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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


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Matov Flag 22 Aug 19 7.48am

Originally posted by jeeagles

One of the biggest problems with the EU is that it has no defined scope or remit. The phrase "an ever closer union" doesn't actually mean anything. Therefore, like any badly run bureaucracy it's full of high paid people making laws and processes for the sake of it. A lot of the time they are pointless and expensive. The politicians and civil servants involved are the only people who really benefit, and they are unaccountable because no one ever bothers to turn up and vote in EU elections.


Good post but this bit in particular stands out. But to just write it off as a bureaucracy out of control does not do credit to what many people at the heart of it actually desire.

I have always said that there is a case to be made for a federalised Europe. But I want it made out in the open and not effectively imposed on us which is what is happening. Never quite understood why the EU, if it is the benign body of optimistic co-operation that many of its adherents claim it to be, requires the trappings of a nation state such as a flag or an anthem or even its own foreign policy and proposed military, let alone a single currency. All of those only make sense if the end game is to effectively create a USE.

And to give credit where it is due, people like Guy Verhofstadt make no bones about this as their ambition/goal for the EU. That I can respect because it is out in the open. Not my cup of tea but at least the man can make his case and people decide accordingly. That I salute as a perfectly legitimate political aspiration

If the EU is only a stepping stone towards an effective USE then it is for the best of all parties concerned that we leave. Lets be honest here, the only reason the EU is kicking up a fuss about us departing is because it wants to protect our market for its goods. The Irish border issue is nothing to do with the actual Irish border but everything to do with trying to ensure that EU producers do not have to compete with others for the British consumers hard earned pound in their weekly shopping.

The EU's remit from day one has been to protect their own producers. Again, I get that. What I struggle with to the point of having to curb my anger is why May and her team seemed so keen to acquiesce because it is treachery and I do not use that word either lightly or without understanding the full conatations of it. HMG's primary duty of care is towards its own citizens and it strikes me that this was not at the forefront of the thinking going on in Westminster up to a month of so ago. May's job was to do her best for the British people. That is it. And she plainly did not, along with Phillip Hammond who it is clear now was the primary mover behind attempting to sell us down the river. It is betrayal on a level that almost beggers belief.

And why we need to leave with No Deal. There simply is not one of the table as things stand and all this posturing going on at the moment is pure window dressing. Actually rather annoyed with Johnson for even sitting down to talk with Macron or Merkal, let alone waste a single minute on the phone to Varadkar because it boils down to a simple reality that until that backstop is dropped, there is nothing else to discuss.

Also makes me wonder what is going on. So far been willing to give Johnson the benefit of the doubt (although not my vote. That still goes, as things stand, solely to the Brexit Party) but am beginning to smell a rat now although I will concede that I am paranoid about our conventional political class to an extent that borders on the unhinged at times.

Let us see.

Edited by Matov (22 Aug 2019 7.51am)

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 22 Aug 19 8.12am

Originally posted by Matov


Good post but this bit in particular stands out. But to just write it off as a bureaucracy out of control does not do credit to what many people at the heart of it actually desire.

I have always said that there is a case to be made for a federalised Europe. But I want it made out in the open and not effectively imposed on us which is what is happening. Never quite understood why the EU, if it is the benign body of optimistic co-operation that many of its adherents claim it to be, requires the trappings of a nation state such as a flag or an anthem or even its own foreign policy and proposed military, let alone a single currency. All of those only make sense if the end game is to effectively create a USE.

And to give credit where it is due, people like Guy Verhofstadt make no bones about this as their ambition/goal for the EU. That I can respect because it is out in the open. Not my cup of tea but at least the man can make his case and people decide accordingly. That I salute as a perfectly legitimate political aspiration

If the EU is only a stepping stone towards an effective USE then it is for the best of all parties concerned that we leave. Lets be honest here, the only reason the EU is kicking up a fuss about us departing is because it wants to protect our market for its goods. The Irish border issue is nothing to do with the actual Irish border but everything to do with trying to ensure that EU producers do not have to compete with others for the British consumers hard earned pound in their weekly shopping.

The EU's remit from day one has been to protect their own producers. Again, I get that. What I struggle with to the point of having to curb my anger is why May and her team seemed so keen to acquiesce because it is treachery and I do not use that word either lightly or without understanding the full conatations of it. HMG's primary duty of care is towards its own citizens and it strikes me that this was not at the forefront of the thinking going on in Westminster up to a month of so ago. May's job was to do her best for the British people. That is it. And she plainly did not, along with Phillip Hammond who it is clear now was the primary mover behind attempting to sell us down the river. It is betrayal on a level that almost beggers belief.

And why we need to leave with No Deal. There simply is not one of the table as things stand and all this posturing going on at the moment is pure window dressing. Actually rather annoyed with Johnson for even sitting down to talk with Macron or Merkal, let alone waste a single minute on the phone to Varadkar because it boils down to a simple reality that until that backstop is dropped, there is nothing else to discuss.

Also makes me wonder what is going on. So far been willing to give Johnson the benefit of the doubt (although not my vote. That still goes, as things stand, solely to the Brexit Party) but am beginning to smell a rat now although I will concede that I am paranoid about our conventional political class to an extent that borders on the unhinged at times.

Let us see.

Edited by Matov (22 Aug 2019 7.51am)

Good Post.

I keep asking Remainers what they want because the status quo is not on the table. If they want to embrace the EU dream then fair enough if however they just want no change then what they are really asking is for the UK to continue to fight the EU every time a change is proposed. We are toxic to the rest of the EU which is why it is better for both parties to go own their way.

I do not get those UK politicians who are arguing we should take no deal off the table. Until the EU agrees to remove the backstop there is nothing to discuss. Parliament has rejected that deal 3 times what else can Boris do apart from make it clear to the EU that we are leaving unless they negotiate.

Corbyn's position to ask for a further 6 months is ludicrous. Now if a deal is agreed in outline and the EU and the UK need more time to finalise the small print then that is another matter. Asking for more time when the other side wont talk is just plain stupid.

Some of the press are now saying that Merkel has blinked I don't think she has I think she has just sounded reasonable so when we exit with no deal she won't get the blame. I hope I am wrong but I can't see the EU backing down.

 


One more point

Matov Flag 22 Aug 19 11.40am

Originally posted by Badger11


Some of the press are now saying that Merkel has blinked I don't think she has I think she has just sounded reasonable so when we exit with no deal she won't get the blame. I hope I am wrong but I can't see the EU backing down.

More a squint than a blink but the meeting yesterday did at least come with a perception of a meeting of equals as opposed to May who appeared nothing more than a subservient employee who could not deliver what her superiors demanded.

It is clear that the EU are banking their hopes on our treacherous political elite managing to block our exit on October 31st with the hope will lead to us not leaving at all but I suspect that Johnson will manage to survive September.

Sticking my neck out here but I suspect that Johnson is going to present Parliament with a stark choice. Either back our departure on October 31st or revoke A50. And I am convinced that Labour MP's, by way of abstaining, will hand him the way forward. Once we leave then UK politics should reset and they are then back in the game.

The issue has to be done and dusted by November 1st. If we are not out by then then we will never leave, at least in this particular bout of politics and the vote on June 23rd will have been betrayed. If we still have our star on that s***ty flag come November 1st then the Tory party is finished. All bets are off about what comes next but the Brexit Party becomes the true opposition then because this fight not only goes on but ramps up. That is what I struggle to understand about those who want us to remain. If we are still in the UK come November 1st then this does not go away. The divisions become not only worse but entrenched to the point of no return.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 22 Aug 19 12.11pm

Originally posted by Matov

More a squint than a blink but the meeting yesterday did at least come with a perception of a meeting of equals as opposed to May who appeared nothing more than a subservient employee who could not deliver what her superiors demanded.

It is clear that the EU are banking their hopes on our treacherous political elite managing to block our exit on October 31st with the hope will lead to us not leaving at all but I suspect that Johnson will manage to survive September.

Sticking my neck out here but I suspect that Johnson is going to present Parliament with a stark choice. Either back our departure on October 31st or revoke A50. And I am convinced that Labour MP's, by way of abstaining, will hand him the way forward. Once we leave then UK politics should reset and they are then back in the game.

The issue has to be done and dusted by November 1st. If we are not out by then then we will never leave, at least in this particular bout of politics and the vote on June 23rd will have been betrayed. If we still have our star on that s***ty flag come November 1st then the Tory party is finished. All bets are off about what comes next but the Brexit Party becomes the true opposition then because this fight not only goes on but ramps up. That is what I struggle to understand about those who want us to remain. If we are still in the UK come November 1st then this does not go away. The divisions become not only worse but entrenched to the point of no return.

I mention the other day it would sort Corbyn to have the GE after the end of October. If he forces one before we Brexit he will have to explain to the electorate what his Brexit policy is.

"Vote Labour we will oppose any Tory Brexit deal.
Great so you're a remain party then?
No we will get a better deal than the Tories.
Hang on so you're a Brexit party then?
No we will give the people a 2nd referendum.
But if the people vote to leave? Oh heck I'm voting Lib Dem / Green / etc. at least they know they are Remain parties."

Where as if we have left Corbyn will probably say it's time to move on from Brexit and let's talk about health, education, employment etc. He then campaign on his strengths whilst blaming the Tories for Brexit.

So maybe Corbyn won't be too upset if a few Labour rebels side with the government or abstain. He can always get his revenge on them at a later date.

 


One more point

dannyboy1978 Flag 22 Aug 19 12.45pm

Surely we must know who comes and goes,
BBC News - Migration: UK cannot end freedom of movement on Brexit day, experts say
[Link]

We've had 3 years to prepare and no system!!

 

Matov Flag 22 Aug 19 1.58pm

Originally posted by Badger11

So maybe Corbyn won't be too upset if a few Labour rebels side with the government or abstain. He can always get his revenge on them at a later date.


I can guarantee that if Corbyn had remained on the backbenches he would be one of the leading Labour proponents of leaving the EU. His voting record speaks for itself as proof of that.

As to revenge, then nah. Those Labour rebels will actually save their party.

The constituency breakdown of both the June 2016 vote and the recent EU elections tells you all you need to know about how the maths works out.

Brexit is the spoiler on politics at the moment. Back in 2017 both main parties promised to honour the 2016 referendum vote so although it was an issue, it did not dominate.

Once we leave (with the proviso it is a clean break that can be perceived as such) then politics will reset to how it was and the Lib Dems put back in their box as just weirdos that both main parties hate.

Labour stand only to lose by us not departing the EU on October 31st.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

ASCPFC Flag Pro-Cathedral/caravan park 22 Aug 19 2.35pm

Macron's only appeal to his own voters is his constant anti-English claptrap. Even the French can see through it and most support the yellow vests or Marine Le Penn. Just not so sure they will be able to rig the next election as easily.
French election/voting makes no sense at all and makes the UK look like the world's most democratic country.

 


Red and Blue Army!

Midlands Eagle Flag 22 Aug 19 4.19pm

Originally posted by dannyboy1978

Surely we must know who comes and goes,
BBC News - Migration: UK cannot end freedom of movement on Brexit day, experts say
[Link]

We've had 3 years to prepare and no system!!

Why are our passports scanned when we come back in to the UK from overseas holidays if the information isn't matched to previously leaving the UK

 

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 22 Aug 19 4.30pm

Originally posted by dannyboy1978

Surely we must know who comes and goes,
BBC News - Migration: UK cannot end freedom of movement on Brexit day, experts say
[Link]

We've had 3 years to prepare and no system!!

For once the BBC is correct. I have a Dutch friend who has lived here for over 40 years. So if she goes on holiday how will immigration know she has the right to stay here as opposed to a johnny come lately?

She hasn't started the process to register because she felt if we don't leave it's not necessary I suspect many EU nationals feel the same. Mrs May also said freedom of movement would end in 2021 so there was no rush.

Don't get me wrong I want to end freedom of movement but we have to have a practical process in place before we start stopping people at the border.

I suspect that when the government says it ends on 31st Oct they mean in principle. My friend is in her seventies she doesn't need this sort of stress c'mon Boris sort it out.

 


One more point

Midlands Eagle Flag 22 Aug 19 4.54pm

Originally posted by Matov

And why we need to leave with No Deal. There simply is not one of the table as things stand and all this posturing going on at the moment is pure window dressing. Actually rather annoyed with Johnson for even sitting down to talk with Macron or Merkal, let alone waste a single minute on the phone to Varadkar because it boils down to a simple reality that until that backstop is dropped, there is nothing else to discuss.

He can honestly say that he tried his best to hammer out a compromise but the gang of three weren't interested so we can go ahead with no deal as that is the only thing left

 

chris123 Flag hove actually 22 Aug 19 4.59pm

Originally posted by Badger11

For once the BBC is correct. I have a Dutch friend who has lived here for over 40 years. So if she goes on holiday how will immigration know she has the right to stay here as opposed to a johnny come lately?

She hasn't started the process to register because she felt if we don't leave it's not necessary I suspect many EU nationals feel the same. Mrs May also said freedom of movement would end in 2021 so there was no rush.

Don't get me wrong I want to end freedom of movement but we have to have a practical process in place before we start stopping people at the border.

I suspect that when the government says it ends on 31st Oct they mean in principle. My friend is in her seventies she doesn't need this sort of stress c'mon Boris sort it out.

Similar with Belgian friend since school - there's an application based on a scanned passport.

 

dannyboy1978 Flag 22 Aug 19 5.40pm

Well that was simple!!
BBC News - UK and South Korea sign 'continuity' trade agreement
[Link]

Of coarse the BBC don't have it as a top story but go with this instead!
BBC News - Junior Agogo: Ex-Ghana, Nottingham Forest and Bristol Rovers striker dies aged 40
[Link]

Edited by dannyboy1978 (22 Aug 2019 5.42pm)

 

jeeagles Flag 22 Aug 19 6.36pm

I think Boris has really played a blinder so far.

The issues May had is that she didnt believe in Brexit, and didnt have any leverage. To gain leverage, you've got to create problems for the other side. Multiple issues for the EU are now emerging.

Neither side wants to be the party that creates a no deal, but the backstop has resulted in a deal that the UK cant accept so it's currently our only option.

If we extend our membership, then our MEPs will take there seats. The EU now has an option of throwing us out without a deal, or letting us stay and cause havoc.

Boris has also pointed out that the backstop could result in trouble returning to northern island as a result of disgruntled nationalist. Something the EU has been ignoring so far, and counters their argument against a hard boarder.

The great withdrawal bill says will remain aligned to EU law until we change our laws or they change their law.

The best outcome in the case of a no deal is a quick agreement that we carry on as normal with aligned laws. This will minimise disruption in the short term, however the EU and the UK will probably need to consult if they want to make changes to future laws. That will put the UK in a much better position for influanci ng EU laws than if it were a member. The EU will have an influence over some UK laws by the same token, but the laws it will have influenced over will be ones they already have total control over.

Next stages I'd imagine are that we will suggest an approach to the uk boarder problem in about 28 days which is likely to be very favourable to the UK and possibly ireland but not the rest of the EU, and that will give the EU no time to negotiate it before the end of October meaning they have to accept it, or kick us out with a no deal.

 

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 22 Aug 19 7.10pm

Originally posted by Midlands Eagle

He can honestly say that he tried his best to hammer out a compromise but the gang of three weren't interested so we can go ahead with no deal as that is the only thing left

Agreed. In order to get a no deal through Parliament Boris will have to show the waverers that he tried for a deal but the EU would not compromise so voting against a no deal would be illogical.

 


One more point

Matov Flag 22 Aug 19 7.22pm

Originally posted by Badger11

Agreed. In order to get a no deal through Parliament Boris will have to show the waverers that he tried for a deal but the EU would not compromise so voting against a no deal would be illogical.

I suspect you are quite right but I am unhinged about this at the moment so tend to think the worst.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

Invalid user 2019 Flag 22 Aug 19 9.38pm

Originally posted by Badger11

Agreed. In order to get a no deal through Parliament Boris will have to show the waverers that he tried for a deal but the EU would not compromise so voting against a no deal would be illogical.

Realistically, isn't No Deal the default anyway? There are certainly scenarios where it's irrelevant if it passes through Parliament or not.

That said, it may also be that there is a solution found to the backstop and so on before the clock ticks down. It's a bit of a coin toss situation right now.

 

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 22 Aug 19 9.41pm

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

You waffle on with wordy posts when all you need to say is that you wish to thwart Brexit by any means.

From a no deal Brexit for sure because it wasn't what people voted for and it would do our country great harm.

No government should ever do anything that they know will harm the country.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 22 Aug 19 9.46pm

Originally posted by Rudi Hedman

Do you include Mark Carney who changed his mind?

Yes, because he hasn't. All he has done is to try to warn the EU that the impact on them of a no deal will be greater than on us. Which is hardly new news is it?

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 22 Aug 19 9.53pm

Originally posted by Penge Eagle

'BBC Admits To FAKE NEWS EU Election Coverage' [Link]

What a load of tosh.

They separated out those who are 100% for or against and kept the main parties, Tory and Labour, who have a division of views in their ranks out.

The BBC have nothing to apologise for and to promote this story as "Fake News" is fake itself.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Stirlingsays Flag 23 Aug 19 4.29am

Johnson is just playing for the cameras right now to put on record that he attempted a reconfiguration. He knows that the EU probably aren't going to offer anything until they know leaving is imminent and can't be stopped.

The whole EU strategy is based upon trying to make leaving the EU look terrible to the significant anti EU sentiment within many of its cohorts.

To do that they have to stop the UK from making significant deals with outside nations.....that's the real reason for the 'backstop' excuse.....everyone in the know realises that....it's an excuse for the normies.

This is a security issue for the Irish and UK. The EU is not Ireland. It's yet another example of the disfigurement of previous power giveaways that sees the EU even thinking it has a say......and as things stand the Irish are going to pay a heavy price for sticking with that 27.

Edited by Stirlingsays (23 Aug 2019 4.31am)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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