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Vieira vs Roy V2.0


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TheBigToePunt Flag 20 Apr 23 10.58am

As thetopgeezer says, we will never know if we would have won these games under Vieria, but I am interested in the idea of this being 'Roy V2.0'.

Whilst coaches and managers can evolve and change, I find it difficult to believe that a man in his mid-70s would, for a ten-game interim stint, develop and implement radically different coaching methods to those he has used for the previous 45 years.

In any event, seeking to compare Vieria and 'Hodgson V2.0' after three games of the latter is perhaps an example of what, for me, is an increasingly common idea: that managers win and lose individual matches. That is a theory I cannot subscribe to.

A manager may make subs to influence proceedings, but that is a very limited impact indeed, and very often overestimated. Key moments in a game are down to our players, their players, quality, confidence, a bit of luck and the general random element of football.

A manager may opt for different tactics and selections from game to game, but it's football and not chess. Any given 90-minute Palace performance is primarily down to our players (their application, individual mental and physical condition and most importantly, quality) once the whistle goes.

Good and bad runs of form (five to ten games either way) are part of football. It is possible for a manager to cause a catastrophe in a short period of time by playing everybody in the wrong positions, in a system that the players are not capable of implementing (for which see: DeBoer, F), but apart from instilling some defensive shape to a team, it is almost impossible for a manager to make a set of players significantly better, especially in a positive attacking sense, simply through coaching and tactics alone. In any event, both Vieria and Hodgson used fairly traditional, non-radical tactics and selections designed, over the course of a season, to achieve the clubs aims. The same set of players in the same formation will often look pretty good for periods and less so for others, but that is natural - you just enjoy the good times and ride out the bad ones.

Underperformance over a wider period (half a season upwards), relative to the quality of the squad and stability of the club, is down to the manager. Like others, I am on the fence as to whether Vieira was ever seriously guilty of this.

Performance over a two-to-four-year period is down to the DoF and the club. That is the average period in which a given squad of players work together, and time enough for planning, recruitment etc to be implemented and bear fruit. Very few managers now control these aspects of a club, so can't take responsibility for them.

The long-term health of the club (financial position, facilities, assets etc) is down to the owner, board and chairman. Though a manager may influence the club's health by under or over-performing, neither state of affairs is likely to last very long (underperformance results in the sack so quickly now, while overperformance means everybody moves on to bigger clubs). The days when a Shankly, Busby, Clough or Ferguson built and ran a club are long gone.


Of course, a new manager may fancy a certain player more than his predecessor (would Eze have been so central to our team under Vieria in the last three games?), which in turn may give that player a confidence boost, but it's not a PlayStation game. Once the whistle goes, Hodgson isn't controlling the players any more than Vieira was. Three games is not only far too short a period to assess Roy's impact but also far too short to compare the team under him to that under Vieira.

The fabled 'new manager effect' may be relevant in the very short term, but that is often more to do with the players getting a jolt following the sacking of the last manager which, if they are honest, reflects poorly on them. One or two may have an extra spring in their step because they are glad to see the old manager leave, but that isn't something the new manager can claim credit for.

Edited by TheBigToePunt (20 Apr 2023 11.02am)

 

thetopgeezer Flag Streatham Hill 20 Apr 23 2.28pm

Thanks Toepunt for a very sanguine view of it all. I liked it when Roy said he was looking foward to the moment IF we got to 40 points because he could relax and stop worrying about a mistake costing us the match. It reflected the fine margins. What if Eze's free kick hadn't bounced off Inversen's arse into the net? What if Leeds had taken any of the 85 chances they had in the first 25 mins? What if Southampton had take any of their early chances?

It's never that clearcut what a manager's role is but revitalising Eze, getting it up to the front guys quickly and having people in the box seems to be a new idea which PV didn't seem to encourage and without those things I'd say we'd have more chance of getting little out of these last 3 games.

 

Nicholas91 Flag The Democratic Republic of Kent 20 Apr 23 3.07pm

Originally posted by TheBigToePunt

As thetopgeezer says, we will never know if we would have won these games under Vieria, but I am interested in the idea of this being 'Roy V2.0'.

Whilst coaches and managers can evolve and change, I find it difficult to believe that a man in his mid-70s would, for a ten-game interim stint, develop and implement radically different coaching methods to those he has used for the previous 45 years.

In any event, seeking to compare Vieria and 'Hodgson V2.0' after three games of the latter is perhaps an example of what, for me, is an increasingly common idea: that managers win and lose individual matches. That is a theory I cannot subscribe to.

A manager may make subs to influence proceedings, but that is a very limited impact indeed, and very often overestimated. Key moments in a game are down to our players, their players, quality, confidence, a bit of luck and the general random element of football.

A manager may opt for different tactics and selections from game to game, but it's football and not chess. Any given 90-minute Palace performance is primarily down to our players (their application, individual mental and physical condition and most importantly, quality) once the whistle goes.

Good and bad runs of form (five to ten games either way) are part of football. It is possible for a manager to cause a catastrophe in a short period of time by playing everybody in the wrong positions, in a system that the players are not capable of implementing (for which see: DeBoer, F), but apart from instilling some defensive shape to a team, it is almost impossible for a manager to make a set of players significantly better, especially in a positive attacking sense, simply through coaching and tactics alone. In any event, both Vieria and Hodgson used fairly traditional, non-radical tactics and selections designed, over the course of a season, to achieve the clubs aims. The same set of players in the same formation will often look pretty good for periods and less so for others, but that is natural - you just enjoy the good times and ride out the bad ones.

Underperformance over a wider period (half a season upwards), relative to the quality of the squad and stability of the club, is down to the manager. Like others, I am on the fence as to whether Vieira was ever seriously guilty of this.

Performance over a two-to-four-year period is down to the DoF and the club. That is the average period in which a given squad of players work together, and time enough for planning, recruitment etc to be implemented and bear fruit. Very few managers now control these aspects of a club, so can't take responsibility for them.

The long-term health of the club (financial position, facilities, assets etc) is down to the owner, board and chairman. Though a manager may influence the club's health by under or over-performing, neither state of affairs is likely to last very long (underperformance results in the sack so quickly now, while overperformance means everybody moves on to bigger clubs). The days when a Shankly, Busby, Clough or Ferguson built and ran a club are long gone.


Of course, a new manager may fancy a certain player more than his predecessor (would Eze have been so central to our team under Vieria in the last three games?), which in turn may give that player a confidence boost, but it's not a PlayStation game. Once the whistle goes, Hodgson isn't controlling the players any more than Vieira was. Three games is not only far too short a period to assess Roy's impact but also far too short to compare the team under him to that under Vieira.

The fabled 'new manager effect' may be relevant in the very short term, but that is often more to do with the players getting a jolt following the sacking of the last manager which, if they are honest, reflects poorly on them. One or two may have an extra spring in their step because they are glad to see the old manager leave, but that isn't something the new manager can claim credit for.

Edited by TheBigToePunt (20 Apr 2023 11.02am)

A very well albeit asserted view on things.

Have to say I am unsure as to whether it constitutes an 'opposing' opinion however I would, with equal longevity, suggest:

PV's management/his presence had seemingly affected the mood around the club and the players. His alleged behaving bizarrely, avoiding the board, publicly criticising players, general demeanour demonstrating aloofness etc. looks a very believable narrative. This affect on mentality, confidence, inspiration/motivation and morale (joint adventure) will inevitably have a detrimental effect on performances. We saw that on the pitch.

The statistics didn't lie around PV's team; our work-rate, efforts on goal, actual goals etc etc were also in evidence, or rather lacking in evidence. That surely has to be a coaching issue both around tactics and training. Anybody who attends or even watches games as regularly if not more frequently than I would be able to tell any non-observer that something looked seriously wrong and the results/stats backed this.

Roy's coming in may not be worthy of hailing him as some sort of reformed messiah however at the very least the squad was objectively underperforming and underachieving with PV as coach, which threatened our PL survival as a start, and Roy's return looks to have mitigated and thus far completely reversed that. As has been mentioned by plenty, including by me, I find it hard to believe anybody has absolute insight into Roy's entire career and equally would be hard tasked to suggest he had a wealth of talent here previously and was underutilising it or employing it in an incorrect and negative way. He also delivered on his mandate despite the deficiencies and limitations of that group. The team looks far better on paper now and what we may have seen before, and have seen in this very brief stint, is a pragmatic approach Roy takes and is therefore different now given the talent he has at his disposal.

So to summarise, I find it hard to believe we went three months struggling to score and without winning a single game under PV but then under Roy won three on the bounce with the team shooting and scoring for fun and this had nothing to do at all with the man in the dugout. Yes, the players have to shoulder their share of responsibility however the manager is there to, you know, manage them. This includes responsibility for their mental and physical health as well as their instructions for playing competitive football. Whether Roy is employing a completely new approach, has slightly amended it from previously given the different resource available, or is just much preferable for the team opposed to PV, I think the move was the correct call by Parish and co. He has a number of games left to see what the bigger picture and therefore analysis of his return will be however the team look unrecognisable contrasted to the last few months and certainly under Roy previously, suggesting something has inspired a change in his approach.

 


Now Zaha's got a bit of green grass ahead of him here... and finds Ambrose... not a bad effort!!!!

Lanzo-Ad Flag Lanzarote 20 Apr 23 4.05pm

Originally posted by Nicholas91

A very well albeit asserted view on things.

Have to say I am unsure as to whether it constitutes an 'opposing' opinion however I would, with equal longevity, suggest:

PV's management/his presence had seemingly affected the mood around the club and the players. His alleged behaving bizarrely, avoiding the board, publicly criticising players, general demeanour demonstrating aloofness etc. looks a very believable narrative. This affect on mentality, confidence, inspiration/motivation and morale (joint adventure) will inevitably have a detrimental effect on performances. We saw that on the pitch.

The statistics didn't lie around PV's team; our work-rate, efforts on goal, actual goals etc etc were also in evidence, or rather lacking in evidence. That surely has to be a coaching issue both around tactics and training. Anybody who attends or even watches games as regularly if not more frequently than I would be able to tell any non-observer that something looked seriously wrong and the results/stats backed this.

Roy's coming in may not be worthy of hailing him as some sort of reformed messiah however at the very least the squad was objectively underperforming and underachieving with PV as coach, which threatened our PL survival as a start, and Roy's return looks to have mitigated and thus far completely reversed that. As has been mentioned by plenty, including by me, I find it hard to believe anybody has absolute insight into Roy's entire career and equally would be hard tasked to suggest he had a wealth of talent here previously and was underutilising it or employing it in an incorrect and negative way. He also delivered on his mandate despite the deficiencies and limitations of that group. The team looks far better on paper now and what we may have seen before, and have seen in this very brief stint, is a pragmatic approach Roy takes and is therefore different now given the talent he has at his disposal.

So to summarise, I find it hard to believe we went three months struggling to score and without winning a single game under PV but then under Roy won three on the bounce with the team shooting and scoring for fun and this had nothing to do at all with the man in the dugout. Yes, the players have to shoulder their share of responsibility however the manager is there to, you know, manage them. This includes responsibility for their mental and physical health as well as their instructions for playing competitive football. Whether Roy is employing a completely new approach, has slightly amended it from previously given the different resource available, or is just much preferable for the team opposed to PV, I think the move was the correct call by Parish and co. He has a number of games left to see what the bigger picture and therefore analysis of his return will be however the team look unrecognisable contrasted to the last few months and certainly under Roy previously, suggesting something has inspired a change in his approach.

A very well written piece.

 


“That’s a joke son, I say, that’s a joke.” “Nice boy, but he’s sharp as a throw pillow.” “He’s so dumb he thinks a Mexican border pays rent” “ “Son… I say, son, some people are so narrow minded they can look through a keyhole with both eyes.”__ Forhorn Leghorn

Living In Hope Flag Petersfield 20 Apr 23 10.21pm

To me the indisputable facts (but I've probably added up wrong !) are that in 3 games under Roy we have earned 9 points and scored 9 points, more than we did in the last 15 games under PV (8 points and 7 goals). More in 3 games than in 15 ! That is not just about luck, or about a difficult run of fixtures - it's about management capability. I liked PV and was very appreciative of his 1st season, but he had lost his way completely in my view.

 

Nicholas91 Flag The Democratic Republic of Kent 20 Apr 23 10.50pm

Originally posted by Living In Hope

To me the indisputable facts (but I've probably added up wrong !) are that in 3 games under Roy we have earned 9 points and scored 9 points, more than we did in the last 15 games under PV (8 points and 7 goals). More in 3 games than in 15 ! That is not just about luck, or about a difficult run of fixtures - it's about management capability. I liked PV and was very appreciative of his 1st season, but he had lost his way completely in my view.

I agree all round, good post.

I am quite positive about Roy being here now but rightly or (most likely) wrongly I had the same criticisms as everyone else before he left and reservations when the announcement was made recently.

I think whether you are optimistic and positive about Roy being here now, or sceptical/negative about the whole thing, I'd very much suggest the mentality to just enjoy the fact he is on a 100% win rate as things stand and hope this continues is probably the best course for any of us individually and collectively.

I would struggle enormously to be convinced that PV should have stayed however, I view it as wishful thinking at best to suggest we'd of been fine and seen the same results if he stayed and at worst, we could well have seen a very painful and unsalvageable slide towards a nailed on relegation. The only plus side there is the half-wit crew could have handbags and a cuddle-off at Saint Mary's again next season.

Long live Sir Roy and this long awaited and very much needed winning streak.

COYP, 40 hours or so before Everton K.O.!!!

 


Now Zaha's got a bit of green grass ahead of him here... and finds Ambrose... not a bad effort!!!!

TheBigToePunt Flag 22 Apr 23 11.15am

As a few of us have said, we will never know what kind of people Vieira and Hodgson are to work for, so it's very difficult to attach any weight to the narrative that the former was aloof and the latter an antidote.

That said, this interview (go to 48:30) is very interesting regarding the kind of guy Roy is. The interviewee was a masuer for Manchester United and England and, as you can hear, has only very nice things to say about Hodgson....

[Link]


Edited by TheBigToePunt (22 Apr 2023 11.16am)

 

taylors lovechild Flag 22 Apr 23 11.51am

We had some terrible long runs without wins under Roy too, such as the seven straight defeats at the end of the 2019/2020 season (which followed a four game winning streak), the one win in 11 games in 2018/2019, or the very patchy final season when we basically stayed up by beating the relegated teams and stealing a win at Brighton and then hung on for dear life. PV came in and suddenly we were getting players in the opposing box, playing exciting football and loving life.

This season PV gradually regressed to playing how Roy had us playing in our final season with a low block, no attacking ideas and praying for a goal. Roy comes in and suddenly we are getting players in the opposing box, playing exciting football and loving life.

Dowie commented on issues with the coaches in his commentary last week and spoke as if he knew more about the behind the scenes issue. He seemed to indicate that much of the problems lay with having coaches more suited to international football than the day-to-day rigors of the PL. Whatever the case, I think most of us agree that post-Christmas under PV was a hard watch, first season PV was great. Equally, final season Roy was a hard watch, new Roy is great.

Roy is a pragmatist and I am a dreamer, I think personally that's why I struggle to get fully onboard with him. It's also why I should never be in charge of a professional football team!

 

Eaglecoops Flag CR3 22 Apr 23 1.33pm

Originally posted by taylors lovechild

We had some terrible long runs without wins under Roy too, such as the seven straight defeats at the end of the 2019/2020 season (which followed a four game winning streak), the one win in 11 games in 2018/2019, or the very patchy final season when we basically stayed up by beating the relegated teams and stealing a win at Brighton and then hung on for dear life. PV came in and suddenly we were getting players in the opposing box, playing exciting football and loving life.

This season PV gradually regressed to playing how Roy had us playing in our final season with a low block, no attacking ideas and praying for a goal. Roy comes in and suddenly we are getting players in the opposing box, playing exciting football and loving life.

Dowie commented on issues with the coaches in his commentary last week and spoke as if he knew more about the behind the scenes issue. He seemed to indicate that much of the problems lay with having coaches more suited to international football than the day-to-day rigors of the PL. Whatever the case, I think most of us agree that post-Christmas under PV was a hard watch, first season PV was great. Equally, final season Roy was a hard watch, new Roy is great.

Roy is a pragmatist and I am a dreamer, I think personally that's why I struggle to get fully onboard with him. It's also why I should never be in charge of a professional football team!

Decent post that. I don’t think there can be any argument about the good and bad times of both managers.

 

sydtheeagle Flag England 24 Apr 23 8.29pm

I wonder if what's happening now isn't to some extent a credit to both managers. Vieira isn't, I don't think, a really competent manager (at least yet) but what he did give us (last year at least) was the license and confidence to retain the ball. He fundamentally changed the ethos of our approach to games and even if, particularly without a driving midfielder, we couldn't build on the change this season, what he left behind gave Roy far more to work with than he had fifteen months ago. Add a competent, experienced tactician like Roy to a squad that was now comfortable in posession and bingo...look what's happened. Suddenly, not only do we know how to keep the ball but we suddenly we also know how to use it.

 


Sydenham by birth. Selhurst by the Grace of God.

Elwissthebest Flag Marlborough 24 Apr 23 9.29pm

Well said, (if I may).

I used to think that Roy Hodgson would rather win 1-0 than 5-0.! He had that stamp of an Italian manager about him.
I think I'm right in saying that when he managed Blackburn, he presided over a 2-7 win at Sheffield Wednesday the game before they came to Selhurst. Bruce Dyer scored, although we lost. Colin Hendry got knocked out and carried off, which seemed an impossibility...

So, clearly, Roy Hodgson does know what to do with a talented squad. But the football Palace played in the last days of his last tenure was dire, so it's good that he is signing off on a high. Vieira had to go and Parish could not have waited another game. We'll never know, but i think all this hand-wringing by the likes of garth Crooks is just bunkum. No way would palace have scored nine against Leicester, Leeds, Southampton! They's gone about three games without a shot on target.

 

Vaibow Flag vancouver/croydon 25 Apr 23 3.17am

I think previously Roy did what he could with a limited squad.. now, he has these attacking players he can utilise them far better than the inexperienced Patrick could...

 


This was once a quality forum....

cpfc001 Flag 25 Apr 23 12.51pm

Quiz - Name the PL manager who has not lost a single match this session so far?

 

Painter Flag Croydon 25 Apr 23 1.07pm

Originally posted by cpfc001

Quiz - Name the PL manager who has not lost a single match this session so far?

Lampard, he has lost loads more than a single game.&#128578;

 

Nicholas91 Flag The Democratic Republic of Kent 25 Apr 23 1.28pm

Originally posted by Painter

Lampard, he has lost loads more than a single game.&#128578;

 


Now Zaha's got a bit of green grass ahead of him here... and finds Ambrose... not a bad effort!!!!

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards robdave2k Flag 25 Apr 23 2.16pm

I think for me what highlighted there were issues with Vieria was the Southampton cup
game.

Everyone says about playing teams higher in the league, that game pretty much represented Vieria’s entire managerial career.

The team started off well, had a blip, then looked bereft and unfit and no identity.

 

eaglesdare Flag 25 Apr 23 2.24pm

Originally posted by robdave2k

I think for me what highlighted there were issues with Vieria was the Southampton cup
game.

Everyone says about playing teams higher in the league, that game pretty much represented Vieria’s entire managerial career.

The team started off well, had a blip, then looked bereft and unfit and no identity.

This was the first game I knew somthing was not right with the team.

 

taylors lovechild Flag 27 Apr 23 7.02am

I was thinking last night, I wonder if some of the disharmony started with the club making a mess of the preseason. Vieira didn't exactly hide his displeasure at his squad being split in two for a marketing exercise and we kicked off the season looking a bit half asleep and short on squad depth. Follow that with the club ignoring his requests for more experienced signings in January and maybe he did just give up the ghost.

 

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 27 Apr 23 7.51am

Originally posted by taylors lovechild

I was thinking last night, I wonder if some of the disharmony started with the club making a mess of the preseason. Vieira didn't exactly hide his displeasure at his squad being split in two for a marketing exercise and we kicked off the season looking a bit half asleep and short on squad depth. Follow that with the club ignoring his requests for more experienced signings in January and maybe he did just give up the ghost.

I think a lot of what you say makes sense and the board did let him down. However I expect most managers will tell you that their board makes promises they don't keep.

The burden of being a manager is to make the best of what you got and PV didn't do that.

A good manager would have got those players going and then quit for a better job.

 


One more point

Palace Old Geezer Flag Midhurst 27 Apr 23 8.43am

Originally posted by Badger11

I think a lot of what you say makes sense and the board did let him down. However I expect most managers will tell you that their board makes promises they don't keep.

The burden of being a manager is to make the best of what you got and PV didn't do that.

A good manager would have got those players going and then quit for a better job.

Yep, that's right Badger. PV probably was a tad cheesed off with a few issues, but a top bloke would have brushed all that aside and made a real go of it to make a point.

I saw he managed to get a gig on BT last night.

 


Dad and I watched games standing on the muddy slope of the Holmesdale Road end. He cheered and I rattled.

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