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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


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CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 11 Oct 17 11.07am

Can anyone explain why Tory Brexiteers are going on about setting aside Billions in preparation for no deal?

I thought we'd be getting back £350m a week not having to shell out billions from May's magic money tree?

Surely these hardline Brexit fanatics should be pointing that out? Why hasn't Boris come out and said that the £350m a week will avoid the need for having to carve out billions from our Budget? Billions that should be being spent on the NHS etc.

 

Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 11 Oct 17 11.15am

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle

Can anyone explain why Tory Brexiteers are going on about setting aside Billions in preparation for no deal?

I thought we'd be getting back £350m a week not having to shell out billions from May's magic money tree?

Surely these hardline Brexit fanatics should be pointing that out? Why hasn't Boris come out and said that the £350m a week will avoid the need for having to carve out billions from our Budget? Billions that should be being spent on the NHS etc.

I was under no illusion there would be short term pain for long term gain.

The NHS claim shouldn't have been used by people not PM so I didn't believe that.

Armageddon won't happen. It makes no sense to big European business leaders. The worst case scenario would be enough to send every exporting country into a serious recession. Those big business leaders have more influence than some dirt tracked East European cheap labour exporting country we never knew was coming 13-40 years ago.

It's going to happen and we'll make it work.

 


COYP

CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 11 Oct 17 11.20am

Originally posted by Rudi Hedman

I was under no illusion there would be short term pain for long term gain.

The NHS claim shouldn't have been used by people not PM so I didn't believe that.

Armageddon won't happen. It makes no sense to big European business leaders. The worst case scenario would be enough to send every exporting country into a serious recession. Those big business leaders have more influence than some dirt tracked East European cheap labour exporting country we never knew was coming 13-40 years ago.

It's going to happen and we'll make it work.


I don't doubt it can be done. I doubt it can be achieved by this Tory party.

Why are they so ardent that we should be jumping off the cliff? They seem to crave no deal.

How do you reconcile the claims of exactly the same benefits as before with "taking back power"? How do you reconcile the chasm of opinion within a weak Tory party with everyone pulling in the same direction.

I think part of the problem is that the EU doesn't know what we want and doesn't trust anything May says as she's weak and has contradicted herself on numerous occasions. Flip flopping on her own view last night was hardly helpful.

 

Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 11 Oct 17 11.21am

Originally posted by steeleye20

Mrs May should cancel brexit forthwith.

The damage is always repairable and our reputation as a trustworthy and reliable nation in the world restored.

The tories should clear out their deluded old has-beens and look for politicians who can connect with the lives of ordinary people.


Ordinary will, possibly not far off, be living 16 to a house, 4 per room, on pitiful money and with little say left.

Nick says we should embrace it.

And we are trustworthy and reliable. Our bond markets vs others, the welcoming we get with our tourism and the keenness to open businesses due to the relatively talented workforce says so. What needs to be done is focusing on our people for a change to meet those opinions Western businesses have had for years, not lose it.

 


COYP

npn Flag Crowborough 11 Oct 17 11.21am

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle


The entire UK aviation sector which employs nearly a million people and carries more than 250 million passengers per annum would be devastated by a Brexit ‘no deal’.

Unlike most other sectors there are no World Trade Organisation or any other rules to fall back on for aviation if there is no deal.

UK airlines could find they have to stop flying
.

I've not researched it, and not worked in the airline industry for over 20 years, but I thought the "Freedoms of the Air" treaties were effectively the equivalent of WTO (more or less).

The EU is not granted flight rights, individual airlines are, if I remember right, so I will bow to the industry insiders, but I see no fundamental reason why no deal should affect aviation (and if it does, don't forget how many European airlines use Heathrow as a hub for onward flight to the Americas etc, so it would also be a problem both ways)

 

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 11 Oct 17 11.29am

Originally posted by Rudi Hedman

Ordinary will, possibly not far off, be living 16 to a house, 4 per room, on pitiful money and with little say left.

Nick says we should embrace it.

And we are trustworthy and reliable. Our bond markets vs others, the welcoming we get with our tourism and the keenness to open businesses due to the relatively talented workforce says so. What needs to be done is focusing on our people for a change to meet those opinions Western businesses have had for years, not lose it.


I think you may have missed some sarcasm.

 

Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 11 Oct 17 11.34am

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle


I don't doubt it can be done. I doubt it can be achieved by this Tory party.

Why are they so ardent that we should be jumping off the cliff? They seem to crave no deal.

How do you reconcile the claims of exactly the same benefits as before with "taking back power"? How do you reconcile the chasm of opinion within a weak Tory party with everyone pulling in the same direction.

I think part of the problem is that the EU doesn't know what we want and doesn't trust anything May says as she's weak and has contradicted herself on numerous occasions. Flip flopping on her own view last night was hardly helpful.

There were lies on both sides in a poor debate, iced off with Cameron leaving the next morning after saying he'd stay on. There were also promises of planning for leave, but there wasn't. I don't expect everything, and I don't expect nothing, and neither of those is good for them either. It will be tough no doubt for a while after, but this is for life, not an economic life cycle, which has been our nation's problem for decades.

The Tories aren't managing themselves well, but the EU are trying to bully us and we as a nation don't suffer bullies, unless they're in Africa with little economic value. But Labour on the other hand change their opinion on the single market every other day, so how are they any better? And to have Corbyn go in and have his cheeks and chin rubbed like a cat doesn't fill me with any confidence either.

May isn't being challenged for leadership because everyone knows it's going to be very tough straight afterwards and nobody wants the finger pointing because they caused it. As much as I can't stand her as a useless pm, void of any policies or vision that she'll actually implement rather than empty promises, she's probably the best person to leave in there and then scuttle away knowing this is all she's actually suited for.

 


COYP

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 11 Oct 17 11.35am

I've heard it said that David Davies has wanted a hard Brexit all along, which is why no deal is a distinct possibility. He's been playing for it.

Bit s*** if true.

 

Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 11 Oct 17 11.38am

Originally posted by nickgusset


I think you may have missed some sarcasm.

Deep down you mean it. Que sera, let whatever unfolds. Cheap labour winning over British apprenticeships, 7% say in a European Parliament. The European straight jacket.

 


COYP

Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 11 Oct 17 11.39am

Originally posted by npn

I've not researched it, and not worked in the airline industry for over 20 years, but I thought the "Freedoms of the Air" treaties were effectively the equivalent of WTO (more or less).

The EU is not granted flight rights, individual airlines are, if I remember right, so I will bow to the industry insiders, but I see no fundamental reason why no deal should affect aviation (and if it does, don't forget how many European airlines use Heathrow as a hub for onward flight to the Americas etc, so it would also be a problem both ways)

They will become more expensive. Those cheap weekend flights will go up. Whatever.

 


COYP

CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 11 Oct 17 11.45am

Originally posted by npn

I've not researched it, and not worked in the airline industry for over 20 years, but I thought the "Freedoms of the Air" treaties were effectively the equivalent of WTO (more or less).

The EU is not granted flight rights, individual airlines are, if I remember right, so I will bow to the industry insiders, but I see no fundamental reason why no deal should affect aviation (and if it does, don't forget how many European airlines use Heathrow as a hub for onward flight to the Americas etc, so it would also be a problem both ways)

I posted a quote from The British Airline Passengers Association, which pointed out that no such WTO equivalent exists to fall back on for aviation.

Without a deal airlines would have to cease to operate and so people and goods could not fly.

Without certainly airlines won't sell advanced tickets for the post 29 March 2019 period so in effect we've got 6 months to iron out at least a transition or airlines will start to stop selling flights as they generally sell up to 350 days in advance.

 

CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 11 Oct 17 11.47am

Originally posted by nickgusset

I've heard it said that David Davies has wanted a hard Brexit all along, which is why no deal is a distinct possibility. He's been playing for it.

Bit s*** if true.

Hence why he's covering up all the research that's been done on the impact of no deal collected by his department.

 

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 11 Oct 17 11.50am

Originally posted by Rudi Hedman

Deep down you mean it. Que sera, let whatever unfolds. Cheap labour winning over British apprenticeships, 7% say in a European Parliament. The European straight jacket.

No I don't.

 

susmik Flag PLYMOUTH -But Made in Old Coulsdon... 11 Oct 17 8.08pm

Originally posted by nickgusset

I've heard it said that David Davies has wanted a hard Brexit all along, which is why no deal is a distinct possibility. He's been playing for it.

Bit s*** if true.

Where did that come from Nick ?

 


Supported Palace for over 69 years since the age of 7 and have seen all the ups and downs and will probably see many more ups and downs before I go up to the big football club in the sky.

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 11 Oct 17 8.16pm

Originally posted by susmik

Where did that come from Nick ?

Radio this morning. Can't remember if it was radio 4, 5 or LBC

 

CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 12 Oct 17 5.14pm

Issues highlighted in this article are undoubtedly true

[Link]

The desires of the likes of Boris, Fox, Mogg et al to turn the UK into a Singapore on Thames will do nothing for these people. People don't want power just moving from Brussels to Ministers' briefs in Westminster. They want real social change. Anyone who wants Brexit to be a success for British people and to counter the problems of 40 years of neoliberalism like me cringe at the mess that the Tories are making of this and the fact that they are totally misrepresenting the will of the people. People voted for Brexit to make Britain fairer and more equal and all this talk of "no deal" and galivanting around the world striking trade deals will do nothing to fix this problem. It's turned into a pet project for Tories to create a low tax, low regulation economy even more in favour of the wealthy and the elite.

The only way to achieve the Brexit people voted for and respect the will of the people is to vote the Tories out at the next available opportunity.

 

pefwin Flag Where you have to have an English ... 12 Oct 17 6.18pm

An interesting article from the Business Insider

[Link]

 


"Everything is air-droppable at least once."

"When the going gets tough, the tough call for close air support."

Stirlingsays Flag 12 Oct 17 6.46pm

The more and more I hear from the fifth columnists the more I like the sound of no deal.

If the EU want to do hardball then let's do it. Faint hearts can move.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

steeleye20 Flag Croydon 12 Oct 17 6.59pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

The more and more I hear from the fifth columnists the more I like the sound of no deal.

If the EU want to do hardball then let's do it. Faint hearts can move.

Ending brexit is the most patriotic thing the government could ever do.

None of the brexiteers wishes will be fulfilled and its foolhardy to continue.

Why, by having no deal, are the tories already panicking into planning to borrow huge sums of money?

Isn't the whole point that there will be 350 millions a week saved and therefore available?

You do the maths.....

The only hope for us is that lenders will stop lending to us and that's regardless of brexit.


 

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 12 Oct 17 7.00pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

The more and more I hear from the fifth columnists the more I like the sound of no deal.

If the EU want to do hardball then let's do it. Faint hearts can move.

No deal will be a f***ing disaster.

 

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