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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


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leifandersonshair Flag Newport 10 May 16 12.30pm

Cameron is only going to get more and more desperate as the vote approaches. He knows his position as leader will be untenable if the public vote Leave, and there will be a political scrum as leading Tories try to position themselves as successor.

Cameron gambled- by pushing hard for the Remain camp, he knew a Remain vote would have sunk Boris and IDS (politically), but the Remain vote looked a lot safer months ago when first announced...

I'm actually in the Remain camp, but neither camp has really done a great job getting it's message across. Looking forward to the political mayhem that will result whatever the outcome!

 

jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 10 May 16 12.46pm

Originally posted by leifandersonshair

Cameron is only going to get more and more desperate as the vote approaches. He knows his position as leader will be untenable if the public vote Leave, and there will be a political scrum as leading Tories try to position themselves as successor.

Cameron gambled- by pushing hard for the Remain camp, he knew a Remain vote would have sunk Boris and IDS (politically), but the Remain vote looked a lot safer months ago when first announced...

I'm actually in the Remain camp, but neither camp has really done a great job getting it's message across. Looking forward to the political mayhem that will result whatever the outcome!

I think Cameron can probably weather an exit, provided its close. The larger the margin the more untenable his position may be, especially to ambitious pro-exit candidates.

Usually in referendums, the 'change' campaign prospers early on, but closer to the date the 'bravado' starts to waiver and people start to change their minds. People start to think more about consequences and risk, as they get closer to having to make a decision. Whilst its a more distant thing, they tend to be more idealistic than pragmatic.

Out!

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
[Link]

JohnyBoy Flag 10 May 16 1.36pm

Originally posted by Hoof Hearted

Hahaha... very amusing Johnny.... I like it mate.

I've portrayed an image on here that you have captured exactly.... bravo sir!

X

Perhaps when this blo@dy war is over Hoof and the borders are reopened in say 40 years time we could meet at one of those memorial arches, remembering fallen comrades and wondering at the futility of it all...
Over here we are busy applauding (nay laughing) at the honesty of cucking for his admission that he would like a return to colonialisation...he must be a good bloke to have around when the bombs start falling....we dont know about that willo fellow tho. Despite constant reports that he can see the rational and obvious benefits of the remain campaign he insists LOUDLY he will vote leave. TBH we dont want him on our side Hoof, sounds like one of those unpopular types that deliberately takes the controversial and limited argument to provoke a bit of controversy ....perhaps it makes him feel more important than he is. We have enough trouble over here with those liberal beatnik peace and prosperity types ....going on about their 'enhanced life opportunities' and bottles of shiraz they will be enjoying if we remain. Get real i tell em, we are at war...there goes another blunder by one of our generals...Good day to you Hoof...

 

johnfirewall Flag 10 May 16 2.18pm

Forgot about the EU ruling Workfare illegal.

This may be amusing to the left who rigidly stand up for the poor even where poverty is self inflicted but why take from those people to give to Europe and the rest of the Union's poor?

Edited by johnfirewall (10 May 2016 2.18pm)

 

Stuk Flag Top half 10 May 16 2.53pm

Originally posted by Hoof Hearted

The name's Hunt Kermy.. not C U Next Tuesday.

Cameron is playing a game.

When the EU demanded a further £1.8M a couple of years ago he was as Eurosceptic as it was possible to be... probably on a par with Corbyn.

Now the two are lining up fully behind the Remain campaign because it suits their political agenda, not because they believe in it.

You bigging up Cameron is just the same thing Kermy. Outside of this referendum debate you wouldn't have a good word to say about him or Osborne would you?

As somebody else said on here recently - it's the "muppets" that will decide it and right now the message that immigration is choking our country to death is resonating with those who are most affected by it.

Talk of the economy being stronger doesn't cut it.

Billion wasn't it?

 


Optimistic as ever

dannyh Flag wherever I lay my hat....... 10 May 16 3.09pm

Originally posted by Willo


Absolutely NOT.

I am firmly in the "Brexit" camp and my position is entrenched.

Whatever gave that impression I'm sure I don't know.

OUT OUT OUT !

 


"It's not the bullet that's got my name on it that concerns me; it's all them other ones flyin' around marked 'To Whom It May Concern.'"

JohnyBoy Flag 10 May 16 4.46pm

Originally posted by dannyh

Whatever gave that impression I'm sure I don't know.

OUT OUT OUT !

You definitely sound like you are wavering to me Danny, c'mon over, you will be much more prosperous, liberated and safe....plus there are lots of good lads over here: kermit, bigpalacefan and lankygit to name but a few

 

JohnyBoy Flag 10 May 16 6.03pm

Originally posted by JohnyBoy

You definitely sound like you are wavering to me Danny, c'mon over, you will be much more prosperous, liberated and safe....plus there are lots of good lads over here: kermit, bigpalacefan and lankygit to name but a few

And i forgot to mention you will be £4300 a year better off Danny, thats nearly 1500 pints of wetherspoons beer, surely thats enough to tip you over...

 

JohnyBoy Flag 10 May 16 6.42pm

Originally posted by Cucking Funt

Absolutely not, old fruit. Furthermore, I'm all for reclaiming the Empire, too.

To quote the great Winston:

We are with Europe, but not of it. We are linked but not combined. We are interested and associated but not absorbed.

Thank you for your honesty on this one Cucking, it is quite refreshing compared to the denials over the threat to the economy, financial markets, security, household prosperity and trade. You do not need to understand rational expectations theory to form the view that all would be significantly worse off (although admitedly we dont know exactly by how much) in thd event if brexit.
But to bring us back to the days of empire would drag us back into arguably the 2nd worse crime in human history -colonialism (2nd only to the slave trade). Didnt Churchill also say that "history will be kind to me because i intend to write it"....although i should comment here that his leadership in ww2 to defeat the nazis was truly commendable. But the fact that he inherited a colonial empire taints the big picture. The nazis actually used Churchill as to how they were under threat from imperialism and that the British felt they should be the only ones to shoulder the burden of wealth and prosperity. They reminded people that it was the British that invented concentration camps during the Boer war and in one film - Ohm Kruger, showed a concentration camp where Churchill was the commendant where 26000 woman and children were slaughtered. Under competing colonial empires, with little or no trade interdependency, diplomacy and indeed economic stagnation and decline, tensions inevitably sparked ww1. They called if the great war, that would end all wars, and 'lest we forget'
Buf within a measly 20 years , barely a generation, the far right of europe (including the Uk's Oswold Mosely) were in the ascendency. Finally Mussolini's italy withdrew from the league of nations and ww2 began.
I for one, am very wary of right wing nationslism. It really only serves individual political interest and is really very dangerous. When David Cameron warns of increased risk of war alongside the head of mi6 saying security will be compromised, i for 1 take them seriously. Whilst i dont see a conflict happening in thd event of brexit, i also wont forget the lessons of history - and that after both world wars said never again...

 

johnfirewall Flag 10 May 16 7.26pm

How are the French allowed to go above their own parliament and Europe

[Link]

when we're at the sharp end of things like this?

[Link]

 

legaleagle Flag 11 May 16 9.33am

Originally posted by Cucking Funt

Absolutely not, old fruit. Furthermore, I'm all for reclaiming the Empire, too.

To quote the great Winston:

We are with Europe, but not of it. We are linked but not combined. We are interested and associated but not absorbed.

You have surpassed yourself here Cucking!

Will you commence the reclamation of Empire by leading a one person re-invasion of Mesopotamia (Iraq) to reactivate the mandate,start a new opium War in China to get back the "treaty port" of Shanghai ,or perhaps hide in a container of tea headed for Boston to sort those damn uppity Yankees out?

 

legaleagle Flag 11 May 16 9.37am

Originally posted by johnfirewall

How are the French allowed to go above their own parliament and Europe

[Link]

when we're at the sharp end of things like this?

[Link]

Umm...The same way we have changed our labour laws (at times controversially) a number of times over the years since joining the EU,and the same way our governments have "got round" the hassle of parliamentary democracy to introduce laws regularly over the years by using the Royal Prerogative...

 

johnfirewall Flag 11 May 16 9.49am

Originally posted by legaleagle

Umm...The same way we have changed our labour laws (at times controversially) a number of times over the years since joining the EU,and the same way our governments have "got round" the hassle of parliamentary democracy to introduce laws regularly over the years by using the Royal Prerogative...

We've just been told we can't make people work for benefits

 

jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 11 May 16 2.50pm

Originally posted by johnfirewall

We've just been told we can't make people work for benefits

Quite right to, as this undermines people in low skill and manual labour jobs. Its seems on the surface a good idea, until you can't find a job, because employers can get someone to do it for free. Its really a dangerous concept, that like cheap migrant labour, will be used to reduce costs (wages) against the interests of working (because employers public and private are driven by costs, and will use such labour where ever possible).

Then there is the issue to the person in question. When I was unemployed, the job centre sent people for interviews.

If we're going to make people work, fine, lets make them work and pay them a fair rate for their work.

Not make them some cheap alternative where by employers can cut wages.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
[Link]

jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 11 May 16 2.52pm

Originally posted by Stuk

Billion wasn't it?

Wasn't that because we'd changed how we measured capital and decided to include black market income against the economic growth (which made them look great) but then got shirty when it was time to pay 'the dues'.

Its like people who engage in tax avoidance, and then complain about public services....

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
[Link]

johnfirewall Flag 11 May 16 4.28pm

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

Quite right to, as this undermines people in low skill and manual labour jobs. Its seems on the surface a good idea, until you can't find a job, because employers can get someone to do it for free. Its really a dangerous concept, that like cheap migrant labour, will be used to reduce costs (wages) against the interests of working (because employers public and private are driven by costs, and will use such labour where ever possible).

Then there is the issue to the person in question. When I was unemployed, the job centre sent people for interviews.

If we're going to make people work, fine, lets make them work and pay them a fair rate for their work.

Not make them some cheap alternative where by employers can cut wages.

True. I forget that these people are actually made to work in Poundland, where instead the perfect solution would be to place them in roles which otherwise would be funded directly by the government, providing a triple benefit.

If people are so against outsourcing of public services, maybe cancel all the contracts and employ the unemployed.

No one should be above sweeping the streets if they've not bothered to find anything else. It would stop the 'jobs the English won't do' falacy as well.

 

Hoof Hearted 11 May 16 4.55pm

Originally posted by JohnyBoy

Perhaps when this blo@dy war is over Hoof and the borders are reopened in say 40 years time we could meet at one of those memorial arches, remembering fallen comrades and wondering at the futility of it all...
Over here we are busy applauding (nay laughing) at the honesty of cucking for his admission that he would like a return to colonialisation...he must be a good bloke to have around when the bombs start falling....we dont know about that willo fellow tho. Despite constant reports that he can see the rational and obvious benefits of the remain campaign he insists LOUDLY he will vote leave. TBH we dont want him on our side Hoof, sounds like one of those unpopular types that deliberately takes the controversial and limited argument to provoke a bit of controversy ....perhaps it makes him feel more important than he is. We have enough trouble over here with those liberal beatnik peace and prosperity types ....going on about their 'enhanced life opportunities' and bottles of shiraz they will be enjoying if we remain. Get real i tell em, we are at war...there goes another blunder by one of our generals...Good day to you Hoof...

In 40 years I will be but a faded memory to my nephews and nieces who will still be benefiting from my estate hopefully.

I am fast approaching 62 and have Parkinson's and Diabetes.

I doubt that I'll get to see Corbyn's nose rubbed in it, in 2020.

I'm hoping that I'll have seen Palace win the FA Cup though!

Take care Johnny.

X

 

Hoof Hearted 11 May 16 4.57pm

Originally posted by Stuk

Billion wasn't it?

indeed it was Stuk my faithful friend.

Yes... £1.8 Billion.... not an inconsequential amount!

 

Stuk Flag Top half 11 May 16 7.22pm

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

Wasn't that because we'd changed how we measured capital and decided to include black market income against the economic growth (which made them look great) but then got shirty when it was time to pay 'the dues'.

Its like people who engage in tax avoidance, and then complain about public services....

No, we have to include the black market due to EU rules because other countries, like Germany, have taxed prostitution as the Netherlands has taxed drugs. They claim it's not fair so everyone else has to guesstimate a black market economy which is then added to GDP figures etc. which they then use to work out who should contribute what to the EU budget.

The real reason we had to pay more is below.

 


Optimistic as ever

Stuk Flag Top half 11 May 16 7.23pm

The European Commission has begun a revision of EU budget shares. Because of the relative strength of its economy to the rest of the EU, the UK has by far the largest payment, due on 1 December.

The €2.1 billion is equal to a fifth of the UK’s annual transfer to Brussels. Other countries, such as Germany, and France – which has struggled to balance its budgets – will get rebates under the plans.


 


Optimistic as ever

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