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February 26 2020 7.25pm

Where will the next 10 points come from?

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View scuffy's Profile scuffy Flag orpington 13 Feb 20 6.22pm Send a Private Message to scuffy Add scuffy as a friend

Firstly, I'm confident we'll only need 8 points to guarantee safety and I think we'll collect those in the next six games. Two wins, two draws, two defeats.

Originally posted by GujiMadDog

That's right people, with a run of crushal fixtures against teams in and around us coming up, I was left wondering where the hell our next 10 points are going to come from??

Newcastle (H) 1
Brighton 0
Watford (h) 0
Bournemouth (H) 1
Liverpool 0
Burnley (H) 0
Leicester 0
Chelsea (H) 0
Villa 3
Man Utd (H) 1
Wolves 1
Spurs (H) 0

I have us finishing on a miserable 37 points desperately hoping there are 3 worse teams than us.

Is it because I'm caught up in the present air of doom n gloom or.... hic... is this realism?


 

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View deetee's Profile deetee Flag 13 Feb 20 7.11pm Send a Private Message to deetee Add deetee as a friend

Newcastle 3
Brighton 3
Watford 3
Bournemouth 3

JOB DONE

 

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View Vincehair's Profile Vincehair Flag London 13 Feb 20 8.36pm Send a Private Message to Vincehair Add Vincehair as a friend

I don't think 40 points is necessarily garaunteed survival this season.

 

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View Bexley Eagle's Profile Bexley Eagle Flag Bexley Kent 14 Feb 20 10.11am Send a Private Message to Bexley Eagle Add Bexley Eagle as a friend

Avoiding defeat to the teams below us will be the defining factor this season. The games vs Brighton, Watford, Bournemouth and Villa are key. I actually think if we win 2 of these and draw the other 2 that will be enough this season. Easier said than done.

 

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View Uphill's Profile Uphill Flag Bedford 14 Feb 20 12.52pm Send a Private Message to Uphill Add Uphill as a friend

Perhaps the results of the next few games will serve to
kill the complacency felt my quite a few that 'we are too good to go down'

A minimum of 12 points will be required to guarantee survival, maybe 10 will be enough.

With our lack of goal power is it pessimistic to hope that twelve 0-0 draws will do?

More positively, any of our present line up will score goals, if they'd only get the service from our defence obsessed midfield or some decent crosses from our backs. Sorloth/Wickham would get hat-fulls if they got such a supply. Benteke would just put them at the keeper, wide or over the bar.

 

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View taylors lovechild's Profile taylors lovechild Flag People's Republic of Gozo 14 Feb 20 12.59pm Send a Private Message to taylors lovechild Add taylors lovechild as a friend

If Townsend is fit enough to start and can quickly find form and Tosun can turn in more performances like against Man City, or Ayew or even Bentenke can step up, then I think we'll be fine. I keep saying it, but without Townsend we have been like a one-winged bird this season.

 

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View Bangell's Profile Bangell Flag Oxford 14 Feb 20 1.11pm Send a Private Message to Bangell Add Bangell as a friend

Originally posted by Uphill

Perhaps the results of the next few games will serve to
kill the complacency felt my quite a few that 'we are too good to go down'

A minimum of 12 points will be required to guarantee survival, maybe 10 will be enough.

With our lack of goal power is it pessimistic to hope that twelve 0-0 draws will do?

More positively, any of our present line up will score goals, if they'd only get the service from our defence obsessed midfield or some decent crosses from our backs. Sorloth/Wickham would get hat-fulls if they got such a supply. Benteke would just put them at the keeper, wide or over the bar.

We haven't kept a clean sheet in 10 either so don't count on that.

 

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View doombear's Profile doombear Flag Sutton Coldfield 14 Feb 20 1.47pm Send a Private Message to doombear Add doombear as a friend

Originally posted by taylors lovechild

If Townsend is fit enough to start and can quickly find form and Tosun can turn in more performances like against Man City, or Ayew or even Bentenke can step up, then I think we'll be fine. I keep saying it, but without Townsend we have been like a one-winged bird this season.

Agreed. We need Andros to take the pressure off Wilf and it's about time he scored a few more of his screamers!

 

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View scuffy's Profile scuffy Flag orpington 14 Feb 20 3.12pm Send a Private Message to scuffy Add scuffy as a friend

The bottom 3 always average under a point a game come the end of the season. West Ham in 18th place currently average under a point a game. So what's your rationale behind that?

Originally posted by Uphill

Perhaps the results of the next few games will serve to
kill the complacency felt my quite a few that 'we are too good to go down'

A minimum of 12 points will be required to guarantee survival, maybe 10 will be enough.

With our lack of goal power is it pessimistic to hope that twelve 0-0 draws will do?

More positively, any of our present line up will score goals, if they'd only get the service from our defence obsessed midfield or some decent crosses from our backs. Sorloth/Wickham would get hat-fulls if they got such a supply. Benteke would just put them at the keeper, wide or over the bar.

 

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View GujiMadDog's Profile GujiMadDog Flag England 14 Feb 20 5.45pm Send a Private Message to GujiMadDog Add GujiMadDog as a friend

You certain know your stuff, scruffy. Only handful of teams have been relegated since the creation of the premier league with one possibly two on the last 10 years with more than 38 points.

I think the mythical 40 point yardstick that keeps on being used is about precaution than anything.

It certainly ain't nothing to do with the squeaky bum ride my 37 points prediction entails.

My bum feels sore just thinking about it!

 

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View GujiMadDog's Profile GujiMadDog Flag England 14 Feb 20 5.51pm Send a Private Message to GujiMadDog Add GujiMadDog as a friend

Apologies... darn spell check Scuffy

 

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View scuffy's Profile scuffy Flag orpington 14 Feb 20 5.56pm Send a Private Message to scuffy Add scuffy as a friend

And in the early Premier League years there were more teams, 22 I think, hence the minimum points total required to stay up being a little higher. At that time, people talked about 42 points being the magic number - again a point a game.

Hopefully we'll all feel a bit more comfortable after the next few games!

Originally posted by GujiMadDog

You certain know your stuff, scruffy. Only handful of teams have been relegated since the creation of the premier league with one possibly two on the last 10 years with more than 38 points.

I think the mythical 40 point yardstick that keeps on being used is about precaution than anything.

It certainly ain't nothing to do with the squeaky bum ride my 37 points prediction entails.

My bum feels sore just thinking about it!

 

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