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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


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Badger11 Flag Beckenham 30 Jan 20 4.10pm

Originally posted by Spiderman

Careful it is probably mis-information

It could even be a joke

 


One more point

Stirlingsays Flag 30 Jan 20 5.12pm

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

That is partisan conjecture with a heavy dose of self-imposed resignation and/or blinkered thinking. And of course you're welcome to it. However if I need to repost I will bother finding it, alternately people could read up on things in the round themselves (novel idea that, I'm assuming you do but plenty of others are clearly just winging it).

I won't argue the direction of travel is more centralised power, but you can't just don a tin hat and think that means it's happening imminently, inevitably or otherwise, across every possible branch of life – I usually find it's best to be objective based on the currently available information. Anything else is simply partisan conjecture.

On a scale of 1-10, I'd happily bet my house on the likelihood of this particular branch of centralisation (An actual, cross border EU Army that does away with national armies) happening being a 2. That's being generous. And certainly not within the next 50 years, barring one caveat – You'd need a major catastrophe or confrontation for that probability to change anytime soon.

In the near to medium term, quite likely long term, You're simply not going to get all member states signing up to deleting their national armies. Not going to happen.

Maybe it's an objective, maybe it's a concept. Maybe it's been blown out of all proportion for the sake of argument (ding). Maybe it means something a little less fantastical, and, plausible (ding).

But to some, the sky is always falling in. So meh

I accept that you are giving an honest straight opinion and I respect that.

Yep, I'm partizan but I don't think I'm blinkered....but then again who does.

If you have the EU army, what's the point of the national army SW? Certainly national armies on the French or British scale. A national army only makes sense if you can use it independently.

I'm not saying that the EU would ban national armies....but come on...they aren't going to look favorably at them beyond a set size are they. They are probably going to set limits on what individual states can have.......over time I'm just not seeing the point of individual nations bothering when they can reduce spending by collectivizing.....They would just pay into the collective pot.....They could then have larger security and Police systems.

I think your point that the drift towards centralisation is inevitable is correct. It' s the evolution of all organisations to look to increase their power if they get the possibility.....The EU is essentially a corporation now, one that is invested in cementing itself for the long term.....An army is an essential part of that.

Just my partizan two pennies.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 30 Jan 20 6.00pm

Originally posted by Spiderman

FYI I never read the Sun and have never been on Twitter FACT. Another FACT I am not a chump but if you have concluded this without knowing me or having met me that is your prerogative. You seem to be a very angry individual which is a shame

I get mildly riled at incessant nonsense, yes. Unfortunately there is a lot of that on here.

When it comes to judging character one has to start from somewhere, and location and posting history usually add up to a ballpark stereotype. This of course will now be refined.

Fair re. the Sun, it just seemed a valid starting point as per above. The twitter reposting was mainly aimed at DANGERMOUSE, who appears to only speak in reposted tweets. But the general point remains – don't just rely on the same streams of self supporting guff. Challenge your own opinions in the same way you do sources on the opposite side of whatever you're on.

Finally, whether you are a chump or not is for others to determine.

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 30 Jan 20 6.03pm

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

I accept that you are giving an honest straight opinion and I respect that.

Yep, I'm partizan but I don't think I'm blinkered....but then again who does.

If you have the EU army, what's the point of the national army SW? Certainly national armies on the French or British scale. A national army only makes sense if you can use it independently.

I'm not saying that the EU would ban national armies....but come on...they aren't going to look favorably at them beyond a set size are they. They are probably going to set limits on what individual states can have.......over time I'm just not seeing the point of individual nations bothering when they can reduce spending by collectivizing.....They would just pay into the collective pot.....They could then have larger security and Police systems.

I think your point that the drift towards centralisation is inevitable is correct. It' s the evolution of all organisations to look to increase their power if they get the possibility.....The EU is essentially a corporation now, one that is invested in cementing itself for the long term.....An army is an essential part of that.

Just my partizan two pennies.

Fair. I just don't see it happening any time soon (full EU army). Impossible to say it won't happen, but I'm pretty confident it's not occurring in my lifetime. Co-sharing resources where needed in a kind of UN arrangement? Perhaps. But that's not the same as a one army system and the end of national militaries. You could argue it's a step, but again, for reasons outlined many many times, I just don't see it happening in the near to medium, even long term.

That said I do think globalisation of all things is inevitable (although way, way in the future) so at that point it becomes a world army anyway, and perhaps by that point instead of national armies, you'll have anti-globalisation rebels left as the only remnants of nations, borders and culture. And don't even begin to think about the chaos if we start settlements on Mars/the Moon via good old Elon. If you've seen Ad Astra that seems a far more realistic take to me. Same wars different planet

Segue

Edited by SW19 CPFC (30 Jan 2020 6.08pm)

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

Stirlingsays Flag 30 Jan 20 6.15pm

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

Fair. I just don't see it happening any time soon (full EU army). Impossible to say it won't happen, but I'm pretty confident it's not occurring in my lifetime. Co-sharing resources where needed in a kind of UN arrangement? Perhaps. But that's not the same as a one army system and the end of national militaries. You could argue it's a step, but again, for reasons outlined many many times, I just don't see it happening in the near to medium, even long term.

I don't think anyone argued that the EU were going to ban any form of national military....though like I say, limits will inevitably be set.

The contention was the EU army.

Personally I'm pretty sure you'll live long enough to see the EU place limits on national armies and the creation of....what is in affect an army, but just with a warm worded description for expediency.

Hopefully we both find out because if it's going to happen it's going to happen reasonably soon due to the rise of nationalism.....the centralists will likely be wanting to take measures against it and double down.

So if it's still there in its present form I predict this will happen before the end of the twenties.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Spiderman Flag Horsham 30 Jan 20 6.17pm

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

I get mildly riled at incessant nonsense, yes. Unfortunately there is a lot of that on here.

When it comes to judging character one has to start from somewhere, and location and posting history usually add up to a ballpark stereotype. This of course will now be refined.

Fair re. the Sun, it just seemed a valid starting point as per above. The twitter reposting was mainly aimed at DANGERMOUSE, who appears to only speak in reposted tweets. But the general point remains – don't just rely on the same streams of self supporting guff. Challenge your own opinions in the same way you do sources on the opposite side of whatever you're on.

Finally, whether you are a chump or not is for others to determine.

Presumably you include Wisbeach Eagle in this?
Interesting is this because I live in Horsham? Well I was born and bred in Thornton Heath, went to school in Thornton Heath and Croydon. Didn't move out until 1992. During this time Addiscombe was considered upper class to me and my friends
Why was the Sun a valid starting point?
You called me a chump so you have presumably determined this without any knowledge of me

 

Stirlingsays Flag 30 Jan 20 6.35pm

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

That said I do think globalisation of all things is inevitable (although way, way in the future) so at that point it becomes a world army anyway, and perhaps by that point instead of national armies, you'll have anti-globalisation rebels left as the only remnants of nations, borders and culture. And don't even begin to think about the chaos if we start settlements on Mars/the Moon via good old Elon. If you've seen Ad Astra that seems a far more realistic take to me. Same wars different planet

Segue

Edited by SW19 CPFC (30 Jan 2020 6.08pm)

That's the thing with time scales, if you look very long term humans cease to exist along with possibly the universe itself in its current form.....We are energy essentially and will revert back to it.

Yep, if we look very long term and assume that humans still exist then essentially globalisation ends in a form of communism where technology effectively looks to remove all genetic difference and flaws.

However, why am I interested in that? Nihilism is true but its removal of personal god(s) and of purpose also frees me to assert my own purposes and motivations.....So why shouldn't I perform my genetic function?

I live in my time and so it makes sense to shape that for the next few generations not the next few centuries.

I have my genetics and lineage. We are essentially gene carriers and the point of my existence is to propagate them, raise the prodigy and then eventually die.....I'm half way through that.

The globalist system into Europe essentially is an attack on working class whites and that's my demographic. So it makes sense to fight that.

It's coming for the middle and higher eventually as well because new orders require new hierarchies.

Essentially those that push for globalization before the technology exists to ease genetic transitions will and are going to create several huge piles of bones.


Edited by Stirlingsays (30 Jan 2020 6.44pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 30 Jan 20 9.18pm

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

That is partisan conjecture with a heavy dose of self-imposed resignation and/or blinkered thinking. And of course you're welcome to it. However if I need to repost I will bother finding it, alternately people could read up on things in the round themselves (novel idea that, I'm assuming you do but plenty of others are clearly just winging it).

I won't argue the direction of travel is more centralised power, but you can't just don a tin hat and think that means it's happening imminently, inevitably or otherwise, across every possible branch of life – I usually find it's best to be objective based on the currently available information. Anything else is simply partisan conjecture.

On a scale of 1-10, I'd happily bet my house on the likelihood of this particular branch of centralisation (An actual, cross border EU Army that does away with national armies) happening being a 2. That's being generous. And certainly not within the next 50 years, barring one caveat – You'd need a major catastrophe or confrontation for that probability to change anytime soon.

In the near to medium term, quite likely long term, You're simply not going to get all member states signing up to deleting their national armies. Not going to happen.

Maybe it's an objective, maybe it's a concept. Maybe it's been blown out of all proportion for the sake of argument (ding). Maybe it means something a little less fantastical, and, plausible (ding).

But to some, the sky is always falling in. So meh

100% agree. We would never agree to giving up our armed forces and merging them into any kind of EU army. That some in the EU might like that does not mean it would happen. More co-operation. Sharing supply chains. Join exercises. All for sure. But under one EU command? No chance.

Only if we faced some kind of unforeseen total catastrophe which threatened to wipe us out would it become even remotely possible.

In fact I think Brexit makes it rather more likely than if we were remaining in the EU. Why might that be?

Well I don't think that as a full member with our treaty obligations firmly in place we could be forced to do anything like that. However if, as I anticipate, the UK now breaks apart and England, either with Wales or eventually separately, struggles to assert itself in today's fast changing world and fails to satisfy people's expectations to the point where there is a clamour for re-entry to the EU, then the EU will doubtless dictate much more demanding, terms than we now have. Extensions of majority voting would be one for sure and who knows what else. A gradual move towards an integrated army could be part of the package.

As Simon Jordan said "Be careful what you wish for". Chasing dreams can make you bankrupt. Or at least much poorer

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Stirlingsays Flag 30 Jan 20 9.50pm

England 'struggling to assert itself'....with a seaborne nuclear deterrent and a huge ocean on one side and a continent between us and our nearest potential enemy.

But hey, reality isn't for everybody.

Every other point has already been answered in the previous posts, which he no doubt didn't read.

Edited by Stirlingsays (30 Jan 2020 9.51pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

ex hibitionist Flag Hastings 30 Jan 20 11.26pm

exactly, I was so grateful for Trident when Saddam Hussein was pointing his WMD at us - money well spent.

 

Stirlingsays Flag 30 Jan 20 11.38pm

Originally posted by ex hibitionist

exactly, I was so grateful for Trident when Saddam Hussein was pointing his WMD at us - money well spent.

?

CND went that way. <-----

Edited by Stirlingsays (30 Jan 2020 11.40pm)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 31 Jan 20 7.34am

And so the day had finally dawned and as the clock ticks down to 11pm tonight folk across this country anxiously wonder about the big question, Remain or Leave.

Will their star player Remain or is he a Leaver.

Oops sorry I meant to post this in transfer news.

 


One more point

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 31 Jan 20 7.45am

On a more serious note what now for the EU.

With the UK no longer slowing down the EU it is possible that their plans for greater harmonisation (centralisation) will increase and certainly that is the intentions of the EU officials in Brussels.

However I have the suspicion that some members of the EU have been content to allow us Brits to take the lead on contentious issues knowing we would veto them so they didn't have to. Well the bad boys of the EU are gone so we may see less harmony as those countries will have to make a noise on the things they don't like.

I don't see the EU collapsing anytime soon or changing direction I do see issues ahead in replacing all that lovely UK money and that in turn may stir up anti EU feelings in some countries.

As for the UK well we have taken back control so it's now down to Boris and if we don't like what he does we will vote him out in 5 years.

Rule Britannia.

 


One more point

Matov Flag 31 Jan 20 9.23am

Originally posted by Badger11

On a more serious note what now for the EU.

With the UK no longer slowing down the EU it is possible that their plans for greater harmonisation (centralisation) will increase and certainly that is the intentions of the EU officials in Brussels.

However I have the suspicion that some members of the EU have been content to allow us Brits to take the lead on contentious issues knowing we would veto them so they didn't have to. Well the bad boys of the EU are gone so we may see less harmony as those countries will have to make a noise on the things they don't like.

I don't see the EU collapsing anytime soon or changing direction I do see issues ahead in replacing all that lovely UK money and that in turn may stir up anti EU feelings in some countries.

As for the UK well we have taken back control so it's now down to Boris and if we don't like what he does we will vote him out in 5 years.

Rule Britannia.

I remember reading many years ago that the best way to understand the EU was by looking at what they call the butter/olive oil divide in terms of what people put on their bread. With France perhaps representing the biggest example of a nation representing both sides of that choice.

With the UK out of the picture the balance of power changes to the olive oil nations. That is the issue. Germany could always rely on us to promote the pro-business stance but now....

Interesting times. Personally I think France is the issue. Always believed that it is hiding a huge banking crisis in the making along with the possibility of Le Pen winning the Presidency. Then all bets are off.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 31 Jan 20 9.32am

When I talk of "struggling to assert" ourselves I am not talking militarily but economically. Even militarily we are hardly a world power these days. I was in Singapore a year or two ago and spent time with the head of our armed forces there. Sounds impressive? Not really. Guess how many people we have there now? Just 3! 2 of them are civilian administrators. Their only function is to provide bunkering facilities for the occasional visits by British warships. Impressive!

Having nuclear submarines will deter an attack by another nuclear power but it won't help negotiate trade deals or build a manufacturing or service industry. In the internet age having an ocean next to us makes no difference at all.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 31 Jan 20 9.35am

Originally posted by Matov

I remember reading many years ago that the best way to understand the EU was by looking at what they call the butter/olive oil divide in terms of what people put on their bread. With France perhaps representing the biggest example of a nation representing both sides of that choice.

With the UK out of the picture the balance of power changes to the olive oil nations. That is the issue. Germany could always rely on us to promote the pro-business stance but now....

Interesting times. Personally I think France is the issue. Always believed that it is hiding a huge banking crisis in the making along with the possibility of Le Pen winning the Presidency. Then all bets are off.

And that sums up the conflict I was referring to. Germany pays for the EU and generally gets it's way but if you are correct and the so called lesser nations now start to get their way how long will the German taxpayer put up with that?

The next 7 nations to join the EU are all poor so will be looking for handouts and if the EU continues with majority voting the richer nations will find themselves paying more and more.

The EU has been great for Germany and France but for how long longer?

 


One more point

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 31 Jan 20 9.40am

Just heard Sir Nicholas Soames on the radio a prominent Europhile give a good assessment of what as happened.

Simply put he blamed himself and other Remainers for failing to put the case for the EU. It was good to hear someone like him making that point rather than the childish blame Nigel / Leavers / racists / little Englanders etc.

It was also good to hear him say it's done now and we have to make the best of it so whilst he is sad at leaving he is moving forward.

 


One more point

Stirlingsays Flag 31 Jan 20 9.44am

Again, even economically the idea that England would 'struggle to assert' itself isn't only talking down the country it's overtly nowhere near realistic.

If the UK split up and England no longer supported Scotland, Wales and Norther Ireland it would only benefit overall. The knowledge of this fact was why Scotland voted to stay in originally....they know which side their bread is buttered and even now despite your fear mongering support for a referendum isn't there.

As for the economic data, we have linked to all the indicators from bodies like manufacturing and the IMF have been positive.....but as usual you continue your myopic narrative.

You can't accept the result and worse, you are tied to a 'talking down' narrative that appears to be entirely related to your emotional response rather than a rational one.

There will be no 'struggling', the only 'struggling' is yours in being able to move on from Brexit and understand that independence from the EU is how this nation is moving forward.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

jeeagles Flag 31 Jan 20 11.24am

Originally posted by Badger11

And that sums up the conflict I was referring to. Germany pays for the EU and generally gets it's way but if you are correct and the so called lesser nations now start to get their way how long will the German taxpayer put up with that?

The next 7 nations to join the EU are all poor so will be looking for handouts and if the EU continues with majority voting the richer nations will find themselves paying more and more.

The EU has been great for Germany and France but for how long longer?

The UK leaving shows that the EU has failed. They are trying to force too many countries too close together too quickly.

The best outcome I can see is that the UK trade negotiations will show EU nations that a more relaxed a flexible relationship will do more at bringing countries together.

 

chris123 Flag hove actually 31 Jan 20 11.33am

Originally posted by Badger11

And that sums up the conflict I was referring to. Germany pays for the EU and generally gets it's way but if you are correct and the so called lesser nations now start to get their way how long will the German taxpayer put up with that?

The next 7 nations to join the EU are all poor so will be looking for handouts and if the EU continues with majority voting the richer nations will find themselves paying more and more.

The EU has been great for Germany and France but for how long longer?

German exports have benefited for years from a weak euro.

 

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