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| jamiemartin721 |
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Originally posted by serial thriller
He's clearly going to come pretty close. We have been told for decades in this country that socialist ideals were anathema to most of the electorate. Yet we now have a true socialist who is building a wide group of support. More Ukip voters from 2015 are going Labour now than at any point in the last two years, while possibly millions who have never voted have been inspired by Corbyn. Labor is streets ahead of the tories in every age group except the over 60s now. If he can hammer the fact that the Tory's Brexit strategy is a total shambles he'll be in number 10. I don't think it'll be close. It'll maybe better than it seemed a year or so ago, but without Scotland, Labor would need a very significant seismic shift in voting to really threaten the Tories. Still, recent events have shown that the predictable outcome is harder to call than usual, but I'd be surprised if its closer than the last election.
"One Nation Under God, has turned into One Nation Under the Influence of One Drug" |
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Originally posted by Part Time James
AV made no more sense to me than deciding elections with a game of rock/paper/scissors. The only possible reason to have voted for it IMHO was that it might have been a stepping stone for proportional representation if a precedent had been set for successful political reform. I have no idea whether the public would vote in proportional representation or not though. We may never know! I have mixed feelings about proportional representation. It is a fairer system....but then again so is communism. Rather like communism PR suffers from the reality that humans are the ones implementing it. It produces very weak government that rarely achieves anything apart from a nice gravy train. Personally, I'd rather have a government that implements its ideas which can then be judged upon them...whether I agree with them or not....first past the post at least does that. Edited by Stirlingsays (02 Jun 2017 2.37pm)
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
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Originally posted by jamiemartin721
No, the weakness of parliament is there to see, couldn't even make one amendment to brexit. The court case you refer to and which we pay for had no effect on Mrs May. The giant repeal bill is still going to be passed by using the royal prerogative. And of course parliament has no say on any brexit deal.
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Originally posted by Stirlingsays
I have mixed feelings about proportional representation. It is a fairer system....but then again so is communism. Rather like communism PR suffers from the reality that humans are the ones implementing it. It produces very weak government that rarely achieves anything apart from a nice gravy train. Personally, I'd rather have a government that implements its ideas which can then be judged upon them...whether I agree with them or not....first past the post at least does that. Edited by Stirlingsays (02 Jun 2017 2.37pm) I think my issue mainly relates to how many seats the SNP got in the last general election and how few seats UKIP got (and Green as well to be fair) given the huge number of people voting for those parties. I actually think that people are so embroiled in party politics now that voting is no different for a lot of people than picking a football team to support. I don't think elected politicians are ever really held accountable for their failure to deliver. I don't doubt that a minority in this country perform adequate research into the previous performance of an elected person, and the projected manifesto of a political party but there'll be a huge percentage of the electorate that have chosen their colours and won't budge no matter how a party performs against their manifesto. I don't believe there is any voting system that could counteract that, but you have a point that FPTP might be closest of the three tabled systems.
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Originally posted by Part Time James
I think my issue mainly relates to how many seats the SNP got in the last general election and how few seats UKIP got (and Green as well to be fair) given the huge number of people voting for those parties. I actually think that people are so embroiled in party politics now that voting is no different for a lot of people than picking a football team to support. I don't think elected politicians are ever really held accountable for their failure to deliver. I don't doubt that a minority in this country perform adequate research into the previous performance of an elected person, and the projected manifesto of a political party but there'll be a huge percentage of the electorate that have chosen their colours and won't budge no matter how a party performs against their manifesto. I don't believe there is any voting system that could counteract that, but you have a point that FPTP might be closest of the three tabled systems. Yep I agree. I have a sneaking suspicion that our children's children won't be watching democracy happen from votes from elites going on in old buildings.
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
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Originally posted by Part Time James
AV made no more sense to me than deciding elections with a game of rock/paper/scissors. The only possible reason to have voted for it IMHO was that it might have been a stepping stone for proportional representation if a precedent had been set for successful political reform. I have no idea whether the public would vote in proportional representation or not though. We may never know! We had an inkling of sorts of how it would work in June last year. We had a result that all the main parties campaigned against. The political establishment will never put a system in place that actually puts power into the hands of the electorate.
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Originally posted by steeleye20
You won't get a dictator or one party state with a fair voting system. I think where you are its a tory area? I find myself in a marginal where my vote could matter but its the first time ever all the other times we were in tory areas with large majorities. If you're responding to me, you're correct. Such a strong Conservative vote here that I'd be surprised if that changed in my lifetime, sounds similar to how yours was. A brand new independent ran them reasonably close (never really stood a chance though) in the local elections which was nice to see. I had voted for him actually as his campaign literature was great and made sense. In the general election Nicholas Soames won't really be losing much sleep about the potential for the Lib Dems to squeeze him out.
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Originally posted by Cucking Funt
We had an inkling of sorts of how it would work in June last year. We had a result that all the main parties campaigned against. The political establishment will never put a system in place that actually puts power into the hands of the electorate. Well of course, it's almost a paradox.
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Originally posted by Stirlingsays
Na mate, you have just drunk the kool aid. Be on here the day after the election. I'm not being nasty. I'll just be interested to know what you think. Edited by Stirlingsays (02 Jun 2017 1.59pm) I will be
If punk ever happened I'd be preaching the law, instead of listenin to Lydon lecture BBC4 |
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Originally posted by jamiemartin721
I don't think it'll be close. It'll maybe better than it seemed a year or so ago, but without Scotland, Labor would need a very significant seismic shift in voting to really threaten the Tories. We've already seen the biggest electoral turnaround in British history in the past two weeks. From 24% to 3%. Think a lot will depend on how effectively Labour can mobilise in marginals. If they can get a big ground team active in every one on polling day, it could swing it.
If punk ever happened I'd be preaching the law, instead of listenin to Lydon lecture BBC4 |
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| legaleagle |
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Any reduction in Tory majority (and that might well be on the cards) will be an utter humiliation for TM and her team...
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That Guardian statement backing Corbyn is important because it tells us that he is genuinely in contention they wouldn't be backing him otherwise.
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Originally posted by steeleye20
That Guardian statement backing Corbyn is important because it tells us that he is genuinely in contention they wouldn't be backing him otherwise. The Guardian is wrong about everything. Always.
The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money. |
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Originally posted by steeleye20
That Guardian statement backing Corbyn is important because it tells us that he is genuinely in contention they wouldn't be backing him otherwise. Latest Poll news today: Monday June 5 10.40am - The new latest Guardian/ICM poll found that that the Conservatives still have an 11 point lead, down just one point from a poll last week. Full results - Conservatives: 45 per cent (no change) Labour: 34 per cent (up 1) Lib Dems: 8 per cent (no change) Ukip: 5 per cent (no change) Green: 3 per cent (no change) ICM director Martin Boon said: “Compared to other polls over the weekend, ours slots in the higher end of the Tory lead range, one point off ComRes’s 12-pointer.
Supported Palace for over 69 years since the age of 7 and have seen all the ups and downs and will probably see many more ups and downs before I go up to the big football club in the sky. |
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Originally posted by susmik
Latest Poll news today: Monday June 5 10.40am - The new latest Guardian/ICM poll found that that the Conservatives still have an 11 point lead, down just one point from a poll last week. Full results - Conservatives: 45 per cent (no change) Labour: 34 per cent (up 1) Lib Dems: 8 per cent (no change) Ukip: 5 per cent (no change) Green: 3 per cent (no change) ICM director Martin Boon said: “Compared to other polls over the weekend, ours slots in the higher end of the Tory lead range, one point off ComRes’s 12-pointer. The only thing that mattters is the result on 'Polling Day. As we have found recently, polls have been alarmingly incorrect.I am taking nothing for granted.
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Originally posted by steeleye20
That Guardian statement backing Corbyn is important because it tells us that he is genuinely in contention they wouldn't be backing him otherwise. Speaking of backing Corbyn. I would be interested to know how these potential MPs are selling him to their constituencies. The likes of Slaughter & Lewis etc?
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Originally posted by Y Ddraig Goch
Speaking of backing Corbyn. I would be interested to know how these potential MPs are selling him to their constituencies. The likes of Slaughter & Lewis etc? So do we think he is in contention I think he is? Its just impossible to know who will turn out.
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Originally posted by steeleye20
So do we think he is in contention I think he is? Its just impossible to know who will turn out.
The left say Corbyn doesn't get a fair hearing. I am sure at times that is true but these are people who have worked with & for him, some for a number of years. They wouldn't trust him to run a bath
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