Analytics towards the drop
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 Sheks Crows Eye  Virginia 02 Oct 17 7.43pm |
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Some different looks at analytics, one offers hope - the other doom and gloom.
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YT  Oxford 02 Oct 17 7.47pm |
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Maybe we could start playing like Burnley. 8 points from 4 away games at Chelsea, Spuds, Liverpool and Everton. But wait a minute; is that the same Burnley that we - under FdB - outplayed and should have buried but for a lack of any striking ability?
Palace since 19 August 1972. Palace 1 (Tony Taylor) Liverpool 1 (Emlyn Hughes) |
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| Brinscall Eagle Brinscall Lancashire/ Villamartin ... 02 Oct 17 8.49pm |
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So the stats say depending on which angle you look at it we will either survive or get relegated. However us fans know that our season will be defined after the Chelsea game. If we go on to score goals and pick up points we will have a chance. If we carry on our failure to score and failure to pick up points then we know we will have no chance of surviving. So whatever the stats may or may not indicate us fans know what the real situation is. COYP
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| Dan1994 Wallington 02 Oct 17 10.50pm |
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Originally posted by Brinscall Eagle
So the stats say depending on which angle you look at it we will either survive or get relegated. However us fans know that our season will be defined after the Chelsea game. If we go on to score goals and pick up points we will have a chance. If we carry on our failure to score and failure to pick up points then we know we will have no chance of surviving. So whatever the stats may or may not indicate us fans know what the real situation is. COYP Not really, I've read both prior to today; the BBC one is highly unpredictable... They put these types of things out all the time, and they are rarely right. Iirc they did one when we looked dead and buried last season, and low and behold we stayed up. The first one is looking more at the performances we are putting in. Basically, what he was saying is that our performances (based on things like shots conceded, shots created, xG etc.), compared to the average (over many PL seasons), haven't been as bad as the scorelines suggest. Why does that matter? Generally everything regresses back to the average, and we are way below that. In theory, if we keep playing the way we are, then we should see an upturn in form. Edited by Dan1994 (02 Oct 2017 10.50pm)
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| spartakev2 Anerley 03 Oct 17 7.32pm |
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Originally posted by Brinscall Eagle
So the stats say depending on which angle you look at it we will either survive or get relegated. However us fans know that our season will be defined after the Chelsea game. If we go on to score goals and pick up points we will have a chance. If we carry on our failure to score and failure to pick up points then we know we will have no chance of surviving. So whatever the stats may or may not indicate us fans know what the real situation is. COYP Did you work that out all by yourself. ..impressive 😉
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| Brinscall Eagle Brinscall Lancashire/ Villamartin ... 03 Oct 17 9.15pm |
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Originally posted by spartakev2
Did you work that out all by yourself. ..impressive 😉 Yep did not need any analysts to do it just came naturally. Good eh!
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leifandersonshair  Newport 03 Oct 17 9.36pm |
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40 points look a long way away currently...
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PalazioVecchio  south pole 03 Oct 17 9.40pm |
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22.7% OF statistics are fabricated on the spot. Edited by PalazioVecchio (05 Oct 2017 12.39pm)
Eze Peasy at Anfield.... |
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| gambler Kent 03 Oct 17 9.51pm |
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Originally posted by leifandersonshair
40 points look a long way away currently... Don't need 40 points. 34, 35 possibly 36. 9 wins 8 draws 14 defeats from remaining games. 35 points. Job done.
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| Pigglelet Deepest Darkest Sussex 04 Oct 17 10.32am |
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Remember that magic number thing? Well as things stand currently we only need another 99 points to guarantee survival - shame we can only get 93 even if we win all of our remaining games. Thankfully that figure will continue to reduce as the season progresses and it's a totally meaningless stat at this stage. Just thought I'd share though.
"Better to keep your mouth shut and appear stupid than to open it and remove all doubt." |
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| bexleydave Barnehurst 04 Oct 17 10.59am |
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Originally posted by gambler
Don't need 40 points. 34, 35 possibly 36. 9 wins 8 draws 14 defeats from remaining games. 35 points. Job done. You no more know that than anyone else does. This could just as easily be the season that 40+ points are needed to stay up. We are not yet in any position to be complacent about what's required. At the moment even 34 looks like climbing Everest equipped with only a T-shirt, shorts and flip-flops.
Bexley Dave Can you hear the Brighton sing? I can't hear a ******* thing! "The most arrogant, obnoxious bunch of deluded little sun tanned, loafer wearing mummy's boys I've ever had the misfortune of having to listen to" (Burnley forum) |
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| The Dolphin 04 Oct 17 11.49am |
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We have 31 games to go and still have to play -
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