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The Brexit Thread (LOCKED)


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Stirlingsays Flag 02 Apr 19 11.23am

Originally posted by steeleye20

It was started by Thatcher 'we have to have someone to blame' after her chancellor Lawsons ERM cock-up.

Get it off your desk, privatise it, get rid of it so it is not your fault, that's how the tories operate.

Knife crime? Who can we blame? The teaching profession it is really like that.

Lawson is doing well out of brexit - loads of lolly and a nice life in France as a 'silver spoon' tory grandee.

On form this morning



On knife crime we can blame people like you Steely because it's your type of politics on immigration that led to it.

 


'Who are you and how did you get in here? I'm a locksmith. And, I'm a locksmith.' (Leslie Nielsen)

becky Flag over the moon 02 Apr 19 11.25am

Originally posted by Pussay Patrol

Why is it people view this as some sort of game? You seem to revel in the idea that the EU would suffer, but if Europe suffers we all suffer, our financial markets and supply chains are all intrinsically linked and the ripples are felt over here, perhaps your company is invested in it or your pension is linked into these markets?

I think we should have selective voting in future

Edited by Pussay Patrol (02 Apr 2019 10.54am)

I'd go with that - no representation without taxation.


 


A stairway to Heaven and a Highway to Hell give some indication of expected traffic numbers

chris123 Flag hove actually 02 Apr 19 11.33am

Originally posted by steeleye20

It was started by Thatcher 'we have to have someone to blame' after her chancellor Lawsons ERM cock-up.

Get it off your desk, privatise it, get rid of it so it is not your fault, that's how the tories operate.

Knife crime? Who can we blame? The teaching profession it is really like that.

Lawson is doing well out of brexit - loads of lolly and a nice life in France as a 'silver spoon' tory grandee.

On form this morning


Although he may have been intellectually pro - Lawson had gone by then. John Major took us into the mechanism and Norman Lamont was Chancellor when it all went wrong.

 

dannyboy1978 Flag 02 Apr 19 11.44am

Originally posted by Midlands Eagle

You're probably right as not only are we a very important export partner for many EU companies we also pay nearly 12% of the EU's budget which is going to cause them pain when those payments stop

Imagine having 12% of the EU's budget.
Nice

 

Matov Flag 02 Apr 19 11.45am

My reading of things as they stand is this.

Mays Deal.
No Deal.
Revoke.

There is no more mileage in any further delay, from either the EU's pov or ours and with right-wing parties on schedule to do well as things stands in the upcoming EU elections, then I cannot imagine them wanting a UK sending a stream of new anti-EU politicians to Brussels/Strasbourg (just that ludicrous dual Parliament reality tells you all you need to know about how s*** the EU is).

Mays deal is dead in the water, assuming neither Labour or the SNP perform a complete U turn, given that the DUP seem adament along with an ERG group that even those who voted for her deal last time now seem contrite about remain adamently opposed.

Leaving us No Deal, as the default, or some kind of Revoke intervention which I am not sure is even possible without Government support.

I guess the only way to prevent No Deal as matters stand is for the Government to lose a vote of no confidence. Which requires Tories to effectively eat their own.

I had lost hope about No Deal but now perhaps there is light at the end of the tunnel.

Edited by Matov (02 Apr 2019 11.46am)

 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

jeeagles Flag 02 Apr 19 12.20pm

Originally posted by Matov

My reading of things as they stand is this.

Mays Deal.
No Deal.
Revoke.

There is no more mileage in any further delay, from either the EU's pov or ours and with right-wing parties on schedule to do well as things stands in the upcoming EU elections, then I cannot imagine them wanting a UK sending a stream of new anti-EU politicians to Brussels/Strasbourg (just that ludicrous dual Parliament reality tells you all you need to know about how s*** the EU is).

Mays deal is dead in the water, assuming neither Labour or the SNP perform a complete U turn, given that the DUP seem adament along with an ERG group that even those who voted for her deal last time now seem contrite about remain adamently opposed.

Leaving us No Deal, as the default, or some kind of Revoke intervention which I am not sure is even possible without Government support.

I guess the only way to prevent No Deal as matters stand is for the Government to lose a vote of no confidence. Which requires Tories to effectively eat their own.

I had lost hope about No Deal but now perhaps there is light at the end of the tunnel.

Edited by Matov (02 Apr 2019 11.46am)

Would say a long extension option which will take us into the EU elections.

No deal and remaining in during the EU elections are probably what the EU want least. Especially with elections looming. Leave campaigners would be wise to highlight the benefits of this to leave voters.

Can't see May's deal getting through without a major concession like dropping the backstop.

Can't see revoke happening at least without a second referendum. Can't guarantee a second referendum would have a different outcome. Can guarantee a second referendum will be even more divisive than the first.

Edited by jeeagles (02 Apr 2019 12.23pm)

 

Matov Flag 02 Apr 19 12.57pm

Originally posted by jeeagles

Can't see revoke happening at least without a second referendum. Can't guarantee a second referendum would have a different outcome. Can guarantee a second referendum will be even more divisive than the first.

Edited by jeeagles (02 Apr 2019 12.23pm)

A second referendum solves nothing. Merely adds fuel to the fire with consequences that do not bear considering.

If the result on June 23rd is ignored, then any further such exercises in democracy have zero legitimacy.

And if there is a mass boycott, then it descends into farce.

If Remainers refuse to accept the result of a referendum with the turn out on June 23rd, then why would anybody treat any subsequent one, with less people taking part, any more seriously?

Yes, we might remain in the EU but it leads to DECADES of conflict in every conceivable way.


 


"The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command." - 1984 - George Orwell.

Pussay Patrol Flag 02 Apr 19 1.08pm

Originally posted by Matov

A second referendum solves nothing. Merely adds fuel to the fire with consequences that do not bear considering.

If the result on June 23rd is ignored, then any further such exercises in democracy have zero legitimacy.

And if there is a mass boycott, then it descends into farce.

If Remainers refuse to accept the result of a referendum with the turn out on June 23rd, then why would anybody treat any subsequent one, with less people taking part, any more seriously?

Yes, we might remain in the EU but it leads to DECADES of conflict in every conceivable way.


Here's a little reality check

FB_IMG_1554112706610.jpg Attachment: FB_IMG_1554112706610.jpg (71.56Kb)

 


Paua oouaarancì Irà chiyeah Ishé galé ma ba oo ah

Ghostship Flag Norfolk 02 Apr 19 1.13pm

Roll on April 12th when this will be hopefully resolved and we will be out of the EU shackles and we can get on with our lives without this circus of Brexit although I dare say the remoaners will be throwing their toys out of the pram for a good few years more.

 

dannyboy1978 Flag 02 Apr 19 1.13pm

Originally posted by Pussay Patrol

Here's a little reality check

Didn't you want a second referendum?

 

dannyboy1978 Flag 02 Apr 19 1.16pm

Bring on the no deal.
[Link]

 

Rudi Hedman Flag Caterham 02 Apr 19 1.22pm

Originally posted by steeleye20

It was started by Thatcher 'we have to have someone to blame' after her chancellor Lawsons ERM cock-up.

Get it off your desk, privatise it, get rid of it so it is not your fault, that's how the tories operate.

Knife crime? Who can we blame? The teaching profession it is really like that.

Lawson is doing well out of brexit - loads of lolly and a nice life in France as a 'silver spoon' tory grandee.

On form this morning


And long after that didn’t labour want us to join the euro?

 


COYP

Midlands Eagle Flag 02 Apr 19 1.23pm

Originally posted by Pussay Patrol

Here's a little reality check

The Prime Minister at the time pledged that the Government would honour the results of the referendum so that's just more trolling from you

 

Spiderman Flag Horsham 02 Apr 19 1.27pm

Originally posted by chris123

Although he may have been intellectually pro - Lawson had gone by then. John Major took us into the mechanism and Norman Lamont was Chancellor when it all went wrong.

Steeleye posting incorrect facts! Surely not!!

 

Pussay Patrol Flag 02 Apr 19 1.30pm

Originally posted by Midlands Eagle

The Prime Minister at the time pledged that the Government would honour the results of the referendum so that's just more trolling from you

Well if we've learnt anything these last few years it's don't listen to politicians and stick to the facts. It's all there in the white paper

 


Paua oouaarancì Irà chiyeah Ishé galé ma ba oo ah

Maine Eagle Flag USA 02 Apr 19 1.47pm

Originally posted by Midlands Eagle

The Prime Minister at the time pledged that the Government would honour the results of the referendum so that's just more trolling from you

She did, and she is sticking to her guns so far on that one.

She also said that without any shadow of a doubt we would definitely leave the EU in March. She also said there was no way she was calling a snap election, right before calling one.

She is basically trying but she is failing, 3 years on and we are further away from brexit now than the day after the vote.

If by some miracle her deal is passed, this will all be over and that version of Brexit will be delivered.

If not, she knows that no deal is not acceptable to big business, to the majority in the house, to most of the EU, so it’s extremely unlikely that we leave with no deal.

Once we reach that point she has to justify an extension by promising some kind of democratic event. If polling supports it she may call an election but that didn’t exactly work out last time, and another hung parliament solves little anyway.

It’s the same as in the branches of government here, no majority across senate and house and it’s much harder to get anything done.

So what then, there would only be one option left then.

 


Trump lost. Badly. Hahahahahahaha.

Yellow Card - User has been warned of conduct on the messageboards Hrolf The Ganger Flag 02 Apr 19 2.05pm

Originally posted by Maine Eagle

She did, and she is sticking to her guns so far on that one.

She also said that without any shadow of a doubt we would definitely leave the EU in March. She also said there was no way she was calling a snap election, right before calling one.

She is basically trying but she is failing, 3 years on and we are further away from brexit now than the day after the vote.

If by some miracle her deal is passed, this will all be over and that version of Brexit will be delivered.

If not, she knows that no deal is not acceptable to big business, to the majority in the house, to most of the EU, so it’s extremely unlikely that we leave with no deal.

Once we reach that point she has to justify an extension by promising some kind of democratic event. If polling supports it she may call an election but that didn’t exactly work out last time, and another hung parliament solves little anyway.

It’s the same as in the branches of government here, no majority across senate and house and it’s much harder to get anything done.

So what then, there would only be one option left then.

So your reasoning is that Parliament can just ignore the referendum because Parliament conspired to reject every possible way to implement it?

Is that the stupidest logic ever?

 

Badger11 Flag Beckenham 02 Apr 19 2.08pm

Originally posted by Matov

My reading of things as they stand is this.

Mays Deal.
No Deal.
Revoke.

There is no more mileage in any further delay, from either the EU's pov or ours and with right-wing parties on schedule to do well as things stands in the upcoming EU elections, then I cannot imagine them wanting a UK sending a stream of new anti-EU politicians to Brussels/Strasbourg (just that ludicrous dual Parliament reality tells you all you need to know about how s*** the EU is).

Mays deal is dead in the water, assuming neither Labour or the SNP perform a complete U turn, given that the DUP seem adament along with an ERG group that even those who voted for her deal last time now seem contrite about remain adamently opposed.

Leaving us No Deal, as the default, or some kind of Revoke intervention which I am not sure is even possible without Government support.

I guess the only way to prevent No Deal as matters stand is for the Government to lose a vote of no confidence. Which requires Tories to effectively eat their own.

I had lost hope about No Deal but now perhaps there is light at the end of the tunnel.

Edited by Matov (02 Apr 2019 11.46am)

I agree with a lot of this Matov never the less I suspect they will still find a way to steal it from us.

 


One more point

Pussay Patrol Flag 02 Apr 19 2.08pm

Throwing facts at a brexiter is like throwing holy water on a vampire

 


Paua oouaarancì Irà chiyeah Ishé galé ma ba oo ah

kenbarr Flag Jackson Heights, Queens, New York ... 02 Apr 19 2.10pm

The results of the June 23rd vote were based on a series of campaign "promises" that may or may not be true. The chief one for me is the point made by Boris Johnson that there was an instant savings of £300 million plus to be had if Brexit happened. That has been disputed and is now considered by many to be false based on the Article 50 negotiations. Recent polling suggests that many of the "swing" areas of England where the previous referendum was decided have had a change of heart. That also may or may not be so, polling is not the exact science it has been sold to be. Most of my political experience, which dates back to 1964, tells me the first vote was not decisive. 52-53% in a national vote with wide disparities amongst the regions tells me the nation was then and still is divided fairly closely on the issue. I have quite conflicting views and would probably decide which way I would vote at the last minute. Brussels is a vast unelected decision making power with very few checks or balances. It would appear to me that the one elected European body, the Parliament, is little more than advisory. The theory of economic convergence amongst over two dozen sovereign countries has not worked. Certainly the EU has not been the best it could be. However, I believe for this world to survive national borders and regional sovereignty must yield towards a world government. Are we there yet? Certainly not. When written in the mid 1960s, "Star Trek," where such a society is theorized, took place 300 hundred years (middle 22nd Century) in the future after a cataclysmic war that ended only when the discovery of a radically new means of propulsion which makes inter-stellar exploration possible. That isn't even close to happening. Therefore, reform of the EU is an absolute must if the UK can continue within it. David Cameron tried to achieve such reform and was rebuffed. Therefore, when the referendum occurred, the British electorate had to weigh whether Britain had the influence necessary to achieve the reform required. The evaluation then was small majority thought not. That may have changed since but that's also highly questionable. My own view, for what it's worth, is that economically Britain would be better off remaining but politically its influence in how the EU is run must be felt if continued membership is to have any meaning. Therefore, color me a reluctant Remainer with a healthy dose of scepticism.

 


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