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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


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snytaxx Flag London 25 Jun 16 8.12am

Originally posted by Kermit8

That's why he's asked the President. It's just a deal and deals - and treaties - can both be ended.

Ftse was down nearly 8 per cent as predicted and finished around 4 per cent down and you talk as if that was some kind of Brexit victory?

The only good news is that we can now talk in real time facts about the effects of Leave - positive and negative - as they happen and no more scaremongering.

If you want to spin things you can try but the weight of change will, I suspect, be too strong to put any gloss on.

Edited by Kermit8 (25 Jun 2016 7.52am)

Yes Treaties can be ended, but I sincerely doubt the French President (with an Election next year) is just going to go "ah well, lets cancel it then". Ending a treaty takes thought and dialogue on both sides. What will ending the treaty achieve exactly? Ferries which have illegal migrants on them simply wont be allowed to dock, Will the French paralyse their northern border just because the Mayor doesnt like the fact the UK will Brexit? Exactly....

The markets WILL bounce back. You talk as if them markets never crash in EU countries, I doubt that you really care that the market has fallen, I suspect you are more interested in just using this as ammunition in the sour grapes doom and gloom machine you call factual reporting.

As a Brexiteer, let me just write this out one last time.

There wil be market volatility, the next month will cause some problems for the FTSE and the pound. I can't even rule out a mini recession (though I think this is less likely). The long term result though will be a more resilient and stronger Britain. The positives (of which are many) will take about 1-5 years to really start to kick in. Now you can moan all you like about how its all going to s***, doesn't mean it actually is, its short term hysteria (just like when Cameron was elected last year) which will calm down in the next 2 months (if not before).

The question for you is simple, are you willing to make the best of the opportunity we voted for, or will you just sulk while the rest of the world moves on?

 

Nevada Eagle Flag Carson City, Nevada 25 Jun 16 8.21am

Bloody hell Nigel! What the hell are you going to do now?
The playground is gone now. No more rubbing those EU Brussel kids faces in dog sh!t anymore. Time for a new hobby. I'm gonna miss those EU vids.

 


Sing up ya bums

Kermit8 Flag Hevon 25 Jun 16 9.03am

Originally posted by snytaxx

Yes Treaties can be ended, but I sincerely doubt the French President (with an Election next year) is just going to go "ah well, lets cancel it then". Ending a treaty takes thought and dialogue on both sides. What will ending the treaty achieve exactly? Ferries which have illegal migrants on them simply wont be allowed to dock, Will the French paralyse their northern border just because the Mayor doesnt like the fact the UK will Brexit? Exactly....

The markets WILL bounce back. You talk as if them markets never crash in EU countries, I doubt that you really care that the market has fallen, I suspect you are more interested in just using this as ammunition in the sour grapes doom and gloom machine you call factual reporting.

As a Brexiteer, let me just write this out one last time.

There wil be market volatility, the next month will cause some problems for the FTSE and the pound. I can't even rule out a mini recession (though I think this is less likely). The long term result though will be a more resilient and stronger Britain. The positives (of which are many) will take about 1-5 years to really start to kick in. Now you can moan all you like about how its all going to s***, doesn't mean it actually is, its short term hysteria (just like when Cameron was elected last year) which will calm down in the next 2 months (if not before).

The question for you is simple, are you willing to make the best of the opportunity we voted for, or will you just sulk while the rest of the world moves on?

You have opened Pandora's Box but you are a glass three quarter full man. Everything is going to be rosy. Unfortunately, for places like Northern Ireland where the EU has helped significantly in forcing the peace and Cornwall and Wales who have had billions in EU help and for those whose jobs go and bills rise until we get to the 'promised land' five years hence it won't necessarily feel like Brexit was a positive.

 


Big chest and massive boobs

[Link]


shaun57 Flag chislehurst 25 Jun 16 9.08am

And Cornwall and Wales voted which way ?

 

Stirlingsays Flag 25 Jun 16 9.09am

Originally posted by Kermit8

You have opened Pandora's Box but you are a glass three quarter full man. Everything is going to be rosy. Unfortunately, for places like Northern Ireland where the EU has helped significantly in forcing the peace and Cornwall and Wales who have had billions in EU help and for those whose jobs go and bills rise until we get to the 'promised land' five years hence it won't necessarily feel like Brexit was a positive.

At least slightly more than half of Britain has balls. Great countries aren't fashioned by faint hearts.

Brexit is a positive and will be regarded as a positive long term. It will be difficult due to the EU's reaction but in the long term this country will succeed and govern itself.

Believers in the nation state all around Europe are rejoicing and the federalists and globalists have had this coming: undemocratic bully boys.

Viva democracy.


Edited by Stirlingsays (25 Jun 2016 9.11am)

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 25 Jun 16 9.17am

The Scottish mail on Thursday urged people to vote remain! Anyone would think they want an independent Scotland to carve Labour up...

 

DivingIsNotGood Flag se25 25 Jun 16 9.39am

Brit's again doing what we do best, LEADING!
[Link]

 


VOTING OUT - Brexit will allow Britain to embrace the Commonwealth and be GREAT again

crystal balls Flag The Garden of Earthly Delights 25 Jun 16 9.43am

Originally posted by snytaxx

Mayor of Calais has no ability to rescind the treaty of Tourquet as I think its known, much like Nigel Farage can't decide where to spend the extra money will free up from not paying for EU membership. Hollow words!

As for Moody's, they probably would of done the same if Scotland had left the UK and / or Corbyn gets elected. Once things settle down in the next month or so, things will improve again.

Oddly enough, you failed to mention how the FTSE escaped the worst of the BREXIT shock? Its almost as if you are looking for excuses to talk the UK down....

FTSE 100 consists mainly of multi-national companies who are largely immune from UK domestic conditions. FTSE 250 is a better indicator of UK conditions, and that fell by 7.2% yesterday, worst fall since Black Friday. Recession later this year almost inevitable, and 4-5 years of uncertainty yet to feed in to the markets fully.

Who knows what will happen in 5 years time. I feel that economically we'll be ok eventually, but we're in for a major bumpy ride meanwhile, and anyone retiring in the next few years or looking to borrow money may rue the outcome of the referendum.

 


I used to be immortal

DivingIsNotGood Flag se25 25 Jun 16 10.03am

Is very important remain voters watch [Link]

 


VOTING OUT - Brexit will allow Britain to embrace the Commonwealth and be GREAT again

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 25 Jun 16 10.06am

[Link]

Meanwhile in Cornwall

 

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 25 Jun 16 10.14am

Originally posted by Eggy

This - not a good day for our children who will have to live the rest of their lives with the consequences of this decision.

Stop worrying about the future.

To borrow from Doctor Zaius,

We might have just saved it for you....

 

Mapletree Flag Croydon 25 Jun 16 10.18am

Originally posted by crystal balls

FTSE 100 consists mainly of multi-national companies who are largely immune from UK domestic conditions. FTSE 250 is a better indicator of UK conditions, and that fell by 7.2% yesterday, worst fall since Black Friday. Recession later this year almost inevitable, and 4-5 years of uncertainty yet to feed in to the markets fully.

Who knows what will happen in 5 years time. I feel that economically we'll be ok eventually, but we're in for a major bumpy ride meanwhile, and anyone retiring in the next few years or looking to borrow money may rue the outcome of the referendum.

It's good to see someone that understands what has happened here.

We will lose ground. We may eventually get back to where we were before this started but we will never recover the lost impetus. We have done a very serious thing to our economy and we shall need to find ways of minimising the damage. But let nobody be under the illusion we have not created lasting damage.

Now we have to use all of our wit and energy to recover. We should have been using it to accelerate out of recession. Such a waste for relatively minor political gains.

 

Mapletree Flag Croydon 25 Jun 16 10.19am

Originally posted by Hrolf The Ganger

Stop worrying about the future.

To borrow from Doctor Zaius,

We might have just saved it for you....

What proportion of 'might'?

This is exactly why we are where we are, people not worrying about the future. But then, some people have shorter futures than others.

 

Sportyteacher Flag London 25 Jun 16 10.21am

Moodys has just downgraded UK Credit Outlook from 'stable' to 'negative':

[Link]

UK also has one of the largest budget deficits among advanced economies...thanks to Osborne's ceaseless borrowing to date.

 

DivingIsNotGood Flag se25 25 Jun 16 10.22am

Originally posted by nickgusset

[Link]

Meanwhile in Cornwall

An entirely misleading headline, surprise surprise.

There is no reason why the 10bn saving from leaving the EU cannot be issued even more efficiently than EU funding.

On a separate note which way did you vote Nick? Sorry I mean have you signed petition 131215 yet? You know a counter petition to 131215 is on the way.

 


VOTING OUT - Brexit will allow Britain to embrace the Commonwealth and be GREAT again

nickgusset Flag Shizzlehurst 25 Jun 16 10.34am

Originally posted by DivingIsNotGood

An entirely misleading headline, surprise surprise.

There is no reason why the 10bn saving from leaving the EU cannot be issued even more efficiently than EU funding.

On a separate note which way did you vote Nick? Sorry I mean have you signed petition 131215 yet? You know a counter petition to 131215 is on the way.


I stood in the booth deliberating for about 5 minutes... Voted remain in the hope that Corbyn would get elected and help build an anti austerity Base with our brothers and sisters across the EU. It was a hard choice but was worried about isolationism of the uk.
Was a choice between 2 right wing ideologies wasn't it?

Interesting times ahead. Need time for remainers to get over what happened then hopefully all pull together to build a UK (if it doesn't disintegrate with Sinn Fein pushing for a united Ireland as part of the EU and Scotland gaining independence) that isn't corporocentric (made up word of the day)

I'm hoping that the Spanish left win tomorrow and the European project fragments because of disaffection across Europe. This is the only chink of light I can see.
Otherwise we will be left to rue the Brexit.


Edited by nickgusset (25 Jun 2016 10.35am)

 

Ouzo Dan Flag Behind you 25 Jun 16 10.36am

I am quite optimistic about the future, once we have negotiated our exit & we continue to have freedom of movement across Europe, businesses agree new trade deals etc & with no EU interference we can look into freedom of movement among the main players of the Commonwealth (something Boris has supported for years)

It could give us the best of both worlds.

minimum wages

NZ - $15.25
AUS - $17.29
Can - $10.50
UK - £7.20

Edited by Ouzo Dan (25 Jun 2016 10.39am)

 


The mountains are calling & I must go.

Rubin Flag 25 Jun 16 10.38am

No one knows for sure what will happen long term. My guess is that we'll look at EU in 5/10/20 years and think 'thank God we got out when we did', and that's if there's even one left to look at.

I'm not sure why the kids are panicking so much about not being able to work in Europe in the future. I'd guess about 1% of them could work over there now due to the lack of jobs, and I think that'll only worsen. If they've got the skills to get a decent job out there, they'll get a work visa anyway.

The markets/pound etc were always going to get hit due to uncertainty, and they've had an extra impact from all the gambling that we'd remain. The effects have been no where near as bad as predicted.

We can now be a global country instead of just a European one, without any restrictions put on us.

Edited by Rubin (25 Jun 2016 10.40am)

 

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 25 Jun 16 10.43am

Originally posted by Mapletree

What proportion of 'might'?

This is exactly why we are where we are, people not worrying about the future. But then, some people have shorter futures than others.

How old are you Mapletree? You carry on like a schoolboy.

I promise you that the Sun will still come up tomorrow.Try to put things into some sort of perspective and don't assume that you will live longer than me because judging by the way you worry about things I wouldn't be so sure. How's your blood pressure?

You clearly have had very little adversity in your life if you go into a tail spin so easily.

 

matt_himself Flag Matataland 25 Jun 16 10.44am

I still predict that, despite all the menacing words from Brussels (and I understand why they are saying what they are saying), a deal will be offered to Britain by he EU and we will have another referendum in a year or so to ratify that deal.

There is too much at stake for many of the players in this to allow Brexit and contagion to happen. This is completely unprecedented territory. Yes Greenland left he EU in the eighties but there is a World of difference between that and this situation.

I still view this as a massive protest vote. The devil will be in the detail and the strength of the negotiating team.

 


"That was fun and to round off the day, I am off to steal a charity collection box and then desecrate a place of worship.” - Smokey, The Selhurst Arms, 26/02/02

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