We can dismiss all the economists, imf, BofE, OECD forecasts as 'guesses' and just stick our fingers in our ears but surely this is like Nero playing the fiddle while Rome burns. I promise you, if all of the above concluded that we would be better off in the event if brexit, i would vote to leave.
Re the debt figure. Currently its 6% of public spending. The forecasts (which is what the financial markets work around) suggest that gdp would be reduced, sterling would decline especially versus the dollar. What do you think will happen at the next treasury auction? If you have worked in the same bond markets as i have you would surely agree that a less favourable economic outlook would require higher yields .i.e what we have to pay to the bondholders for lending us money would go up. With this rising and the amount available for other public services reducing due to a reduced gdp, the % of public expenditure going to service debt would logically rise.

I honestly feel so sorry for your wife.

The euro is very different with respect Willo. There was never a consensus (as the leave campaign seem to be suggesting) that we should join, infact i remember the BofE was against joining, at the time being criticised as having a conflict of interest as it would have also taken away monetary policy from the MPC, which is its main function. I recall that the politicians were split and said it would only be considered if 5 key economic conditions were met, one of which was fiscal and monetary discipline including public deficits by euro members i.e. it was never gonna happen.
Businesses and economists were similarly split, but imo i think this is a smokescreen, we are not in the euro, we have control of our own monetary policy, we will not be required to bail out Greece or any euro member should they need it and there is little chance of that changing over the long term.

Remainder.

I have responded to this already, please see my post on previous page at 2:13pm today concluding that we are net better off by £1.2b a week with £14b additional funding for the NHS if we remain

Thought i did this already. Source: Treasury says avg uk household will be worse off by £4,300 pa. There are 19million households in uk. 4,300×19,000,0000 = £81billion which equals 1.57billion per week. Minus £350m = £1.2billion net better off. Additionally gdp growth could be 9.5% reduced in event of brexit source IMF. translated into public spending a 9.5% reduction in health budget = 14billion less spent on the Nhs.

I'm not sure that HM Treasury can be relied upon as a disinterested source, especially as, historically, they don't have a particularly impressive track record in their forecasts.

I'd view any info from a Government source with considerable suspicion.

I am an economist actually, and its a simple sum, i've stated which sources i used....what you choose to believe is up to you but if i were you i would be very wary of leave propoganda

So information from the Remain camp is 'statistics' but if it originates from the Brexit side it's 'propaganda'?

Not through being part of the Eurozone, I agree, but we ARE bailing them (and everyone else in trouble) out through member ship of the IMF - same horse, different colour!

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