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Paaalaaace Flag Croydon 29 Aug 23 11.11pm Send a Private Message to Paaalaaace Add Paaalaaace as a friend

So, it means, over that period you would expect Palace to concede three quarters of a goal in any given match?

Originally posted by Teddy Eagle

Here you go Mick. Can't say it helped me much though. It looks like something that's been produced just because it could be.

[Link]

 

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Teddy Eagle Flag 29 Aug 23 11.18pm Send a Private Message to Teddy Eagle Add Teddy Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Paaalaaace

So, it means, over that period you would expect Palace to concede three quarters of a goal in any given match?

Over the course of a million games so in about 20,000 years we'll find out (insert Roy joke here).

 

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Canterbury Palace Flag Whitstable 30 Aug 23 12.25am Send a Private Message to Canterbury Palace Add Canterbury Palace as a friend

Originally posted by m/k mick

i know i am getting old, but what the hell do these stats mean
"expected goals"

Expected goals (xG) and expected goals against (xGa) is basically how many goals you should have scored or conceded in a game based on the chances that occurred.

A simple way to explain it is if a striker takes a shot from outside the box that you'd expect to score once every ten times they attempt it, that would be worth 0.10 on the xG score. A 50/50 chance would be 0.50 etc. They all get added up across the game and the final xG score is how many goals, in theory, you should have scored in that game.

So tonight our xG was apparently 2.62 but we scored 4 times, meaning our strikers were clinical and outperformed what was expected. On another day you might get loads of chances, miss them all and then you'd have underperformed. Same principle applies the other way round in defence with xGa.

It's not an exact science at all but over the long term can be a good indicator about whether you're scoring / conceding more or less than you should be.

In the case of the Tweet I posted, it said that we have had an xGa of 0.75 per game since Roy took over, meaning that on average we should be conceding 0.75 goals per game.

Obviously in a specific match that makes no sense but over an entire season it would mean you should only be conceding like 28 times which shows how ridiculously well we have been shielding our goal and preventing big chances from taking place.

I'm not sure I've explained that well but hopefully gives an understanding.

Edited by Canterbury Palace (30 Aug 2023 12.26am)

 


We were somewhere around Barstow, on the edge of the desert, when the drugs began to take hold...

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The groover Flag Danbury 30 Aug 23 8.50am Send a Private Message to The groover Add The groover as a friend

I'm not surprised at Mateta's hattrick. I thought he looked much better in pre season.

Maybe its too late to stop him going maybe he will stay.

Either way I hope it works out for him.

 

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Badger11 Flag Beckenham 30 Aug 23 9.05am Send a Private Message to Badger11 Add Badger11 as a friend

Originally posted by eagleman13

What now after his hattrick tonight?

Exactly sell him whilst he's hot.

 


One more point

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EddieMac Flag 30 Aug 23 9.16am Send a Private Message to EddieMac Add EddieMac as a friend

Big Day Ahead. Dean Henderson deal done. 5 year deal and free corn flakes for breakfast.

You heard it here first.

 

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Canterbury Palace Flag Whitstable 30 Aug 23 9.41am Send a Private Message to Canterbury Palace Add Canterbury Palace as a friend

Couple more interesting rumours this morning.

L'Equipe have said we're interested in PSG 21-year-old striker Hugo Ekitike on loan. BBC have picked it up here: [Link]

And we're also being linked with a 20-year-old PSV winger, Johan Bakayoko: [Link]

Needless to say, both look like the reincarnation of Maradona on YouTube.

 


We were somewhere around Barstow, on the edge of the desert, when the drugs began to take hold...

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Nicholas91 Flag The Democratic Republic of Kent 30 Aug 23 9.45am Send a Private Message to Nicholas91 Add Nicholas91 as a friend

Originally posted by Canterbury Palace

Couple more interesting rumours this morning.

L'Equipe have said we're interested in PSG 21-year-old striker Hugo Ekitike on loan. BBC have picked it up here: [Link]

And we're also being linked with a 20-year-old PSV winger, Johan Bakayoko: [Link]

Needless to say, both look like the reincarnation of Maradona on YouTube.

The same was said about me in the charity match I played on Sunday! Unfortunately, I think that was a reference to me looking like a long retired from football, cocaine and burger loving individual.

 


Now Zaha's got a bit of green grass ahead of him here... and finds Ambrose... not a bad effort!!!!

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Croydon-Trucker Flag 30 Aug 23 9.53am Send a Private Message to Croydon-Trucker Add Croydon-Trucker as a friend

Originally posted by Nicholas91

The same was said about me in the charity match I played on Sunday! Unfortunately, I think that was a reference to me looking like a long retired from football, cocaine and burger loving individual.

My claim to fame was a tournament in Holland Playing for Packhood Rotterdam , we played 6 games in one day . I was called the new Ronaldo , little did i know they were comparing me to the fat bald retired one .

 

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Nicholas91 Flag The Democratic Republic of Kent 30 Aug 23 9.57am Send a Private Message to Nicholas91 Add Nicholas91 as a friend

Originally posted by Croydon-Trucker

My claim to fame was a tournament in Holland Playing for Packhood Rotterdam , we played 6 games in one day . I was called the new Ronaldo , little did i know they were comparing me to the fat bald retired one .

Haha!

I thought someone referred to me a 'the Hungarian Wayne Rooney' but in fact they said 'an even hungrier Wayne Rooney'.

 


Now Zaha's got a bit of green grass ahead of him here... and finds Ambrose... not a bad effort!!!!

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doombear Flag Too far from Selhurst Park 30 Aug 23 10.27am Send a Private Message to doombear Add doombear as a friend

Originally posted by EddieMac

Big Day Ahead. Dean Henderson deal done. 5 year deal and free corn flakes for breakfast.

You heard it here first.


 

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PZ Eagle Flag Penzance 30 Aug 23 11.48am Send a Private Message to PZ Eagle Add PZ Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Canterbury Palace

Couple more interesting rumours this morning.

L'Equipe have said we're interested in PSG 21-year-old striker Hugo Ekitike on loan. BBC have picked it up here: [Link]

The article also states West Ham are also very interested.

 


Conjunctivitis.com - A site for sore eyes.

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