You are here: Home > Message Board > News & Politics > Topic
October 30 2026 12.32am

This page is no longer updated, and is the old forum. For new topics visit the New HOL forum.

The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


Page 16 of 1552 < 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 >
Hoof Hearted 25 Feb 16 11.39am

Originally posted by JohnyBoy

I take your point hoof but the truth is 'do you want free trade or immigration' because they are are intrinsically linked even if we have brexit as EFTA also demands freedom of labour (degree of which is agreement dependent.) If you are arguing for economic isolation ( i would admire your honesty if you were) then history tells us e.g Devalera's ireland)that we would enter severe economic decline.
Some of the right wing press may print daily stories of our public services being under pressure but the truth is they have always been, but if the economy declines it will get a lot worse. Additionally it seems to me they are trying to spread fear - i went to school during the Thatcher years where class sizes were hitting 40 per class (now limited to 30), but fear of scarcity is good to sell newspapers but can be very misleading in this economic debate.
I wont get into a comparison of political figures ad this usually degenerates into tribalism but just wanted to point out that the political mavericks i have mentioned havnt had a glorious eceonomic past -although i take your point that gordon brown is also tainted by his market timing on gold.

We don't have to go it alone though.

We are already forging links with China and India but currently with EU interference. How do you think we coped before 1975?
We joined the "Common Market" a trading platform between like minded and reasonably even countries in terms of economic clout. Now we are in political union with countries like Greece bleeding us dry and Brussels imposing all sorts of bureaucratic hurdles and hoops.

You are seriously underplaying the effects on our infrastructure with your casual statements above!

Housing at crisis point and getting worse as demand increases. Building houses doesn't solve any problems as you need roads, schools, GP surgeries, hospitals, shops etc etc.

Where are we going to build these new communities to cope with the increased population? Green belt/farming land?

If we do then we need to replace that loss of food production with more imports not to mention potentially increasing the likelihoods of flood as we remove more land to soak up rainwater.

Very soon our water supply will be affected and some places will have drought whilst others flood.

Increasing our population carries more potentially damaging unknowns than worrying about our economy.

 

Hoof Hearted 25 Feb 16 11.43am

Originally posted by Lyons550

That would've been me Hoof...and by far right I mean organised campaigns from the likes of Britain First and UKIP...does that help(?)

You're alright Mr Lyons... Gusset was getting his left leaning knickers in a twist and goading me. I wasn't taking his jibes seriously.

 

Lyons550 Flag Shirley 25 Feb 16 11.44am

Originally posted by aquickgame2

Fck me thats a lot of dosh.What do we get for that ?

So if we get out what do we do with all these billions that were saving ?

Well for a start we'd have to diversify a lot more than we currently do...the large part of our current exports are service led...and that's what's driving the economoy. What i'd like to see is the engenieering and manufacturing parts supported and ramped up again in order that we can become more self sufficient should we have voted OUT.

What I certainly wouldn't want to see is the NHS swallow the vast majority of this money...

 


The Voice of Reason In An Otherwise Mediocre World

jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 25 Feb 16 11.49am

Originally posted by Lyons550

That would've been me Hoof...and by far right I mean organised campaigns from the likes of Britain First and UKIP...does that help(?)

I think calling UKIP far right is unfair. They're really to the right of the conservative party, but they're not the far or hard right - Though some people who vote for them maybe.

Its like labelling Corbyn's Labour party far left. Its not, its just more left wing than tradition. It is not the Socialist Party, SWP, Workers Libertine etc.

They're not Britain First, EDL or the BNP, which are groups traditionally identified as Far Right - These are groups that traditionally have their origins in a kind of neo-Fascism, similar to how the far left parties are neo-Marxist.

UKIP are a democratic party, arguably when you get to the far left and right, the democratic system is really seen more as a means to an ideological end (more or less).

Whilst I don't support UKIP, calling them far right is an unfair association to groups that really are.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
[Link]

Lyons550 Flag Shirley 25 Feb 16 11.56am

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

I think calling UKIP far right is unfair. They're really to the right of the conservative party, but they're not the far or hard right - Though some people who vote for them maybe.

Its like labelling Corbyn's Labour party far left. Its not, its just more left wing than tradition. It is not the Socialist Party, SWP, Workers Libertine etc.

They're not Britain First, EDL or the BNP, which are groups traditionally identified as Far Right - These are groups that traditionally have their origins in a kind of neo-Fascism, similar to how the far left parties are neo-Marxist.

UKIP are a democratic party, arguably when you get to the far left and right, the democratic system is really seen more as a means to an ideological end (more or less).

Whilst I don't support UKIP, calling them far right is an unfair association to groups that really are.

Fair point Jamie...it was just my take on it. The real point of my original post on the matter was simply that a lot of people (including good friends of mine) who have never voted before are doing so solely on the rhetoric of these and other like minded groups and as such are doing so without considering the other wider implications; that it's clear a lot of us are seeking to unearth.

This is a v good thread with good debate on both sides of the fence.

 


The Voice of Reason In An Otherwise Mediocre World

Hoof Hearted 25 Feb 16 11.58am

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

I think calling UKIP far right is unfair. They're really to the right of the conservative party, but they're not the far or hard right - Though some people who vote for them maybe.

Its like labelling Corbyn's Labour party far left. Its not, its just more left wing than tradition. It is not the Socialist Party, SWP, Workers Libertine etc.

They're not Britain First, EDL or the BNP, which are groups traditionally identified as Far Right - These are groups that traditionally have their origins in a kind of neo-Fascism, similar to how the far left parties are neo-Marxist.

UKIP are a democratic party, arguably when you get to the far left and right, the democratic system is really seen more as a means to an ideological end (more or less).

Whilst I don't support UKIP, calling them far right is an unfair association to groups that really are.

Farage has to put up with a lot worse than that Jamie... he can't even have a quiet Sunday lunch in a pub with his family without Class War activists invading his privacy calling him Scum and worse.

 

Lyons550 Flag Shirley 25 Feb 16 12.04pm

Originally posted by JohnyBoy

I am an economist myself and i disagree slightly with the first statement although i do see gdp being reduced by approximately 0.5% per annum in the event of brexit which could tip us into recession, in a low growth environment. I am however much more bearish on sterling and can see it dropping to around 1.10.

Surely this would be a great thing for exports?? But not for my impending 3 week trip to Florida

 


The Voice of Reason In An Otherwise Mediocre World

Hoof Hearted 25 Feb 16 12.10pm

Originally posted by Lyons550

Surely this would be a great thing for exports?? But not for my impending 3 week trip to Florida

Newton's 3rd Law innit...

For every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction.

Currency values like Oil prices create some good things and some bad things.

 

JohnyBoy Flag 25 Feb 16 12.11pm

Originally posted by Hoof Hearted

We don't have to go it alone though.

We are already forging links with China and India but currently with EU interference. How do you think we coped before 1975?
We joined the "Common Market" a trading platform between like minded and reasonably even countries in terms of economic clout. Now we are in political union with countries like Greece bleeding us dry and Brussels imposing all sorts of bureaucratic hurdles and hoops.

You are seriously underplaying the effects on our infrastructure with your casual statements above!

Housing at crisis point and getting worse as demand increases. Building houses doesn't solve any problems as you need roads, schools, GP surgeries, hospitals, shops etc etc.

Where are we going to build these new communities to cope with the increased population? Green belt/farming land?

If we do then we need to replace that loss of food production with more imports not to mention potentially increasing the likelihoods of flood as we remove more land to soak up rainwater.

Very soon our water supply will be affected and some places will have drought whilst others flood.

Increasing our population carries more potentially damaging unknowns than worrying about our economy.

I didnt think my comments were casual and i do see the strain on resources, the most pressing of which is housing. We need to build a lot more and that doesnt mean i want to build in the green belt. The Ruhr region of Germany is much more densely populated but they have sufficient housing because they had a coherant housing policy.....and even if murdoch and desmond have managed to scare the bejaysus out of you this country has never had a better health service, education standards or economy although all need to be improved and continual investment. Dont believe everything the Mail tells you, cos just like a soap opera, they just want to keep you addicted to bad news.
It does make me grimace when i hear brexit supporters talk about opening free trade with China and India ....i.e have new free trade agreemts (and therefore new immigrants if you remember that free trade implies freedom of labour movement) when they dont like the ones we have already because of a misleading assumption that we are part of a federal political strucure...

And china & india will negotiate with the eu, they wouldnt bother with a little island economy like us in the event of brexit. ...i guess we will just have to agree to differ

 

Willo Flag South coast - west of Brighton. 25 Feb 16 12.27pm

Originally posted by JohnyBoy


And china & india will negotiate with the eu, they wouldnt bother with a little island economy like us in the event of brexit. ...i guess we will just have to agree to differ

What !

We are the 5th biggest economy in the world ! We are NOT some "Little Island" as you put it.

In fact a couple of months ago it was reported that Britain will reach the "giddy" heights of the fourth largest economy in the world, leapfrogging Germany and Japan over the next two decades, new analysis shows.


Edited by Willo (25 Feb 2016 12.31pm)

 

Hoof Hearted 25 Feb 16 12.33pm

Originally posted by JohnyBoy

I didnt think my comments were casual and i do see the strain on resources, the most pressing of which is housing. We need to build a lot more and that doesnt mean i want to build in the green belt. The Ruhr region of Germany is much more densely populated but they have sufficient housing because they had a coherant housing policy.....and even if murdoch and desmond have managed to scare the bejaysus out of you this country has never had a better health service, education standards or economy although all need to be improved and continual investment. Dont believe everything the Mail tells you, cos just like a soap opera, they just want to keep you addicted to bad news.
It does make me grimace when i hear brexit supporters talk about opening free trade with China and India ....i.e have new free trade agreemts (and therefore new immigrants if you remember that free trade implies freedom of labour movement) when they dont like the ones we have already because of a misleading assumption that we are part of a federal political strucure...

And china & india will negotiate with the eu, they wouldnt bother with a little island economy like us in the event of brexit. ...i guess we will just have to agree to differ

No need for the Daily Mail jibes.

We have someone on the Hol called Bert The (NOB)Head who has a monopoly on that insult anyway.

I am a retired IFA/Compliance Officer with 40 years experience in the financial sector. I don't need to rely on newspapers of any political persuasion to guide me through the thrills and spills of the financial world.

I also suffer from Parkinson's, Diabetes and Chronic Arthritis - so I know first hand how the NHS struggles to cope. The problems it faces is not limited to finances but yet again trying to accommodate seeing too many people. Our Bristol Hospitals are inundated with Somalian mothers giving birth and our A&E Depts trying to cope with drunken patients turning up at weekends with alcohol fuelled injuries. Adding more people to an already groaning waiting list isn't going to help.

Both China and India will need their own inhabitants to help them establish themselves as leading lights of the world's economies and will be trading with us for high value, niche quality products and services that we can guarantee - our reputation for quality precedes us with both countries. We have little to fear establishing greater trade deals with either.

The EU on the other hand is a rapidly diminishing market for us, or so it would seem from recent trends?

 

We are goin up! Flag Coulsdon 25 Feb 16 12.33pm

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

I think calling UKIP far right is unfair. They're really to the right of the conservative party, but they're not the far or hard right - Though some people who vote for them maybe.

Its like labelling Corbyn's Labour party far left. Its not, its just more left wing than tradition. It is not the Socialist Party, SWP, Workers Libertine etc.

They're not Britain First, EDL or the BNP, which are groups traditionally identified as Far Right - These are groups that traditionally have their origins in a kind of neo-Fascism, similar to how the far left parties are neo-Marxist.

UKIP are a democratic party, arguably when you get to the far left and right, the democratic system is really seen more as a means to an ideological end (more or less).

Whilst I don't support UKIP, calling them far right is an unfair association to groups that really are.

What's really annoying is when the Front National is called "the far right" when their policies are massively pro-welfare. Tarring the true right (ie free market, anti-dependence on the state) with the line on anti-immigration is wrong IMO.

 


The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.

JohnyBoy Flag 25 Feb 16 12.37pm

Originally posted by Willo

What !

We are the 5th biggest economy in the world ! We are NOT some "Little Island" as you put it.

In fact a couple of months ago it was reported that Britain will reach the "giddy" heights of the fourth largest economy in the world, leapfrogging Germany and Japan over the next two decades, new analysis shows.


Edited by Willo (25 Feb 2016 12.31pm)

I was referring to Lucas' islands parable which is an economic theory, ( please look it up) that talks about trade between island economies, the conclusion being that free trade is good, whilst tariffs, protectionism and reciprocity are bad and makes the islands economy 'smaller' - apologies if i hurt your feelings but the point is that Britain's economy would be smaller

 

We are goin up! Flag Coulsdon 25 Feb 16 12.40pm

Originally posted by JohnyBoy

I was referring to Lucas' islands parable which is an economic theory, ( please look it up) that talks about trade between island economies, the conclusion being that free trade is good, whilst tariffs, protectionism and reciprocity are bad and makes the islands economy 'smaller' - apologies if i hurt your feelings but the point is that Britain's economy would be smaller


Might have been relevant even 20 years ago, the world is far more connected than that these days.

 


The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.

JohnyBoy Flag 25 Feb 16 12.51pm

Originally posted by We are goin up!


Might have been relevant even 20 years ago, the world is far more connected than that these days.

Wont be for us if we vote to leave though

 

davenotamonkey Flag 25 Feb 16 12.57pm

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

I think calling UKIP far right is unfair. They're really to the right of the conservative party, but they're not the far or hard right - Though some people who vote for them maybe.

Its like labelling Corbyn's Labour party far left. Its not, its just more left wing than tradition. It is not the Socialist Party, SWP, Workers Libertine etc.

They're not Britain First, EDL or the BNP, which are groups traditionally identified as Far Right - These are groups that traditionally have their origins in a kind of neo-Fascism, similar to how the far left parties are neo-Marxist.

UKIP are a democratic party, arguably when you get to the far left and right, the democratic system is really seen more as a means to an ideological end (more or less).

Whilst I don't support UKIP, calling them far right is an unfair association to groups that really are.

Not only is it unfair, it's wrong. But then again, I'm sure it's very easy to be drawn into the preconditioned way of thinking "wight wing - waycists!!" when one's daily diet is the Graun and (soon expired) Independent.

Take a look at the "British Social Attitudes" report on UKIP from last year. Particularly, look at Table 6 on p.12 and draw your own conclusions from the data:

[Link]

Here are mine (which are a statement of fact followed by interpretation):

In all but one of the attitudes towards social inequality, UKIP supporters are more or equally "left leaning" than Labour supporters, and considerably more so than Conservative supporters.

My interpretation: UKIP supporters have a distrust of "big government", and prefer smaller government with less interference in citizen's life (ergo anti-EU). They are not "far right wing" in attitude towards issues Labour supporters care about. Very sorry about that.

Edited by davenotamonkey (25 Feb 2016 12.58pm)

 

Lyons550 Flag Shirley 25 Feb 16 12.58pm

Originally posted by Willo

What !

We are the 5th biggest economy in the world ! We are NOT some "Little Island" as you put it.

In fact a couple of months ago it was reported that Britain will reach the "giddy" heights of the fourth largest economy in the world, leapfrogging Germany and Japan over the next two decades, new analysis shows.


Edited by Willo (25 Feb 2016 12.31pm)


Link please....i'd be interested in this

 


The Voice of Reason In An Otherwise Mediocre World

davenotamonkey Flag 25 Feb 16 1.09pm

Originally posted by JohnyBoy

I take your point hoof but the truth is 'do you want free trade or immigration' because they are are intrinsically linked even if we have brexit as EFTA also demands freedom of labour (degree of which is agreement dependent.) If you are arguing for economic isolation ( i would admire your honesty if you were) then history tells us e.g Devalera's ireland)that we would enter severe economic decline.
Some of the right wing press may print daily stories of our public services being under pressure but the truth is they have always been, but if the economy declines it will get a lot worse. Additionally it seems to me they are trying to spread fear - i went to school during the Thatcher years where class sizes were hitting 40 per class (now limited to 30), but fear of scarcity is good to sell newspapers but can be very misleading in this economic debate.
I wont get into a comparison of political figures ad this usually degenerates into tribalism but just wanted to point out that the political mavericks i have mentioned havnt had a glorious eceonomic past -although i take your point that gordon brown is also tainted by his market timing on gold.

Nope. Wrong. The Swiss voted for immigration caps for the EU via a referendum (you know, that expression of democracy the EU so hates). This motion passed, and their federal council must now enact it.

The EU got nasty after the vote and cherry-picked some things to cancel that they thought would add political pressure -- namely access to research funding (which the Swiss subsequently paid into) and the ERASMUS student exchange scheme (which the Swiss have joined under a different umbrella). Funny how they didn't do anything like cancel their vital trade routes through Switzerland, eh?

As far as I know, the Swiss are still happily trading in the single market.


So, a few lessons here:

- Tiny Switzerland, whilst subject to arbitrary and punitive action from the EU, is still trading whilst on-course to cap the number of EU nationals entering their country
- The EU is a bully, and will exert it's political might on sovereign countries to achieve it's aims (as Ukraine now well knows). Do we want to be in such a club?
- We have a much larger economy and considerably more leverage to negotiate a deal with the EU. The EU cannot impose unfavorable terms (Article 8 of the Lisbon Treaty & World Trade Organisation tariff rules) on what is ultimately a huge trade deficit anyway.
-As aside, Swiss exports to China (because, you know, the poor, poor downtrodden Swiss have a free trade agreement with China, whilst we can't, as members of the EU) is due to overtake exports to Germany within a decade.

 

Lyons550 Flag Shirley 25 Feb 16 1.14pm

So the next question I have is should we vote 'OUT' what will likely happen to the EU itself?

Will it struggle without our funding?

Will our exit result in others choosing to go it alone?

Will it start a domino effect?

 


The Voice of Reason In An Otherwise Mediocre World

jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 25 Feb 16 2.08pm

Originally posted by Willo

What !

We are the 5th biggest economy in the world ! We are NOT some "Little Island" as you put it.

In fact a couple of months ago it was reported that Britain will reach the "giddy" heights of the fourth largest economy in the world, leapfrogging Germany and Japan over the next two decades, new analysis shows.


Edited by Willo (25 Feb 2016 12.31pm)

I think sometimes the ideas of having 'a big economy' can be overated, the US and China have massive economies but also really serious poverty, inequality and misery.

A strong or powerful economy is only really positive if it benefits the people in that society. Norway is the 23rd strongest economy, but its arguably it has a much lower level of economic disparity, poverty etc.

Countries first duty must always be to their people, all of them, not just those who vote for them.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
[Link]

Page 16 of 1552 < 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 >

You are here: Home > Message Board > News & Politics > Topic