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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


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W12 17 Sep 19 9.31am

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Of course votes count. It all depends on the context of the vote on how they count. In London a Mayor is directly elected. In a GE an MP is directly elected who then, with 649 others, decides everything else. Including how a referendum result is interpreted.

"Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?"


Ben: Oh, what you will have done is, when it flashed up on your screen, ‘Do you want to watch Bangkok Chick-boys?’ you must have pressed the button that said ‘yes’.

Alan: Yeah, well, as I say, it’s very confusing.

Ben: Do you want me to come up and show you the button that says ‘no’?

 

Teddy Eagle Flag 17 Sep 19 9.34am

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Of course votes count. It all depends on the context of the vote on how they count. In London a Mayor is directly elected. In a GE an MP is directly elected who then, with 649 others, decides everything else. Including how a referendum result is interpreted.

We’ve been round this loop before. Votes count provided a majority of 650 people agree the likely outcome is in our best interest.

 

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 17 Sep 19 9.46am

Originally posted by W12

I still think by far the likely outcome is either (1) The crappy May deal with some wording changes or (2) An extension with some form of leaver takeover of the government

The one thing I'm also struggling with is what happens if we do leave with a decent WA or a no deal i.e. I can't see the remainers either not trying to sabotage the economy in the short term or just campaigning to bring us straight back in (probably both). They are desperate extremists now and seem to stop at nothing.

I think you are right. Either the May deal will be dressed in new clothes and able to just be squeezed over the line, although that's far from certain as Labour and the LibDems would oppose.

More likely I think is Parliament (not just leavers) acting together to ensure that the EU grant an extension. I guess this would have to be via a vote of no confidence and an interim PM with a cross party temporary government of national unity with a date set for a GE. A new PM would ask for the extension which would probably then be reluctantly granted.

Johnson, and the Cabinet, are all sticking to the line of not answering how they intend to comply with the law but not ask for the extension which the law now requires. It makes them all seem ridiculous. Maybe Johnson will resign or hand temporary control to Gove, so he can ask and then go to Brussels and veto the approval vote. Maybe he will call a vote of no confidence in himself. More likely though is it's just bs, which seems to be his stock in trade.

Edited by Wisbech Eagle (17 Sep 2019 9.47am)

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Stirlingsays Flag 17 Sep 19 9.53am

Originally posted by Spiderman

Do you like trick or treating that much then?

Only the original movie.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 17 Sep 19 9.56am

Originally posted by W12

"Should the United Kingdom remain a member of the European Union or leave the European Union?"


Ben: It's not clear to me what you mean by "leave". We are already part of a Union. Do we all leave, or only some of us if some of us don't want to? There has been a lot of trouble in Northern Ireland and we don't want to leave in a way that makes that flare up again. I need more information. Your question is not real.

Alan: Yeah, well, as I say, it’s very confusing.

Ben: Don't you think it's better to leave this all to our representatives to mull over and decide? After all that's their job./quote]

Edited for accuracy.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Stirlingsays Flag 17 Sep 19 10.00am

Originally posted by W12

I still think by far the likely outcome is either (1) The crappy May deal with some wording changes or (2) An extension with some form of leaver takeover of the government

The one thing I'm also struggling with is what happens if we do leave with a decent WA or a no deal i.e. I can't see the remainers either not trying to sabotage the economy in the short term or just campaigning to bring us straight back in (probably both). They are desperate extremists now and seem to stop at nothing.

Johnson's red line is that the UK must be able to make trade deals outside the EU's rulebook.......That's exactly what they don't want and what is behind the backstop bs.

Unless the EU shift we will be leaving with 'no deal' if Johnson remains PM..(though I see a deal later on afterwards)...and if he goes to the polls he wins anyway, no matter what they say or do.

I'm fully behind taking a metaphorical chainsaw to the whole rotten facade....Whatever Cummings and co come up with which results in us getting out. I can't stand some of these people.

They have had their way for forty years and now it's time for them to move on.


Edited by Stirlingsays (17 Sep 2019 10.09am)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

Midlands Eagle Flag 17 Sep 19 10.12am

Originally posted by W12

The one thing I'm also struggling with is what happens if we do leave with a decent WA or a no deal i.e. I can't see the remainers either not trying to sabotage the economy in the short term or just campaigning to bring us straight back in (probably both). They are desperate extremists now and seem to stop at nothing.

The minimum penalty for treason is 40 years in prison and if anyone tries to pull that stunt we should have a show trial as a warning to others

 

W12 17 Sep 19 10.13am

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

Johnson's red line is that the UK must be able to make trade deals outside the EU's rulebook.......That's exactly what they don't want and what is behind the backstop bs.

Unless the EU shift we will be leaving with 'no deal' if Johnson remains PM..(though I see a deal later on afterwards)...and if he goes to the polls he wins anyway, no matter what they say or do.

I'm fully behind taking a metaphorical chainsaw to the whole rotten facade....Whatever Cummings and co come up with which results in us getting out. I can't stand these people.

They have had their way for forty years and now it's time for them to move on.

Edited by Stirlingsays (17 Sep 2019 10.04am)

I certainly agree with what should happen but it seems the remainers have full control of the narrative to the point they can ignore opposition and slander opponents and so can virtually do whatever they want now.

I believe it will take some drastic action by leavers to make this happen. i.e. riots

The interesting option re cummings is that the justification for extending in March was that EU law supplanted UK law. If that's the case how can this traitorous surrender legislation supplant article 50?

 

Stirlingsays Flag 17 Sep 19 10.21am

Originally posted by W12

I certainly agree with what should happen but it seems the remainers have full control of the narrative to the point they can ignore opposition and slander opponents and so can virtually do whatever they want now.

I believe it will take some drastic action by leavers to make this happen. i.e. riots

The interesting option re cummings is that the justification for extending in March was that EU law supplanted UK law. If that's the case how can this traitorous surrender legislation supplant article 50?

I don't know....but I'm planning to eat a lot of popcorn between now and whenever this saga ends.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

W12 17 Sep 19 10.22am

Originally posted by Stirlingsays

I don't know....but I'm planning to eat a lot of popcorn between now and whenever this saga ends.

Hopefully you can eat popcorn and sharpen a pitchfork at the same time

 

Stirlingsays Flag 17 Sep 19 10.27am

Originally posted by W12

Hopefully you can eat popcorn and sharpen a pitchfork at the same time

There's a scenario where a lot of us will probably be traveling towards the same time and location certainly.

But I'm more optimistic that we will be leaving....in one form or another. It's about the principle more than anything else.

If we have another referendum in a couple of years and we revert back....then so be it.....With the demographic change it's inevitable anyway.....here anyway.

Edited by Stirlingsays (17 Sep 2019 10.28am)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

steeleye20 Flag Croydon 17 Sep 19 10.28am

All Supreme Court judges must be wider at the bottom than at the top.

This prevents them from being overturned


 

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 17 Sep 19 10.43am

Originally posted by W12

I certainly agree with what should happen but it seems the remainers have full control of the narrative to the point they can ignore opposition and slander opponents and so can virtually do whatever they want now.

I believe it will take some drastic action by leavers to make this happen. i.e. riots

The interesting option re cummings is that the justification for extending in March was that EU law supplanted UK law. If that's the case how can this traitorous surrender legislation supplant article 50?

Don't you think it's Parliament as a whole, irrespective of whether it's individual members were originally in favour of leaving or remaining, that have simply reasserted their supremacy over the executive?

Many MP's have accepted, even if they don't personally want it, that they are honour bound to try to implement to referendum decision.(I don't agree with them, but that's not the point). Their issue is the way we leave, and not if we leave. Other's take different positions but there are enough to be a majority against leaving without a deal.

So this is now no longer simply about Brexit. It's about ensuring the preservation of Parliamentary democracy. Allow an executive to dominate Parliament and ignore their decisions is a big step towards allowing a future wanna be dictator to ride roughshod over our democratic processes. Parliament cannot allow such a precedent to be set.

So I think your description of how things are is way of the mark. Preserving our system comes much higher up the agenda. Brexit has already been delayed so a another month or two hardly matters.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Matov Flag 17 Sep 19 11.19am

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Many MP's have accepted, even if they don't personally want it, that they are honour bound to try to implement to referendum decision.(I don't agree with them, but that's not the point). Their issue is the way we leave, and not if we leave. Other's take different positions but there are enough to be a majority against leaving without a deal.


If that is the case why is the issue of 'Remain' being on a proposed second referendum so prominent?

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 17 Sep 19 11.29am

Originally posted by Matov

If that is the case why is the issue of 'Remain' being on a proposed second referendum so prominent?

Because many doesn't mean all or even most.

It's when all those who oppose any kind of Brexit come together with those who just oppose a no deal Brexit that Parliament has a majority against the government's current stance.

If and when there is another referendum deciding what will be on the ballot paper will undoubtedly be another long drawn out process subject to legal reviews

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Teddy Eagle Flag 17 Sep 19 11.35am

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Because many doesn't mean all or even most.

It's when all those who oppose any kind of Brexit come together with those who just oppose a no deal Brexit that Parliament has a majority against the government's current stance.

If and when there is another referendum deciding what will be on the ballot paper will undoubtedly be another long drawn out process subject to legal reviews

And provided Gina Miller approves the outcome.

 

palace_in_frogland Flag In a broken dream 17 Sep 19 11.40am

Originally posted by steeleye20

All Supreme Court judges must be wider at the bottom than at the top.

This prevents them from being overturned


Weebles wobble but they don’t fall down.

 

Matov Flag 17 Sep 19 12.03pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

If and when there is another referendum deciding what will be on the ballot paper will undoubtedly be another long drawn out process subject to legal reviews

And put what we have experienced already in terms of political turmoil into the shade.

This is what I struggle to understand about the Remainer stance. A second referendum with a Remain option settles nothing. Only makes things MUCH MUCH MUCH worse.

Because nobody will have the slightest shred of faith in the process. Why would anybody accept the result? For a start, I suspect a much lower turn out with even an organised boycott/spoiling the ballot paper campaign. That would certainly be my instinctive reaction.

So at the end lets us say we get a turnout of under 50% with a Remain 'victory' under 17 million votes. Can you honestly, with a straight face, claim that as a democratic mandate to revoke A50?

It will be a farce that has the potential to end in tragedy with a nation already at each other's throats and the potential for that to turn to a level of nastiness that acheives nothing other than potential bloodshed.

Brexit does not go away until we have left the EU. Our national sanity requires that closure because otherwise this is a wound that festers away, poisoning every aspect of our lives.

Once that is done then campaign away to Rejoin. Best of British with that. A perfectly legitimate political ambition.

But to inflict another Brexit referendum on this country is the most dangerous wish of all. Beyond irresponsible.

Edited by Matov (17 Sep 2019 12.04pm)

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

steeleye20 Flag Croydon 17 Sep 19 12.08pm

I always view these Supreme Court cases as inherently unfair, in my cynical way I think that the side with the most money usually wins.

The government can progress through court after court throwing the taxpayers money at it, what do they care, whereas their opponent presumably has to cough up themselves, unless they win.

That's a hell of a risk, imagine how costly it is, suspension probably hasn't worked for Johnson anyway.

At the end of the day, as Cameron said last night on TV, he will just have to go back to the parliament where the majorities are now considerably against him.

 

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 17 Sep 19 12.08pm

Originally posted by Matov

And put what we have experienced already in terms of political turmoil into the shade.

This is what I struggle to understand about the Remainer stance. A second referendum with a Remain option settles nothing. Only makes things MUCH MUCH MUCH worse.

Because nobody will have the slightest shred of faith in the process. Why would anybody accept the result? For a start, I suspect a much lower turn out with even an organised boycott/spoiling the ballot paper campaign. That would certainly be my instinctive reaction.

So at the end lets us say we get a turnout of under 50% with a Remain 'victory' under 17 million votes. Can you honestly, with a straight face, claim that as a democratic mandate to revoke A50?

It will be a farce that has the potential to end in tragedy with a nation already at each other's throats and the potential for that to turn to a level of nastiness that acheives nothing other than potential bloodshed.

Brexit does not go away until we have left the EU. Our national sanity requires that closure because otherwise this is a wound that festers away, poisoning every aspect of our lives.

Once that is done then campaign away to Rejoin. Best of British with that. A perfectly legitimate political ambition.

But to inflict another Brexit referendum on this country is the most dangerous wish of all. Beyond irresponsible.

Edited by Matov (17 Sep 2019 12.04pm)

Exactly right.

The whole idea of a second ballot with a Remain option is completely unacceptable on every level.

 

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