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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


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npn Flag Crowborough 22 Feb 16 1.46pm

Originally posted by Kermit8

I get what you say and well said it is too.

I do believe, however, that without the foreign care workers, waiters, pub staff, labourers, fruit and veg pickers - and there must be many hundreds of thousands of them from the EU here- we will struggle to maintain our standards of living. Add the potential of lost jobs from the extra costs of trading and one or two other negatives of Brexit already mentioned it feels like the 'Out' campaign is very much using a sledgehammer to crack a nut.

I don't see those workers being allowed into the country if we had a points based system or if they were red-tape would rear its ugly and expensive head.

Cameron and around 75% of the cabinet think it is wiser to stay. The others want to risk what we already have and roll the dice with fingers crossed hoping it comes up a '7'.

I get that, but (again awaiting explanation from someone who will know what Brexit looks like) those unskilled workers (pubs, fruit and veg, etc) will be indirectly subsidised by the fact that they are preferable because they are cheaper, but there are consequently going to be UK citizens unable (or unwilling) to find that type of work.

Again, I claim to have no answers, but I do know people on zero hours contracts, I also know people who are unemployed, and it seems a false economy to allow unskilled labour to come in and then pay 'our own' unskilled labour benefits. Of course, whether those unemployed would then be willing to take those jobs is another question entirely.

Worded badly, but hopefully you get the point. I have nothing against EU migrants - they are showing a bit of gumption and some get up and go and, to be honest, I'd gladly swap the ones coming in to try and better their lot for some of the more feckless of our home grown talent.

 

Mr_Gristle Flag In the land of Whelk Eaters 22 Feb 16 1.47pm

It's certainly going to be interesting to watch this play out.

The CBI and Big Business telling us all how we have to stay in to protect profits by continuing to race to the bottom on wages (OK, maybe they won't tell the whole truth) and the Little Englanders on the other telling us how we'll be able to lock the migrants out and send all the benefit claimants from Eastern Europe back (without telling us how they propose to repatriate or take money away from those already here).

The anti-Establishment flame in me wants to vote OUT for the sheer F*** offness of it, but I can't bring myself to line up with exploitative hypocritical scum like Farage on principle.

 


Well I think Simon's head is large; always involved in espionage. (Name that tune)

Willo Flag South coast - west of Brighton. 22 Feb 16 1.58pm

Originally posted by Mr_Gristle

It's certainly going to be interesting to watch this play out.

The CBI and Big Business telling us all how we have to stay in to protect profits by continuing to race to the bottom on wages (OK, maybe they won't tell the whole truth) and the Little Englanders on the other telling us how we'll be able to lock the migrants out and send all the benefit claimants from Eastern Europe back (without telling us how they propose to repatriate or take money away from those already here).

The anti-Establishment flame in me wants to vote OUT for the sheer F*** offness of it, but I can't bring myself to line up with exploitative hypocritical scum like Farage on principle.

Knew this would enter the debate.

 

wombat84 Flag 22 Feb 16 1.59pm

100% out.

 

Kermit8 Flag Hevon 22 Feb 16 2.17pm

Sterling dropping like a stone already on 'out' fears.

We will have only 24 months to negotiate an exit if the 'out' vote wins when at that point we will cease to be a member state and any unfinished negotiations will automatically be terminated.


 


Big chest and massive boobs

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 22 Feb 16 3.02pm

Originally posted by npn

I get that, but (again awaiting explanation from someone who will know what Brexit looks like) those unskilled workers (pubs, fruit and veg, etc) will be indirectly subsidised by the fact that they are preferable because they are cheaper, but there are consequently going to be UK citizens unable (or unwilling) to find that type of work.

Again, I claim to have no answers, but I do know people on zero hours contracts, I also know people who are unemployed, and it seems a false economy to allow unskilled labour to come in and then pay 'our own' unskilled labour benefits. Of course, whether those unemployed would then be willing to take those jobs is another question entirely.

Worded badly, but hopefully you get the point. I have nothing against EU migrants - they are showing a bit of gumption and some get up and go and, to be honest, I'd gladly swap the ones coming in to try and better their lot for some of the more feckless of our home grown talent.

Or alternatively, make being feckless a lot harder by reducing benefits and improving education and training.
Allowing vast numbers of migrants here is not the answer. Unless the question is, do you want to make rich people richer.

 

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 22 Feb 16 3.05pm

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

Quite a bit, as we saw with Scottish Independence - in the run up to the referendum. Fear, nonsense and hyperbole will be bouncing around for the next four or five months, with both sides feeding on the paranoia, and ultimately, it'll result in zero change. Even if we do go 'out', in likelihood the actual reality will be minimal change, a few cosmetic gestures and business as usual.

I'm leaning more towards an out than an in. Whilst there are elements of the EU and membership that appeal to me, the EU exists primarily as a means of exerting Corporate pressure on other countries, including member states (things like TTIP, Tax sheltering, EU trade regulations and Freedom of Movement seriously concern me as they represent unaccountable interests).

Pretty much my position.

 

Hoof Hearted 22 Feb 16 3.19pm

Originally posted by Mr_Gristle

It's certainly going to be interesting to watch this play out.

The CBI and Big Business telling us all how we have to stay in to protect profits by continuing to race to the bottom on wages (OK, maybe they won't tell the whole truth) and the Little Englanders on the other telling us how we'll be able to lock the migrants out and send all the benefit claimants from Eastern Europe back (without telling us how they propose to repatriate or take money away from those already here).

The anti-Establishment flame in me wants to vote OUT for the sheer F*** offness of it, but I can't bring myself to line up with exploitative hypocritical scum like Farage on principle.

There is no need for "little englanders" type narrative in this debate!

Farage may be a lot of things - but a hypocrite he is not.

He has stuck to his guns and always campaigned for the UK to exit the EU.

If you're looking for a hypocrite try Cameron. He is supporting the stay in campaign to save his job after fcuking up the reform negotiations and promising a referendum. Up till now he hasn't had a good word to say about the EU.

Edited by Hoof Hearted (22 Feb 2016 10.15pm)

 

jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 22 Feb 16 3.24pm

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

Or alternatively, make being feckless a lot harder by reducing benefits and improving education and training.
Allowing vast numbers of migrants here is not the answer. Unless the question is, do you want to make rich people richer.

I'm not sure the problem would be helped by reducing benefits, but raising the minimum wage significantly would make some of these jobs more viable for those who are unemployed and in a position where they can't afford to take a job. Problem has been that whilst benefits are linked to inflation, wages aren't. Meaning that the influx of migrant workers has essentially made x number of jobs unworkable for many people who have ties here (such as those who have a family).

Where I live, the big contributor to welfare cost is housing benefit, because the cost of renting is through the room expensive. There is no real way someone on minimum wage could afford to rent a one bedroom flat each month, let alone a family home (easily going to set you back 1k a month after tax). Even with two working adults that's still a serious amount of money to find each month, before you get to bills and utilities.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
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matt_himself Flag Matataland 22 Feb 16 3.44pm

Originally posted by Kermit8

Sterling dropping like a stone already on 'out' fears.

We will have only 24 months to negotiate an exit if the 'out' vote wins when at that point we will cease to be a member state and any unfinished negotiations will automatically be terminated.


Oh, boo hoo.

We onl have 24 months between being a stooge for Brussels or raking control of our own destiny.

Come back with a better retort, non racist man living in darkest Devon who does not hate black people. Honest.

 


"That was fun and to round off the day, I am off to steal a charity collection box and then desecrate a place of worship.” - Smokey, The Selhurst Arms, 26/02/02

We are goin up! Flag Coulsdon 22 Feb 16 3.50pm

Originally posted by Kermit8

Sterling dropping like a stone already on 'out' fears.

We will have only 24 months to negotiate an exit if the 'out' vote wins when at that point we will cease to be a member state and any unfinished negotiations will automatically be terminated.



I find it baffling that a leftie is suddenly quoting big business and currency fluctuations as reasons for staying in. Where were these considerations at the General Election?

Do you not think immigration is having an effect on our public services? It needs to be reduced, and quickly.

 


The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.

Kermit8 Flag Hevon 22 Feb 16 4.02pm

Originally posted by matt_himself

Oh, boo hoo.

We onl have 24 months between being a stooge for Brussels or raking control of our own destiny.

Come back with a better retort, non racist man living in darkest Devon who does not hate black people. Honest.

Still projecting your own ills onto others, I see.


It can't be easy being you living in denial for so long. Psychotherapy may help.

And to stop this becoming another tedious MATTHEW thread I will only debate about the EU and ignore your 'look at me look at me' childish and, frankly, boring vitriol from now.

I know why you do it. Anger. Anger that I see you in a way that, deep down, you know to be true but, for some reason, you just can't actually admit it to yourself.


Edited by Kermit8 (22 Feb 2016 4.48pm)

 


Big chest and massive boobs

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 22 Feb 16 4.05pm

Originally posted by jamiemartin721

I'm not sure the problem would be helped by reducing benefits, but raising the minimum wage significantly would make some of these jobs more viable for those who are unemployed and in a position where they can't afford to take a job. Problem has been that whilst benefits are linked to inflation, wages aren't. Meaning that the influx of migrant workers has essentially made x number of jobs unworkable for many people who have ties here (such as those who have a family).

Where I live, the big contributor to welfare cost is housing benefit, because the cost of renting is through the room expensive. There is no real way someone on minimum wage could afford to rent a one bedroom flat each month, let alone a family home (easily going to set you back 1k a month after tax). Even with two working adults that's still a serious amount of money to find each month, before you get to bills and utilities.

Would that not have a negative effect on smaller local business?

 

Kermit8 Flag Hevon 22 Feb 16 4.09pm

Originally posted by We are goin up!


I find it baffling that a leftie is suddenly quoting big business and currency fluctuations as reasons for staying in. Where were these considerations at the General Election?

Do you not think immigration is having an effect on our public services? It needs to be reduced, and quickly.


Why baffling? If we go backwards economically it is going to affect a lot of people. The 'outs' may not care about that that much as long as their vote wins but others do. Living in the past is going to help no-one. Reforming EU rules that aren't functioning well will. And we can't make that come about if we are trading from a lonely stall 25miles away from where the real action is.

 


Big chest and massive boobs

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 22 Feb 16 4.12pm

Originally posted by Kermit8


Why baffling? If we go backwards economically it is going to affect a lot of people. The 'outs' may not care about that that much as long as their vote wins but others do. Living in the past is going to help no-one. Reforming EU rules that aren't functioning well will. And we can't make that come about if we are trading from a lonely stall 25miles away from where the real action is.

How is that going to happen?

 

jamiemartin721 Flag Reading 22 Feb 16 4.14pm

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

Would that not have a negative effect on smaller local business?

Short term, probably, but I'd question whether a business that can only employ people and provide a standard of living below the cost of living actually serves society at all.

Also more than a few small business paying minimum wage are quite profitable, often remarkably so for the owners (Child Care, Cleaning companies and retirement housing for example).

If it was suitably staggered within a tax subsidy for business with less than say 10 employees, you could graduate that impact, whilst reducing long term welfare dependency.

 


"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug"
[Link]

npn Flag Crowborough 22 Feb 16 4.30pm

Originally posted by Kermit8


Why baffling? If we go backwards economically it is going to affect a lot of people. The 'outs' may not care about that that much as long as their vote wins but others do. Living in the past is going to help no-one. Reforming EU rules that aren't functioning well will. And we can't make that come about if we are trading from a lonely stall 25miles away from where the real action is.

To be honest, that's currently my biggest "out"-leaning reason. Cameron went to the EU with a big stick, namely, "we are having a referendum and if you don't give us something we may lose", and still he came back with next to nothing. Once that stick is gone, he'll get no change at all from Brussels. That's why I thought (and still do) that his bluff of going to the EU demanding change was a very dangerous one, and it's right-royally shafted him!

 

Kermit8 Flag Hevon 22 Feb 16 4.37pm

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

How is that going to happen?

Well, in the same way they reformed the wasteful 'fish discard' issue a couple of years back. Debate, lobbying, presentation of facts, pressure, etc. The things that are broken need fixing. How can we help if we are locked out?

The EU (common market, eec) over the last 70 years has been great for peace and prosperity and not so great for one or two other things which, rightly in some cases, bother a lot of people. But we should still appreciate the excellent results of its coming about and not do away with them lightly.

 


Big chest and massive boobs

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becky Flag over the moon 22 Feb 16 4.51pm

Originally posted by Kermit8


Why baffling? If we go backwards economically it is going to affect a lot of people. The 'outs' may not care about that that much as long as their vote wins but others do. Living in the past is going to help no-one. Reforming EU rules that aren't functioning well will. And we can't make that come about if we are trading from a lonely stall 25miles away from where the real action is.


If all the countries with their snouts in the EU money trough decide it will remain so, we will always be one of the few EU members pouring the gravy into the troughs for them and will never be able to outvote them on ANY reform that will reduce how much they are getting out. - as in previous attempts to reform the CAP which the French benefit so well from.....

 


A stairway to Heaven and a Highway to Hell give some indication of expected traffic numbers

beagle Flag pom tiddly om pom pom 22 Feb 16 5.00pm

Originally posted by Hoof Hearted

There is no need for "little englanders" type narrative in this debate!

Farage may be a lot of things - but a hypocrite he is not.

He has stuck to his guns and always campaigned for the UK to exit the EU.

If you're looking for a hypocrite try Cameron. He is supporting the stay in campaign to save his job after fcuking up the reform negotiations and promising a referendum. Up till now he hasn't had a good word to say about the UK.

Galloway (whether one likes him or not) gave a very good speech for the out campaign - and if there's one person who is the antithesis of 'Little Englander' its Galloway
[Link]

 


When the time comes, I want die just like my Dad - at peace and asleep.
Not screaming and terrified.
Like his passengers.

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