This page is no longer updated, and is the old forum. For new topics visit the New HOL forum.
Register | Edit Profile | Subscriptions | Forum Rules | Log In
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() |
---|---|
Originally posted by Stirlingsays
The focus has been incorrect in my view. It should have been far more on implementing hygiene requirements and keeping far more of the economy going. We have never acted this way to any previous virus, which have had far higher death to infection rates. If another one comes are we going to act like this? Somehow I doubt that this is the last we will see over the next decades. The economy will recover? What like we have recovered from 2008? Have you really considered what would happen?...The world economy is already affected by this and a shutting down of months may bring in a lost decade. Consider that this spending is being placed upon unprecedented levels of existing debt caused via 2008. I read that each percent of unemployment kills thousands and lowers life expectancy through various means. We will also disproportionally affect the young and economically active. Taxes will rise considerably, borrowing rates will go up and public spending will arrow down.....and it's not going to be temporary. I predict a lot of people are going to change their minds over this fairly quickly. You could say I'm definitely in the 'cure is worst than the disease' camp.
It also suggests that the next flu epidemic will cause major complications to everyday life. Hong Kong flu in 1968 killed 1m (some claim up to 4m) but the Olympics, and life in general, went ahead.
|
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() |
---|---|
Just spoken to a friend who lives outside of Rome. In that area they are okay however down south it is all kicking off, food riots, supermarkets being robbed and people being mugged for their shopping. The south has always been poor and felt neglected by the rest of Italy now however this has just exasperated it. People don't have money for food and there is little food to buy. The government is trying too help but it's too little. In other news an interesting point about how the deaths are calculated. Coronavirus is now a notifiable disease so if you die it will be included in the statistics regardless of actual cause of death. In an extreme case if you were killed in a road accident and had the virus that would be counted. Of course there will also be those who die of it and it goes unrecognised. This is not to trivialise the numbers just an interesting quirk. Edited by Badger11 (29 Mar 2020 1.09pm)
One more point |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() |
---|---|
Originally posted by Stirlingsays
The focus has been incorrect in my view. It should have been far more on implementing hygiene requirements and keeping far more of the economy going. We have never acted this way to any previous virus, which have had far higher death to infection rates. If another one comes are we going to act like this? Somehow I doubt that this is the last we will see over the next decades. The economy will recover? What like we have recovered from 2008? Have you really considered what would happen?...The world economy is already affected by this and a shutting down of months may bring in a lost decade. Consider that this spending is being placed upon unprecedented levels of existing debt caused via 2008. I read that each percent of unemployment kills thousands and lowers life expectancy through various means. We will also disproportionally affect the young and economically active. Taxes will rise considerably, borrowing rates will go up and public spending will arrow down.....and it's not going to be temporary. I predict a lot of people are going to change their minds over this fairly quickly. You could say I'm definitely in the 'cure is worst than the disease' camp. Edited by Stirlingsays (29 Mar 2020 12.21pm) You know I agree there comes a time when cure is probably worse than disease and the way I see it is probably vulnerable stay in or risk it and everyone else goes back to work. But if we hadn’t done the lockdown the deaths would spiral out of control in not only coronavirus casss because of hospital and bed capacity. Brits can’t take being told anything as you say. I doubt they’d immediately respond to hygiene instantly either. Blokes never wash their hands, even with piss on them. We need the kits and the curve to downturn before stopping the lockdown.
COYP |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() |
---|---|
Originally posted by Badger11
Just spoken to a friend who lives outside of Rome. In that area they are okay however down south it is all kicking off, food riots, supermarkets being robbed and people being mugged for their shopping. The south has always been poor and felt neglected by the rest of Italy now however this has just exasperated it. People don't have money for food and there is little food to buy. The government is trying too help but it's too little. In other news an interesting point about how the deaths are calculated. Coronavirus is now a notifiable disease so if you die it will be included in the statistics regardless of actual cause of death. In an extreme case if you were killed in a road accident and had the virus that would be counted. Of course there will also be those who die of it and it goes unrecognised. This is not to trivialise the numbers just an interesting quirk. Edited by Badger11 (29 Mar 2020 1.09pm) Yes, the data are hard to read. Many that die would have died soon in any case. Half a million die in the UK each year.
|
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() |
---|---|
Originally posted by Rudi Hedman
You know I agree there comes a time when cure is probably worse than disease and the way I see it is probably vulnerable stay in or risk it and everyone else goes back to work. But if we hadn’t done the lockdown the deaths would spiral out of control in not only coronavirus casss because of hospital and bed capacity. Brits can’t take being told anything as you say. I doubt they’d immediately respond to hygiene instantly either. Blokes never wash their hands, even with piss on them. We need the kits and the curve to downturn before stopping the lockdown. Without hospital care deaths absolutely explode. Hospitals must not be overloaded or many many otherwise healthy people will die.
|
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() |
---|---|
Originally posted by Badger11
Just spoken to a friend who lives outside of Rome. In that area they are okay however down south it is all kicking off, food riots, supermarkets being robbed and people being mugged for their shopping. The south has always been poor and felt neglected by the rest of Italy now however this has just exasperated it. People don't have money for food and there is little food to buy. The government is trying too help but it's too little. In other news an interesting point about how the deaths are calculated. Coronavirus is now a notifiable disease so if you die it will be included in the statistics regardless of actual cause of death. In an extreme case if you were killed in a road accident and had the virus that would be counted. Of course there will also be those who die of it and it goes unrecognised. This is not to trivialise the numbers just an interesting quirk. Edited by Badger11 (29 Mar 2020 1.09pm) I would certainly NOT be surprised if similar types of civil obediance erupted in parts of this country as the lockdown really starts to affect people in a highly negative way. Maybe I am being overly pessimistic, a glumbucket, a profit of doom and gloom - time will tell.
|
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
---|---|
Originally posted by Rudi Hedman
You know I agree there comes a time when cure is probably worse than disease and the way I see it is probably vulnerable stay in or risk it and everyone else goes back to work. But if we hadn’t done the lockdown the deaths would spiral out of control in not only coronavirus casss because of hospital and bed capacity. Brits can’t take being told anything as you say. I doubt they’d immediately respond to hygiene instantly either. Blokes never wash their hands, even with piss on them. We need the kits and the curve to downturn before stopping the lockdown. I agree, we needed an initial lockdown to implement the isolating of the vulnerable while still setting up systems for them. We needed a strong advertising and governmental campaign....which we have had....to inform and but we haven't enforced the hygiene standards for work places and retailers and so on....for example insisting on hand sanitizers going into and out of a premises. We should have work teams going around disinfecting surfaces in their local environments every day....it should be the culture through this. The different cultural practices within the UK with its various groups would mean different levels of infection almost certainly however the average age of death from this is late seventies and I know it's not sensitive to say it but many would have been on their last legs. I fear the legacy this choices are going to place onto the economy....which in reality means people....many of whom are pay check to pay check and were never in serious threat from this virus....it will cause many more problems than many realise. I seriously hope I'm wrong.
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() |
---|---|
Originally posted by Mapletree
Without hospital care deaths absolutely explode. Hospitals must not be overloaded or many many otherwise healthy people will die. Exactly. Imagine you’re a fit person, I always thought you’d be alright but you get to hospital and they’re too stretched and you die waiting in line. This is why this is necessary now. Maybe not hopefully in however many weeks or months. Not as soon as Trump wants but I agree with Stirling, at some point we can present it’s the time to do it. Not blind and negligently.
COYP |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() ![]() |
---|---|
Originally posted by Mapletree
Without hospital care deaths absolutely explode. Hospitals must not be overloaded or many many otherwise healthy people will die. We are building temporary hospitals, as the Chinese did. Doing as much as possible to enlarge health response is a no brainer during this. However, as to the threat to the healthy....I have to push back on that. If you are under fifty with no health conditions while this virus is certainly worse then the flu its death stats are very low. Isolating the vulnerable from the active was extremely important. But our approach has been a vast over-reaction.....if it continues is going to cause long lasting misery and will kill many via other means. Edited by Stirlingsays (29 Mar 2020 1.33pm)
'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen) |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() |
---|---|
Originally posted by Stirlingsays
The focus has been incorrect in my view. It should have been far more on implementing hygiene requirements and keeping far more of the economy going. We have never acted this way to any previous virus, which have had far higher death to infection rates. If another one comes are we going to act like this? Somehow I doubt that this is the last we will see over the next decades. The economy will recover? What like we have recovered from 2008? Have you really considered what would happen?...The world economy is already affected by this and a shutting down of months may bring in a lost decade. Consider that this spending is being placed upon unprecedented levels of existing debt caused via 2008. I read that each percent of unemployment kills thousands and lowers life expectancy through various means. We will also disproportionally affect the young and economically active. Taxes will rise considerably, borrowing rates will go up and public spending will arrow down.....and it's not going to be temporary. I predict a lot of people are going to change their minds over this fairly quickly. You could say I'm definitely in the 'cure is worst than the disease' camp.
Which were these, out of interest? I’m in my 30’s and never seen anything like it. My feelings are that the lockdown is a temporary measure which might last another 4 weeks, simply to slow down the virus so that the NHS can cope and save more lives. After this period I think we’ll gradually see businesses returning to normal but under social distancing rules. This current harsh lockdown will act as a shock factor to scare people into respecting the social distancing rules. It can’t be too many months until we have a herd immunity which will feel like the end. Edited by Goal Machine (29 Mar 2020 1.34pm)
|
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() |
---|---|
Originally posted by Stirlingsays
I agree, we needed an initial lockdown to implement the isolating of the vulnerable while still setting up systems for them. We needed a strong advertising and governmental campaign....which we have had....to inform and but we haven't enforced the hygiene standards for work places and retailers and so on....for example insisting on hand sanitizers going into and out of a premises. We should have work teams going around disinfecting surfaces in their local environments every day....it should be the culture through this. The different cultural practices within the UK with its various groups would mean different levels of infection almost certainly however the average age of death from this is late seventies and I know it's not sensitive to say it but many would have been on their last legs. I fear the legacy this choices are going to place onto the economy....which in reality means people....many of whom are pay check to pay check and were never in serious threat from this virus....it will cause many more problems than many realise. I seriously hope I'm wrong.
I don’t agree the advertising has been that good or enough. I see where you’re coming from on macro disinfecting if you like but Japan have been this way for decades. You’re talking about us doing it within weeks. Japan in Asia are used to all this, the people live like this. We’ve never experienced this, take weeks to do anything we’re told and still don’t adhere to it. What we go is respond to the emergency, not prevent or take precautions before the emergency. I wish you were right that we could be like Japan because I agree on the goal in the near future, but only after this has happened woukd we ever have prepared for it or responded the way you suggest. Which western country has? Maybe some cleaner and higher tax Nordic or Scandinavian countries and economies have but I don’t see any of our closer neighbours having done so.
COYP |
|
![]() |
![]() |
![]() ![]() |
![]() ![]() |
---|---|
Originally posted by Goal Machine
Which were these, out of interest? I’m in my 30’s and never seen anything like it. My feelings are that the lockdown is a temporary measure which might last another 4 weeks, simply to slow down the virus so that the NHS can cope and save more lives. After this period I think we’ll gradually see businesses returning to normal but under social distancing rules. This current harsh lockdown will act as a shock factor to scare people into respecting the social distancing rules. It can’t be too many months until we have a herd immunity which will feel like the end. Edited by Goal Machine (29 Mar 2020 1.34pm) There was a Professor from Imperial College, and advisor to the Government, who quite recently was quite upbeat and positive in his message about the timing of the peak and when the 'Tide' would turn. I believe it is the same gentleman who in the 'Sunday Times' has written that the lockdown could last until the end of May and into early June.Perhaps it IS the same chap and the Government have asked him NOT to give out a positive message,lest it lulls the population into complacency.Only speculation!
|
|
![]() |
![]() |
Registration is now on our new message board
To login with your existing username you will need to convert your account over to the new message board.
All images and text on this site are copyright © 1999-2024 The Holmesdale Online, unless otherwise stated.
Web Design by Guntrisoft Ltd.