You are here: Home > Message Board > News & Politics > Topic
November 4 2026 10.49am

This page is no longer updated, and is the old forum. For new topics visit the New HOL forum.

The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


Page 1539 of 1552 < 1535 1536 1537 1538 1539 1540 1541 1542 1543 >
Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 26 Dec 20 10.39pm

Originally posted by nead1

Really - as one of the three biggest countries and the creator of the Single Market. No influence?

What value has that so called influence been?

Give me some examples.

 

Stirlingsays Flag 26 Dec 20 10.40pm

Originally posted by nead1

In my judgement we have traded a very good and influential position within the EU - outside of the Euro, Shengen, Social Chapter with numerous rebates - for the deal that has now been struck. As most commentators seem to acknowledge, it is pretty minimalist.
The prize is our apparent independence and ability to behave as Global Britain - something the Spartans (Cash, Francois, Bone etc all independently older men of independent means) apparently view as key even though other members of the EU trade perfectly well with China and other blocs already. It was not our membership of the EU that has prevented us being more successful in this context.
The price of all of this has been the incredible rancour and division of the past 4 years; equally, the break up of the UK looks highly likely. NI is essentially still in the EU through the withdrawl agreement and are likely to look more and more toward Dublin especially as the population of NI is almost 50% Nationalist. Equally, it is hard to see how the position re a referendum in Scotland can be maintained. Scottish independence is more an emotional than economic issue as they see it (just like Brexit) and a view that they can thrive as a small trading nation just like NZ. The behaviour of Boris and his cronies just builds the case day by day - the Scots do not in any way relate to him.
One final point. The deal that has been done with the EU was essentially delivered for the UK by dedicated civil servants in the Foreign Office in Brussels and the no 10 unit. They worked day and night for months at a time with no days off. Interestingly, Boris made virtually no mention of this and showed already that he is not on top of the detail of what's been agreed in any case. It was just more bluff and bluster just like he has handled the whole Covid crisis. I wonder if he now recognises that Civil Servants are actually an incredible asset to both him and the UK? Interestingly, there has been virtually no mention of CS reform as a priority since the departure of Cummings.
I appreciate my views differ from most who post on this subject but it never does any harm to recognise that there are still and will be for years very conflicting views on the wisdom of what has been done. The proof will ultimately be in terms of the prosperity and indeed survival of the UK. I hope those who voted for it - especially in the poorer areas of the North and Wales - do not live to regret it.

I would differ with you both in terms of what is realistic in terms of the future of the union and in terms of the wisdom or not of leaving the EU....though I'd agree that emotionality was a significant factor.

However, I'd also like to say that you post was both measured, reasonable and well argued.


Edited by Stirlingsays (26 Dec 2020 10.41pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

nead1 Flag 26 Dec 20 11.02pm

Thank you. I guess it is just reflective of incredibly different views on this issue which has proved so divisive; only time will tell, in some kind of way, whether it has all been worth it but at least now there is the opportunity to move on and see how things work out.

 

Stirlingsays Flag 26 Dec 20 11.20pm

Originally posted by nead1

Thank you. I guess it is just reflective of incredibly different views on this issue which has proved so divisive; only time will tell, in some kind of way, whether it has all been worth it but at least now there is the opportunity to move on and see how things work out.

In terms of economics I think we will know for sure within five to ten years....probably a little less well off initially. So at least it won't be as as long as analyzing the affects of the French revolution eh.

Outside of economics, I suspect that, as with life, this will be better for some and worse for others.

Edited by Stirlingsays (26 Dec 2020 11.21pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Bert the Head Flag Epsom 27 Dec 20 12.40am

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

In terms of economics I think we will know for sure within five to ten years....probably a little less well off initially. So at least it won't be as as long as analyzing the affects of the French revolution eh.

"Outside of economics, I suspect that, as with life, this will be better for some and worse for others."

It seems that at faced with the reality of the deal rather than the lies of the last fours years the bar has dropped

stirling says tat "Outside of economics, I suspect that, as with life, this will be better for some and worse for others."

How that is different from being in the European Union and living in a fiecly neoliberal Britain I cannot see.

1. Trade with the EU will be tariff-free and involve minimal bureaucracy

Not acording to the deal.

2. Northern Ireland border 'absolutely unchanged'

There will be customs procedures for goods crossing the Irish Sea because Northern Ireland will have access to the EU customs union while remaining in the U.K. customs union.

The reality is that it will involve paperwork checks and border control posts (though not physically at the border) to undertake physical checks on some plant and animal products.

3. End supremacy of EU law and the EU's Court of Justice

Johnson insisted at a press conference Thursday afternoon that the deal includes no role for the Court of Justice of the EU. It will be worth waiting for the legal text of the deal to be sure. But Northern Ireland will remain subject to EU customs union and single market rules, which will be overseen by the Court of Justice. So it would be wrong to suggest the entire U.K. will not be subject to judgments from the court.

4. Take back control on immigration and asylum, and cut migration to the tens of thousands

yes, probably got this one...probably accepting that BREXIT as about immigration all along.


5. Britain will take back control of its fisheries

There is a long transition period and the fishermen feel betrayed, so I think the working class fishermen are unlikely to get a lot of support from the Tories and the BREXITeers in the long run.


6. £350M for the NHS instead of being sent to Brussels

Utter bulls***.

7. New trade deals, and access to a European trading zone 'from Iceland to Russia'

The UK signed a deal with Japan, which was largely based on the deal Japan has with the EU, although the U.K. did negotiate some different terms. It has also signed a number of rollover agreements the EU has with other nations.


8. Continue cooperating on security issues and counter-terrorism

The most important change is that the U.K. will no longer have direct, real-time access to EU security databases, such as on passenger records, criminal records, DNA and fingerprints. The deal allows for "ambitious and timely arrangements" to share such data, according to an EU document.

The U.K. will continue to observe the European Convention on Human Rights, and could see law enforcement and judicial cooperation cut off if it fails to do so. It will also have to adhere to strict data standards.

There will be "cooperation" between Europol and Eurojust, but that will amount to nothing more than what other third countries get when dealing with the EU. However, in other areas, such as the extradition of criminals, the cooperation will be closer than with third countries.

a loss not a plus here.

9. Financial protection for farmers who get cash from Brussels

The government will implement a new regime in the years to 2025 that will change the rules for funding farmers in England. Cash will be tied not to the amount of land, as in the EU system, but to whether that land is used for public good.

It is unclear whether, in the long run, farmers stand to receive the same amount of money as they do now, as Vote Leave promised.


10. Continued participation in EU science research schemes, deeper cooperation on scientific collaboration, plus increased funding for science

we have stayed in line with a number of european projets, but the U.K. will not take part in the Erasmus scheme, the university exchange program under which thousands of U.K. students attend EU institutions each year. Johnson said it was too expensive and a net loss for Britain, but he said a new scheme would be launched, named after Alan Turing, which will seek to help students attend universities around the world.


11. Wages will be higher

Come on, the Tories in favour of higher wages for working people. You hve to have a low credibility threshold for that one to stick.

12. The union will be stronger

Gove argued on the Andrew Marr show during the referendum: “If we vote to leave, then I think the union will be stronger. Scottish nationalism has grown since we entered the European Union. There wasn’t a Scottish Nationalist MP elected at any general election when we were outside the EU.”

But in recent months, repeated polls have shown that Scotland would vote for independence if given another referendum, with Brexit a particular grievance for Scottish National Party voters. The debate is turning to whether Johnson will be able to hold off on granting one if the SNP wins big in Scottish elections in 2021.

...unless we act like China does towards Hong Konh this is very unlikely.

13. Cut VAT on energy bills to save the average household £64 a year

EU rules do mean that the U.K. is unable to cut VAT on energy bills below 5 percent. Outside the EU it can. But Chancellor Rishi Sunak, who also backed Brexit, has not announced that the government will make the change. The promise remains outstanding.

14. Scrap VAT on sanitary products

Johnson won a concession from Brussels when he struck the Withdrawal Agreement that the so-called “tampon tax” would not apply to Northern Ireland if it remains in the customs union, which it will. So that's a checkpoint for Vote Leave.

Great - but hardly a really big win to make the loses worthwhile.


15. The new treaty should be ready within two years and before the next election (which was May 2020)

That did not happen. it was never going to happen and was a lie for the gullible to gobble up.

it will be good in the coming months to look at how the BREXITEER bulls*** stands up or is water down to "I suspect that, as with life, this will be better for some and worse for others." I can't remember hearing that on the campaign trail from the flaming pants boys of Brexit.

Now that is has arrived, what a load of tosh BREXIT actually is.

Edited by Stirlingsays (26 Dec 2020 11.21pm)

 

Stirlingsays Flag 27 Dec 20 1.34am

People who can't post properly just aren't worth reading.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

corkery Flag Cork City 27 Dec 20 2.07am

The EU up to last month wanted all Schengen citizens' visas to be the same. The UK wanted Romania and Bulgaria removed from this 'equality'. Does anyone know the outcome of this?

 


We'll never die

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 27 Dec 20 9.24am

Bert having difficulty unpicking your post from what SS did. I can see some good points one thing I would point out for the umpteenth time though.

"£350m for the NHS per week a lie".

This was never a promise by the government but by one of the 2 Brexit campaign groups (the other disagreed).

The government was pro remain so you can't hold the government responsible for that. Having said that when Mrs May was PM she pointedly increased the budget by more that £35om per week so it was achieved.

 


One more point

kevlee Flag born Wandsworth emigrated to Lanc... 27 Dec 20 9.38am

Originally posted by Willo

It appears as though a compromise was reached.The EU wanted a 14 year transition, the UK offered 3 years but a settlement was reached at 5.5 years.

For avoidance of doubt I have not seen the text of the whole deal but the above is what has been mentioned.

I believe the position is that the amount the UK can catch in its own waters will rise from about 50% now to 66% in 5.5 years. Then it is free to reduce the EU %, but will have to pay either (possibly very high) compensation or face retaliatory tariffs if it does so. This is why the fish brigade are crying betrayal.

Edited by kevlee (27 Dec 2020 9.38am)

Edited by kevlee (27 Dec 2020 9.39am)

Edited by kevlee (27 Dec 2020 9.40am)

 


Following Palace since 25 Feb 1978

cryrst Flag The garden of England 27 Dec 20 9.43am

Originally posted by kevlee

Originally posted by Willo

It appears as though a compromise was reached.The EU wanted a 14 year transition, the UK offered 3 years but a settlement was reached at 5.5 years.

For avoidance of doubt I have not seen the text of the whole deal but the above is what has been mentioned.

I believe the position is that the amount the UK can catch in its own waters will rise from about 50% now to 66% in 5.5 years. Then it is free to reduce the EU %, but will have to pay either (possibly very high) compensation or face retaliatory tariffs if it does so. This is why the fish brigade are crying betrayal.

Edited by kevlee (27 Dec 2020 9.38am)

Edited by kevlee (27 Dec 2020 9.39am)

Edited by kevlee (27 Dec 2020 9.40am)

So without brexit it would be 50% in 5.5 years !

 

kevlee Flag born Wandsworth emigrated to Lanc... 27 Dec 20 9.50am

Originally posted by cryrst

So without brexit it would be 50% in 5.5 years !

Correct. Its the compensation / tariffs issue if we reduce it from the 66% in 5.5 years that is causing the anger. It is to compensate for the losses that will be suffered by French fishing communities I believe, from what I can understand anyway.

 


Following Palace since 25 Feb 1978

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 27 Dec 20 9.56am

Originally posted by kevlee

Originally posted by Willo

It appears as though a compromise was reached.The EU wanted a 14 year transition, the UK offered 3 years but a settlement was reached at 5.5 years.

For avoidance of doubt I have not seen the text of the whole deal but the above is what has been mentioned.

I believe the position is that the amount the UK can catch in its own waters will rise from about 50% now to 66% in 5.5 years. Then it is free to reduce the EU %, but will have to pay either (possibly very high) compensation or face retaliatory tariffs if it does so. This is why the fish brigade are crying betrayal.

Edited by kevlee (27 Dec 2020 9.38am)

Edited by kevlee (27 Dec 2020 9.39am)

Edited by kevlee (27 Dec 2020 9.40am)

From Jan 1 they will be better off than they are now. It's not exactly what they wanted but they now have 5 years to plan to increase the fleet and lobby our government for what they want when this deal runs out.

 


One more point

steeleye20 Flag Croydon 27 Dec 20 11.15am

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

What value has that so called influence been?

Give me some examples.

The single market was actually Thatcher's great achievement she saw at once the country's access to a huge market and it has brought the UK prosperity.

That is why Johnson was so desperate to get his deal.

It won't be anything like it is now, with tariffs (it is not tariff-free as stated) and regulation the UK will be gradually strangled and lose it's competitiveness.

Financial services, not trade, provide 80% of the UK's income, there is nothing for the UK in this deal at all, in fact the access to the EU is restricted.

All pain for no gain.

 

Matov Flag 27 Dec 20 11.31am

Originally posted by steeleye20


All pain for no gain.

We had a vote prior to which all we were told about was the pain. And we voted to leave. That vote is finally about to be honoured.

Have you any concept of what might have happened to this country if it had not been? The real and genuine pain that would have ensued?

Anybody who continued to try and get us to remain in the EU once that vote in 2016 had been held and counted needs to be hanging their heads in eternal shame for the 'pain' they did their desperate best to put this country through.

The divide that Remoaners created is so deep now that I suspect it can never be healed. So go to your biscuit tin and reward yourselves with an organic, ethically sourced digestive and give yourselves a big f***ing pat on the back.

No gain? How about the fact that very basic principle of one person, one vote has triumphed despite all the snidey, narcissistic and utterly vacuous attempts by total s***-c***s?

That's a big f***ing win my book.


Edited by Matov (27 Dec 2020 11.43am)

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

kevlee Flag born Wandsworth emigrated to Lanc... 27 Dec 20 12.27pm

The vote is history. End of.
The deal and how we make it work is the only thing that should matter.But..
Am I bothered that there is nothing in it about financial services? Of course I am.
Am I annoyed about all this fish nonsense? Yes.
Am I annoyed about Tories and their mates scuttling out the back door to set up companies in the EU? Yes.
But its called democracy. You give the people want they vote for.

 


Following Palace since 25 Feb 1978

Spiderman Flag Horsham 27 Dec 20 12.36pm

What a measured well thought out post! Unfortunately typical of a lot of remainers but hey ho

 

Spiderman Flag Horsham 27 Dec 20 12.39pm

Originally posted by corkery

The EU up to last month wanted all Schengen citizens' visas to be the same. The UK wanted Romania and Bulgaria removed from this 'equality'. Does anyone know the outcome of this?

Not sure if this helps under “ how long can I go for”.

[Link]

 

kevlee Flag born Wandsworth emigrated to Lanc... 27 Dec 20 12.48pm

Originally posted by Spiderman

What a measured well thought out post! Unfortunately typical of a lot of remainers but hey ho

I voted leave...

 


Following Palace since 25 Feb 1978

steeleye20 Flag Croydon 27 Dec 20 12.52pm

Whatever happened to sovereignty and freedom from Brussels rule-taking?

Would a brexiteer just like to run those arguments through again?

After all it has been a matter of life and death to them for 4 years?

Jettisoned by Johnson for his day in the sun, in a matter of hours.

Thank you brexiteers for our increased 'control' and 'sovereignty' which you have actually conceded to the EU.

Detail was never your thing, was it?

I mean it wasn't written on the side of a bus in huge lettering.

 

Spiderman Flag Horsham 27 Dec 20 12.56pm

Originally posted by kevlee

I voted leave...

My reply was to Bert the Head

 

Page 1539 of 1552 < 1535 1536 1537 1538 1539 1540 1541 1542 1543 >

You are here: Home > Message Board > News & Politics > Topic