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Originally posted by dollardays
Cheers Matov! We can always rely on you to bring the Brexit knowledge. LOL. Oddly enough I don't get that het up about the money. Yes, it is a lot but in the greater scheme of things, not beyond what we can comfortably pay. And if the talks had been handled better then I reckon it would actually have been a relatively cheap sum to hand over in exchange for EU co-operation on border issues. The money is a specific concern for the actual EU as an institution, as opposed to the trade concerns which are primarily national and if we had agreed to keep on bunging the w***ers in Brussels, it might have smoothed out paths elsewhere. And to be fair to the EU, it does actually hold a lot of smaller countries to account when it comes to how the money is spent on infrastructure so some points could have been had by taking a more generous stance But that ship has sailed and now playing the withholding card makes perfect sense. There will be a lot of white noise about this but I suspect that nobody will make that much fuss at least in the British domestic political arena. EU bigwigs sounding off about us not coughing up plays right into the Leave narrative with zero votes to be gained in trying to claim we should pay the EU more than we need to. It's a win-win for Johnson. But always keep an eye on the main game here which is any and every attempt to keep the UK a captive market for EU goods. Only game in town. The money is ultimately a side show, at least in terms of this particular contribution. That is why the EU will play-hard ball right until the end. They NEED the UK to remain a cash cow for numerous EU memberstates who stand to lose billions if they have to compete with other producers for the UK £ in your pocket.
"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell. |
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Originally posted by Matov
But that ship has sailed and now playing the withholding card makes perfect sense. There will be a lot of white noise about this but I suspect that nobody will make that much fuss at least in the British domestic political arena. EU bigwigs sounding off about us not coughing up plays right into the Leave narrative with zero votes to be gained in trying to claim we should pay the EU more than we need to. It's a win-win for Johnson. But always keep an eye on the main game here which is any and every attempt to keep the UK a captive market for EU goods. Only game in town. The money is ultimately a side show, at least in terms of this particular contribution. That is why the EU will play-hard ball right until the end. They NEED the UK to remain a cash cow for numerous EU memberstates who stand to lose billions if they have to compete with other producers for the UK £ in your pocket. Yes it's all about how the hand is played at this stage. Who blinks first. May was a walkover but I think Boris, through a combination of seeing what didn't work, and ideas about his own legacy is unlikely to back down. What the eventual outcome of that will be for any proposed deal is up for debate I suppose. It's looking like a 50/50 between a rehashed deal and No Deal in my view now. It's surprising how much common ground can be found as the clock ticks down.
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Originally posted by dollardays
May was a walkover but I think Boris, through a combination of seeing what didn't work, and ideas about his own legacy is unlikely to back down.
If we are still in the EU on November 1st, then even if he has still somehow managed to cling on in No.10 he is a dead man walking. No if's or buts about that. The Tories are finished as a political force in this country for decades if they do not get us out by October 31st. They would actually be better off fighting and losing a GE before then than actually trying to stay in power having not delivered on October 31st. Halloween is their Rubicon moment. And having seen Nigel Farage yesterday with his offer to effectively back Boris if he goes for a clean break from the EU, then I beginning to hope that this might actually happen now because it is by far the most preferable option. The EU cannot offer us any kind of deal that might help the UK. Its very survival as an institution depends on it protecting the captive markets for its member states. And that is what the backstop has always been about. A way to trapping us so that we have to carry on buying EU agricultural produce at the expense of cheaper global alternatives along with paying for Brussels. There never was a deal worth signing up to.
"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell. |
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Originally posted by Badger11
Absolutely. It will be slaughtered daily with contradictory messages coming out all over the place. To give credit where it is due Labour has managed to walk its Brexit tight rope without to many slips BUT a GE fought primarily on Brexit simply means the rope will fall. And watching Corbyn last night as he spoke about his meeting earlier in the day with the other opposition parties and it is clear that is not a man comfortable with the stance he is having to take. Compare it to Farage and the contrast in both tone and body language is striking. Corbyn loathes the EU. His voting record shows that. And if he were not Labour leader, he would be one of the leading voices on the left for us to leave ASAP.
"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell. |
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Originally posted by Matov
Looks like Johnson is about to cross the Rubicon. Lot of chatter out there about him going to the Queen to discuss suspending Parliament from mid-September. It is a huge f***ing trap. He wants their outrage. He wants them throwing all their toys out of the pram. And will offer them a vote. Revoke or Back Brexit. LOL. It is beautiful in a f***ed up way. True political showmanship on a scale we have not seen in decades. A defining moment in this countries history. The Remainers will be bursting veins in their heads. I agree I don't think the public want a GE and they are pretty fed up with politicians from all parties. If Johnson can position himself as the reasonable guy trying to get the job done and the Remainers as unreasonable forcing a GE on the public he will win by a landslide. Farage was on good form last night he pointed out that Corbyn is tying himself up in knots. Corbyn said that a no deal is a Bankers Brexit and yet he has used exactly the same language about the EU as being a bankers club for the last 30 years. It was comical Farage reading out Corbyn's previous anti EU quotes and then comparing them to Corbyn's latest anti no deal quotes, they were the same language I guess Corbyn is hoping no one will ntoice.
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Originally posted by Matov
Looks like Johnson is about to cross the Rubicon. Lot of chatter out there about him going to the Queen to discuss suspending Parliament from mid-September. It is a huge f***ing trap. He wants their outrage. He wants them throwing all their toys out of the pram. And will offer them a vote. Revoke or Back Brexit. LOL. It is beautiful in a f***ed up way. True political showmanship on a scale we have not seen in decades. A defining moment in this countries history. The Remainers will be bursting veins in their heads. It's leavers who should be bursting veins in their heads. What price 'parliamentary sovereignty' now?
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Originally posted by steeleye20
It's leavers who should be bursting veins in their heads. What price 'parliamentary sovereignty' now? Except it is line with accepted Parliamentary procedure. But Parliament will have the chance to have a vote of No Confidence before it happens. How much more democracy do you want?
"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell. |
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Originally posted by Matov
Except it is line with accepted Parliamentary procedure. But Parliament will have the chance to have a vote of No Confidence before it happens. How much more democracy do you want? Well enough democracy to prevent a right-wing coup-d'etat and installation of a tin-pot dictator. Such as has actually happened here.
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Originally posted by dollardays
How this might all pan out [Link] A good time for me to bump this link I posted before (Little can be done to stop Johnson crashing UK out of EU - [Link] It lays out the timetable for what is and isn't likely to happen if there is a no confidence vote.
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Originally posted by Matov
Looks like Johnson is about to cross the Rubicon. Lot of chatter out there about him going to the Queen to discuss suspending Parliament from mid-September. It is a huge f***ing trap. He wants their outrage. He wants them throwing all their toys out of the pram. And will offer them a vote. Revoke or Back Brexit. LOL. It is beautiful in a f***ed up way. True political showmanship on a scale we have not seen in decades. A defining moment in this countries history. The Remainers will be bursting veins in their heads. It's delicious. The deranged Remainiac tw@atterati have completely lost their 5hit. "It's a coup!" Genuinely hilarious. The past THREE years. Cheering on EVERY single time political chicanery or outright s***ting on the constitution hands them a victory against Brexit. Whooping with glee on forthcoming plans to take over executive function of government to meet their ends. Hush-hush impartial meetings with the impartial speaker about impartially roadblocking an Act of Parliament to impartially block Brexit. But yes, exercising a NEW government's right to start a NEW parliamentary session is a coup. It's anti-democratic. Roll on the General Election. These pro-EU nut jobs have now gone full-rabid. It's nice to watch, but we need to move on and start building a future outside of the EU. May should have started that 3 years ago, but she had her Remainiac legacy to fulfill.
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I'm on my second bag of popcorn.
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
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Looks like he's asked to suspend parliment [Link] House of Commons Speaker John Bercow said it was a "constitutional outrage".
The Voice of Reason In An Otherwise Mediocre World |
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Originally posted by Mapletree
If through manipulation, Johnson succeeds in taking us out of the UK without a deal he will have done that: 1) against the wishes of the majority of people in the UK 2) against the wishes of the VAST majority of people who are against a no-deal Brexit. I for one am gathering up my molotov cocktails. Finally I do believe the British people will take to the streets. In any case, longer term this marks the end of the Conservative party. As soon as it hits the fan, which it inevitably will at first (even if the blarney about longer term gain is true), the public will specifically blame the Conservatives and the Government that took it upon itself to circumvent discussions on the nature of the long term future of the country. So a small group of self-serving individuals finally get their way and avoid all of the scrutinies built into our system over centuries. They will surely 'get theirs'.
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
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Originally posted by Mapletree
If through manipulation, Johnson succeeds in taking us out of the UK without a deal he will have done that: 1) against the wishes of the majority of people in the UK 2) against the wishes of the VAST majority of people who are against a no-deal Brexit. I for one am gathering up my molotov cocktails. Finally I do believe the British people will take to the streets. In any case, longer term this marks the end of the Conservative party. As soon as it hits the fan, which it inevitably will at first (even if the blarney about longer term gain is true), the public will specifically blame the Conservatives and the Government that took it upon itself to circumvent discussions on the nature of the long term future of the country. So a small group of self-serving individuals finally get their way and avoid all of the scrutinies built into our system over centuries. They will surely 'get theirs'. 1. They should’ve voted in the referendum then. 2. The people hell bent on preventing Brexit can blame themselves. You’ll get a million or 2 people singing silly songs on coaches up from Dorset etc, waving EU flags and banners saying they’re European and not British. Fvck we should be afraid. Edited by Rudi Hedman (28 Aug 2019 12.07pm)
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Originally posted by Rudi Hedman
1. They should’ve voted in the referendum then. 2. The people hell bent on preventing Brexit can blame themselves. You’ll get a million or 2 people singing silly songs on coaches up from Dorset etc, saving EU flags with banners saying they’re European and not British. Fvck we should be afraid. They are getting 'theirs'. Edited by Stirlingsays (28 Aug 2019 12.23pm)
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
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