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Originally posted by mattteo
He has not flopped at all. This is exactly the type of thinking that is damaging, measuring player according to the number of matches. What if he just comes on for 4-5 minutes in those matches? Does it still count as 20 matches?? What if I tell you he didn't play more than 500 minutes in his usual position as striker and still managed to score 4 goals?? At Arsenal they kept on using him only as winger. Kind of hard to score from that position (at least as much as center forwards do). Try putting Benteke on the wing and see of he scores that much. Oh, wait... This is EXACTLY the kind of player who is cheap because people don't realize that his big number of matches is actually a small number of minutes and his value is kept down BECAUSE of that statistic you give of just 20 appearances and 1 goal making people suspect him a flop. This is exactly why people like me are good at this job, observing what others can't, seeing a player who others don't and getting him on the cheap when his value should be much, much higher and he WILL score BIG TIME if he is played, this I could almost guarantee if I were a scout.
Edited by mattteo (22 Jan 2019 7.10pm) Mattteo, I do love your posts. I love the fact that you honestly think that you are one of only a few people who can read these statistics and that you have somehow seen something that both have the upper hand West Ham and Palace have missed. I wish I had the same blind faith in my abilities as you do in yours.
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Originally posted by cryrst
There is a brad pitt movie based on i think the anerheim angels where their players are all recruited on stats. You are referring to Moneyball it did work because he was able to pick up bargains that traditional scouts overlooked. However like everything else once it became know they all adopted it.
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Originally posted by cryrst
There is a brad pitt movie based on i think the anerheim angels where their players are all recruited on stats. Moneyball was the film, and the Boston Red Sox were the team. The point many people are making regards Matteo's selective use of stats in conjunction with claims that his selective use of stats proves something. It doesn't, it merely provides a statistical guide to what happened in the past. It is useful as a tool, among other tools, to see if a player performs as expected. That ebig said, simply stating x player has y goals in z minutes, does little to tell us if said player contributes to team play, helps the team defend, or helps others to score through their movement, etc. He also claims only he had the foresight to see x y or z but was ignored. This often ignores the thousands of players he has said will be good, but never seem to be heard of outside of his posts. That should tell us something. If he wants to post on here good for him, but one should not expect to make such bold claims without any kind of response. After all, this is a discussion board is it not?
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Originally posted by cryrst
There is a brad pitt movie based on i think the anerheim angels where their players are all recruited on stats. Moneyball Has now become a commonly used term to describe the use of statistics to judge performance.
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Originally posted by NickinOX
That ebig said, simply stating x player has y goals in z minutes, does little to tell us if said player contributes to team play, helps the team defend, or helps others to score through their movement, etc. I've also reffered to that every time. Originally posted by NickinOX He also claims only he had the foresight to see x y or z but was ignored. This often ignores the thousands of players he has said will be good, but never seem to be heard of outside of his posts.
You tell me who I've talked about and has gone anonymous. I talked about Jony, who was an anonymous Malaga, bottom of the table team substitute last season and I said that the coach there is an idiot for not using him. And this year Jony is in the top of the assisters rankings in La Liga after Messi, Jordi Alba and Griezmann, playing for Alaves, where he gets his 90 minutes to actually do something. Do you know how I knew he would do that? Because I actually watched Jony at 22 years old, in his forst La Liga season with Sporting Gijon actually scoring and assisting about 15 times in about 3000 minutes for a relegation threatened newly promoted team. And before that he had had constant achievements in the La Liga 2 as they got promoted. So yeah, when Malaga was not using him, I actually knew how he would do when in another team which respected him. Same with my Lucas Perez suggestion above. And he's not the only player I've been right about, but I point him out because of the fact that he was an unnkown for everyone else before hitting 6 assists and 2 goals this season. Assisst are just like goals. It's like someone being top of the goal scoring charts, just that the price of those players is kept down because they're not exactly the ones getting the spotlight
And here he was in a very small left footed wingers list next to Cheryshev, Lestienne, Hernani from Porto and Ben Arfa. Cheryshev, you know, that guy who did this at the World Cup: You know, this was 1 year before, when NOBODY wanted him, and we could have gotten him for free (or very cheap)- just like Lucas Perez now. Shame nobody will seem to remember this conversation after a few years, when Lucas Perez would have scored 10+ a season in Spain's league or the PL.
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Originally posted by NickinOX
Moneyball was the film, and the Boston Red Sox were the team. The point many people are making regards Matteo's selective use of stats in conjunction with claims that his selective use of stats proves something. It doesn't, it merely provides a statistical guide to what happened in the past. It is useful as a tool, among other tools, to see if a player performs as expected. That ebig said, simply stating x player has y goals in z minutes, does little to tell us if said player contributes to team play, helps the team defend, or helps others to score through their movement, etc. He also claims only he had the foresight to see x y or z but was ignored. This often ignores the thousands of players he has said will be good, but never seem to be heard of outside of his posts. That should tell us something. If he wants to post on here good for him, but one should not expect to make such bold claims without any kind of response. After all, this is a discussion board is it not? No they weren’t, Oakland A’s were the team. Great movie anyway Edited by Northbrook (22 Jan 2019 10.22pm)
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Originally posted by Northbrook
No they weren’t, Oakland A’s were the team. Great movie anyway Edited by Northbrook (22 Jan 2019 10.22pm) Fair enough. I read something that said it was the Red Sox, but I am no expert in baseball.
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Originally posted by Northbrook
No they weren’t, Oakland A’s were the team. Great movie anyway Edited by Northbrook (22 Jan 2019 10.22pm) Sort of proves a point though about stats.
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Originally posted by cryrst
Sort of proves a point though about stats. Stats can tell you a lot about a baseball player. They only tell you a fraction of what you need to know about a footballer. When a batter steps up to the plate it's one on one and a binary outcome. Him versus the pitcher - Hit or no hit. As a winger you can skin your full back all day and lay it on a plate for your teammates but if they don't put the ball in the net then no assist for you. You can spend all day making intelligent runs only to never receive the ball so statistically another poor day for you. You're doing your job well but it will never show on the stats. Also, there is only one league in baseball so when you gather and compare stats on individuals they are based on performances against the same teams you will be playing. Players who score hat-tricks in minor European leagues don't tend to do so well in the Premier league. I think stats can alert to potential but there are just too many variables in football to base too much upon them. Players need to be watched, watched and watched again.
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Originally posted by L.E.Eagle
Stats can tell you a lot about a baseball player. They only tell you a fraction of what you need to know about a footballer. When a batter steps up to the plate it's one on one and a binary outcome. Him versus the pitcher - Hit or no hit. As a winger you can skin your full back all day and lay it on a plate for your teammates but if they don't put the ball in the net then no assist for you. You can spend all day making intelligent runs only to never receive the ball so statistically another poor day for you. You're doing your job well but it will never show on the stats. Also, there is only one league in baseball so when you gather and compare stats on individuals they are based on performances against the same teams you will be playing. Players who score hat-tricks in minor European leagues don't tend to do so well in the Premier league. I think stats can alert to potential but there are just too many variables in football to base too much upon them. Players need to be watched, watched and watched again. Good post. I am not a great believer in ranking a player based on stats. It's overall performances/work rate/would he fit into style of play that counts
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Originally posted by L.E.Eagle
Stats can tell you a lot about a baseball player. They only tell you a fraction of what you need to know about a footballer. When a batter steps up to the plate it's one on one and a binary outcome. Him versus the pitcher - Hit or no hit. As a winger you can skin your full back all day and lay it on a plate for your teammates but if they don't put the ball in the net then no assist for you. You can spend all day making intelligent runs only to never receive the ball so statistically another poor day for you. You're doing your job well but it will never show on the stats. Also, there is only one league in baseball so when you gather and compare stats on individuals they are based on performances against the same teams you will be playing. Players who score hat-tricks in minor European leagues don't tend to do so well in the Premier league. I think stats can alert to potential but there are just too many variables in football to base too much upon them. Players need to be watched, watched and watched again. Potential being the optimum word.
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