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General Election 2017


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CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 19 Apr 17 5.44pm

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

We are all far better off regardless of any increase in wealth for the super rich.
I would have to ask. How well off would we all have to be before the left were content?
They thrive on the idea that society is unfair but the truth is that we have never been prosperous.
Transition in industry occurs continuously and if you don't keep up you die. The misuse of union power in the 70's and the related lack of productivity and quality and over staffing decided the fate of much of manufacturing. The coal miners were the poster boys for holding the country and government to ransom and they paid the price. The rest of us have benefited as a result.

That view supposes the UK is the only country to have experienced anything like this. It isn't. Other developed countries have managed to deal with economic transitions and avoided huge increases in inequality. Other countries have also managed to increase levels of productivity way above what the UK has managed.

Inequality is massively inefficient and harmful. Joseph Stiglitz (Nobel Laureate) has written quite persuasively on the matter and a summary of a talk he gave a couple of years ago is here [Link]

But google inequality and Stiglitz and you will find a number of well written articles and interviews on the matter.

We're definitely not all better off and furthermore the question (much more difficult to answer) should be whether we are better off than we could have been if a different course had been taken. I'd argue almost certainly not given the examples of other countries, the balance of payments problem, low productivity, high inequality and the state some parts of the country are in today.

 

Willo Flag South coast - west of Brighton. 19 Apr 17 5.47pm

Speaking to a number of people across the political spectrum and reading various articles it would appear that the consensus formed is thus :

Conservatives will win with a substantially increased majority.
Labour will lose a large number of seats.
Lib Dems will gain quite a few seats, perhaps re-gaining some lost in the 2015 election particularly in their previous stronghold in the South-West.
UKIP will fair badly.
SNP will once again do very well in Scotland.
Labour could be looking for a new leader on June 9th.

I am really looking forward to seeing the results roll-in !!!!


 

CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 19 Apr 17 5.52pm

Originally posted by matt_himself

There is a point in voting UKIP. We don't want May doing anything other than what the people voted for last year - a clean Brexit. The ballot sheet was clear, voting out meant out.

May needs to be held to account on this and not wuss out and water this down. UKIP are the only ones who will do this.

However, I would rather have May in than Jezza or that bellend Farron in a coalition, so I may end up tactically voting in order to make sure that the 'progressives' stay out of power.

However, I do feel the same as Cucking. They are pretty much all a shower of s***e, career orientated bellends. Only Sir Nigel and a few other politicians, for example although I detest his politics Dennis Skinner, deserve any praise, for being principled.

I'm pretty sure all it said was "leave the EU". Not "clean brexit". If you look at the raft of promises made by the leave camp they include things like single market access and a number of other things which imply anything other than a "clean brexit".

The fact is lots of people voted to leave the EU but not for the same reasons and not with the same vision for brexit. At least now that can be set partially right as parties can say what brexit actually means in their manifestos. Don't forget the Leave campaign was chaired by a Labour MP. It's like the Scottish referendum. Leaving the UK means many different things depending on who you ask. Noone currently has any mandate to set our future course outside the EU only to "leave the EU" but after that the direction is unclear.

Lib Dems have ruled out a coalition with Labour I believe.

 

CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 19 Apr 17 5.53pm

Originally posted by Willo

Speaking to a number of people across the political spectrum and reading various articles it would appear that the consensus formed is thus :

Conservatives will win with a substantially increased majority.
Labour will lose a large number of seats.
Lib Dems will gain quite a few seats, perhaps re-gaining some lost in the 2015 election particularly in their previous stronghold in the South-West.
UKIP will fair badly.
SNP will once again do very well in Scotland.
Labour could be looking for a new leader on June 9th.

I am really looking forward to seeing the results roll-in !!!!


I'd say this is quite a succinct summary of the current most likely scenario. A lot can change between now and then. Tim Farron doing a good job today of putting his foot in it for instance!

 

Kermit8 Flag Hevon 19 Apr 17 5.53pm

^^^^^^ re:willo

Translation - 'watched Newsnight and read a newspaper in the last 24 hours'

Edited by Kermit8 (19 Apr 2017 6.02pm)

 


Big chest and massive boobs

[Link]


We are goin up! Flag Coulsdon 19 Apr 17 5.55pm

Originally posted by nickgusset

Once again, may doesn't actually answer a question in pmq's and gets away with it.


And who do you think might be at fault for consistently letting the PM off the hook at PMQs????????

 


The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.

.TUX. Flag 19 Apr 17 5.56pm

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

Wow. Red coloured specs.
I'm sure that industry has been at the mercy of new technology, changing markets and global politics since it began and workers have had to adapt one way or another.
I dread to think where we would be had the Unions maintained their choke hold over industry and government.
Another Labour government in 1979 would have been a disaster.
You need to let go of your Thatcher prejudice.

Says the man who can't let go of his continual 'Labour in the 70's' gripe.
No, they were not perfect (what govt is?), but they had a hell of a lot to contend with. You never mention the end of Bretton-Woods in '71 (that started the rot that we're still living today) along with a GLOBAL energy crisis that both led to ever increasing inflation. Hardly Labours fault.

You need to let go of your Labour prejudice

 


Buy Litecoin.

Kermit8 Flag Hevon 19 Apr 17 5.59pm

Originally posted by matt_himself

There is a point in voting UKIP. We don't want May doing anything other than what the people voted for last year - a clean Brexit. The ballot sheet was clear, voting out meant out.

May needs to be held to account on this and not wuss out and water this down. UKIP are the only ones who will do this.

However, I would rather have May in than Jezza or that bellend Farron in a coalition, so I may end up tactically voting in order to make sure that the 'progressives' stay out of power.

However, I do feel the same as Cucking. They are pretty much all a shower of s***e, career orientated bellends. Only Sir Nigel and a few other politicians, for example although I detest his politics Dennis Skinner, deserve any praise, for being principled.


I don't think by their very nature populists can do genuine 'principled' but apart from that I am on the same page as yourself and Cucking.

Standards are very low in politics these days. I don't want an MP to be of the same intellect as the man on the street or have backward looking parochial intent. House of Commons has too many of those types these days.

 


Big chest and massive boobs

[Link]


matt_himself Flag Matataland 19 Apr 17 6.09pm

Originally posted by Kermit8


I don't think by their very nature populists can do genuine 'principled' but apart from that I am on the same page as yourself and Cucking.

Standards are very low in politics these days. I don't want an MP to be of the same intellect as the man on the street or have backward looking parochial intent. House of Commons has too many of those types these days.

Sir Nigel is principled. Has never swayed from his vision of leaving the EU in 25 years of being a politician. A great man.

 


"That was fun and to round off the day, I am off to steal a charity collection box and then desecrate a place of worship.” - Smokey, The Selhurst Arms, 26/02/02

matt_himself Flag Matataland 19 Apr 17 6.12pm

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle

I'm pretty sure all it said was "leave the EU". Not "clean brexit". If you look at the raft of promises made by the leave camp they include things like single market access and a number of other things which imply anything other than a "clean brexit".

The fact is lots of people voted to leave the EU but not for the same reasons and not with the same vision for brexit. At least now that can be set partially right as parties can say what brexit actually means in their manifestos. Don't forget the Leave campaign was chaired by a Labour MP. It's like the Scottish referendum. Leaving the UK means many different things depending on who you ask. Noone currently has any mandate to set our future course outside the EU only to "leave the EU" but after that the direction is unclear.

Lib Dems have ruled out a coalition with Labour I believe.

Did the ballot paper say 'Leave bits of the EU but not all of it'? No, it said leave.

 


"That was fun and to round off the day, I am off to steal a charity collection box and then desecrate a place of worship.” - Smokey, The Selhurst Arms, 26/02/02

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 19 Apr 17 6.15pm

Originally posted by We are goin up!


And who do you think might be at fault for consistently letting the PM off the hook at PMQs????????

John Bercow

 

Willo Flag South coast - west of Brighton. 19 Apr 17 6.30pm

Originally posted by Kermit8

^^^^^^ re:willo

Translation - 'watched Newsnight and read a newspaper in the last 24 hours'

Edited by Kermit8 (19 Apr 2017 6.02pm)

Wouldn't hire you as my translator.

 

Stirlingsays Flag 19 Apr 17 7.05pm

Originally posted by Kermit8

"My surname is Stirling, to answer the location name point"

A true British name that. Heralds from Germanic or perhaps Scottish ancestry of a combo of both maybe

Immigrants were welcome

Shall we just call you 'strawman Kermy'.

As I have said before Kermy, regulated useful immigration is welcome....though I know reading other people's posts for detail isn't an interest area of yours.

The original 'English' hid in Wales when Rome finally invaded in force.....So that silly post only works when used against someone wanting to stop all immigration as the English today are a mixture of all.

Not willingly though....wars were fought....People in general don't like their lands and culture being altered without choice.

Well....some of us do.....A minority always do.

Edited by Stirlingsays (19 Apr 2017 7.38pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Stirlingsays Flag 19 Apr 17 7.11pm

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle

I rely on reports I've read for my assertions on the impact of immigrants on the public purse and here is something I got from a very quick google:

[Link]


I believe blaming foreigners for social and economic problems is easy and therefore casual. It also absolves governments and people born in the UK from the blame.

Posters like the one I uploaded previously that was issued by UKIP are racist in my opinion as they use people's ethnicity as a tool to create negative feelings.


Also Lewisham is quite nice now in parts and is benefiting from investment due to it's location in zone 2. I like the mix of shops and restaurants. You should go to the Model Market on a Saturday night after an early season Palace game. It's great!

No, what you rely on is one side of an argument. The side that you agree with.

It's only people like you who talk of 'blaming foreigners'. I don't blame people wanting to get to a better life. Who I blame are people like you who want to let everybody in.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 19 Apr 17 7.18pm

Originally posted by .TUX.

Says the man who can't let go of his continual 'Labour in the 70's' gripe.
No, they were not perfect (what govt is?), but they had a hell of a lot to contend with. You never mention the end of Bretton-Woods in '71 (that started the rot that we're still living today) along with a GLOBAL energy crisis that both led to ever increasing inflation. Hardly Labours fault.

You need to let go of your Labour prejudice

That last bit was said in jest to a fully paid up Lefty.
I acknowledge the end of Bretton Woods and the oil crisis but that applied to all of the West. You cannot excuse your way out of pandering to unions when the exact opposite was needed to remain competitive in a difficult period. The Labour party were a victim of their own origins. A remodeling of British industry and restoration of the British reputation was required in the following years. Thatcher and Blair both knew that.


 

Stirlingsays Flag 19 Apr 17 7.19pm

Originally posted by CambridgeEagle

What makes you think there was an "inability" to increase investment on infrastructure? Or for that matter investment in education and healthcare?

Tax take per capita will be impacted by earnings per capita and the tax rate. If tax take per capita falls, as you suggest that would imply lower earnings per capita or reduction in tax rates. Earnings per capita has broadly increased since 1979, however average taxes on personal income have fallen from 10% of GDP to 9% in that time. That's over 1% lower than in the US, having been slightly higher in 1979. It's also lower than Canada, NZ, the Nordics and a number of other OECD countries. Tax on corporate profits has also shrunk as a share of GDP from 3.6% of GDP to 2.5% since the Tories came back to power. Social security contributions are also way below the OECD average and have reduced under the Tories.

This is ideological. The Tories have decided to slash spending on infrastructure, policing, healthcare, education, while simultaneously reducing the tax burden. Reducing tax on companies doesn't promote inward investment in the way that politicians would have you believe. There are huge amounts of corporate profits which sit on balance sheets doing nothing. It actually takes money out of the economy far from creating some sort of multiplier effect.

But more even than just talking about tax take - the government has been using QE for years now to prop up asset prices. This is completely irresponsible, and also ignores what they should be doing with monetary policy - increase money supply to invest in the economy and improve productivity. Creating asset bubbles with public finances just helps line the pockets of those who own the assets - the already wealthy. Using the argument that printing money for government spending just creates inflation is only true when an economy is at full employment - something ours is nowhere near. You can increase money supply and increase GDP in real terms up to that point. But this is against Tory ideology.

Actually tax take is very important. While I'd agree with you upon the ethics of the various situations all I'm actually interested in is the end result.

The elite will always protect and insulate itself and those saying that this can be changed by government are not only lying to themselves but to others. Only worldwide action can change that and hence it's pointless.

You have to create an economy that the rich are willing to invest in....or they will take their ill gotten gains elsewhere.....As happened in France....You see that's what socialism gets the poor....an increase in support for the far right.

Tell me a government that has used your ideas and has increased the wealth of its poorest?

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Stirlingsays Flag 19 Apr 17 7.20pm

Originally posted by nickgusset

To be honest. Living in a Tory stronghold it doesn't matter who I vote for.

You should live somewhere more in keeping with your principles.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Stirlingsays Flag 19 Apr 17 7.22pm

Originally posted by DanH

Always enjoy the deafening silence after someone who clearly actually knows their economic stuff posts.

Dream on numpty, some of us actually had some work to do.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Stirlingsays Flag 19 Apr 17 7.28pm

Originally posted by Lyons550

If's and but's eh....If we want to trade externally we will need to build the manufacturing base on which to do so. the Finance sector which we've been almost wholely reliant on for the past few decades will shrink leaving the need for us to be able to make things.

How do you build a significant manufacturing base when China and poorer parts of the world can make it cheaper?

You either have to have unique hard to copy things to sell or use protectionism.

Protectionism only has a chance of working if you essentially have the option of being self reliant.....America could do a limited form of it...though it is to be seen if it is wise.

We couldn't.

Anyone dreaming of the UK re-creating a manufacturing sector to re-balance the economy is living in cloud cuckoo land....well...there's a lot of loons living there so it might be crowded....Just take out a Labour party membership instead.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Stirlingsays Flag 19 Apr 17 7.33pm

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

I think it is to an extent, a governments responsibility is to it citizens, and their prospects are part of that. Governments have to provide for the people they represent and their interests.

The problem is the scale of the problem at hand, especially given the increased academic level of requirement necessary for the new jobs.

Its noteworthy that even the Thatcher introduced a number of training schemes, aimed primarily at young people, such as the YTS, which did create opportunities for education and employment on apprentice schemes (I did one) but the problem was always what to do with the older workers, who were educationally unsuited to the new job markets that were springing up.

The issue I think of criticism that can be levelled at Thatcher here, is that her government did little to nothing to slow down the death of manufacturing and industry in the UK, instead opting more towards a free market approach, that left whole areas of the country in high unemployment zones.

I think that's a fair analysis.

Thatcher had the right medicine but she applied it in lethal doses......and some of her policies like selling off council houses without replacing them was tantamount to a crime against the working class.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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