So, it means, over that period you would expect Palace to concede three quarters of a goal in any given match?

Expected goals (xG) and expected goals against (xGa) is basically how many goals you should have scored or conceded in a game based on the chances that occurred.

A simple way to explain it is if a striker takes a shot from outside the box that you'd expect to score once every ten times they attempt it, that would be worth 0.10 on the xG score. A 50/50 chance would be 0.50 etc. They all get added up across the game and the final xG score is how many goals, in theory, you should have scored in that game.

So tonight our xG was apparently 2.62 but we scored 4 times, meaning our strikers were clinical and outperformed what was expected. On another day you might get loads of chances, miss them all and then you'd have underperformed. Same principle applies the other way round in defence with xGa.

It's not an exact science at all but over the long term can be a good indicator about whether you're scoring / conceding more or less than you should be.

In the case of the Tweet I posted, it said that we have had an xGa of 0.75 per game since Roy took over, meaning that on average we should be conceding 0.75 goals per game.

Obviously in a specific match that makes no sense but over an entire season it would mean you should only be conceding like 28 times which shows how ridiculously well we have been shielding our goal and preventing big chances from taking place.

I'm not sure I've explained that well but hopefully gives an understanding.

Edited by Canterbury Palace (30 Aug 2023 12.26am)

We were somewhere around Barstow, on the edge of the desert, when the drugs began to take hold...

Exactly sell him whilst he's hot.

One more point

Couple more interesting rumours this morning.

L'Equipe have said we're interested in PSG 21-year-old striker Hugo Ekitike on loan. BBC have picked it up here: [Link]

And we're also being linked with a 20-year-old PSV winger, Johan Bakayoko: [Link]

Needless to say, both look like the reincarnation of Maradona on YouTube.

We were somewhere around Barstow, on the edge of the desert, when the drugs began to take hold...

My claim to fame was a tournament in Holland Playing for Packhood Rotterdam , we played 6 games in one day . I was called the new Ronaldo , little did i know they were comparing me to the fat bald retired one .