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June 13 2024 9.15am

The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)

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View Badger11's Profile Badger11 Flag Beckenham 09 Sep 19 8.59am Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

If we leave without a deal it doesn't mean that we stop negotiating if the EU is willing to listen.

It may actually be easier to do a deal post Brexit. The EU has put down a red line over the Irish border and doesn't want to be seen backing down. The EU also does not want to be seen rewarding us.

Once we leave without a deal the EU will be forced to deal with that Irish issue one way or another. At the moment the issues are theoretical and diputed post Brexit they will be reality.

Whatever solution they come up with that will be the basis for any negotiation.

Like most I would prefer a deal but if we leave without one I still think that at some point in the not too distant future we will end up with one that the EU and Parliament can live with.

Politics is getting in the way of business. Post Brexit the EU politicians can claim they stood firm and didn't let the UK get away with it. The issues from both sides will known and I think common sense will prevail.

 


One more point

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View Midlands Eagle's Profile Midlands Eagle Flag 09 Sep 19 9.55am Send a Private Message to Midlands Eagle Add Midlands Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Badger11

If we leave without a deal it doesn't mean that we stop negotiating if the EU is willing to listen.

The prima donnas running the EU might not want to negotiate after Brexit but the German motor manufacturers, French farmers and Spanish tourist industry will put pressure on the EU to come up with a trade deal as they won't want to lose their lucrative markets

 

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View Mapletree's Profile Mapletree Flag Croydon 09 Sep 19 9.57am Send a Private Message to Mapletree Add Mapletree as a friend

Originally posted by Midlands Eagle

The prima donnas running the EU might not want to negotiate after Brexit but the German motor manufacturers, French farmers and Spanish tourist industry will put pressure on the EU to come up with a trade deal as they won't want to lose their lucrative markets

Perhaps so.

But of course the EU won't want to lose the EU.

 

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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 09 Sep 19 10.09am Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Teddy Eagle

And what part of the ballot paper included leaving with or without a deal?

All it asked was a binary question, to remain or to leave.

How we remained was obvious.

How we left wasn't specified but as an expectation that we would do so after first negotiating a new arrangement,, acceptable to both parties had been commonly understood during the campaign it is reasonable for Parliament to demand that this be established.

 


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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 09 Sep 19 10.15am Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by cryrst

There is no evidence at all to back up your 'damage' line.
Stop thinking every mp who bats for your side knows more than the ones who dont.
All ifs and buts and might and might not.

There is no evidence at all to back up your claim that there is no evidence.

Everyone, including those in the current government, understand that leaving without a deal is worse than leaving with one. The only difference is the degree of harm it would cause and how long it would last but most of the professionals believe the damage will be too great to willingly accept and must be avoided. Not just "if at all possible" but must.

The hardliners believe the pain is worth taking because of the "freedom" it brings. Most others disagree.

 


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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 09 Sep 19 10.25am Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Spiderman

Like Alistair Campbell did you mean

Alistair Campbell was a spin doctor. He very effectively managed the news cycle and the media's access to the PM and other members of the cabinet. He polished the presentation of New Labour.

He didn't hide in the background, devising devious plans specifically to try to thwart the will of Parliament and reduce the need for policy to be made by the Cabinet.

He was less a puppet master and more a master of ceremonies.

 


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View Spiderman's Profile Spiderman Online Flag Horsham 09 Sep 19 10.26am Send a Private Message to Spiderman Add Spiderman as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

That was an off the cuff statement by one Minister. When push comes to shove wiser heads will prevail. The biggest problem isn't France, it's Hungary but even they won't want to be isolated.

Hardly one

[Link]

 

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View Midlands Eagle's Profile Midlands Eagle Flag 09 Sep 19 10.29am Send a Private Message to Midlands Eagle Add Midlands Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle


Everyone, including those in the current government, understand that leaving without a deal is worse than leaving with one.

It has long been said that a bad deal is worse than no deal and all we are likely to be offered are bad deals


Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

The only difference is the degree of harm it would cause and how long it would last but most of the professionals believe the damage will be too great to willingly accept and must be avoided. Not just "if at all possible" but must.

It depends on how you define "professionals" I would have thought that the Chancellor of the Exchequer was a professional and he seems happy enough that No Deal won't mean the end of all life as we know it

 

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View Spiderman's Profile Spiderman Online Flag Horsham 09 Sep 19 10.31am Send a Private Message to Spiderman Add Spiderman as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Alistair Campbell was a spin doctor. He very effectively managed the news cycle and the media's access to the PM and other members of the cabinet. He polished the presentation of New Labour.

He didn't hide in the background, devising devious plans specifically to try to thwart the will of Parliament and reduce the need for policy to be made by the Cabinet.

He was less a puppet master and more a master of ceremonies.

Talk us through his role in the dodgy dossier or do you think the Iraq war was legal and Iraq had weapons of mass destruction

 

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View Spiderman's Profile Spiderman Online Flag Horsham 09 Sep 19 10.33am Send a Private Message to Spiderman Add Spiderman as a friend

Originally posted by Midlands Eagle

It depends on how you define "professionals" I would have thought that the Chancellor of the Exchequer was a professional and he seems happy enough that No Deal won't mean the end of all life as we know it

Now come on ME you must know by now that only those who want to remain have any brains and common sense it has been intimated on here enough times

 

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View Badger11's Profile Badger11 Flag Beckenham 09 Sep 19 10.34am Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Originally posted by Midlands Eagle

The prima donnas running the EU might not want to negotiate after Brexit but the German motor manufacturers, French farmers and Spanish tourist industry will put pressure on the EU to come up with a trade deal as they won't want to lose their lucrative markets

Just heard a press conference between Boris and Leo Varacker. A couple of interesting comments:

Varacker said that even if we leave without a no deal we still need to continue to negotiate about the Irish border issue. So he is recognising that some form of negotiations will continue and presumably should they agree a solution to the border question post Brexit this may pave the way to a trade deal.

Boris for his part was really strong on saying he wants a deal. "Failure to agree a deal is a failure of statesmanship". I think this is aimed at the waverers in his party who think he wants a no deal.

Still all to play for.

 


One more point

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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 09 Sep 19 10.35am Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by chris123

Surely the EU have made it clear that the deal can't be changed and Parliament has voted it down three times anyway. There is no other deal. As far as damage is concerned, many of us want the Government to crack on negotiating free trade deals with the rest of the world and no deal is far from damaging, it's enabling.

They have, and for some very good reasons. We have objected, for some equally good reasons. So we have an impasse.

When you have an impasse you just need to work harder to find a path around or through it. Both sides need to understand the other's problems and work together to overcome them.

As no-one wants this dragging on and on any more than they don't want "no deal" then the motivation to do just that is obvious. There is a new team in Brussels on November 1st. Hopefully soon after that we will have a new team in the UK.

Playing "who blinks first" with the country's future is no way for mature, experienced politicians to behave. It might appeal to the macho types who seem to think everything will be OK, just wait and see, but it is totally irresponsible.

 


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