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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


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Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 13 Oct 19 2.12pm

Originally posted by Matov


There is no detailed argument that negates basic maths. 52 is a larger number than 48. In terms of % it means that Leave won and Remain lost. Done and dusted.

No-one at all is arguing about maths. If you think that is even remotely true then you haven't actually been paying attention. We know what the result was in 2016. It's what it means and how it is to be applied that is in question. You think you know the answer, but many others disagree with your opinion. The only place such matters get resolved is in Parliament. Not here or down the pub. In Parliament by our elected representatives. So far they have tried, but failed, because of another set of unarguable basic maths.


Your Emperor is start bollock naked. There are no clothes.

I don't have an "Emperor"! I rely on common sense and reasoning and not the lead given by anyone. However, it does seem to me that Mr Farage might have pickled your brain at some time. Maybe he is your "Emperor"!


Lets say we have another referendum. And lets say Remain wins by say 52% to 48. Is that 52% more meaningful? A bigger 52?

Which is exactly why a 3 choice single transferable system is proposed, so that if your first choice fails to make the top two your second choice would be transferred. A close result would then be very unlikely. You do the maths! I think a "deal" outcome to be the odds on favourite.

What I struggle with to the point of apoplexy is how anybody can believe that a second referendum, after the first has been deemed of no meaningful consequence will have the slightest shred of credibility. Or how it brings us all together again. Of how it will do the exact opposite of cementing the divides and actually restore our faith in the power of voting.

A second referendum would not just be a rerun of the first. It would be to try to guide Parliament on what the people now want, given the experiences of the intervening years and faced with either a "hard" or a "soft" Brexit option together with Remain for those who voted that way in the first place. You cannot disenfranchise people just because they voted in a way you disagree with.

Perhaps it is me? Perhaps I am too narrow-minded to accept that when I am told my vote will be counted and a result acted upon that to then have it explained that perhaps that was not QUITE what all those politicians meant when they promised to honour it.

They have met their promises though! It's this that so many Brexiteers fail to understand. Despite many, including Mrs May, favouring Remain, our MPs voted to trigger Article 50, thus meeting their commitment. All the subsequent problems have not been about Brexit itself, but about how we Brexit. That is Parliament's job and not ours.

Actually you know what, balls to it. I would rather die being labelled an ignoramus than ever accept I am in the wrong on this.

Ignoramus, no. Stubborn to the point of intransigence, yes.

I voted on June 23rd 2016 in utter good faith. And I despise anybody who deems me a fool for doing so because that is what anybody who wants a second referendum with Remain on the ballot paper are doing.

No-body regards people who think like you as fools. They just think you are unable to see that things have evolved to the point that what happened in 2016 is no longer the only consideration. That's life and fighting yesterday's battles is rather pointless. If you still believe that leaving the EU without an agreed deal is the best option then that's where your energy will be best applied.

Edited by Wisbech Eagle (13 Oct 2019 2.15pm)

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 13 Oct 19 2.14pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

I really don't like to be rude but there is only one way to describe that. It's bs. Trying to find a way for the country to move forward and heal is not anything connected to "losers". It's both sensible and practical and ought to appeal to everyone, however they voted in 2016. Only those determined to achieve their version of Brexit seem unable to accept that. Stubborn or selfish? You choose.

Cobblers.

All that needs to happen to move forward is a deal with Europe(or no deal) and for the Labour Party to stop their transparent attempts to pave the way for a potentially better election result.
The Remain biased Parliament and a small minority of dogged Remainers like you are the only people who won't accept that everyone else wants out now without any more blatant attempts at sabotage.

 

cryrst Flag The garden of England 13 Oct 19 2.17pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Edited by Wisbech Eagle (13 Oct 2019 2.15pm)

You say deal is favourite on a 3 way vote.
Ok let's say the vote happens(BS really).
If no deal wins everyone wanting remain, like you ,maine and steeleye will accept it.
I dont think you would so what is the point.

 

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 13 Oct 19 2.22pm

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

Cobblers.

All that needs to happen to move forward is a deal with Europe(or no deal) and for the Labour Party to stop their transparent attempts to pave the way for a potentially better election result.
The Remain biased Parliament and a small minority of dogged Remainers like you are the only people who won't accept that everyone else wants out now without any more blatant attempts at sabotage.

All that MUST happen is for a deal to be made with the EU that Parliament as a whole can approve. Until something is presented and thoroughly evaluated we won't know if that is possible but it looks almost impossible to me by the deadline. No-one's doing any sabotage. They are doing their jobs.

I think that is a quite deliberate tactic by Johnson to give Parliament no time for the thorough scrutiny needed, leaving them no option other than to refuse to accept it. It has nothing at all to do with "Remainers" in Parliament or outside, most of whom will accept a "deal" that protects our best interests but won't if it harms them. Many "Leavers" voted down Mrs May's deal and as the rumours are that this one has aspects that are worse then how they will respond is as yet unknown.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

Teddy Eagle Flag 13 Oct 19 2.22pm

Originally posted by cryrst

You say deal is favourite on a 3 way vote.
Ok let's say the vote happens(BS really).
If no deal wins everyone wanting remain, like you ,maine and steeleye will accept it.
I dont think you would so what is the point.

Or if no deal won the result would be purely advisory whereas if Remain won it would be game over, the country has decided.

 

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 13 Oct 19 2.28pm

Originally posted by cryrst

You say deal is favourite on a 3 way vote.
Ok let's say the vote happens(BS really).
If no deal wins everyone wanting remain, like you ,maine and steeleye will accept it.
I dont think you would so what is the point.

If no deal was the choice then of course it would be accepted, both by me and I think by Parliament too.

I don't though think that is the likely outcome. I think a "deal" which a new Parliament has negotiated and which meets all the red lines of the EU and protects us too, would romp home by a very large margin. Then a disconsolate Farage would be trotting home on three legs and ready for the knackers yard, and the ERG left with no-where to go.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

chris123 Flag hove actually 13 Oct 19 3.34pm

Originally posted by dannyboy1978

Selfishness works both ways! But democracy is the over arching answer and last time I looked 17.5 million people trump 1.8 million.

But only a democrat if their side win, so not really!

 

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 13 Oct 19 3.59pm

Originally posted by Teddy Eagle

Or if no deal won the result would be purely advisory whereas if Remain won it would be game over, the country has decided.

If a 3 choice referendum resulted in "no deal" being the outcome, and Parliament had committed to accepting it, then it would be done on the agreed date as would any "deal" result. As "remain" wouldn't require any changes then nothing needs to be done.

The idea that "leave" voters would somehow be unfairly treated is perhaps understandable from their perspective but also totally wrong.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

cryrst Flag The garden of England 13 Oct 19 4.01pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

If no deal was the choice then of course it would be accepted, both by me and I think by Parliament too.

I don't though think that is the likely outcome. I think a "deal" which a new Parliament has negotiated and which meets all the red lines of the EU and protects us too, would romp home by a very large margin. Then a disconsolate Farage would be trotting home on three legs and ready for the knackers yard, and the ERG left with no-where to go.

Why have a remain option then.
That horse has run and lost.
Deal or no deal.
Binary choice as you say.

 

ASCPFC Flag Pro-Cathedral/caravan park 13 Oct 19 4.02pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

If no deal was the choice then of course it would be accepted, both by me and I think by Parliament too.

I don't though think that is the likely outcome. I think a "deal" which a new Parliament has negotiated and which meets all the red lines of the EU and protects us too, would romp home by a very large margin. Then a disconsolate Farage would be trotting home on three legs and ready for the knackers yard, and the ERG left with no-where to go.

The more likely outcome there is that any party that foists a poor deal onto the people would be destroyed at the polls and probably put Brexit right back on the agenda. The EU already ruled out any kind of Norway deal and there is little point in paying the same amount for a trade deal as Britain pays at the moment, without having any say or control over standards, customs or indeed, movement. What I'm seeing here is one of those cake and eat it deals - which just is not going to happen- which is pie in the sky.
The EU are following the narrative of naughty Britain needs to be punished for its intransigence and there is little sign that they will change. Without a huge pay-off of course. The red lines of the EU are totally at odds with the UK's red lines - hence the complete inability for any acceptable deal to be reached - for the people that is. Be careful when thinking that politicians are going to deliver some kind of decent and acceptable deal.

 


Red and Blue Army!

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 13 Oct 19 4.08pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

All that MUST happen is for a deal to be made with the EU that Parliament as a whole can approve. Until something is presented and thoroughly evaluated we won't know if that is possible but it looks almost impossible to me by the deadline. No-one's doing any sabotage. They are doing their jobs.

I think that is a quite deliberate tactic by Johnson to give Parliament no time for the thorough scrutiny needed, leaving them no option other than to refuse to accept it. It has nothing at all to do with "Remainers" in Parliament or outside, most of whom will accept a "deal" that protects our best interests but won't if it harms them. Many "Leavers" voted down Mrs May's deal and as the rumours are that this one has aspects that are worse then how they will respond is as yet unknown.

You cannot be serious.

The trouble is that no one will believe the majority of Remainers if they don't support a deal and then claim that it is because of anything other than party politics.
There is every reason to doubt their motives and every reason to pass a deal if it is close to reasonable.
Unless of course, you prefer no deal.

What cannot happen under any cirumstances is no Brexit.

 

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 13 Oct 19 4.25pm

Government of National Unity

Much talk about building a consensus in Parliament amongst the opposition. They feel the Tories are divided and all over the place on Brexit.

So how is the formation of the National unity government going, well they've been promising it would happen for the last couple of months. Remember The Tories are all over the place and only the opposition parties can save us.

Lib Dems - Will not serve if Corbyn is PM they also want to abolish Brexit.

SNP - Sturgeon has told Corbyn to forget even calling unless she gets her Indy2ref they of course don't want Brexit.

Labour - Will only accept Corbyn as PM anything else is unacceptable. As for their Brexit policy, Corbyn has "his left leg in and his left leg out". Starmer has said we want a referendum Corbyn has said we don't Labour can't even agree amongst themselves let along with the other parties.

Glad to see that the rest of them are so united and willing to compromise.

Meanwhile I look forward to November 5.

Update
I forgot to add how many times have you heard opposition MPs claim that the Tories are putting petty party politics before the national interest? Hmmm that's the smell of hypocrisy if you were wondering.


Edited by Badger11 (13 Oct 2019 4.31pm)

 


One more point

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 13 Oct 19 6.03pm

Originally posted by cryrst

Why have a remain option then.
That horse has run and lost.
Deal or no deal.
Binary choice as you say.

Because of the changed circumstances in which so many know so much more. In 2016 idea of an exit without a properly negotiated transitional arrangement wasn't even on the horizon, let alone the table.

We haven't left yet, so as we have a chance to check how people feel about it now, and not about how they felt about then, some think we should. If you really believe in the will of the people being paramount then what have you to be worried about? I want Parliament to decide themselves but it seems that they may well decide to ask us all again.

Whether we have a 3 choice referendum, or one just about how we leave, my money would all be on a "deal" being chosen, provided it is one that Parliament can agree upon, and that doesn't look to be very likely to happen yet.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

cryrst Flag The garden of England 13 Oct 19 6.17pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Because of the changed circumstances in which so many know so much more. In 2016 idea of an exit without a properly negotiated transitional arrangement wasn't even on the horizon, let alone the table.

We haven't left yet, so as we have a chance to check how people feel about it now, and not about how they felt about then, some think we should. If you really believe in the will of the people being paramount then what have you to be worried about? I want Parliament to decide themselves but it seems that they may well decide to ask us all again.

Whether we have a 3 choice referendum, or one just about how we leave, my money would all be on a "deal" being chosen, provided it is one that Parliament can agree upon, and that doesn't look to be very likely to happen yet.

The will of the people being paramount.
It isnt though.
It's the will of less people.

 

YT Flag Oxford 13 Oct 19 6.49pm

Originally posted by Wisbech Eagle

Because of the changed circumstances in which so many know so much more. In 2016 idea of an exit without a properly negotiated transitional arrangement wasn't even on the horizon, let alone the table.

We haven't left yet, so as we have a chance to check how people feel about it now, and not about how they felt about then, some think we should. If you really believe in the will of the people being paramount then what have you to be worried about? I want Parliament to decide themselves but it seems that they may well decide to ask us all again.

Whether we have a 3 choice referendum, or one just about how we leave, my money would all be on a "deal" being chosen, provided it is one that Parliament can agree upon, and that doesn't look to be very likely to happen yet.

You can't possibly have a referendum with 3 choices, because the two 'leave' options would dilute each other, therefore 'remain' could win with as little as 34%.

 


Palace since 19 August 1972. Palace 1 (Tony Taylor) Liverpool 1 (Emlyn Hughes)

palace_in_frogland Flag In a broken dream 13 Oct 19 7.07pm

Originally posted by YT

You can't possibly have a referendum with 3 choices, because the two 'leave' options would dilute each other, therefore 'remain' could win with as little as 34%.

Oh don't start him off again FFS - "single transferable vote bla bla bla"

zzzzzz

 

YT Flag Oxford 13 Oct 19 7.10pm

Originally posted by palace_in_frogland

Oh don't start him off again FFS - "single transferable vote bla bla bla"

zzzzzz

Ah yes...that voting system that was rejected in another referendum!

 


Palace since 19 August 1972. Palace 1 (Tony Taylor) Liverpool 1 (Emlyn Hughes)

Spiderman Flag Horsham 13 Oct 19 7.59pm

Originally posted by YT

You can't possibly have a referendum with 3 choices, because the two 'leave' options would dilute each other, therefore 'remain' could win with as little as 34%.

Perfectly acceptable in some people's world

 

Wisbech Eagle Flag Truro Cornwall 13 Oct 19 8.38pm

Originally posted by ASCPFC

The more likely outcome there is that any party that foists a poor deal onto the people would be destroyed at the polls and probably put Brexit right back on the agenda. The EU already ruled out any kind of Norway deal and there is little point in paying the same amount for a trade deal as Britain pays at the moment, without having any say or control over standards, customs or indeed, movement. What I'm seeing here is one of those cake and eat it deals - which just is not going to happen- which is pie in the sky.
The EU are following the narrative of naughty Britain needs to be punished for its intransigence and there is little sign that they will change. Without a huge pay-off of course. The red lines of the EU are totally at odds with the UK's red lines - hence the complete inability for any acceptable deal to be reached - for the people that is. Be careful when thinking that politicians are going to deliver some kind of decent and acceptable deal.

When push comes to shove they will find a way, in my opinion a modified version of the May deal, including a backstop but with additional protections for worker's rights etc, that the opposition want. I don't see any "punishment" agenda by the EU although I could understand if that was partly a motive. I just don't see them them actually doing it. I see plenty of exasperation alongside bucket loads of patience.

 


For the avoidance of doubt any comments in response to a previous post are directed to its ideas and not at any, or all, posters personally.

cryrst Flag The garden of England 13 Oct 19 8.54pm

You do realise that if this was a straight forward election for say two parties.
Leave 'won' 270 voting areas and remain 129.
Funny old game.

 

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