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June 3 2024 3.55pm

The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)

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View jabber's Profile jabber Flag pease pottage 19 May 16 12.52pm Send a Private Message to jabber Add jabber as a friend

Originally posted by DanH


Excellent. Remain it is.

Cancel that vote. I'm out now.

 

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View Rubin's Profile Rubin Flag 19 May 16 1.27pm Send a Private Message to Rubin Add Rubin as a friend

Originally posted by DivingIsNotGood

the most important decision in your life, this is a must watch [Link]

Have those voting to remain on here watched this? It's quite important to get the other side of the argument.

 

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View dannyh's Profile dannyh Flag wherever I lay my hat....... 19 May 16 1.36pm Send a Private Message to dannyh Add dannyh as a friend

Originally posted by Hoof Hearted

You really seem to have lost it latelyMichael.

Referring to Dave as monkeychops?

He's shown you up in a straight forward questions and answers debate, so now you try to discredit him by calling him childish names!

Come on mate... get a grip and debate like an adult, as you used to do.

This is sad to see.

Already called him on that one hoof old buddy, said "it was just japes" not convinced meself.

 


"It's not the bullet that's got my name on it that concerns me; it's all them other ones flyin' around marked 'To Whom It May Concern.'"

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View npn's Profile npn Flag Crowborough 19 May 16 1.48pm Send a Private Message to npn Add npn as a friend

Here's something fundamental nobody has yet addressed to my satisfaction:

Cameron et al all continue to refer to it as "remaining in a reformed EU". Could somebody (from either camp) kindly explain what theses reforms are and how they will be achieved, because from what I can see, when Dave went to renegotiate, wielding the biggest stick at our disposal (i.e. "help me convince my people to stay in" he seems to have been told in no uncertain terms to do one (may be unfair, I think he has a promise of use of the comfy chair in EU meetings, and chocolate Hobnobs as the biscuit of choice).

For all those saying "we don't know what it will be like if we leave" I say "we don't actually know what it will be like if we stay - though I suspect it will be exactly as it is now with no reform of note, and no successful audit".

Just for clarity, I'm still on the fence. I do see many benefits in being a member of a large European trade block, but I also see a lot of drawbacks with the current status quo (and as it stands, it's a sh*t organisation in many ways). The arrogance and fear-mongering of the remainers is doing my head in (I'm desperately trying not to let them sway me, because the only direction they look like moving me is towards the exit, and I want to decide based on reasonable arguments, not just because I'm fed up of hearing "if you vote out you must be a war monger, racist, or loony".

So, anybody, what reforms are going to take place, when, and how?

 

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View JohnyBoy's Profile JohnyBoy Flag 19 May 16 1.56pm Send a Private Message to JohnyBoy Add JohnyBoy as a friend

Originally posted by DivingIsNotGood

Anyone that votes to stay in will one day wake up and say to themselves, what the hell have I done!
I now realise that yes the politicians are all just puppets controlled by oligarchy families such as the Rothschilds and Rockefellers.
Who also control the courts, the educational institutions, the food, the natural resources, the foreign policies, the economies and the money of most nations. And, control the major media, which is why I know nothing about them.

People voting in are scared, weak sheep who are unable to fathom life without someone holding their hand. They believe that when they get a parking ticket, they deserved it and, isn't it good that if they pay with 14 days, only have to pay half the amount.
People voting in have no spine or drive or inspiration. They are happy to go through our ridiculous education system that force stops you at the age of 5 to be a free thinker, pounds the left side of your brain 5 days a week with useless crap. Until one day you hear your master say 'girls and boys you have 2 hours to complete this paper, please pick up your pen'. At which point you are suppose to spew out the crap you've been fed on to the paper. If you do it well, you get rewarded, and mummy thinks you are very clever and thinks you will be rewarded with a good job. But the truth is it's not a good job and they are just get stuck on a ferries wheel..

However, if you are truly bright and able to think for yourself you will find you can win fights, lead teams, create wealth and happiness.
We have some great freethinkers very close to us at the club, Parish, Browett, Martin Long to name a few - All intelligent men who are able to take on the world without mummy holding their hands.

So you decide, vote in if your a mummys boy, scared to challenge anything in your boring life. Or vote out if you truly want make a positive change for future generations and allow people to think freely and live independent lives.

I have to say this one made me laugh or cry maybe, but perhaps we should pay attention to our mums rather than angry white disestablishment male types who see no value in education who, if they manage to get their misinformation believed would make us all as miserable as them....but anti-intellectualism really isnt that cool is it when you consider what the leave vote really is about
Higher enemployment
Higher inflation
Higher interest rates
Falling property prices
Reduced funding for public services (including NHS, pensions, education, defence, welfare and transport)
We would lose the right to live, work and retire abroad (except if you are rich enough)
Increased risk of terrorism (according to MI6)
Reduced investment/jobs from foreign companies (e.g what Bloomberg and Fujitsu have said this morning.)
Reduced workers rights e.g. paternity leave
£4300 worse off per household (assuming average 2 adult family earning £23.5k pa)
Customs duties re-introduced
Co-ordinated defence/peace policy which has helped Europe achieve the longest period of peace since roman times.
Higher debt servicing costs (currently 6% of public spending likely rising to 9-10%)
Co-ordinated environmental policy (pollution has no boundaries)
A say in the rules and regulations we would still have to comply with if we want to continue to trade with europe.
Trade tarrifs re-introduced (probably at WTO levels 15-20%)
Against the advice of all major independent institutions (imf, oecd, world bank, treasury, atleast 90% of economists, all living PM's and former PM's, all major political parties except UKIP, DUP & respect party)

Are remain voters all really little mummys boys?? Really?? Or is it just fanciful thinking by those leave voters on there downers that an immigrant free Britain would bring some kind of depressed utopia....and they think if they throw in a little bit of name-calling that we will come round to their irrational way of thinking...Really?


 

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View JohnyBoy's Profile JohnyBoy Flag 19 May 16 2.13pm Send a Private Message to JohnyBoy Add JohnyBoy as a friend

Originally posted by Rubin

Have those voting to remain on here watched this? It's quite important to get the other side of the argument.

I think i have responded to this one before Rubin, but if we do a quick sum: the treasury says we will be 4300 worse off per household if we leave. If there are 19million households in the UK that makes £81billion a year that equates to £1.5billion per week. If i take the highest figure from the leave campaign i.e 350 million pw (and assume we get no rebates or anything back) that still leaves us £1.22 billion per week better off.
Additionally if you take the IMF assessment that our Gdp could fall by 9.5%)....and you assume that departments public expenditure remains at the same percentages, thiz means there would be a reduction of £14 billion for the NHS pa
Its a similar picture for every public service in the event of a leave vote, the NHS, education, pensions welfare etc would all be considerably poorer

 

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View johnfirewall's Profile johnfirewall Flag 19 May 16 2.20pm Send a Private Message to johnfirewall Add johnfirewall as a friend

Originally posted by JohnyBoy

Higher enemployment
Higher inflation
Higher interest rates
Falling property prices
Reduced funding for public services (including NHS, pensions, education, defence, welfare and transport)
We would lose the right to live, work and retire abroad (except if you are rich enough)
Increased risk of terrorism (according to MI6)
Reduced investment/jobs from foreign companies (e.g what Bloomberg and Fujitsu have said this morning.)
Reduced workers rights e.g. paternity leave
£4300 worse off per household (assuming average 2 adult family earning £23.5k pa)
Customs duties re-introduced
Co-ordinated defence/peace policy which has helped Europe achieve the longest period of peace since roman times.
Higher debt servicing costs (currently 6% of public spending likely rising to 9-10%)
Co-ordinated environmental policy (pollution has no boundaries)
A say in the rules and regulations we would still have to comply with if we want to continue to trade with europe.
Trade tarrifs re-introduced (probably at WTO levels 15-20%)
Against the advice of all major independent institutions (imf, oecd, world bank, treasury, atleast 90% of economists, all living PM's and former PM's, all major political parties except UKIP, DUP & respect party)

All guesses at best.

Even the last part which would be quite easy to substantiate is incorrect.

What the hell is the debt figure based on? Presumably another guess on Gilt ratings.

 

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View Willo's Profile Willo Flag South coast - west of Brighton. 19 May 16 2.55pm Send a Private Message to Willo Add Willo as a friend

Originally posted by npn

Cameron et al all continue to refer to it as "remaining in a reformed EU". Could somebody (from either camp) kindly explain what theses reforms are and how they will be achieved, because from what I can see, when Dave went to renegotiate, wielding the biggest stick at our disposal (i.e. "help me convince my people to stay in" he seems to have been told in no uncertain terms to do one (may be unfair, I think he has a promise of use of the comfy chair in EU meetings, and chocolate Hobnobs as the biscuit of choice).

As the erudite Jacob Rees-Mogg said "Thin gruel watered down".
And at the end of the day 10% of "Diddly squat" is "Diddly Squat".
And what about all this "I rule nothing out..." ?


 

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View DanH's Profile DanH Flag SW2 19 May 16 3.08pm Send a Private Message to DanH Add DanH as a friend

Jacob Rees-Mogg is a sniveling little vole faced turd who was the kind of kid at school who would grass you up to the teacher at every opportunity.

The c*nt.

 

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View JohnyBoy's Profile JohnyBoy Flag 19 May 16 3.10pm Send a Private Message to JohnyBoy Add JohnyBoy as a friend

Originally posted by johnfirewall

All guesses at best.

Even the last part which would be quite easy to substantiate is incorrect.

What the hell is the debt figure based on? Presumably another guess on Gilt ratings.

We can dismiss all the economists, imf, BofE, OECD forecasts as 'guesses' and just stick our fingers in our ears but surely this is like Nero playing the fiddle while Rome burns. I promise you, if all of the above concluded that we would be better off in the event if brexit, i would vote to leave.
Re the debt figure. Currently its 6% of public spending. The forecasts (which is what the financial markets work around) suggest that gdp would be reduced, sterling would decline especially versus the dollar. What do you think will happen at the next treasury auction? If you have worked in the same bond markets as i have you would surely agree that a less favourable economic outlook would require higher yields .i.e what we have to pay to the bondholders for lending us money would go up. With this rising and the amount available for other public services reducing due to a reduced gdp, the % of public expenditure going to service debt would logically rise.

 

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View Willo's Profile Willo Flag South coast - west of Brighton. 19 May 16 3.25pm Send a Private Message to Willo Add Willo as a friend

One hears the arguments from the 'City of London', and the anxieties that have been expressed.

These arguments were raised many years ago, when many of the very same "Remainers" prophesied disaster for the City of London if we failed to join the darned Euro. They said all the banks would flee to Frankfurt. In actual fact Canary Wharf alone is now far bigger than the Frankfurt financial centre and has kept growing since the crash of 2008.
I could go on and on........

Anyway I am reaching for my "Soapbox" so perhaps it is best if I allow others to debate this issue.In all honesty, my wife has had enough of me "Preaching" to her and going on about the EU Referendum incessantly !

 

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View DanH's Profile DanH Flag SW2 19 May 16 3.31pm Send a Private Message to DanH Add DanH as a friend

I honestly feel so sorry for your wife.

 

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