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View Matov's Profile Matov Flag 08 Oct 19 12.42pm Send a Private Message to Matov Add Matov as a friend

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

My hunch is that the remainer crowd are much more financially secure and less vulnerable to the short-term pain. In a way it's actually quite delicious. No-one will ever want to vote for anything like this ever again. At least not in our lifetimes. Then the system can go back to normal.

But this goes beyond financial concerns. This is what both sides failed to truly grasp (Remainers far more guilty as evidenced by the Project Fear fiasco but the Leave side also).

The entire issue is about identity. And that is absolutely core to how we define ourselves, far more than money.

What I struggle with is people on the R2 side still trying to talk up the financial side. The Project Fear narrative has been fatally undermined by what happened SINCE June 2016.

Maybe we do face financial armageddon come a Granite Brexit but nobody believes it. A classic case of the boy who cried Wolf.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

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View SW19 CPFC's Profile SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 08 Oct 19 12.45pm Send a Private Message to SW19 CPFC Add SW19 CPFC as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

I suggest that you come and visit my local with me and then you will see just how wrong you are. I know perfectly well where, with whom and when to share my opinions and always wait for someone to give their's before responding. Very few evenings there do I ever touch on politics, except with a mate of mine who holds similar views and needs to offload his frustrations over the current situation. It's the same at my bowls club where no-one at all knows my political views.

Perhaps you don't notice but almost every comment I make is in response to some claim or other. It's only because this seemed like a club for the hard right that I joined in to start with because I believe such views need to be countered if there is an opportunity to do so. As this isn't a private group that opportunity exists. So I took it.

Fair

Certain mods are obviously used to others backing down or giving up, as is illustrated by the two rather childish thread title changes. I've no idea but some appear to be at least double my age yet sometimes demonstrate half the maturity.

As I've said before your responses are only repetitive because the points being served back are, also, repetitive. If you're both not going to change position and neither side wants to go quiet and effectively concede then that's how it is.

That is also why this thread is so large. Obvious, really.

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

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View SW19 CPFC's Profile SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 08 Oct 19 12.52pm Send a Private Message to SW19 CPFC Add SW19 CPFC as a friend

Originally posted by Matov

But this goes beyond financial concerns. This is what both sides failed to truly grasp (Remainers far more guilty as evidenced by the Project Fear fiasco but the Leave side also).

The entire issue is about identity. And that is absolutely core to how we define ourselves, far more than money.

What I struggle with is people on the R2 side still trying to talk up the financial side. The Project Fear narrative has been fatally undermined by what happened SINCE June 2016.

Maybe we do face financial armageddon come a Granite Brexit but nobody believes it. A classic case of the boy who cried Wolf.

OK. I certainly don't believe that we're all going to perish in financial armageddon because of no deal. I agree both sides have way overblown what might happen post no deal exit, or post deal exit.

But if you think there will be no negative effects from the baseline status quo int he short to medium term, including financial, then you are deluded.

And these effects will, in my opinion, disproportionally affect the leave side more than remain.

And to my point, I find this fascinating, and, seeing as the whole thing is beyond tribal now, incredibly delicious for remainers.

I also can't wait to see how fast the adherence to dogma, identity, whatever you want to call it, lasts. When you're being suffocated from all sides because of a decision you made, only the most rabid amongst us will stick to the same narrative. It's how people will pivot after entrenching themselves so deeply in a blinkered, polarised, unobjective almost religious hole that I am most fascinated by.

That also applies for remainers as well, btw, if the pain is shorter than expected and the profits larger. But it will take a decade to get to that conclusion. I'll wait until then to pass judgement.

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

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View Matov's Profile Matov Flag 08 Oct 19 1.09pm Send a Private Message to Matov Add Matov as a friend

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

I also can't wait to see how fast the adherence to dogma, identity, whatever you want to call it, lasts. When you're being suffocated from all sides because of a decision you made, only the most rabid amongst us will stick to the same narrative. It's how people will pivot after entrenching themselves so deeply in a blinkered, polarised, unobjective almost religious hole that I am most fascinated by.

That also applies for remainers as well, btw, if the pain is shorter than expected and the profits larger. But it will take a decade to get to that conclusion. I'll wait until then to pass judgement.

All well and good but still struggling to see how outside of the initial issues it impacts that negatively?

Both the people running Dover and Calais say they are ready and that No Deal will not make any noticeable difference. Ditto with air-travel.

With regards to the Irish border, 85% of their exports cross over, less than 0.5% of ours goes the other way. If the EU want to play silly buggers who gets hurt the most?

Once we leave the UK can react quicker and faster than the EU to any change in economic circumstances and there is a lot of built-up investment waiting. What it requires is clarification rather then us remaining. One of the main reasons Germany have been so keen on us remaining is because of our pro-business stance. Commercially the UK will present the EU with a genuine head-ache should we leave without no deal and have to scrap it out.

Now, of course, we all relish a lovely helping of schadenfreude but the truth is we need to have this ended.

And that only comes about when we leave.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

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View ASCPFC's Profile ASCPFC Flag Pro-Cathedral/caravan park 08 Oct 19 1.23pm Send a Private Message to ASCPFC Add ASCPFC as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

I suggest that you come and visit my local with me and then you will see just how wrong you are. I know perfectly well where, with whom and when to share my opinions and always wait for someone to give their's before responding. Very few evenings there do I ever touch on politics, except with a mate of mine who holds similar views and needs to offload his frustrations over the current situation. It's the same at my bowls club where no-one at all knows my political views.

Perhaps you don't notice but almost every comment I make is in response to some claim or other. It's only because this seemed like a club for the hard right that I joined in to start with because I believe such views need to be countered if there is an opportunity to do so. As this isn't a private group that opportunity exists. So I took it.

This is a Brexit thread. People who voted for Brexit or people who do not agree with you do not need to be labelled as hard right. I'm tempted to label you but can't really see the point. This is the kind of thing you have posted several times.
'You need to counter everyone else because you are correct, ergo they are wrong'.

 


Red and Blue Army!

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View SW19 CPFC's Profile SW19 CPFC Flag Addiscombe West 08 Oct 19 1.25pm Send a Private Message to SW19 CPFC Add SW19 CPFC as a friend

Originally posted by Matov

All well and good but still struggling to see how outside of the initial issues it impacts that negatively?

Both the people running Dover and Calais say they are ready and that No Deal will not make any noticeable difference. Ditto with air-travel.

With regards to the Irish border, 85% of their exports cross over, less than 0.5% of ours goes the other way. If the EU want to play silly buggers who gets hurt the most?

Once we leave the UK can react quicker and faster than the EU to any change in economic circumstances and there is a lot of built-up investment waiting. What it requires is clarification rather then us remaining. One of the main reasons Germany have been so keen on us remaining is because of our pro-business stance. Commercially the UK will present the EU with a genuine head-ache should we leave without no deal and have to scrap it out.

Now, of course, we all relish a lovely helping of schadenfreude but the truth is we need to have this ended.

And that only comes about when we leave.

You're struggling to see because you don't want to. The complexity and timeframe of this process is longer than a few months. Again, if you can't understand that, you are either being wilfully ignorant for the sake of belief, or you simply are just ignorant.

You cover three areas, take claims that everything is ready at face value (this is government institutions we are talking about) as though that's it. The only things that could possibly go wrong. I literally can't wait.

We can react quicker and faster, in terms of negotiations and trade talks. Sounds good, until you realise how long trade talks usually take to conclude. Another well spun line.

I agree, we will present the EU with a massive headache. But so what? I don't care about the effect on the EU – that's the common mistake your side make, over and over again. It's like kids in a playground. I hurt you more so there. Meaningless drivel. Why do you care so much about the effect on the EU? Almost sounds like you'd prefer a deal.

Edited by SW19 CPFC (08 Oct 2019 1.26pm)

 


Did you know? 98.0000001% of people are morons.

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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Online Flag Truro Cornwall 08 Oct 19 1.27pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by Matov

But this goes beyond financial concerns. This is what both sides failed to truly grasp (Remainers far more guilty as evidenced by the Project Fear fiasco but the Leave side also).

The entire issue is about identity. And that is absolutely core to how we define ourselves, far more than money.

Of course identity matters but far more than money? I am not sure too many would agree with that sentiment. So what are the identities that people believe in in 2019? That there are many answers to that in the UK today must be obvious. My children and grandchildren, along with many others of the younger generations, see themselves as European citizens of the world, with a British passport who happen to live in England. I see myself as an British European, living in England but with a concern for the rest of the world. No doubt others, perhaps including you, see yourself as English, living in the UK. So who is right? Of course we all are but the truth is that the younger ones are our future and their views ought to be the ones to guide where we point ourselves.

What I struggle with is people on the R2 side still trying to talk up the financial side. The Project Fear narrative has been fatally undermined by what happened SINCE June 2016.

No it hasn't. We are still in the EU. There remains significant doubt about how and when we will leave. Our economy has been resilient but look under the surface and there are many reasons, based on rational and reasoned forecasts, to be genuinely fearful of leaving in a disorderly way. Reasons that are coming into plain sight the closer that possibility gets to becoming true.

Maybe we do face financial armageddon come a Granite Brexit but nobody believes it. A classic case of the boy who cried Wolf.

No-body has suggested it would be "armageddon". Only that it would be significant, damaging and long lasting. As it can be avoided, it should be avoided. People who self harm are regarded as in need of some psychiatric help. Draw your own conclusions.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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View chris123's Profile chris123 Flag hove actually 08 Oct 19 1.33pm Send a Private Message to chris123 Add chris123 as a friend

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

OK. I certainly don't believe that we're all going to perish in financial armageddon because of no deal. I agree both sides have way overblown what might happen post no deal exit, or post deal exit.

But if you think there will be no negative effects from the baseline status quo int he short to medium term, including financial, then you are deluded.

And these effects will, in my opinion, disproportionally affect the leave side more than remain.

And to my point, I find this fascinating, and, seeing as the whole thing is beyond tribal now, incredibly delicious for remainers.

I also can't wait to see how fast the adherence to dogma, identity, whatever you want to call it, lasts. When you're being suffocated from all sides because of a decision you made, only the most rabid amongst us will stick to the same narrative. It's how people will pivot after entrenching themselves so deeply in a blinkered, polarised, unobjective almost religious hole that I am most fascinated by.

That also applies for remainers as well, btw, if the pain is shorter than expected and the profits larger. But it will take a decade to get to that conclusion. I'll wait until then to pass judgement.

Too many don't understand risk management - how there are high and low risk scenarios modelled and many medium risk profiles in between. Risk is mitigated by controls with more attention on high risk mitigation. To only concentrate on unmitigated high risk scenarios is to ignore the real world.

 

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W12 08 Oct 19 1.34pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

There isn't a "remain establishment"! There is Parliament. There is common sense. There is the law. There are people who have accepted we have triggered Article 50 but are not prepared for us to leave without first putting sensible transition arrangements in place.

Some voted to remain. Others voted to leave. A few will come from what we traditionally call the "establishment". Most are just the rest of us.

On the other side are a group of people determined to get their own way at whatever the cost to the country because they believe they are right, even if Parliament disagrees.

There is a principle at stake here which is much bigger than Brexit itself and Parliament MUST exert itself to prove that, or our democracy could die.

That's demonstrably bollox.

480 MPs said they would be voting Remain, including 184 Conservatives

159 MPs said they would be voting Leave, including 139 Conservatives

11 MPs were undeclared, including four Conservatives

This same bias clearly extends to all of our institutions as the they are all now dominated by people of similar socially liberal politics because it's drawn from the same group of people who no longer value things like patriotism, British/English cultural identity and fundamental social building blocks like the traditional family, personal responsibly, the rule of law, freedom of speech etc. This includes the civil service, the judiciary, the mainstream/mass media (especially television), the academy and even senior police and security officers.

Arguing against this is just not a tenable position any more - it won't stop you though.

You just don't understand that this is fundamentally the problem in both Brexit and beyond.

Edited by W12 (08 Oct 2019 1.34pm)

 

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View Wisbech Eagle's Profile Wisbech Eagle Online Flag Truro Cornwall 08 Oct 19 1.39pm Send a Private Message to Wisbech Eagle Add Wisbech Eagle as a friend

Originally posted by ASCPFC

This is a Brexit thread. People who voted for Brexit or people who do not agree with you do not need to be labelled as hard right. I'm tempted to label you but can't really see the point. This is the kind of thing you have posted several times.
'You need to counter everyone else because you are correct, ergo they are wrong'.

Of course not everyone who voted to leave can be labelled as "hard right". Many are just ordinary folk, who normally vote either Tory or Labour who were sold the "grass is greener" package.

What I said, and what I mean, is that the perception that I got from the comments here was that many of the posts being made reflected a hard right position, particularly those from a small number of regular contributors. Which isn't so surprising as activists tend to hold strong views. Those "ordinary folk" are probably too busy working, shopping, looking after the kids and watching Coronation St to be posting here.

This thread is not a reflection of the views of the average man or woman.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

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View Matov's Profile Matov Flag 08 Oct 19 1.47pm Send a Private Message to Matov Add Matov as a friend

Originally posted by SW19 CPFC

You're struggling to see because you don't want to. The complexity and timeframe of this process is longer than a few months. Again, if you can't understand that, you are either being wilfully ignorant for the sake of belief, or you simply are just ignorant.

You cover three areas, take claims that everything is ready at face value (this is government institutions we are talking about) as though that's it. The only things that could possibly go wrong. I literally can't wait.

We can react quicker and faster, in terms of negotiations and trade talks. Sounds good, until you realise how long trade talks usually take to conclude. Another well spun line.

I agree, we will present the EU with a massive headache. But so what? I don't care about the effect on the EU – that's the common mistake your side make, over and over again. It's like kids in a playground. I hurt you more so there. Meaningless drivel. Why do you care so much about the effect on the EU? Almost sounds like you'd prefer a deal.

Edited by SW19 CPFC (08 Oct 2019 1.26pm)

In terms of both Dover and Calais, it is the people actually tasked with ensuring the flow of traffic who are telling us that it will be smoother than anybody is anticipating. Ditto with air-traffic. There will be huge amounts of co-operation on an entire raft of issues because it is nobody's interest for there not to be.

Please enlighten me as to the economic impacts of No-Deal? Trade continues with a bit more paperwork, of which 99% is done electronically. The UK already imports huge amounts of goods from outside of the EU and does so with absolutely minimal delays. Goods coming from the EU are not immune to customs stops as it is and you try buying heating oil in Northern Ireland and driving it down to Dublin. You will soon find out how 'frictionless' trade works.

If you own a smartphone of any description then the odds are that was imported from a non-EU nation under WTO rules. And you can stroll out now and buy one without the slightest hint of a worry.

Will there be teething problems? Undoubtedly. But any major snafu's will be down to direct political interference. Now that is fine but the UK can react in faster and more decisive manner than the EU. And it will.

But we need a General Election. That is it really. Nothing else will now suffice to sort this out. Bring it on.

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

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View ASCPFC's Profile ASCPFC Flag Pro-Cathedral/caravan park 08 Oct 19 1.48pm Send a Private Message to ASCPFC Add ASCPFC as a friend

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Of course not everyone who voted to leave can be labelled as "hard right". Many are just ordinary folk, who normally vote either Tory or Labour who were sold the "grass is greener" package.

What I said, and what I mean, is that the perception that I got from the comments here was that many of the posts being made reflected a hard right position, particularly those from a small number of regular contributors. Which isn't so surprising as activists tend to hold strong views. Those "ordinary folk" are probably too busy working, shopping, looking after the kids and watching Coronation St to be posting here.

This thread is not a reflection of the views of the average man or woman.

I would say there are plenty of average enough people on here. I would suggest the average person is fed up with being shouted down and ignored by those who think they know best. Perhaps some of us are not really in touch with the average person? Kind of a hard person to generalise about.
I hope there is a reform in British democracy after this. The only thing I can think of is the ending of the current parliament and a move towards Proportional Representation. Whereas you suggest the current state of affairs shows democracy at work, in my view it's a shambles.

 


Red and Blue Army!

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