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May 20 2024 7.41pm

We Still Could Go Down

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View Davepalace707's Profile Davepalace707 Flag Northumberland 01 Mar 21 9.36am Send a Private Message to Davepalace707 Add Davepalace707 as a friend

Originally posted by HKOwen

Fulham have to pick up 11 points in 12 games, assuming we get no points next 12 as in that scenario they would likely have a better goal difference.

Their next three games are Spurs, Man City and Liverpool, likely zero points.

We have Manure, Spurs and West Brom. You would think we would get at least a point against West Brom. Even if we lose all three then most likely scenario I can see is Fulham still need 11 pts to overtake us and only 9 games to do it.

Their last six games include Chelsea and an improving Arsenal. For the sake of discussion, they lose those two and then have 7 games to get 11 pts and we have to have 12 game losing run.

Not impossible but highly improbable.

Mathematically it's possible but realistically I say not.

In betting markets we are between 25/1 and 40/1, Fulham are 10/11 .

Just can't see it, quite different to Oldham scenario

Agree v unlikely. Also after the WBA game we have 3 weeks off - combination of international break and the usual absence from the cup. Ideal time to get Wilf and the geriatrics properly fit and rested.

 

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View Ian-VI's Profile Ian-VI Flag Vicenza 01 Mar 21 9.49am Send a Private Message to Ian-VI Add Ian-VI as a friend

Originally posted by Willo

We could easily have a situation like the end of last season when we only collected a solitary point from 8 games.


Edited by Willo (28 Feb 2021 11.46pm)

No, we could not easily have a situation like that.

 


The best footie management game: [Link]

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards View HKOwen's Profile HKOwen Flag Hong Kong 02 Mar 21 11.15am Send a Private Message to HKOwen Add HKOwen as a friend

4 pts from last two games without Wilf


Originally posted by Mathers

How about you re-check the stats before chiming in with a sarcastic comment. 20 games without Zaha. 18 defeats. 16 games without scoring.

Most sensible fans know that without Wilf and under the current management, the odds of us picking up points are slim.

 


Responsibility Deficit Disorder is a medical condition. Symptoms include inability to be corrected when wrong, false sense of superiority, desire to share personal info no else cares about, general hubris. It's a medical issue rather than pure arrogance.

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View Eaglecoops's Profile Eaglecoops Flag CR3 02 Mar 21 11.27am Send a Private Message to Eaglecoops Add Eaglecoops as a friend

Originally posted by HKOwen

4 pts from last two games without Wilf


Both of your points pass muster. Which is the more telling stat though?

 

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View Slimey Toad's Profile Slimey Toad Flag Karsiyaka, North Cyprus 02 Mar 21 11.29am Send a Private Message to Slimey Toad Add Slimey Toad as a friend

Originally posted by Willo

In terms of relegation, having considered our remaining fixtures I have concluded we will not attain too many points from them.
These games include encounters against Man Utd,Tottenham,Everton,Chelsea,Leicester,Man C, Arsenal and Liverpool.

We could easily have a situation like the end of last season when we only collected a solitary point from 8 games.I appreciate this run came after we had collected 42 points so basically safe, however with our injury situation and perhaps more joining that list, we could well experience a similar run.

Edited by Willo (28 Feb 2021 11.46pm)

 

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards View HKOwen's Profile HKOwen Flag Hong Kong 02 Mar 21 11.35am Send a Private Message to HKOwen Add HKOwen as a friend

For me I give a lot more weight to points than stats.

I will take an "undeserved" win same as we have to fume on " undeserved " losses or points dropped

Fundamentally there is a difference between pessimism from time to time which is part of a Palace fan's DNA , and constant moaning and criticising even when we pick up points.

I was delighted to pick up winnings on the Brighton game and have reinvested a small amount on win and win/draw against Manure. We are overdue a scalp against all conventional wisdom

 


Responsibility Deficit Disorder is a medical condition. Symptoms include inability to be corrected when wrong, false sense of superiority, desire to share personal info no else cares about, general hubris. It's a medical issue rather than pure arrogance.

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View Slimey Toad's Profile Slimey Toad Flag Karsiyaka, North Cyprus 02 Mar 21 11.38am Send a Private Message to Slimey Toad Add Slimey Toad as a friend

Look, we ain't going down. Nor are we likely to have a blazing end to the season.

 

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards View HKOwen's Profile HKOwen Flag Hong Kong 02 Mar 21 11.47am Send a Private Message to HKOwen Add HKOwen as a friend

Agree 100%

 


Responsibility Deficit Disorder is a medical condition. Symptoms include inability to be corrected when wrong, false sense of superiority, desire to share personal info no else cares about, general hubris. It's a medical issue rather than pure arrogance.

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View silvertop's Profile silvertop Flag Portishead 03 Mar 21 6.02pm Send a Private Message to silvertop Add silvertop as a friend

Fulham Fulham Fulham. Can't you discuss anything else?

Perhaps Fulham will continue their resurgence. They have a really good squad but (as we seem to forget from our one season in the sun experiences) new promoted teams are handicapped. They are last in the queue for transfers, end up with a largely new squad who all rush in on window close day, and then spend time till mid-season settling the squad. It's catch-up; and they now have caught up. They are 8th on form and that is roughly where their squad belongs. In this context, negating them on Sunday was not a bad result (but dull!).

However, even if Fulham close and pass the gap between us - not impossible but unlikely - will all the other teams between us and them also do that?

Burnley, Brighton, even wolvers above us, hmm? But Southampton are in free-fall; and Newcastle are even worse. The Toon are now without 2 of their best players until mid-April.

We will probably lose the next 2; possibly handsomely in both cases. However, Schlupp and Wickham (!) back today, Wilf for Spuds, Clyne and Mitchell for the Baggies, then McArthur and Ferguson (!!) for the Toffees after the 3 week break. It will look like a new team. I see no reason why we won't be picking up points as we were before that awful Christmas period.

 

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Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards View HKOwen's Profile HKOwen Flag Hong Kong 03 Mar 21 10.17pm Send a Private Message to HKOwen Add HKOwen as a friend

Surely time to close this thread

 


Responsibility Deficit Disorder is a medical condition. Symptoms include inability to be corrected when wrong, false sense of superiority, desire to share personal info no else cares about, general hubris. It's a medical issue rather than pure arrogance.

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View EddieMac's Profile EddieMac Flag 03 Mar 21 11.24pm Send a Private Message to EddieMac Add EddieMac as a friend

Id love a Fulham win tomorrow night. It would make the battle for that last relegation spot very interesting now that we are pretty much safe.

 

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View Tickled pink's Profile Tickled pink Flag Cornwall 04 Mar 21 7.56am Send a Private Message to Tickled pink Add Tickled pink as a friend

Originally posted by Eaglecoops

Both of your points pass muster. Which is the more telling stat though?

The recent one.

 

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