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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


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Willo Flag South coast - west of Brighton. 29 May 16 1.51pm

Originally posted by JohnyBoy

Your views are welcome on here Willo regardless of what your missus says. ...and i have just returned from church (where i read the lesson) so will similarly get off my pulpit....but your stats say the nhs will need an extra £9bn by 2030 whats that 5-7%? And you attribute all of this rise to immigration? Do you not think that part of it could be attributable to an ageing population? Or maybe adavances in medical science or demographic trends that mean people(particularly men) are using the nhs more? Or the rising cost of treatment and drugs? But you infer that its all due to immigration.....when the ceo of the nhs says that brexit is a significant threat to the future of the nhs..which could lead to a 14billion decline in nhs spending.
I know you will say this is 'scaremongering' from the head of the nhs which seems the only explanation for most of the out campaign at the moment but tell me this.....if you had a serious medical condition and found out that over 90% of doctors advised on a certain course of treatment with the usual disclosure that there could be no 100% guarantees of success but that the alternative could well cause more significant damage even though they may be good homeopathic treatments, or leeches or just the experience of that bloke Colin down the pub who insists doctors are just guessing and trying to scare you, would you really just ignore the 90% of doctors?........really?


I listen to the medical profession with regard to their sphere of expertise in the field of medicine.My father was a Doctor !

 

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 29 May 16 1.56pm

Originally posted by snytaxx

Looks like it has sadly.

Truth is, the vast majority of voters are either firmly entrenched into the remain or leave camps and really wont change their minds no matter what you tell them. That leaves a slim margin as king makers, the campaign has therefore descended into 'who can get their attention' the best.

A sad reality but necessary to win...

Out of curiosity Gusset, did you make up your mind over how you were going to vote?


Nope. On the one hand positives are that we'd be part of a huge trading block and the EU has curtailed a lot of what IDS and Co wanted to do regarding benefits. I'd hate to think what they'd do if unleashed from the EU.
On the other hand, I think the EU have royally stitched Greece, Spain and Portugal up in league with the IMF.

 

Willo Flag South coast - west of Brighton. 29 May 16 2.02pm

Originally posted by nickgusset

Has it really come to this?

When I was driving to the midlands I saw one of these signs in a field. The "German" was covered up but I could still see the word through the cover !!!!

 

JohnyBoy Flag 29 May 16 2.05pm

Originally posted by Rubin

I'm not blaming immigrants for anything. I'm blaming the EU free movement rules. If I could move elsewhere withing Europe and get a job that pays 5 times more than I currently do for more menial work, then I'd be unapologetically getting a plane tomorrow.

I'm sure immigration from outside the EU has a positive impact as we get to choose who comes in, but the majority of EU immigrants will be on minimum wage jobs, and are likely to be claiming tax credits or whatever they're called today. Those that have a benefit would still be allowed to come if we had some kind of points system. It's undeniable that low end immigration over the past 15 years has kept wages down, whichever has just meant that big corporations make bigger profits.

I would agree with your last point rubin that corporations are making excessive profits, rewarding corporate execs at the expense of workers but this is what the living wage policy seeks to redress (i.e. a domestic uk policy)...but even this is slammed by the far right members of the leave campaign as they say it will act as a magnate. Personally i would go further and place further restrictions on exec pay that properly rewards workers contributions.
But we do NOT have an open door policy with no control over our borders. This is a lie. Everyone coming into the uk needs a passport (except from Ireland), we did not sign up, nor will we to the Shenghen agreement where open borders is stipulated. We have a veto (article 49) that allows us to stop other countries (e.g. Turkey) joining and even we can, and have the right to send citizens of the eu back if we have good reason (e.g criminality)...and the head of mi6 says that the risk of terrorism will increase in the event of brexit.
So what does that mean in the event of brexit. It means that any passport checks or holding centres like the calais jungle would suddenly become a folkestone jungle and that the eu would demand a level of labour migration in exchange for trade e.g Norway has to abide with free movement of labour through its borders and it has to pay nearly as much as the uk (based on gdp per head) to the eu....but they do not get a say and have no way of changing things from within

 

Willo Flag South coast - west of Brighton. 29 May 16 2.25pm

Originally posted by JohnyBoy


But we do NOT have an open door policy with no control over our borders. This is a lie. Everyone coming into the uk needs a passport (except from Ireland), we did not sign up, nor will we to the Shenghen agreement where open borders is stipulated. We have a veto (article 49) that allows us to stop other countries (e.g. Turkey) joining and even we can, and have the right to send citizens of the eu back if we have good reason (e.g criminality)...and the head of mi6 says that the risk of terrorism will increase in the event of brexit.

We cannot control EU citizens from coming here, living here, claiming benefits and using our public services.Free movement of Labour and all that.I'm not of course talking about criminals seeking to live here.And how the hell do we know that EU citizens with a passport are not criminals ? Is intelligence about crime committed in EU countries passed on to UK ?

Anyway, you will be delighted to know that I shall now get off my "Soapbox" a" or I will start on increased levels of births from EU mothers, increased registrations with GPs etc etc etc !!!!

Goodbye !


Edited by Willo (29 May 2016 2.39pm)

 

big_palace_fan Flag 29 May 16 2.36pm

Originally posted by Rubin

When are they going to start doing that then? They clearly aren't at the moment, presuming your simplistic solution will work.

Ask your government.

London only recently returned to 1950s population, seems like 60 odd years is more than long enough to plan these things.

Make places around the country not London have thing worth going to any overcrowding it solved very quickly.

Key questions people must ask are
1) Is what we are currently discussing the question at hand - are we better or worse off inside in the EU?

2) Does leaving the EU solve said problem?

 

snytaxx Flag London 29 May 16 2.37pm

Originally posted by nickgusset


Nope. On the one hand positives are that we'd be part of a huge trading block and the EU has curtailed a lot of what IDS and Co wanted to do regarding benefits. I'd hate to think what they'd do if unleashed from the EU.
On the other hand, I think the EU have royally stitched Greece, Spain and Portugal up in league with the IMF.

I'm curious though, wouldn't a true left winger shun an unelected pro austerity body and fling the doors open to the rest of the world? Imagine a free trade deal with Africa, Asia.. South America (think of all the left wing paradise governments we could trade with)! Wouldn't it be just wonderful Gusset!? The chance to tell Goldman Sachs to f*** off start pumping investment into developing countries which aren't in Europe. Corbyn believes in all these things, which is why he is voting for the Brexit!

Wait... what?

 

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 29 May 16 2.40pm

Originally posted by Willo

We cannot control EU citizens from coming here, living here, claiming benefits and using our public services.Free movement of Labour and all that.I'm not of course talking about criminals seeking to live here.And how the hell do we know that EU citizens with a passport are not criminals ? Is intelligence about crime committed in EU countries passed on to UK ?

Anyway, you will be delighted to know that I shall now get off my "Soapbox" a" or I will start on births from EU mothers, increased registrartions with GPs etc etc etc !!!!

Goodbye !


Edited by Willo (29 May 2016 2.37pm)

You've had more farewells on this thread today than Bowie and Elvis combined!

 

JohnyBoy Flag 29 May 16 2.40pm

Originally posted by Willo

We cannot control EU citizens from coming here, living here, claiming benefits and using our public services.Free movement of Labour and all that.I'm not of course talking about criminals seeking to live here.And how the hell do we know that EU citizens with a passport are not criminals ? Is intelligence about crime committed in EU countries passed on to UK ?

Yes it is at the moment but this sharing of info will likely stop in the event of brexit which also affects information on terrorists apparently, and we have restrictions on benefits. Over 95% of nhs/care homes usage is by British citizens and we get to use french spanish etc healthcare should we need it if we live, work, holiday or retire abroad. You clearly didnt get my doctor/economist analogy then?

Edited by Willo (29 May 2016 2.29pm)

 

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 29 May 16 2.43pm

Originally posted by snytaxx

I'm curious though, wouldn't a true left winger shun an unelected pro austerity body and fling the doors open to the rest of the world? Imagine a free trade deal with Africa, Asia.. South America (think of all the left wing paradise governments we could trade with)! Wouldn't it be just wonderful Gusset!? The chance to tell Goldman Sachs to f*** off start pumping investment into developing countries which aren't in Europe. Corbyn believes in all these things, which is why he is voting for the Brexit!

Wait... what?

Correct me if I'm wrong, but don't mep's vote on legislation. Things aren't just pushed through.

I'd imagine that our current government would push through more ideologically unsound austerity measures (cut services to promote growth - really?)than the EU.

Alas your 'left wing paradise ' cliché negates all you say as it seems lifted from whatever rag you read.


Edited by nickgusset (29 May 2016 2.46pm)

 

snytaxx Flag London 29 May 16 2.58pm

Originally posted by nickgusset

Correct me if I'm wrong, but don't mep's vote on legislation. Things aren't just pushed through.

I'd imagine that our current government would push through more ideologically unsound austerity measures (cut services to promote growth - really?)than the EU.

Alas your 'left wing paradise ' cliché negates all you say as it seems lifted from whatever rag you read.


Edited by nickgusset (29 May 2016 2.46pm)

MEPS do vote on legislation, introduced by the commission, who votes for them Mr. Gusset?

Just to clarify then, you are against my visions of investment in Africa and on trade with practically every other continent in the world because I worded it in a really optimistic way as opposed to flooding the HOL with predictions of doom and gloom?

As the so called rag at hand. Its the peoples daily, you can find a link to their online news here, sadly you wont find much coverage about the EU referendum as today's feature is about how President Xi plans to "drive through the old age harmonious sustainable economic development". Just what we can do... once we leave the EU. Yaay!

[Link]

*after edit

Responding to point about our own government. I agree, they are t***s, however we could always vote them out in 4 years time though right?


Edited by snytaxx (29 May 2016 3.04pm)

 

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 29 May 16 3.07pm

Originally posted by snytaxx

MEPS do vote on legislation, introduced by the commission, who votes for them Mr. Gusset?

Just to clarify then, you are against my visions of investment in Africa and on trade with practically every other continent in the world because I worded it in a really optimistic way as opposed to flooding the HOL with predictions of doom and gloom?

As the so called rag at hand. Its the peoples daily, you can find a link to their online news here, sadly you wont find much coverage about the EU referendum as today's feature is about how President Xi plans to "drive through the old age harmonious sustainable economic development". Just what we can do... once we leave the EU. Yaay!

[Link]

The EU commission consists of one person from each member state put forward by the government of that country. Our elected government chooses who will represent the U.K.

As for being against investment in Africa, of course there should be investment. What a facile argument to ally me with being against that.
It would be like me saying you agree with the poster I linked to earlier saying 'watch out ze Germans are coming'

 

snytaxx Flag London 29 May 16 3.21pm

Originally posted by nickgusset

The EU commission consists of one person from each member state put forward by the government of that country. Our elected government chooses who will represent the U.K.

As for being against investment in Africa, of course there should be investment. What a facile argument to ally me with being against that.
It would be like me saying you agree with the poster I linked to earlier saying 'watch out ze Germans are coming'

Exactly what mandate does the current UK government have to select a representative. Is the name of said representative printed in the tory party 2015 election manifesto. Once selected, is his nomination ratified by the UK parliament?

Alas Gusset, I ask you not to take any of my arguments personally, I am merely trying to get inside your head to find out if / why you think EU membership will really help us reach out to the world in the way I think we all want to and not just totally get in the way of this country's true potential to be of benefit to the world.

Also lastly... I do agree with the poster. I hope Roy and the boys really take it into consideration ahead of the Euros next month.

Edited by snytaxx (29 May 2016 3.23pm)

 

JohnyBoy Flag 29 May 16 3.31pm

Originally posted by snytaxx

MEPS do vote on legislation, introduced by the commission, who votes for them Mr. Gusset?

Just to clarify then, you are against my visions of investment in Africa and on trade with practically every other continent in the world because I worded it in a really optimistic way as opposed to flooding the HOL with predictions of doom and gloom?

As the so called rag at hand. Its the peoples daily, you can find a link to their online news here, sadly you wont find much coverage about the EU referendum as today's feature is about how President Xi plans to "drive through the old age harmonious sustainable economic development". Just what we can do... once we leave the EU. Yaay!

[Link]

*after edit

Responding to point about our own government. I agree, they are t***s, however we could always vote them out in 4 years time though right?


Edited by snytaxx (29 May 2016 3.04pm)

This is again a distortion. We have a uk general election, uk local elections, mep european elections, mayoral elections and even down here in sussex police commissioner elections - which means my kids nursery was shut fir a day as it was used as a polling station ffs. In the UK we have commissioned reports by industry experts e.g paul myners, lord browne, adair turner etc...all unelected, who compile reports with their teams and make recommendations. None can become law without an mp vote (although the house of lords (also unelected) can veto.
Similarly in the eu they have specialists i.e. non politicians making recommendations or most usually trading standards that ensure quality, farming methods etc. So when Boris complains about 4 banana regulations from an unelected body, what does he want, an elected minister for bananas?! Really?!
And we are not prevented from trading with the rest of the world be it a socialist paradise or an african dictatorship unless there are sanctons. I've read on here that 55% of our overseas trade is now outside of the eu (and subject to wto rules which would be the same in event of brexit) so this part of our trade is flourishing already

 

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 29 May 16 3.45pm

[Link]

Here's an interesting perspective on a left wing exit argument. Not saying I agree with all of it, but raises some salient points.


I still don't know which way to vote...

Edited by nickgusset (29 May 2016 3.46pm)

 

snytaxx Flag London 29 May 16 3.51pm

Originally posted by JohnyBoy

This is again a distortion. We have a uk general election, uk local elections, mep european elections, mayoral elections and even down here in sussex police commissioner elections - which means my kids nursery was shut fir a day as it was used as a polling station ffs. In the UK we have commissioned reports by industry experts e.g paul myners, lord browne, adair turner etc...all unelected, who compile reports with their teams and make recommendations. None can become law without an mp vote (although the house of lords (also unelected) can veto.
Similarly in the eu they have specialists i.e. non politicians making recommendations or most usually trading standards that ensure quality, farming methods etc. So when Boris complains about 4 banana regulations from an unelected body, what does he want, an elected minister for bananas?! Really?!
And we are not prevented from trading with the rest of the world be it a socialist paradise or an african dictatorship unless there are sanctons. I've read on here that 55% of our overseas trade is now outside of the eu (and subject to wto rules which would be the same in event of brexit) so this part of our trade is flourishing already

Ignoring the point about schools (I dont want to be accused of accusing you of being against democracy).

1. 'Commissioned' reports - who commissions these reports? Our elected government. Who chooses whether or not to implement their recommendations? Our elected government. Who gets to debate / amend parts of the legislation? Our elected MP's. Does the same process of scrutiny occur in the EU - possibly, but not by elected officials from this country

2. Trade outside the EU. We are absolutely prevented properly trading with countries outside the 'common market'. As the EU puts tariffs on some non european goods, those countries tend to retaliate by tariffing common market goods (within WTO rules - assuming they are a member). As a member of the common market, we are therefore subject to those tariffs even if it isn't of benefit to us.

Also, as members of the EU, we are prevented from signing our own trade deals unless ratified by the rest of the EU, a lengthy and arduous process.

When we do get a trade deal such as the EU - USA one, we find that it isn't tailored to our interests as it will pave the way for US companies to purchase parts of the NHS.

To say that non - EU trade is unaffected by EU membership when we can't even pick up the phone and talk about a trade deal with another country i'm afraid is distortion max!

 

JohnyBoy Flag 29 May 16 4.06pm

Originally posted by snytaxx

Ignoring the point about schools (I dont want to be accused of accusing you of being against democracy).

1. 'Commissioned' reports - who commissions these reports? Our elected government. Who chooses whether or not to implement their recommendations? Our elected government. Who gets to debate / amend parts of the legislation? Our elected MP's. Does the same process of scrutiny occur in the EU - possibly, but not by elected officials from this country

2. Trade outside the EU. We are absolutely prevented properly trading with countries outside the 'common market'. As the EU puts tariffs on some non european goods, those countries tend to retaliate by tariffing common market goods (within WTO rules - assuming they are a member). As a member of the common market, we are therefore subject to those tariffs even if it isn't of benefit to us.

Also, as members of the EU, we are prevented from signing our own trade deals unless ratified by the rest of the EU, a lengthy and arduous process.

When we do get a trade deal such as the EU - USA one, we find that it isn't tailored to our interests as it will pave the way for US companies to purchase parts of the NHS.

To say that non - EU trade is unaffected by EU membership when we can't even pick up the phone and talk about a trade deal with another country i'm afraid is distortion max!

1. We elect mep's do we not? And if its traded in the eu i dont have a problem that there are rules and regulations to ensure fairness e.g. monopolistic or protectionist practices. The problem with our elected meps is that 1/3rd are ukip who either dont turn up or maliciously vote against uk best interests e.g they voted AGAINST us getting the rebate.
2. The eu gets the best trade deal within the restrictions of the wto. They will insert mfn clauses etc and more negotiating tactics by virtue of the fact they are the biggest gorilla in the room. Saying we will get a better deal if we left is just another unjustified clam by the leave campaign...
...and we are picking up the phone and trading with the rest of the world everyday, its working just fine thanks

 

snytaxx Flag London 29 May 16 4.26pm

Originally posted by JohnyBoy

1. We elect mep's do we not? And if its traded in the eu i dont have a problem that there are rules and regulations to ensure fairness e.g. monopolistic or protectionist practices. The problem with our elected meps is that 1/3rd are ukip who either dont turn up or maliciously vote against uk best interests e.g they voted AGAINST us getting the rebate.
2. The eu gets the best trade deal within the restrictions of the wto. They will insert mfn clauses etc and more negotiating tactics by virtue of the fact they are the biggest gorilla in the room. Saying we will get a better deal if we left is just another unjustified clam by the leave campaign...
...and we are picking up the phone and trading with the rest of the world everyday, its working just fine thanks

1. Yes of course, but the executive isn't, they propose the legislation. If we are just relying on our MEP's (which you have already pointed out as doing a piss poor job) to just block legislation until we get something that suits us as a good system of governance, i'm afraid you are living in cloud cuckoo land. Your argument is that the system is broken because 'we' the British people are too stupid to vote the way which suits brussels - oh brilliant. Thats the democracy issue sewn up then.

2. Says who? The EU? Where is the benchmark? There is none, because we dont have one because we can't trade deal ourself. You've just accused the leave group of making an unjustified claim then dropped a whopper yourself.

Tell me, hows the EU - Canada trade deal coming along? Is it done yet?

How is the EU - Australia deal done yet too?

Could you link me to the EU - China deal?

But its okay, just keep telling everyone its all going fine, nothing to see here, at least at the EU -( insert country X) trade deal signing ceremony anyway.

 

JohnyBoy Flag 29 May 16 4.42pm

Originally posted by snytaxx

1. Yes of course, but the executive isn't, they propose the legislation. If we are just relying on our MEP's (which you have already pointed out as doing a piss poor job) to just block legislation until we get something that suits us as a good system of governance, i'm afraid you are living in cloud cuckoo land. Your argument is that the system is broken because 'we' the British people are too stupid to vote the way which suits brussels - oh brilliant. Thats the democracy issue sewn up then.

2. Says who? The EU? Where is the benchmark? There is none, because we dont have one because we can't trade deal ourself. You've just accused the leave group of making an unjustified claim then dropped a whopper yourself.

Tell me, hows the EU - Canada trade deal coming along? Is it done yet?

How is the EU - Australia deal done yet too?

Could you link me to the EU - China deal?

But its okay, just keep telling everyone its all going fine, nothing to see here, at least at the EU -( insert country X) trade deal signing ceremony anyway.

So its cloud cookoo land t say that ukip has the worst attendance record out of 700+ parties? Or that they voted against us getting the rebate? Cos they are both true...and yes the british public must share responsibility for electing these meps who 70k+ a year...and then dont turn up!!!
And if you have ever been involved in significant deals the largest player usually/always inserts an mfn clause, so that suppliers cant then go to smaller operators that could make their business/businesses less competitive. This aint cookoo land its the real world.

 

snytaxx Flag London 29 May 16 5.01pm

Originally posted by JohnyBoy

So its cloud cookoo land t say that ukip has the worst attendance record out of 700+ parties? Or that they voted against us getting the rebate? Cos they are both true...and yes the british public must share responsibility for electing these meps who 70k+ a year...and then dont turn up!!!
And if you have ever been involved in significant deals the largest player usually/always inserts an mfn clause, so that suppliers cant then go to smaller operators that could make their business/businesses less competitive. This aint cookoo land its the real world.

I'm not here to defend, UKIP, I don't care what happens to them or any other MEP, my issue is that you seem intent to just keep blaming the electorate for why the system isn't working. This is the whole issue with the EU and why it loses / refuses to address its really sketchy democratic record. If anyone takes issue with its structure, they just turn around and say, "oh no, its not our fault our system of government doesn't fit your local populace, its their fault they don't fit into our imposed system of doing things". Literally shocking behaviour.

When China and Australia signed their FTA last year, the Chinese didn't say "oh no Australia, we here in China are bigger than everyone else meaning you can only trade with us".

China and Australia now have a fully functioning FTA which allows 95% tariff free trade, millions of dollars of mutual trade and thousands of working holiday visa's for ordinary Chinese citizens with the skills Australia needs. Can we have that? I'm still waiting for your link...

Nope your solution is to rely on big man brussels, the head of a trade bloc that hasn't grown economically in 10 years to just bully our way in trade negotiation while still thinking we run the world.

 

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