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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


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ASCPFC Flag Pro-Cathedral/caravan park 19 Mar 20 12.15pm

Originally posted by Badger11

Actually I was more thinking that none of them are economic contributors and will be expecting lots of lovely EU money. I wonder if the EU is now having second thoughts.

Just think if they had thrown Cameron a bone we would still be in the EU and more than paying our way, instead they now face the prospect of us as an economic rival and a queue of new entrants holding out the begging bowl.

How long before the leaders of the individual countries tell the Eurocrats to shut up and give us a free trade deal.

Some time ago the EU decided against admitting these states anytime soon. For the obvious reasons. Turkey zero chance. Looks quite likely to me that we could be looking at the death knells of this most recent European project. World depressions tend to do that.

 


Red and Blue Army!

Stirlingsays Flag 19 Mar 20 1.59pm

Originally posted by ASCPFC

Some time ago the EU decided against admitting these states anytime soon. For the obvious reasons. Turkey zero chance. Looks quite likely to me that we could be looking at the death knells of this most recent European project. World depressions tend to do that.

These were poor countries when these plans were drawn up originally.

I wouldn't trust anything the EU say myself. Greece was a poor country that didn't meet EU rules.....Essentially the prospect of a quick buck for Goldman Sachs and having another country buy Germany's exports quickly changed that.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

ASCPFC Flag Pro-Cathedral/caravan park 19 Mar 20 2.18pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

These were poor countries when these plans were drawn up originally.

I wouldn't trust anything the EU say myself. Greece was a poor country that didn't meet EU rules.....Essentially the prospect of a quick buck for Goldman Sachs and having another country buy Germany's exports quickly changed that.

There have been some (mad dogmatic politicians) in the EU pushing for greater expansion. However, with the internal disagreements in place this has had to be shelved. Quite clearly, Hungary, Slovakia, Greece, Spain, Portugal will not want, and will absolutely not accept, any new (succession) countries.
The EU is certainly stymied at the moment. Talks of expansion and greater federalism have completely dried up. [Frankly, well before the coronavirus]. Every nation for themselves at present.

 


Red and Blue Army!

Stirlingsays Flag 19 Mar 20 2.52pm

Originally posted by ASCPFC

There have been some (mad dogmatic politicians) in the EU pushing for greater expansion. However, with the internal disagreements in place this has had to be shelved. Quite clearly, Hungary, Slovakia, Greece, Spain, Portugal will not want, and will absolutely not accept, any new (succession) countries.
The EU is certainly stymied at the moment. Talks of expansion and greater federalism have completely dried up. [Frankly, well before the coronavirus]. Every nation for themselves at present.

Those are the people actually in power within the EU.

However I'd say your last two words are the most prescient. Let's not underestimate the power of Germany and France in deciding what happens....it's those two net contributors at the end of the day who have the biggest say......what the little 'takers' say not so much...even when they group together.

It won't be long before Germany wants some more markets to sell to and you'll find the rules suddenly becoming malleable again.

'The bureaucracy is expanding to meet the needs of the expanding bureaucracy.'
(Oscar Wilde)

Edited by Stirlingsays (19 Mar 2020 2.54pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

ex hibitionist Flag Hastings 19 Mar 20 3.08pm

there is bureaucracy and rail roading and small is beautiful and the more local the better where government is concerned but the Germany economy dwarfs us as an exporter, compare each country's trade surplus/deficit and you'll see their policy of developing new markets is based on having things to sell to them not bureaucratic inertia, and another reason for trade to be as free as possible is that we import half our food - when travel restrictions ease off we'll be wanting free and frictionless movement of goods until we're in the clear to prevent serious shortages, better to make sure we can feed ourselves before we start celebrating our new found independence

 

ASCPFC Flag Pro-Cathedral/caravan park 19 Mar 20 3.10pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

Those are the people actually in power within the EU.

However I'd say your last two words are the most prescient. Let's not underestimate the power of Germany and France in deciding what happens....it's those two net contributors at the end of the day who have the biggest say......what the little 'takers' say not so much...even when they group together.

It won't be long before Germany wants some more markets to sell to and you'll find the rules suddenly becoming malleable again.

'The bureaucracy is expanding to meet the needs of the expanding bureaucracy.'
(Oscar Wilde)

Edited by Stirlingsays (19 Mar 2020 2.54pm)

France gives the EU legitimate political power and Germany pays for it all. Have to suspect their next elections will be interesting.
The French system just means that any old lame duck (Macron) can come in at any stage - there are unlimited rounds of voting - so they will find a way to circumnavigate Le Penn.
Most interesting is Germany - everyone has had enough of Merkel - despite everything else, people are simply bored of her. However, they tend towards cosy coalitions of centre parties with another unfathomable voting system. Again the AfD will get a lot of votes but will be left out of power by everyone else combined.
What we will see is marching of Right Wing/ Nationalist parties and the end of this liberal agenda. When everyone creeps out of their foxholes, the last thing on their minds will be diversity or the idea of letting a load of immigrants in.
The borders have already been reinforced - it's just that we haven't been told. Not suitable information for the likes of us. We might start to think immigration is bad or something like that.

 


Red and Blue Army!

jeeagles Flag 20 Mar 20 3.31pm

Italy and Spain are going to have one hell of a time recovering from this.

Could be the end of the project.

Or an opportunity to restart with a better model.

 

Midlands Eagle Flag 20 Mar 20 4.34pm

Originally posted by jeeagles

Italy and Spain are going to have one hell of a time recovering from this.

Once the panic is over I fully intend to pump cash into the economies of both Italy and Spain

 

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 20 Mar 20 7.12pm

Originally posted by Midlands Eagle

Once the panic is over I fully intend to pump cash into the economies of both Italy and Spain

Me too. I will be rescheduling our Italian tour as soon as it's 'safe'.

 

cpfc_chap Flag koh samui 20 Mar 20 8.10pm

Originally posted by Midlands Eagle

Once the panic is over I fully intend to pump cash into the economies of both Italy and Spain

I'll still be boycotting EU states. Fancy South America for my next juant!

 

cryrst Flag The garden of England 20 Mar 20 8.35pm

Wissie could get his wish of being back in the EU.
I have a feeling after this that GB may have a bigger part to play.
At that point I would gladly vote to rejoin with new rules that at a minimum allow us to make our own rules and decisions which are best for us.
Time will tell but I dont think we need Poirot.
Another karma moment on the horizon.

 

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 21 Mar 20 6.47am

The French seize coronavirus cargo bound for the UK

[Link]

So much for our European neighbours.

 


One more point

Mapletree Flag Croydon 21 Mar 20 9.17am

Originally posted by Badger11

The French seize coronavirus cargo bound for the UK

[Link]

So much for our European neighbours.

I didn’t know anyone actually believed what is written in The Sun and then repeated in the Mail.

Anyway, it was of course completely false. We got them without any delay

Edited by Mapletree (21 Mar 2020 9.17am)

 

cpfc_chap Flag koh samui 21 Mar 20 11.33am

Originally posted by Mapletree

I didn’t know anyone actually believed what is written in The Sun and then repeated in the Mail.

Anyway, it was of course completely false. We got them without any delay

Edited by Mapletree (21 Mar 2020 9.17am)

[Link]

But what about EUs balkan neighbours?

 

DANGERCLOSE Flag London 05 Apr 20 1.56am

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Not in any way.

It's the OED.

[Link]

What a load of w*** the EU are.

 

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 05 Apr 20 6.45am

Originally posted by DANGERCLOSE

[Link]

What a load of w*** the EU are.

Wow how did that article slip pass the BBC censors.

 


One more point

Matov Flag 05 Apr 20 10.31am

I think the irony for the EU is that post this Corona virus there could be a real public appetite for a buy European campaign. Must admit I am planning on returning to Nokia for my mobile phone needs and will be doing my best not to buy any more Chinese goods.

That a European movement, with a genuine vision and leadership, could gain some traction. Not the EU, that is a dead duck but the notion of a Pan-European movement that sort to reject Globalisation and essentially looked to create a Europe that simply did not need the rest of the world, and especially China, might have some traction. We cannot return to the status quo, that much is obvious.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 05 Apr 20 10.44am

Originally posted by Matov

I think the irony for the EU is that post this Corona virus there could be a real public appetite for a buy European campaign. Must admit I am planning on returning to Nokia for my mobile phone needs and will be doing my best not to buy any more Chinese goods.

That a European movement, with a genuine vision and leadership, could gain some traction. Not the EU, that is a dead duck but the notion of a Pan-European movement that sort to reject Globalisation and essentially looked to create a Europe that simply did not need the rest of the world, and especially China, might have some traction. We cannot return to the status quo, that much is obvious.

My concern for many years now has been this country's dependency on energy from dodgy parts of the globe and what would happen if we had another 1970s oils crisis. I realise now that my concern is well founded but it goes much deeper than energy.

As you say we need to focus this country on sourcing our goods and supplies internally first and if not from the UK then from stable democratic countries. Cheap has consequences.

Chinese factories are now back to work and they will be mass producing the goods and the medical supplies we so desperately require because they caused the problem.

A bit like a double glazing salesman going round smashing peoples windows.

 


One more point

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 05 Apr 20 11.05am

Originally posted by Badger11

My concern for many years now has been this country's dependency on energy from dodgy parts of the globe and what would happen if we had another 1970s oils crisis. I realise now that my concern is well founded but it goes much deeper than energy.

As you say we need to focus this country on sourcing our goods and supplies internally first and if not from the UK then from stable democratic countries. Cheap has consequences.

Chinese factories are now back to work and they will be mass producing the goods and the medical supplies we so desperately require because they caused the problem.

A bit like a double glazing salesman going round smashing peoples windows.

Hopefully it will refocus minds everywhere in Europe.I trust it will stop any suggestions in the UK that the EU is anything other than a group of nations acting collaboratively when it is in their common interest to do so, whilst stopping those in the EU who would like to change that.

That's though a long way down the road. Dealing with the crisis comes first. Agreeing the needed extension next. EU reform after that, and then us rejoining that reformed EU.

You know it makes sense!!!

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 05 Apr 20 11.10am

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Hopefully it will refocus minds everywhere in Europe.I trust it will stop any suggestions in the UK that the EU is anything other than a group of nations acting collaboratively when it is in their common interest to do so, whilst stopping those in the EU who would like to change that.

That's though a long way down the road. Dealing with the crisis comes first. Agreeing the needed extension next. EU reform after that, and then us rejoining that reformed EU.

You know it makes sense!!!

You don't need the EU with all its structures for what I and others are suggesting, just a free trade bloc, nice try though.

 


One more point

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