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May 29 2024 8.42am

Ukraine Situation - Should We Be Worried?

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 17 Dec 23 4.49pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

I don't have inside information on the current military situation or the overall global strategy of the US and its allies or Russia.
However, I do find it rather pointless to blame one side or the other for what is happening now.

OF course, Russia started the military conflict in Ukraine, which appears to threaten Europe and my only concern is the safety of those I care about. As someone who lives in the West, I rely on Western governments to protect my interests. I cannot make choices on how they choose to do that or to what degree my circumstances and others like me are considered in that scenario.

We don't have the bigger picture, and so we can only guess at the real motivations behind a strategy.
The global game of chess is on going and will continue until humans no longer exist. If money and power drive policy as it does most things, then nuclear war seems counterproductive in the biggest possible way. Only a state or group driven by warped ideology would consider such insanity. If there was ever a chance that Russia could cosy up to the West and become allied, then this disappeared after that brief moment of hope after the collapse of the USSR.

Personally, In the current circumstances, I am for negotiation but with strength. Negotiating in retreat is never a great idea. Putin needs a victory, and the West needs to show that it is ready to crush potential future incursions into NATO territory. Somewhere in there, a compromise has to be found. I don't see how Ukraine can be sacrificed, but equally, there must be a clear understanding about the future of Ukraine which allows for independence and no official allegiance to Russia or NATO.

Yours is the common sense approach.

I've learnt to look at the claims of both sides, I grew up in the 80s like you and remember the first cold war...I saw the Berlin wall come down and what happened in Russia after, the relationship with Nato, the Serbian war.......So this situation let's just say I don't go with the mainstream western narrative and only partly agree with Russia's....while being against the decision to invade as I've always said....Essentially the reasons that are all earlier in the thread.

However, I'm English and I while I might disagree with my government my interests are for my island, not some foreign land, Ukraine or Russia...Not quite country right or wrong but my country all the same.

We are part of Nato, the strength of Nato should be focused upon its members (Turkey shouldn't be in it and it expanded against our interests). Instead we have foolishly become involved militarily and now find ourselves at a significant disadvantage.

I suspect we have lost people over there who shouldn't have officially been there but it's being kept quiet.

This war ends in negotiation....it's not going to be a good one for Ukraine now. It's not going to be a negotiation from strength and that's the difference between what was practically possible long term and what people prefer to be the case.

People will see that not negotiating in March 21 was madness. The deal will be much worse for Ukraine.

Nevertheless, afterwards Nato can start building up behind a demilitarized zone.....and hopefully a Trump can de-escalate from these cold war boomers who aren't living in today's world.

Edited by Stirlingsays (17 Dec 2023 5.02pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 17 Dec 23 5.56pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

The reasoning that the NATO countries should only focus on their own defence so should, as a consequence, not be providing support to Ukraine seems to lie at the heart of the argument from those who are prepared to appease Putin.

The truth is, of course, providing indirect support to Ukraine is also acting in their own defence.

We live in an ever shrinking world. One in which what happens on the other side reverberates here. How much more so when the event is on your doorstep?

The USA came to our aid during WW2 because it understood that what would happen in Europe if it didn’t would ultimately threaten them too. The creation of NATO subsequently was the practical embodiment of that realisation only then it was the USSR and not Germany where the threat existed.

Recently we have had a populist President undermining the whole idea of NATO. Someone who could still do damage and whose supporters are now trying political tricks to allow their support to continue. Is it any wonder that Putin organised support for Trump and interfered in the 2016 election in the way he did? Talk about 5th columnists! You don’t need to look very far!

I am as English as anyone else here but I have enough common sense to realise that ensuring our own peace and prosperity involves a great deal more than only concentrating on ourselves. I would love to think that Russia is a peace loving country we can trust and deal with. Maybe one day it will be, but not now. For now we must protect ourselves and our friends. Including those in Ukraine.

 


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View snytaxx's Profile snytaxx Flag London 17 Dec 23 7.07pm Send a Private Message to snytaxx Add snytaxx as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

The reasoning that the NATO countries should only focus on their own defence so should, as a consequence, not be providing support to Ukraine seems to lie at the heart of the argument from those who are prepared to appease Putin.

The truth is, of course, providing indirect support to Ukraine is also acting in their own defence.

We live in an ever shrinking world. One in which what happens on the other side reverberates here. How much more so when the event is on your doorstep?

The USA came to our aid during WW2 because it understood that what would happen in Europe if it didn’t would ultimately threaten them too. The creation of NATO subsequently was the practical embodiment of that realisation only then it was the USSR and not Germany where the threat existed.

Recently we have had a populist President undermining the whole idea of NATO. Someone who could still do damage and whose supporters are now trying political tricks to allow their support to continue. Is it any wonder that Putin organised support for Trump and interfered in the 2016 election in the way he did? Talk about 5th columnists! You don’t need to look very far!

I am as English as anyone else here but I have enough common sense to realise that ensuring our own peace and prosperity involves a great deal more than only concentrating on ourselves. I would love to think that Russia is a peace loving country we can trust and deal with. Maybe one day it will be, but not now. For now we must protect ourselves and our friends. Including those in Ukraine.

This, this and this!

We have a country making real tangible movement to becoming less corrupt, more democratic and more accountable. Being attacked by a country which is fundamentally hostile to those values on a path way to Lebensraum.

Essentially what we have is the chance for one of our greatest threats to be severely weakened for less than 10% of our defence spending. Money already spent. Helping isn't just our moral duty. It's literally to our benefit and will likely save British lives in the future once appeasement fails.

 

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View becky's Profile becky Flag over the moon 17 Dec 23 8.00pm Send a Private Message to becky Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add becky as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

The reasoning that the NATO countries should only focus on their own defence so should, as a consequence, not be providing support to Ukraine seems to lie at the heart of the argument from those who are prepared to appease Putin.

The truth is, of course, providing indirect support to Ukraine is also acting in their own defence.

We live in an ever shrinking world. One in which what happens on the other side reverberates here. How much more so when the event is on your doorstep?

The USA came to our aid during WW2 because it understood that what would happen in Europe if it didn’t would ultimately threaten them too. The creation of NATO subsequently was the practical embodiment of that realisation only then it was the USSR and not Germany where the threat existed.

Recently we have had a populist President undermining the whole idea of NATO. Someone who could still do damage and whose supporters are now trying political tricks to allow their support to continue. Is it any wonder that Putin organised support for Trump and interfered in the 2016 election in the way he did? Talk about 5th columnists! You don’t need to look very far!

I am as English as anyone else here but I have enough common sense to realise that ensuring our own peace and prosperity involves a great deal more than only concentrating on ourselves. I would love to think that Russia is a peace loving country we can trust and deal with. Maybe one day it will be, but not now. For now we must protect ourselves and our friends. Including those in Ukraine.

Let's not forget that we paid a price for that aid...... we had to give them the design for the jet engine and we repaid over £3 billion to the US and 2 billion to Canada from the end of the war to 2006.

I doubt that we will ever see anything back from Ukraine for our aid - except of footage of barely trained 'soldiers' indiscriminately firing millions of pounds worth of shells at indeterminate targets.

Forgive me if I resent my tax money being used for this.....

 


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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 17 Dec 23 9.08pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

All those eager for continuing a war against 'Nazi' Russia need to do less typing and more signing up and wearing fatigues.

Off you pop.

This is a continual problem with the left, they will virtue signal and commit to any hairshirt out there, just as long as it's someone else paying the price for it.....If they can afford it they will do it and sod the people struggling to pay for their weekly shop.

Once again, the claims that we are facing an actual threat from Russia fly in the face of actual reality.

Once again I'll state the obvious fact. If any Nato country thought that Russia were coming over the hill then defence spending would instantly spike to war economy levels 18 months ago. Instead, the only places where that has happened is in Ukraine and Russia.

Instead the defenders of policies that have brought us to this point have to continue the fantasies that enabled it.

As for certain people claiming they are English....

They enjoy a place that is English...their soul is in its destruction. Their third worldist politics are a far larger threat to this country than the slavs will ever be.

Edited by Stirlingsays (17 Dec 2023 9.12pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 17 Dec 23 9.46pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by becky

Let's not forget that we paid a price for that aid...... we had to give them the design for the jet engine and we repaid over £3 billion to the US and 2 billion to Canada from the end of the war to 2006.

I doubt that we will ever see anything back from Ukraine for our aid - except of footage of barely trained 'soldiers' indiscriminately firing millions of pounds worth of shells at indeterminate targets.

Forgive me if I resent my tax money being used for this.....

Do you resent any of your taxes being spent on defence? For this is essentially the same purpose. So far as I am aware we haven’t imposed conditions on the assistance offered to Ukraine. Remember the USA didn’t just send equipment. They sent men.

 


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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 17 Dec 23 9.50pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Neo cons gonna neo con.

I was one and learnt my lesson.

A cold war is far more damaging to the west second time around. These people only seed our decline with fantasies....China and Russia and the BRICS generally...now with the middle east have all the resources they need and they know it...and us?.....We just have a bunch of useless self obsessed progressives and neo cons living fantasies.....half of them don't even know what a woman is.

Edited by Stirlingsays (17 Dec 2023 9.52pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 17 Dec 23 10.35pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

The idea that only those of fighting age are allowed to have an opinion on this subject would not only disqualify me but just about everyone here. Including he who suggested it. Yet another nonsensical idea.

Judging by the general attitudes on display here I care a great deal more about those struggling to pay for their weekly food than most. There is no virtue signalling involved. Just a cold hard look at priorities.

No one imagines that “the Russians are coming over the hill”! More nonsense. This is about the future, not about tomorrow. Therefore there is no immediate need for a spike in defence spending. We have NATO to protect us. However should Trump, or his lackeys in Congress, succeed in weakening NATO then that would change.

It’s almost as if Putin has been colluding with someone in the USA to achieve this! I wonder who that could be? It’s another reason, if one were needed, to make sure that Trump is defeated,

I am very English! I am also a human being and citizen of the world who has witnessed at first hand abject poverty and deprivation of a kind rarely if ever seen at home. Something few here seem to have any experience of at all. You can feel proud of your culture and heritage without losing sight of the need to try to help others and argue on their behalf. Some here appear to want to disregard these things completely and only concern themselves with here, seemingly believing that these things are either not real, not important or not our problem. Not only is this unfair and lacking compassion it is also shortsighted.

A new Cold War is very damaging, but if it happens it must be faced. You don’t offer appeasement to avoid a Cold War. There are bad outcomes and there are worse outcomes. Avoiding a bad one but ending with a worse one is the policy of fools who think only short term.

 


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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 17 Dec 23 11.01pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

You will notice that this guy regularly defends what he supports by saying, 'yeah it's a crap outcome, but it'd have been much worse'.....People should remember the promises that were made when these approaches were being sold to them.

Imagine a failing football manager or any manager at work coming out with that. In the real world that doesn't work and they get the sack....but with elites there is no one above them to sack them and many of those supporting and enabling these decisions aren't even subject to being voted out.

Regardless, there will be the end result to this and we will see who supported what policies and what the result is.....It's going to be pretty bad for Ukraine and those who didn't support March 21 are not going to do well.

The policy towards Russia has been the wrong one since the nineties and it is hardly me just saying it or the DR....There are high ranking diplomats who were warning about the direction of travel ten years ago.....they were ignored and here we are.

But apparently not getting into wars is appeasement.

These people are why the country is heading towards penury.

Biden's running because he doesn't trust the next lot to keep him out of jail, he has a lot of enemies even within the Democratic party....Trump's running because of the same reason.

The difference between them is Trump is more popular with the voters....but both of them are too old and unsuitable.

Biden is even more damaging in terms of foreign policy as leaders know he's not all there half the time. America has suffered a massive loss in soft power since he's been in power.

Edited by Stirlingsays (17 Dec 2023 11.32pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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View Mapletree's Profile Mapletree Flag Croydon 18 Dec 23 9.52am Send a Private Message to Mapletree Add Mapletree as a friend

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

You will notice that this guy regularly defends what he supports by saying, 'yeah it's a crap outcome, but it'd have been much worse'.....People should remember the promises that were made when these approaches were being sold to them.

Imagine a failing football manager or any manager at work coming out with that. In the real world that doesn't work and they get the sack....but with elites there is no one above them to sack them and many of those supporting and enabling these decisions aren't even subject to being voted out.

Regardless, there will be the end result to this and we will see who supported what policies and what the result is.....It's going to be pretty bad for Ukraine and those who didn't support March 21 are not going to do well.

The policy towards Russia has been the wrong one since the nineties and it is hardly me just saying it or the DR....There are high ranking diplomats who were warning about the direction of travel ten years ago.....they were ignored and here we are.

But apparently not getting into wars is appeasement.

These people are why the country is heading towards penury.

Biden's running because he doesn't trust the next lot to keep him out of jail, he has a lot of enemies even within the Democratic party....Trump's running because of the same reason.

The difference between them is Trump is more popular with the voters....but both of them are too old and unsuitable.

Biden is even more damaging in terms of foreign policy as leaders know he's not all there half the time. America has suffered a massive loss in soft power since he's been in power.

Edited by Stirlingsays (17 Dec 2023 11.32pm)

Don’t bother taking up chess.

 

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View Stirlingsays's Profile Stirlingsays Flag 18 Dec 23 2.00pm Send a Private Message to Stirlingsays Holmesdale Online Elite Member Add Stirlingsays as a friend

Originally posted by Mapletree

Don’t bother taking up chess.

Little late for that.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 18 Dec 23 2.04pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

You will notice that our regular know it all defends what he supports by assuming it would have produced a better outcome, just because the one that was used produced problems. He does exactly the same on issues closer to home too. Nothing is without consequences. When something hasn’t been done theories are cheap and easy.

All these oblique assumptions about “March 21st” (where do they come from I wonder) take no account whatsoever of the fact that Putin cannot be trusted and doesn’t comply with agreements. For sure there will eventually be negotiations that will end this war, at least for a while, but securing anything secure and permanent will only happen when trust is restored and there is no sign of that. Russia will have to be treated as a pariah until it is forced to realise that it’s best interests lie is establishing and maintaining trust. That won’t happen under Putin.

There is no other policy that makes sense. Of course people have identified and warned of the consequences but that doesn’t mean they could have been avoided, given who we are dealing with. Those consequences need to be faced and dealt with.

So to try to reach an accommodation with Russia would have been appeasement. Just because we weren’t, and still aren’t, actually at war with them doesn’t alter that. We weren’t at war with Germany when Chamberlain appeased Hitler, but we were as soon as the agreement was broken. Appeasement only benefits the appeased.

Why Biden is running is something of a puzzle but it has nothing at all with any desire to ensure he doesn’t go to jail. The judicial system might have more political influence in the USA than we are used to, especially at Supreme Court level, but Judges are still Judges first whose master is the law. Biden has nothing to fear from them, from all that has actually been seen so far. Trump on the other hand does.

The idea that Biden has caused more damage than Trump to the reputation of the USA is risible. Biden has enabled a sense of normality to return and for other leaders to know that they can anticipate a common sense response. Biden spoke about this a week or so ago when saying that he had received many requests from foreign leaders imploring him to ensure Trump does not return to the White House. I believe him.

 


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