The Magic Number 17/18
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 Lyons550  Shirley 09 Apr 18 12.50pm |
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As I've done for the last 3 seasons now...here is the perceived 'Magic Number' that we need to attain to ensure safety....I know diff people have different takes on this but a number regularly refer to it...so here it is...it also doesn't take into account GD...but I can add that in if people wish. Edited by Lyons550 (09 Apr 2018 12.52pm)
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Attachment: cardiff eagle  09 Apr 18 1.09pm |
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I always enjoy this but i'd love one season where you didn't have to do this thread because we were already safe!
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| Lyons550 Shirley 09 Apr 18 1.13pm |
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Originally posted by cardiff eagle
I always enjoy this but i'd love one season where you didn't have to do this thread because we were already safe! Was thinking exactly that myself mate...!
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| Eewires Guildford 09 Apr 18 1.38pm |
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Originally posted by cardiff eagle
I always enjoy this but i'd love one season where you didn't have to do this thread because we were already safe! It seems to say we need 16 points from 5 games. Might struggle to do that.
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| YT Oxford 09 Apr 18 1.49pm |
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Originally posted by Eewires
It seems to say we need 16 points from 5 games. Might struggle to do that. No it’s saying that if we win all our 5 games we can’t (as at today) guarantee safety.
Palace since 19 August 1972. Palace 1 (Tony Taylor) Liverpool 1 (Emlyn Hughes) |
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| rollercoaster Cornwall 09 Apr 18 1.50pm |
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Originally posted by Eewires
It seems to say we need 16 points from 5 games. Might struggle to do that. Yep, we're currently relying on Southampton dropping a point. Therefore we need one more point than we can possibly get to ensure safety (at this point in time).
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| jhillman USA 09 Apr 18 3.39pm |
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Originally posted by rollercoaster
Yep, we're currently relying on Southampton dropping a point. Therefore we need one more point than we can possibly get to ensure safety (at this point in time). Fixture congestion might help us: Southampton, Huddersfield, Swansea and West Ham have 3 games in 7-8 days in May. Southampton also have 4 games in April, including the cup semi-final. However ... Bottom line is: We need to win games! Edited by jhillman (09 Apr 2018 3.45pm)
As a kid in the mid-1950s, seeing the old floodlights from our kitchen window in Whitworth Road, the writing was on the wall. |
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| dannyboy1978 10 Apr 18 7.23am |
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As long as we don't make the record for the only team to get relegated with record premiership points and the least premiership points.
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| Painter Croydon 10 Apr 18 8.30am |
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Originally posted by dannyboy1978
As long as we don't make the record for the only team to get relegated with record premiership points and the least premiership points. That is impossible, if you know the lowest amount of points Derby had in 2007-08.
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Bjerntheman  Kongsberg/norway 10 Apr 18 9.44am |
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I saw this on twitter from EuroClubIndex.
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| Bitter Harpenden 10 Apr 18 11.27am |
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The current magic numbers for each side ignores the game effect of games played against each other. If we start factoring those in, the system becomes much more complex! The current method is each side’s magic number, taken in isolation, which almost certainly overestimates the actual magic number. Not that I’m clutching at straws! If we can finish the season playing as we have done recently, I am sure we have enough about us to finish above West Brom, Stoke and Huddersfield. Finishing above anybody else would be a bonus.
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| Direwolf Lincoln 10 Apr 18 12.49pm |
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Originally posted by Bitter
The current magic numbers for each side ignores the game effect of games played against each other. If we start factoring those in, the system becomes much more complex! The current method is each side’s magic number, taken in isolation, which almost certainly overestimates the actual magic number. Not that I’m clutching at straws! If we can finish the season playing as we have done recently, I am sure we have enough about us to finish above West Brom, Stoke and Huddersfield. Finishing above anybody else would be a bonus. It is also based on the team in 18th winning six out of six. Possible - but highly unlikely given that they have to play both Chelsea and Man City in those games.
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