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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 09 Oct 19 10.37am

Originally posted by Teddy Eagle

This is precisely the kind of point on which you’re quick to castigate others. The murder rate in London is unprecedented - in the 1960s two gangsters killed some people and they were Londoners. As an example of whataboutery that’s pretty good.

As I wasn't even trying to make any comparisons I have no idea why you are getting upset. I was merely describing my own, long ago, experiences of the East End which was undoubtedly very different to today.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

steeleye20 Flag Croydon 09 Oct 19 10.42am

Originally posted by W12

And who the phuck would you see as "independent" at this point?

A Royal Commission, has been done a few times before, a good way of dropping things forever with nobody noticing.

 

EverybodyDannsNow Flag SE19 09 Oct 19 10.45am

Originally posted by Badger11

So have we, I also think the German voters have had enough of her.

I hope we leave on 31 Oct and then Boris calls an election and reminds the voters that the opposition didn't want one and could have had one before Brexit.

I don’t think Boris wants to leave on 31st - he wants it blocked which he can sell to win a GE; a mandate for the next 5 years is far more important for him - he was only a Brexiteer for his careers sake to begin with.

 

Dannyh.V2 Flag Stone lickers 09 Oct 19 10.45am

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

If he is still the PM, which is a big if, then I agree he might try, the likely candidate being Hungary. However, just imagine what might happen after that. The pressure put by the other 26 on Hungary would be intense and the consequences of them not falling into line could be severe for them.

There is no replacement no one in their right mind wants Corbyn running an interim Government, so not really a big if.

Intense pressure ? why would the EU member states do that? The only reason I can think of would be to force us back to the table, which kind of tells me the EU is hell bent on us staying. Why would that be do you think ?

As for the consequences to Hungry comment that just shows that you also see the EU as a playground bully nicking everyone's lunch money

Should it succeed what would happen? There would be a period of "no deal" but also a vote of no confidence followed by a GE. Could he win that then, with the reality of a "no deal" being felt? If he didn't win the GE then a new government could try to suspend the "no deal" by reapplying and starting the negotiations again.

Which all sounds very doom and gloom, however you are forgetting the 17,500,000 that voted to leave will more than likely vote for Boris, so any attempt at no confidence and calling a general election would in all likely hood blow up in the remain camps faces, which is why Steptoe has declined the invitation all ready.


Much more likely in my view that he would try to avoid such a scenario and allow the extension to happen, blaming the EU, Parliament and the Flying Spaghetti Monster for causing the "people" all this trouble.


Yes 17,500,000 thousand people voted to leave, and the remainer's in Parliament continue to do there level best to thwart us leaving the EU, something which remain gloss over in their "scenario's" which lets be honest are based on pure speculation and nothing else.

 

W12 09 Oct 19 10.46am

Originally posted by steeleye20

A Royal Commission, has been done a few times before, a good way of dropping things forever with nobody noticing.

Or spin a bottle, flip a coin....

 

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 09 Oct 19 10.55am

Originally posted by Badger11

Back on topic (yes I know I also posted).

Claims in the media that the EU want to keep NI locked into a customs union permanently. At the moment it's not clear if this is true but if it is then it shows that the EU were never serious about a deal. No British government could ever give away our sovereignty like this and expect to survive the next GE. No doubt the usual suspects will blame Johnson because the EU should never be criticised it's always our fault remember.

Of course if we leave without a deal then the Irish have a problem but not to worry their Foreign Secretary has a solution, "electronic customs checks away from the border". Of course this is a million miles away from Johnson's solution which is "electronic customs checks away from the border."

I haven't read those "claims". Can you specify where they are? I cannot believe they are true as the "backstop" is only intended to be used as a last resort in case we haven't made a permanent arrangement in the time allocated. I still don't see why we don't just agree to it and then walk away from it if we fail to reach the permanent one. It would give everyone breathing space.

The EU seem very serious to me, but with clearly defined objectives on which they haven't wavered. They seem perfectly willing to reach those objectives in whatever way will work for all but insist that they must be reached. Seems fair enough, straightforward, honest and serious to me. Johnson (or more likely Cummings) on the other hand appears to be just playing games. If he isn't then he is doing a damn fine job of appearing to be doing so.

If we leave without a deal then there will be a big mess in Ireland for which electronic solutions might be the longer term solution but not immediately. I really don't believe that is going to happen as Parliament will take control on the 19th.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 09 Oct 19 11.01am

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

I haven't read those "claims". Can you specify where they are? I cannot believe they are true as the "backstop" is only intended to be used as a last resort in case we haven't made a permanent arrangement in the time allocated. I still don't see why we don't just agree to it and then walk away from it if we fail to reach the permanent one. It would give everyone breathing space.

The EU seem very serious to me, but with clearly defined objectives on which they haven't wavered. They seem perfectly willing to reach those objectives in whatever way will work for all but insist that they must be reached. Seems fair enough, straightforward, honest and serious to me. Johnson (or more likely Cummings) on the other hand appears to be just playing games. If he isn't then he is doing a damn fine job of appearing to be doing so.

If we leave without a deal then there will be a big mess in Ireland for which electronic solutions might be the longer term solution but not immediately. I really don't believe that is going to happen as Parliament will take control on the 19th.

Try looking at yesterday's papers it was all over them and the BBC. I am, not saying it's true I made that clear in my post this was a leak from No10. Yes Boris is playing games but you kinda make my point you blame Boris but never the EU they are also playing games I think there is a name for it, politics.

If it is true then you are correct the EU has not wavered from it's red lines which they must have know from day 1 would never be acceptable to a UK government. A negotiation where one party compromises and the other doesn't isn't a negotiation.

I don't know what will happen on the 19th I would still prefer a deal but if not I am hoping that Boris has a legal trick up his sleeve.

Edited by Badger11 (09 Oct 2019 11.02am)

 


One more point

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 09 Oct 19 11.05am

Originally posted by steeleye20

A Royal Commission, has been done a few times before, a good way of dropping things forever with nobody noticing.

Yes Minster's Sir Humphrey was always keen on inquiries. He was also keen on reports getting rid of the tricky bit in the title e.g. "Commission to investigate ways of leaving the EU" and then it recommends not leaving.


 


One more point

Teddy Eagle Flag 09 Oct 19 11.07am

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

As I wasn't even trying to make any comparisons I have no idea why you are getting upset. I was merely describing my own, long ago, experiences of the East End which was undoubtedly very different to today.

Why would I be upset? If the details of Doug and Dinsdale Pirinha’s methods of body disposal are the key point of Brexit then it’s hardly irrelevant either.

 

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 09 Oct 19 11.18am

Originally posted by Badger11

Try looking at yesterday's papers it was all over them and the BBC. I am, not saying it's true I made that clear in my post this was a leak from No10. Yes Boris is playing games but you kinda make my point you blame Boris but never the EU they are also playing games I think there is a name for it, politics.

If it is true then you are correct the EU has not wavered from it's red lines which they must have know from day 1 would never be acceptable to a UK government. A negotiation where one party compromises and the other doesn't isn't a negotiation.

I don't know what will happen on the 19th I would still prefer a deal but if not I am hoping that Boris has a legal trick up his sleeve.

Edited by Badger11 (09 Oct 2019 11.02am)

The stories yesterday was about the leaks and who was planting them. So far as I could tell no-one took them seriously and concentrated on the blame game tactics.

I don't think the EU is playing politics. I think they know where they stand, where the wriggle room is and where it isn't and are genuinely frustrated by our approach. Remember they reached a deal with us. It was our Parliament which refused it.

They want a deal every bit as much as anyone here does, but not at the expense of things that are even more important.

People compare this to a divorce, but there is one vital difference. When you divorce you try to reach compromises but if you fail then a compromise will be forced on you by a Judge. We don't have that fall back. We just have a fall out.

I sincerely hope Johnson doesn't try any trickery, legal or otherwise. Trying to impose his will against the will of Parliament could very easily lead to a full blown constitutional crisis and no-body, I hope, wants that.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 09 Oct 19 11.20am

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

The same background? That may well be correct, but I haven't seen anything myself other than apocryphal evidence. But immigrants? Are you sure? The children or grandchildren of immigrants maybe.

Why the rise in the use of knives? I am no expert but it looks like an out of control copy cat phenomenon to me, exacerbated by a lack of police resources and kids from bad backgrounds who think they won't be caught.

Or do you think the blame lies solely at the door of "immigration".


I agree, but the perpetrators are children of male parents from cultures that feel free to impregnate multiple women, not stick around, and from Africa where women need to prove their fertility before marriage and at an early age. There’s very little respect for the home and women in the home so there’s no surprise there’s no respect for outside the home.

On an opportunity level too many of these boys are dragging each other down inside and outside of school in a world you can’t afford to if you want to obey the law. There’s also a tendency to look for work for work on the high street in technology and trainer shops and then give up once they find there’s no work there but they can earn that weekly wage in hours selling drugs with their life at risk with a knife in their pocket.

We can throw as much money at this problem as we like, and it might improve it slightly, but it’s not going away. The problem is here for good. Just avoid these areas. That is unless we have a zero tolerance policy and write these youngsters off with no future at all. Actually they have no future anyway but think they do with a temporary cash flow before prison or death.

Edited by Rudi Hedman (09 Oct 2019 11.24am)

 


COYP

Midlands Eagle Flag 09 Oct 19 11.30am

Originally posted by EverybodyDannsNow

I don’t think Boris wants to leave on 31st - he wants it blocked which he can sell to win a GE; a mandate for the next 5 years is far more important for him - he was only a Brexiteer for his careers sake to begin with.

I don't believe that at all as it's just a story put about by disaffected Remainers including his own sister.

Everyone expected "Remain" to win the referendum so how would it help his career to head up a losing cause

 

Spiderman Flag Horsham 09 Oct 19 12.01pm

Originally posted by Matov

The difference would be the ability to impose different entry/scrutiny requirements on people from specific countries.

And actually insist on passports rather than just ID cards.

Personally I don't have any major issues with keeping effective freedom of movement with the EU, actually favouring them as migrants as opposed to other nations but just by being out of the EU will give us more options in terms of border control.

Absolutely, many ID cards are not bio-metric and very easily forged or counterfeited. Older style Italian ID cards are the most abused documents

 

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 09 Oct 19 2.01pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Tell me. Just how many generations do you think we have to go back before someone is no longer to be regarded as an immigrant? 1? 2? 5? 10? 100?

If the last 2 then almost all of us are, at least in part, immigrants.

Or do you actually just mean "black"?

That is a very good question. I would suggest that generations do not determine a great deal. It is more about how those individuals embrace the national culture and leave the undesirable or incompatible parts of their own behind.
It is to a large degree a 'Black' problem since a huge proportion of perpetrators and victims of knife crime are Black.

Edited by Hrolf The Ganger (09 Oct 2019 2.03pm)

 

cryrst Flag The garden of England 09 Oct 19 2.05pm

Originally posted by EverybodyDannsNow

I don’t think Boris wants to leave on 31st - he wants it blocked which he can sell to win a GE; a mandate for the next 5 years is far more important for him - he was only a Brexiteer for his careers sake to begin with.

Why would he back brexit to enhance his career when no one actually believed leave would win.
He actually nailed his colours to the mast because that's what he believed is better for the uk.
If remain had won he'd be down the road now shagging some blond model (lucky sod)

 

EverybodyDannsNow Flag SE19 09 Oct 19 2.34pm

Originally posted by cryrst

Why would he back brexit to enhance his career when no one actually believed leave would win.
He actually nailed his colours to the mast because that's what he believed is better for the uk.
If remain had won he'd be down the road now shagging some blond model (lucky sod)

Leave didn’t have to win the enhance his career.

He said in 2015: “I think that there is a very valid future for this country not in the EU. It’s not my preference, because there are some downsides.” - what changed between then and him declaring for leave?

Also widely reported that he wrote a reveal article for both leave and remain positions prior to publicly declaring for leave; his position was dependent on benefit to him, he knew he could argue both sides well enough.

 

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 09 Oct 19 2.58pm

Originally posted by EverybodyDannsNow

Leave didn’t have to win the enhance his career.

He said in 2015: “I think that there is a very valid future for this country not in the EU. It’s not my preference, because there are some downsides.” - what changed between then and him declaring for leave?

Also widely reported that he wrote a reveal article for both leave and remain positions prior to publicly declaring for leave; his position was dependent on benefit to him, he knew he could argue both sides well enough.

We don't know what was in his mind however another way of looking at his 2 documents is that of a thoughtful man. He puts the pros and cons down on paper to crystallise his thinking, in politics this is known as opposition research. I have no problem with Corbyn writing a pro nuclear paper if that helps him understand the argument for nuclear disarmament better.

 


One more point

steeleye20 Flag Croydon 09 Oct 19 3.02pm

Britain has turned against Brexit and would now vote to stay in the European Union, according to the biggest ever poll-of-polls.

The YouGov analysis for the Evening Standard of 300 surveys shows “concrete” evidence that the country shifted against quitting the European bloc in the year after the June 2016 referendum and has steadfastly stuck to this position ever since.

One of the most striking findings is that 204 out of 226 polls since July 2017 have shown Remain ahead, with just seven for Leave, and 15 ties.

Since July 2017 the public has wanted to remain in the EU.

Why can parliament simply not admit it and end the whole disaster?

 

EverybodyDannsNow Flag SE19 09 Oct 19 3.13pm

Originally posted by Badger11

We don't know what was in his mind however another way of looking at his 2 documents is that of a thoughtful man. He puts the pros and cons down on paper to crystallise his thinking, in politics this is known as opposition research. I have no problem with Corbyn writing a pro nuclear paper if that helps him understand the argument for nuclear disarmament better.

Sure, or you could view it as someone with no principles who’s willing to back whichever way the wind blows to further his career.

I know which one I suspect of Mr Johnson.

‘Opposition research’ is 90% of what I do on here

 

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 09 Oct 19 3.18pm

Originally posted by steeleye20

Britain has turned against Brexit and would now vote to stay in the European Union, according to the biggest ever poll-of-polls.

The YouGov analysis for the Evening Standard of 300 surveys shows “concrete” evidence that the country shifted against quitting the European bloc in the year after the June 2016 referendum and has steadfastly stuck to this position ever since.

One of the most striking findings is that 204 out of 226 polls since July 2017 have shown Remain ahead, with just seven for Leave, and 15 ties.

Since July 2017 the public has wanted to remain in the EU.

Why can parliament simply not admit it and end the whole disaster?

Too bad since the referendum was in 2016. We would have been out of Europe long ago if it wasn't for Remainers.

 

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