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April 26 2024 10.33am

Relegation run in

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View GlaziertoEagle's Profile GlaziertoEagle Flag Coventry 01 May 18 12.21am Send a Private Message to GlaziertoEagle Add GlaziertoEagle as a friend

Ever since we had the run of games against the top 6 teams, I've been looking at a table given the assumption that the top 6 will always beat a team outside of the top 6.

Obviously we all know that no result is a given but just thought I'd post this now that we're safe as it shows a how few chances other teams have to get points, outside of the unlikely outcome of taking points off the top teams.

Capture.PNG Attachment: Capture.PNG (53.32Kb)

 

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01CPFC Flag central coast NSW (The Mariners Mi... 01 May 18 3.25am

Originally posted by GlaziertoEagle

Ever since we had the run of games against the top 6 teams, I've been looking at a table given the assumption that the top 6 will always beat a team outside of the top 6.

Obviously we all know that no result is a given but just thought I'd post this now that we're safe as it shows a how few chances other teams have to get points, outside of the unlikely outcome of taking points off the top teams.

And this chart tells me what???????????
COYP

 


Where is the Joker shown, I haven't used it ?

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View cpfc1976's Profile cpfc1976 Flag Reading 01 May 18 7.09am Send a Private Message to cpfc1976 Add cpfc1976 as a friend

Originally posted by Stuk

You can bet via oddschecker themselves.

So why does it take you to the 10bet site then? If you think you can put it on then try it. You won’t be able to or enforce their mistake.

 

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View dp's Profile dp Flag Tunbridge Wells 01 May 18 7.40am Send a Private Message to dp Add dp as a friend

Originally posted by 01CPFC

And this chart tells me what???????????
COYP

Didn't the explanation help you?

It seems that it is taking the current state of play, and assuming that all games against the top six will result in wins for the top six. Thus, the wins for the top six are added onto the table as it currently stands.

So Huddersfield are where they are, and they have three games against the top six. So if the assumption that they will lose all of those games comes to fruition then they will have no other chances to get anymore points and will finish on 35 points.

Southampton, however, have to play teams outside the top six so still have a few chances for results. I don't know how Liverpool and Chelsea can have games involving teams outside the top six, but there you go.

As valid as any other prediction I guess. Although if any of the bottom three finish on more than 37 points this season then I will be very, very surprised. So all a bit moot in my opinion.

Edited by dp (01 May 2018 7.42am)

 

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View thai-eagle's Profile thai-eagle Flag chiang mai 01 May 18 9.10am Send a Private Message to thai-eagle Add thai-eagle as a friend

Seeing all those teams near bottom with a game in hand, I still not feel 100 that we stay up. Wished Roy H did not say we're safe after Leicester game. Might backfire against a fighting Stoke side....

 

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View Y Ddraig Goch's Profile Y Ddraig Goch Flag In The Crowd 01 May 18 9.24am Send a Private Message to Y Ddraig Goch Add Y Ddraig Goch as a friend

Originally posted by thai-eagle

Seeing all those teams near bottom with a game in hand, I still not feel 100 that we stay up. Wished Roy H did not say we're safe after Leicester game. Might backfire against a fighting Stoke side....

No it won't we are safe

 


the dignified don't even enter in the game

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View CambridgeEagle's Profile CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 01 May 18 9.27am Send a Private Message to CambridgeEagle Add CambridgeEagle as a friend

Originally posted by thai-eagle

Seeing all those teams near bottom with a game in hand, I still not feel 100 that we stay up. Wished Roy H did not say we're safe after Leicester game. Might backfire against a fighting Stoke side....

It would take such a freaksih set of results now. Not just losing our last 2 games. It would require big swings in goal difference, Saints getting a result against Man City, Huddersfield getting 4 or more points against City, Chelsea and Arsenal, The weed getting some points against Manure, City and Liverpool, Watford getting a result when in poor form and with Manure away last day, Bournemouth to get a result (possibly vs Swansea which would dent their hopes), Spammers to get 4 points out of Leicester, Manure and Everton.

All of these things now need to happen. I imagine the only "analysis" that would see us going down would be based on events that are so improbable that if you had any genuine belief in such "analysis", even the tiniest bit, you should get yourself to the nearest bookmaker and stick a few quid on it.

We should be looking at a 10th place finish given our 2 remaining fixtures.

 

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View Willo's Profile Willo Flag South coast - west of Brighton. 01 May 18 9.31am Send a Private Message to Willo Add Willo as a friend

Originally posted by Y Ddraig Goch

No it won't we are safe

The fact is we aren't mathematically safe and football can throw up a whole host of surprises.I'm certainly NOT 'Counting chickens'.

 

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View CambridgeEagle's Profile CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 01 May 18 9.32am Send a Private Message to CambridgeEagle Add CambridgeEagle as a friend

Originally posted by Willo

The fact is we aren't mathematically safe and football can throw up a whole host of surprises.I'm certainly NOT 'Counting chickens'.

What does your analysis tell you will happen? Who is going down? Let me know and I'll pop down the bookies and back whoever it is to stay up!

 

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View CambridgeEagle's Profile CambridgeEagle Flag Sydenham 01 May 18 9.36am Send a Private Message to CambridgeEagle Add CambridgeEagle as a friend

This weekend we have the luxury of knowing Brighton's result early and then knowing our result before the 3pm kick offs.

We will then know what other results will suit us best. If we win we can hope Newcastle don't win and Swansea get a result against Bournemouth. If we don't win then I don't think we can be mathematically safe on Saturday, but if results go our way we could be virtually safe given the GD.

 

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View peterg's Profile peterg Flag Anerley 01 May 18 9.37am Send a Private Message to peterg Add peterg as a friend

It's great how many teams are in the mix ahead of Palace. Now Watford too!

 


The right place at the right time

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View jpegnall's Profile jpegnall Flag Surrey 01 May 18 10.07am Send a Private Message to jpegnall Add jpegnall as a friend

Two games left and both a top ten (9th) finish and relegation on the cards. Personally I think we will finish 10th, Newcastle in 9th and Leicester in 11th with Stoke and Huddersfield going down.

Looking at the teams playing each other it is almost inconceivable that we get relegated. That being said I may stick on £10 at 1000/1...

 

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