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April 30 2024 7.41am

Relegation run in

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View FairweatherEagle's Profile FairweatherEagle Flag London 01 May 18 8.07pm Send a Private Message to FairweatherEagle Add FairweatherEagle as a friend

Originally posted by daven

That is a very good point, even during the losing games against the top teams, we showed enough.

Agreed to a point. We were abysmal against arsenal and Chelsea could've put us to the sword, but otherwise we lost those games only by late goals. Man u, we pissed three points down the drain from a strong position. Sigh..

 

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View Aray's Profile Aray Flag South London 01 May 18 8.08pm Send a Private Message to Aray Add Aray as a friend

Look folks we have to just ignore him.

 

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View rollercoaster's Profile rollercoaster Flag Cornwall 01 May 18 8.24pm Send a Private Message to rollercoaster Add rollercoaster as a friend

Originally posted by Aray

Look folks we have to just ignore him.

Agreed, I'm a stayer but he's really done my head in this year. This from a self-confessed pessemist.

 

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View dp's Profile dp Flag Tunbridge Wells 02 May 18 6.45am Send a Private Message to dp Add dp as a friend

Originally posted by Willo

I understand the thrust of your argument.

That said, after the Chelsea game (when we had lost 4 games in succession conceding 9 goals) if someone had uttered that we would win 3 of the next 6 games there might have been some who questioned this judgement.

Thank goodness I never predicted we would be sitting 11th at this point - I would have been accused of spouting total and utter hogwash ! A brilliant turnaround in fortunes.

Some people did (although I was not one of them). The difference being that they backed it up with some rudimentary analysis.

 

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View mr. apollo's Profile mr. apollo Flag Somewhere in Switzerland 02 May 18 7.36am Send a Private Message to mr. apollo Add mr. apollo as a friend

There was a post earlier on in this thread that answers all the questions of how mathematically safe we are ... have a butchers at the below.

3332763_9E1FB52B-66BC-4423-95CC-0D2EB04B1088.jpeg Attachment: 3332763_9E1FB52B-66BC-4423-95CC-0D2EB04B1088.jpeg (76.09Kb)

 



Glad

All

Over

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View Ecopalace's Profile Ecopalace Flag Wickham 02 May 18 7.58am Send a Private Message to Ecopalace Add Ecopalace as a friend

I’m not Willo in disguise... promise.
I was checking out the palace thread at the stoke forum and came across this regarding Palace. They really don’t like us do they!! Lol

Won’t happen!!!

****
Probably they're already safe, but ... this could happen ...
0.00174% risk ...

Watford -18 42p
Saints -15 41p
Bmouth -18 41p
Swansea -23 39p
----------------------------
Crystal P -19 38p
Stoke C -32 33p
West Brom -22 31p

&#128562;

Read more: [Link]

 

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View lefty27's Profile lefty27 Flag ipswich 02 May 18 8.16am Send a Private Message to lefty27 Add lefty27 as a friend

Originally posted by Ecopalace

I’m not Willo in disguise... promise.
I was checking out the palace thread at the stoke forum and came across this regarding Palace. They really don’t like us do they!! Lol

Won’t happen!!!

****
Probably they're already safe, but ... this could happen ...
0.00174% risk ...

Watford -18 42p
Saints -15 41p
Bmouth -18 41p
Swansea -23 39p
----------------------------
Crystal P -19 38p
Stoke C -32 33p
West Brom -22 31p

&#128562;

Read more: [Link]

That table is hilarious, suddenly teams that can’t buy a win are going to win all their remaining games! Also were are Brighton and Huddersfield?

 

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View Rudi Hedman's Profile Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 02 May 18 10.11am Send a Private Message to Rudi Hedman Add Rudi Hedman as a friend

Originally posted by rollercoaster

Agreed, I'm a stayer but he's really done my head in this year. This from a self-confessed pessemist.

He doesn’t do my head in at all. It’s just really boring and everyone feeding him with posts to carry on far from help.

It’s been quite obvious for a while that if Zaha stays fit, we stay up. We might stay up without him with Roy steering the ship after accumulating some points beforehand but then again we might not. At some point this needs addressing.

 


COYP

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View Eaglecoops's Profile Eaglecoops Flag CR3 02 May 18 12.29pm Send a Private Message to Eaglecoops Add Eaglecoops as a friend

Originally posted by mr. apollo

There was a post earlier on in this thread that answers all the questions of how mathematically safe we are ... have a butchers at the below.

These are probably the only circumstances in which we can go down.

40 points for any team is mathematically safe, 39 points for us bar a massive loss to either Stoke or WBA is safe for us.

On this basis we just need 1 point and we are home and hosed although I still think our chances of staying up with 38 are pretty good.

 

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View se25 rudy's Profile se25 rudy Flag se25 02 May 18 12.42pm Send a Private Message to se25 rudy Add se25 rudy as a friend

Originally posted by mr. apollo

There was a post earlier on in this thread that answers all the questions of how mathematically safe we are ... have a butchers at the below.

Of all those scenarios it's Huddersfield getting 4 points from Citeh, Chelsea & Arsenal that I find most unlikely.

 

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View steeleye20's Profile steeleye20 Flag Croydon 02 May 18 12.53pm Send a Private Message to steeleye20 Add steeleye20 as a friend

Originally posted by Eaglecoops

These are probably the only circumstances in which we can go down.

40 points for any team is mathematically safe, 39 points for us bar a massive loss to either Stoke or WBA is safe for us.

On this basis we just need 1 point and we are home and hosed although I still think our chances of staying up with 38 are pretty good.

Is the previous poster sure as Watford are now in the mix, CP g/diff is the best and how many of these teams play each other ?

Trust RH they must have studied it in detail.

 

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View Eaglecoops's Profile Eaglecoops Flag CR3 02 May 18 12.59pm Send a Private Message to Eaglecoops Add Eaglecoops as a friend

Originally posted by steeleye20

Is the previous poster sure as Watford are now in the mix, CP g/diff is the best and how many of these teams play each other ?

Trust RH they must have studied it in detail.

Agreed they are in the mix but in a very similar situation to us, albeit with worse goal difference. A draw for them at the weekend probably sees them safe too, but below us if we get a point.

 

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