kids should all go to university.
Not everyone is academic in fact half the people who are there now probably shouldn't be there
.

Bingo. University education shouldn't really be aimed at 'getting people into entry level jobs' for private companies.

Focus should be on corporations and enterprises providing professional training courses and apprenticeships. What really disturbs me is that the best candidates in IT I've seen in recent years have usually been either postgrads or apprentices - The ones coming in through Communications in Business and IT style degrees tend to be rather poor (i.e. not business, computer engineering or science degrees)

Most of these poor f**kers have spent 28k to get their own 25-35k a year job. Might as well have done media studies for all the applicability. In fact I think at least two companies I've worked for essentially use graduate degrees to filter out 'high grade candidates' (i.e. they'll only take people with a 1st class degree and then train them for three years).


 


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jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 03 Oct 16 4.45pm

Originally posted by Lyons550

Have to disagree...we're now in a better financial state then we were back then (even though its still a dire one) and we'd simply be in far worse debt than we are now with a number of the projects started back then potentially coming to fruition end by the time we pull out of the EU...we'd have lost momentum rather than gearing it up...I think most on here are in agreement that now is the right time to release the schackles so to speak though.

For me its all about timing and this is just right to address/head off BREXIT in whatever form it takes rather than having done what you've suggested a few years back and then be left with no plan B...(now where have I heard that before?)

Edited by Lyons550 (03 Oct 2016 4.27pm)

In all fairness, leaving the EU in a way that appeals to many of the exit voters is going to destroy the housing market anyhow. That half a million or so migrants have been paying off buy to let and second/third mortgages... Take them out of the equation and you'll have a lot of rental property that's 'surplus to requirement', and a lot of people having to find mortgage payments for multiple empty properties and defaulting.

Ultimately they'll have to dump property from portfolios, and that will then hit the wider property market (and put a lot of people into negative equity).

I don't think there is a viable way of avoiding that either. Could soon be cheaper for the state to buy up property that's defaulted on than build housing.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
[Link]

Stuk Flag Top half 03 Oct 16 4.54pm

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

In all fairness, leaving the EU in a way that appeals to many of the exit voters is going to destroy the housing market anyhow. That half a million or so migrants have been paying off buy to let and second/third mortgages... Take them out of the equation and you'll have a lot of rental property that's 'surplus to requirement', and a lot of people having to find mortgage payments for multiple empty properties and defaulting.

Ultimately they'll have to dump property from portfolios, and that will then hit the wider property market (and put a lot of people into negative equity).

I don't think there is a viable way of avoiding that either. Could soon be cheaper for the state to buy up property that's defaulted on than build housing.

None of that will happen in a hundred years in the South East, never mind the next few.

Then you have northern councils selling off council houses for £1, as no one will move in to them. If they're selling the stock for £1 they'll never be buying ones that are defaulted on for a much higher cost.

 


Optimistic as ever

elgrande Flag bedford 03 Oct 16 5.00pm

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

In all fairness, leaving the EU in a way that appeals to many of the exit voters is going to destroy the housing market anyhow. That half a million or so migrants have been paying off buy to let and second/third mortgages... Take them out of the equation and you'll have a lot of rental property that's 'surplus to requirement', and a lot of people having to find mortgage payments for multiple empty properties and defaulting.

Ultimately they'll have to dump property from portfolios, and that will then hit the wider property market (and put a lot of people into negative equity).

I don't think there is a viable way of avoiding that either. Could soon be cheaper for the state to buy up property that's defaulted on than build housing.

Yeah but on the other hand Jamie,when there is a glut of most things,prices tend to come down which if that happens in the private rental market,that can only be a good thing.

 


always a Norwood boy, where ever I live.

elgrande Flag bedford 03 Oct 16 5.08pm

About the only thing I agree with nick is about social housing.
Where I live in North Bedfordshire there are s*** loads of housing being built.
But none for social housing,prices start at about £350.000, ridiculous amount of money for families on low income.
Housing associations should be given a certain amount each year from central government for the building of more social housing.

 


always a Norwood boy, where ever I live.

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 03 Oct 16 5.15pm

Originally posted by elgrande

Yeah that's all very well nick,bt you need builders to build houses there is a certain skill set needed.
You can't just take
people off benefits and give them a trowel and say there you go.
I know loads and loads of builders,not one of them is out of work.
What we need are more apprentice builders,instead of the last 20 years or so saying kids should all go to university.
Not everyone is academic in fact half the people who are there now probably shouldn't be there.

True, but apprentices can be trained on the job.

 

Stuk Flag Top half 03 Oct 16 5.16pm

Originally posted by elgrande

About the only thing I agree with nick is about social housing.
Where I live in North Bedfordshire there are s*** loads of housing being built.
But none for social housing,prices start at about £350.000,
ridiculous amount of money for families on low income.
Housing associations should be given a certain amount each year from central government for the building of more social housing.

Well unless councils feel like building them and taking the losses on them too, you'll never find a house builder that will.

Affordable housing is one of the stupidest phrases ever created. What they need to have is a mechanism that means you have to move out of council housing once you earn more than x amount, to free up stock, rather than sell them off cheaply to people who can now afford the market rate.

 


Optimistic as ever

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 03 Oct 16 5.17pm

Originally posted by elgrande

About the only thing I agree with nick is about social housing.
Where I live in North Bedfordshire there are s*** loads of housing being built.
But none for social housing,prices start at about £350.000, ridiculous amount of money for families on low income.
Housing associations should be given a certain amount each year from central government for the building of more social housing.

Why housing association and not council?

 

elgrande Flag bedford 03 Oct 16 5.22pm

Originally posted by nickgusset

Why housing association and not council?

Because most councils sold most of their housing stock HA,s

 


always a Norwood boy, where ever I live.

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 03 Oct 16 7.53pm

Originally posted by elgrande

Because most councils sold most of their housing stock HA,s

We're talking about new builds aren't we?

 

elgrande Flag bedford 03 Oct 16 9.19pm

Originally posted by nickgusset

We're talking about new builds aren't we?

Most new social housing now are housing associations

 


always a Norwood boy, where ever I live.

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 03 Oct 16 9.45pm

Originally posted by elgrande

Most new social housing now are housing associations

Yes we've ascertained this. I think social housing should be under local authority control. As should schools.

 

.TUX. Flag 04 Oct 16 5.54am

Originally posted by Lyons550

Have to disagree...we're now in a better financial state then we were back then (even though its still a dire one) and we'd simply be in far worse debt than we are now with a number of the projects started back then potentially coming to fruition end by the time we pull out of the EU...we'd have lost momentum rather than gearing it up...I think most on here are in agreement that now is the right time to release the schackles so to speak though.

For me its all about timing and this is just right to address/head off BREXIT in whatever form it takes rather than having done what you've suggested a few years back and then be left with no plan B...(now where have I heard that before?)

Edited by Lyons550 (03 Oct 2016 4.27pm)

6 (or so) years of austerity measures yet we're still in a ''dire state''? That really should tell you all you need to know.
Austerity measures have done nothing less than add to the wealth of those who caused the crisis in the first place at the expense of the 99%.
Worse still, they've been allowed to carry on as though nothing ever happened. What then? More austerity?



 


Buy Litecoin.

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 04 Oct 16 7.49am

It's in the paper so it must be true!

FB_IMG_1475563740482.jpg Attachment: FB_IMG_1475563740482.jpg (48.68Kb)

 

Stuk Flag Top half 04 Oct 16 11.10am

Stop posting made up s*** from your labour social media feeds.

 


Optimistic as ever

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 04 Oct 16 11.22am

Originally posted by Stuk

Stop posting made up s*** from your labour social media feeds.

Who made you forum arbitrator? Have you had a satire bypass?

Anyway time to watch some made up s*** from the tory conference...

Edited by nickgusset (04 Oct 2016 11.23am)

 

Stuk Flag Top half 04 Oct 16 11.25am

Originally posted by nickgusset

Who made you forum arbitrator?

Anyway time to watch some made up s*** from the tory conference...

No one but you're basically spamming the site with crap. Keep it between you and your fellow idiots.

 


Optimistic as ever

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