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April 19 2024 7.26am

What's required to overtake Palace

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View PALACE FOR EVER's Profile PALACE FOR EVER Flag London 13 Apr 14 11.50am Send a Private Message to PALACE FOR EVER Add PALACE FOR EVER as a friend

For the bottom four clubs they need the following to get more points than Palace.

Sunderland (GD is 10 worse than ours) 13 points from 6 games.
Cardiff (GD is 19 worse than ours) 9 points from 4 games.
Fulham (GD is 25 worse than ours) 8 points from 4 games.
Norwich (GD is 12 worse than) 6 points from 4 games.

You also have to realise there is one match where two are playing each other, Sunderland v Cardiff.

Sunderland need 5 wins or 4 wins & 1 draw.
Cardiff need 3 wins.
Fulham need 3 wins or 2 wins & 2 draws.
Norwich need 2 wins or 1 win and 3 draws.
and of course Palace have to lose all 5 of there matches.

Perhaps Sunderland may only require 12 points to finish above Palace as they could finish with a better GD, which is of course 4 wins.

 


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bertshead Flag Castlederg 13 Apr 14 11.55am

Looks like we could be staying up then

 

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View The Sash's Profile The Sash Flag Now residing in Epsom - How Posh 13 Apr 14 12.02pm Send a Private Message to The Sash Add The Sash as a friend

I worked this same thing out yesterday and the flip to it is for them to overtake us assuming we don't get another point all season...

Sunderland can only afford drop 5 points
Cardiff can only drop 3 points
Fulham can only drop 4 points
Norwich can only afford to drop 6

So as soon as those teams 'drop' those points then we are safe...and what we do is irrelevant

Norwich, WBA and even Swansea are looking vulnerable to the bottom three a hell of a lot more than we are...who would have thought that in August

 


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View ludwig's Profile ludwig Flag sutton 13 Apr 14 12.36pm Send a Private Message to ludwig Add ludwig as a friend

Quote The Sash at 13 Apr 2014 12.02pm

I worked this same thing out yesterday and the flip to it is for them to overtake us assuming we don't get another point all season...

Sunderland can only afford drop 5 points
Cardiff can only drop 3 points
Fulham can only drop 4 points
Norwich can only afford to drop 6

So as soon as those teams 'drop' those points then we are safe...and what we do is irrelevant

Norwich, WBA and even Swansea are looking vulnerable to the bottom three a hell of a lot more than we are...who would have thought that in August

i think alot of people will be refering to this over the next few weeks...


 

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View dalzini's Profile dalzini Flag 13 Apr 14 1.09pm Send a Private Message to dalzini Add dalzini as a friend

Have to say, Fulham and Cardiff will do well to record anything near that.

Granted I only caught the MOTD highlights but looked like both sides 1-0 wins were very fortunate, Norwich and Soton could have been out of sight by half time in those matches.

 

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View Willo's Profile Willo Online Flag South coast - west of Brighton. 13 Apr 14 1.25pm Send a Private Message to Willo Add Willo as a friend

Quote dalzini at 13 Apr 2014 1.09pm

Have to say, Fulham and Cardiff will do well to record anything near that.

.

Remaining games for Fulham and Cardiff :

Fulham -
H Tottenham, Stoke
A Hull, C.Palace

Cardiff -
H Stoke, Chelsea
A Sunderland, Newcastle


 

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View reginald_maudling's Profile reginald_maudling Flag 13 Apr 14 10.12pm Send a Private Message to reginald_maudling Add reginald_maudling as a friend

I think one more point for us could be very significant

e.g. it means that to get above us:

Sunderland can't lose 2 of their remaining 6 games (they have 3 hard away games and 3 winnable home games)

Cardiff can't lose one game of their last 4(they are away to Chelsea last game although let's hope Chelsea are not distracted for that by the CL

Fulham can't lose one game of their last 4 (they have momentum and their hardest game is away to Spurs who are inconsistent)

Norwich would not be able to lose 2 out of their 4 difficult games

so in terms of probability I think one more point before the Fulham game would make a huge difference

hull, swansea, west brom and villa have enough games left of the type where they should pick up points and I think they could all easily finish higher than us

because we have just played the easiest remaining fixture of the last 6 and now have three very hard fixtures out of five

west ham away could be a decisive game for us - hopefully we won't then suddenly realise our survival is not already done and dusted

we don't want to go to Fulham for the last game in a situation where if they beat us they could pip us, anything could happen and they will have home advantage

fortunately Mr Tony Pulis won't be taking things for granted


Quote PALACE FOR EVER at 13 Apr 2014 11.50am

For the bottom four clubs they need the following to get more points than Palace.

Sunderland (GD is 10 worse than ours) 13 points from 6 games.
Cardiff (GD is 19 worse than ours) 9 points from 4 games.
Fulham (GD is 25 worse than ours) 8 points from 4 games.
Norwich (GD is 12 worse than) 6 points from 4 games.

You also have to realise there is one match where two are playing each other, Sunderland v Cardiff.

Sunderland need 5 wins or 4 wins & 1 draw.
Cardiff need 3 wins.
Fulham need 3 wins or 2 wins & 2 draws.
Norwich need 2 wins or 1 win and 3 draws.
and of course Palace have to lose all 5 of there matches.

Perhaps Sunderland may only require 12 points to finish above Palace as they could finish with a better GD, which is of course 4 wins.


 

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View reginald_maudling's Profile reginald_maudling Flag 13 Apr 14 10.16pm Send a Private Message to reginald_maudling Add reginald_maudling as a friend

sorry Cardiff's last game is home (not away) to Chelsea

 

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Catfish Flag Burgess Hill 13 Apr 14 10.19pm

We need to go back to frustration tactics against Everton to try and grind out a point.

 


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View FinchleyEagle's Profile FinchleyEagle Flag 13 Apr 14 10.20pm Send a Private Message to FinchleyEagle Add FinchleyEagle as a friend

In the media we barely got a mention this week as we're officially not in the relegation struggle so are of presumably little interest !

Marvellous.

Although we all remember 1993 (if we're old enough) and are not counting any chickens...

 


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View Dartford Eagle's Profile Dartford Eagle Flag Southend 13 Apr 14 10.25pm Send a Private Message to Dartford Eagle Add Dartford Eagle as a friend

We are not safe yet, very, very nearly, but how the hell did Cardiff beat Saints... amazing things can happen in the relegation fight, as Tony said in an interview, 40 points would be nice!

 

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View reginald_maudling's Profile reginald_maudling Flag 13 Apr 14 10.43pm Send a Private Message to reginald_maudling Add reginald_maudling as a friend

to correct an error in my above post, Fulham could still overtake us if they only lose one of their remaining games but us gaining another point would mean they would have to win at least two of the three before playing us

I think they still have a real chance of escaping relegation, better than Cardiff and Sunderland and Norwich

 

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