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Post EU World


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steeleye20 Flag Croydon 07 Feb 21 4.38pm

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

Great result on the vaccine

But exports down, allegedly, 68%

Chimes with the nightmare retail businesses were kicking off about last month. Not even sure if that’s possible to rectify - resolving it would surely mean rejoining the single market

Retail start ups and SMEs are screwed

There is no reason why EU consumers would buy from the UK now.

That figure is with grace periods which will end soon.

 

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 07 Feb 21 4.40pm

Originally posted by cryrst

Tbh if this number stays after 6 months or so then yes a cause for concern but we are just 6 weeks into brexit. We are rewriting a 40 odd year system.
It will take a little longer. If both sides had agreement earlier then the issues would at least have been visible. 3 days is all the heads up the uk had.

A lot of ifs there

I fail to understand why a contingency could not have been devised in the four years (four) prior in case this scenario arose. It’s not like this is a minority industry with a small economic contribution. On the list of ‘pretty s*** things that could happen’ I’d say it would have been comfortably nestling in their top 10

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

cryrst Flag The garden of England 07 Feb 21 7.36pm

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

A lot of ifs there

I fail to understand why a contingency could not have been devised in the four years (four) prior in case this scenario arose. It’s not like this is a minority industry with a small economic contribution. On the list of ‘pretty s*** things that could happen’ I’d say it would have been comfortably nestling in their top 10

So 10 different scenarios then. Not easy to plan for really.

 

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 07 Feb 21 8.52pm

Originally posted by cryrst

So 10 different scenarios then. Not easy to plan for really.

Rubbish.

Hard to plan for if you have a month, sure.

4 years? Literally the purpose of their existence, along with agreeing a deal. What makes this worse is this would have been known about as it is part of the deal. So it's not like it's come as a surprise to the government. Perhaps they thought the PR of securing a deal would be a better short term gain than the reality of what was actually agreed.

Wouldn't be the first time short termism has triumphed in politics. And won't be the last

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

silvertop Flag Portishead 08 Feb 21 10.39am

Originally posted by corkery

The Downing St declaration means it's up to the people in NI. This generation will need to die before any referendum. Nobody wants Northern Ireland anyway. British and Irish people both claim to love the place, sing songs about the place but it's a black hole for money.

Regardless of what side you're on (I'm on neither). The main thing is peace there.

Edited by corkery (04 Feb 2021 7.25pm)

That's funny and little known. I have been there many times (did little more than drink heavily) and kept well away from sectarian pish.

However, take a trip across the border and the Irish - no fools - are aware that it is a tinder box and wouldn't touch the place with a mile long pole. They may sing songs about the 6 counties, but would not actually want to rule them.

Take a trip across the Irish Sea and, if you take out West Scottish Rangers supporters and the hard line Tory right, there is a sizeable chunk of the British population who would happily see the whole island toed into the mid Atlantic.

 

silvertop Flag Portishead 08 Feb 21 10.40am

Originally posted by croydon proud

Mary Lou Mcdonald was on form today, she said the D.U.P wanted brexit, signed up to it, now the real;ity of it has hit they have to take the consequences, true enough, dont get what you shouted for, then try and change it when you have it.

By way of balance, she also came clean that the EU f****d up.

Which it did.

 

silvertop Flag Portishead 08 Feb 21 10.45am

Originally posted by chris123

Maybe they should think of a third option, an independent NI. I worked for DuPont in the 1980's and they had a plant in Maydown. A subsidiary was Conoco and I also worked in Aberdeen. At the time there was more nationalism in the North than in NE Scotland.

You might want to read your Irish history on that. NI had self rule for decades leading yup top (and causing) the Troubles. The protestant majority misruled to such an extent that Britain ultimately gave up and sent in the troops. Nothing has changed to suggest it would be any different if we tried that again. Just look at the DUP today.

 

Teddy Eagle Flag 08 Feb 21 10.59am

Another tranche of shops closed and 2,450 jobs lost, not including the support workers.

[Link]

 

chris123 Flag hove actually 08 Feb 21 11.08am

Originally posted by silvertop

You might want to read your Irish history on that. NI had self rule for decades leading yup top (and causing) the Troubles. The protestant majority misruled to such an extent that Britain ultimately gave up and sent in the troops. Nothing has changed to suggest it would be any different if we tried that again. Just look at the DUP today.

I was reflecting on what I saw in the eighties - no more. The were more Tory MPs than SNP.

 

Eaglecoops Flag CR3 08 Feb 21 11.09am

Originally posted by Teddy Eagle

Another tranche of shops closed and 2,450 jobs lost, not including the support workers.

[Link]

Awful chain of shops and have been for years. The High Street is dead, so you can blame Brexit, you can blame Covid, but at the end of the day the writing was on the wall for these shops a long time ago.

 

croydon proud Flag Any european country i fancy! 08 Feb 21 2.16pm

Originally posted by silvertop

By way of balance, she also came clean that the EU f****d up.

Which it did.

Yes, she talks a lot of sense. The E.U did a major fcuk up- they might have been taking lessons from the CONservatives ever since this corona virus began, at least they admitted the mistake and did a u turn in a few hours, unlike trying to dazzle the electorate with "world beating" nonsense, hanging it out with lies, then folding when the truth is out and media pressure makes them capitulate!

 

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 10 Feb 21 11.11pm

‘Speaking to lawmakers on Tuesday, Gove said the part of the Brexit deal covering Northern Ireland wasn’t working, and called for a reset in the EU’s relationship with Britain.‘

So now we want what took 4 years to devise and agree to be amended, to be more like what went before? i.e the common market. Ridiculous. This is starting to turn into a s*** show. What exactly is the incentive for the EU to renegotiate? Because from what I can read it’s only the UK that is really getting impacted by any of this.

It’s just as well we’re all locked down because if the music industry was functioning there would be hell to pay. Essentially, musicians can’t tour Europe due to the agreement and particulars re. Visas. No gigs. No festivals. No income. That’s another massive cock up to add to the e-commerce export situation.

JD just announced they would be creating a 1000 staffed distribution centre in Europe to get around the problem of exporting. Big companies will be fine, albeit taking money and jobs away from the UK and over to the EU - SMEs are screwed.

Edited by SW19 CPFC (10 Feb 2021 11.12pm)

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

BlueJay Flag UK 11 Feb 21 12.21am

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

‘Speaking to lawmakers on Tuesday, Gove said the part of the Brexit deal covering Northern Ireland wasn’t working, and called for a reset in the EU’s relationship with Britain.‘

So now we want what took 4 years to devise and agree to be amended, to be more like what went before? i.e the common market. Ridiculous. This is starting to turn into a s*** show. What exactly is the incentive for the EU to renegotiate? Because from what I can read it’s only the UK that is really getting impacted by any of this.

It’s just as well we’re all locked down because if the music industry was functioning there would be hell to pay. Essentially, musicians can’t tour Europe due to the agreement and particulars re. Visas. No gigs. No festivals. No income. That’s another massive cock up to add to the e-commerce export situation.

JD just announced they would be creating a 1000 staffed distribution centre in Europe to get around the problem of exporting. Big companies will be fine, albeit taking money and jobs away from the UK and over to the EU - SMEs are screwed.

Edited by SW19 CPFC (10 Feb 2021 11.12pm)

Most likely unfortunately. It's funny how with all of these oversights, it's always the little guy that just so happens to be the one paying the price. Those at the helm are inept, but clearly not when it comes down to their own and their pals self interest.

 

Tom-the-eagle Flag Croydon 11 Feb 21 8.42am

Originally posted by Teddy Eagle

Another tranche of shops closed and 2,450 jobs lost, not including the support workers.

[Link]

Shame for all staff laid off, however nothing to do with Brexit.

Times are a changing, and the way we shop is changing at quite a pace

 


"It feels much better than it ever did, much more sensitive." John Wayne Bobbit

Mapletree Flag Croydon 11 Feb 21 9.23am

Originally posted by Tom-the-eagle

Shame for all staff laid off, however nothing to do with Brexit.

Times are a changing, and the way we shop is changing at quite a pace

We have to switch to electric water heating and central heating in our houses.

I've decided to pull that forward. I'll be popping round to your gaff to switch off the gas next Tuesday. I am sure that's fine with you.

 

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 11 Feb 21 9.54am

The problems with the new trade rules are also impacting the ROI it will be interesting to see if the EU is happy to allow one of it's members to suffer just to stick it to the Brits.

As for the Irish being an EU member up until has been a good thing. However from this year onward Ireland is likely to become a net contributor in taxes to the EU, this and the recent issues over the vaccine and trade lets see how much they love the EU going forwards.

Oh I forgot the issue of fishing quotas as well, the Irish are now having the same problems as we did they think the EU is taking all their fish unfairly.

Edited by Badger11 (11 Feb 2021 9.56am)

 


One more point

steeleye20 Flag Croydon 11 Feb 21 10.02am

Originally posted by Badger11

The problems with the new trade rules are also impacting the ROI it will be interesting to see if the EU is happy to allow one of it's members to suffer just to stick it to the Brits.

As for the Irish being an EU member up until has been a good thing. However from this year onward Ireland is likely to become a net contributor in taxes to the EU, this and the recent issues over the vaccine and trade lets see how much they love the EU going forwards.

Oh I forgot the issue of fishing quotas as well, the Irish are now having the same problems as we did they think the EU is taking all their fish unfairly.

Edited by Badger11 (11 Feb 2021 9.56am)

Still EU ball-watching while the UK is going down the pan.

Nobody is sticking it to us except ourselves.

 

Matov Flag 11 Feb 21 10.23am

Originally posted by steeleye20

Still EU ball-watching while the UK is going down the pan.

Nobody is sticking it to us except ourselves.

There is some validity in this. Whilst I think certain issues are being exaggerated the reality is that the EU is acting in a way that is not beneficial to its own member states by way of its visceral loathing of the UK.

It is what I have struggled to understand about the HMG approach from day one of the Brexit process. The EU, and especially the Commission, have to try and f*** over the UK. A thriving UK, doing well whilst free of the shackles of Brussels, spells absolute disaster for them. The vaccine situation alone shows that. When old VDL tried to pull that stunt with Article 16, that was a sign of blind panic. A real 'tell' in terms of the utter fear they have when the UK manages to steal a march on them.

And these are vindictive people. In many ways our success with the vaccination programme might actually prove a hindrance in terms of our dealings with the EU because it has proven, in their own words, that a UK on the outside can react quicker and in a far more decisive way. The EU have to try and do our collective legs now in everyday possible.

The EU are a hostile organisation. Wishing nothing other than failure and misery upon the UK. And will use any and every means at their disposal. Which means we should respond in kind.

Go zero tariffs for as much as possible, apart from EU goods. Up those. The EU has not ratified the deal yet so we still have time to pull out. Open up every port we can to trade from around the world. Time to fight fire with fire. Scrap all controls on the internal border between the UK and NI and then dare the EU to impose a hard border.

The ROI sends 80% of its exports across into the north or transiting through the UK. By contrast, less than 2% of ours goes the other way. We can flood the UK with cheap agricultural produce. Lets not f*** around anymore pretending there is a deal possible.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 11 Feb 21 11.41am

5m EU citizens have been granted settled status and the scheme still runs until June.

[Link]

So I guess the governments estimate that there were 3.4 million living here was slightly off the mark as was the claim that millions of EU citizens were leaving racist Britain.

 


One more point

steeleye20 Flag Croydon 11 Feb 21 1.01pm

There could be some scope for the UK, as the trade deal has not been ratified yet by the EU.

But it is hard to see what the UK could offer.

It left the EU of its own volition without adequately considering the consequences.

Most sane people can see that the UK had nothing to gain by leaving, and everything to lose.

Indeed that is what we are seeing played out now.

 

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